Tournament | All Ireland Senior Football Championship |
Timetable | 15th June, 17:00 GMT |
Prediction | Roscommon To Win! |
Odds | 1.33 |
Bookmaker | BoyleSports |
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Roscommon take on Cavan on Saturday the 15th of June at 5 pm. The match takes place in the neutral venue of Pearse Park Longford. The match will not be televised on either RTE or GAA Go. The match is crucial for both sides as one of these teams All-Ireland championship, will come to an end with defeat, while victory will book a place in the preliminary quarter-final of the ‘All Ireland’ against a second placed team from another group. This match will most likely be a tense one because of the jeopardy that’s involved for both sides. Roscommon performed well for long periods against Dublin in Round 1 before two late Dublin goals made the scoreline look less respectable, eventually losing by 12. They were a part of a tight all Connacht match to Mayo losing by 2 after putting in a decent performance. Cavan have been comfortably beaten so far by both Mayo and Dublin starting with a 9 point loss to Mayo and a massive 19 point loss to Dublin, where they conceded 5-17. This will be a difficult one for Cavan who will surely be low in confidence after the nature of their defeats, whereas Roscommon should be able to take some positives from their performances against Dublin and Mayo, even in defeat.
🏆 Roscommon vs Cavan All Ireland Championship Prediction
This one is a very important one for both sides, with their championship fate on the line. It is simple for both, win the game and you are through to the preliminary quarter finals. Roscommon can afford to draw this game and still go through as a result of Cavan having a worse score difference than them, but I am sure Roscommon will play to win as they hope to spark their championship into life, a championship where they have failed to register a win both in the All Ireland group phase and in the Connacht championship. Some of their performances especially those against Mayo on two separate occasions, warranted a win, so they will think they will be able to get the job done against a Cavan side who would be deemed to be inferior than them and who are also low in confidence following a huge 19 point defeat to All Ireland champions Dublin last time out. I expect Roscommon to have the quality to come out on top in this one and book their place into the preliminary quarter-finals of the All-Ireland Championship.
🔎 Roscommon vs Cavan Performance Analysis
A good way of looking at the performance analysis for this one is looking at how both sides fared statistically a specific stat for both these sides that could decide the game is goals conceded. In the championship so far, across 4 games Cavan have conceded 7 goals. They also conceded 7 goals in 7 league games, even after conceding 0 in their first 3. Shipping goals has clearly been a problem for them since the end of February, conceding 14 since then in 8 games in that period. Roscommon have conceded 5 goals in 3 championship games this season and conceded 4 goals in 7 league games for a total of 9 goals conceded in 10 games. Both sides need to tighten up at the back with regards to goals and whichever one can do this at the weekend has a great chance of being victorious.
💯 Roscommon vs Cavan All Ireland SFC Odds
Despite not winning a championship game, betting sites favour Roscommon for this match. They lost the Connacht semi-final to Mayo, followed by further defeats to Mayo and Dublin. It is not really a surprise that they are favourites because their performances were decent, especially against Mayo, where they lost narrowly on both occasions. Cavan had a good Ulster championship, shocking Monaghan in the preliminary Quarter final before a heartbreaking extra time defeat to Tyrone in the quarter final. They have not continued this positive feeling, looking out of their depth against Mayo and especially against Dublin. They were expected to lose that one but to lose by 19 points and concede 5-17 will no doubt have a negative effect and dent their confidence heading into this huge match versus Roscommon.
🏅 Roscommon vs Cavan Match Winner
The odds from the selected GAA football betting bookmakers for the match winner can be seen below.
Result | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roscommon to Win | 1.33 | TBC | 1.33 | 1.33 | TBC |
Cavan to Win | 3.70 | TBC | 4.00 | 4.00 | TBC |
Draw | 7.50 | TBC | 9.00 | 8.50 | TBC |
✔️ Roscommon vs Cavan Betting Tips
Roscommon and Cavan is an intriguing prospect, and here are some tips if you are unsure how the game will transpire or need ideas on how to use your free bets:
Tip 1: Roscommon to Win
Roscommon come into this one as the favourites and they do look like the stronger side both on paper and by performances, despite not picking up a win in this year’s championship in 3 games. They have a lot of quality in their ranks especially in the form of Enda Smith, Donie Smith and Conor Cox. Enda and Donie Smith have been showing their quality for a number of years now and both contributed to the scoreboard for Roscommon last time out scoring 0-1 and 0-2 respectively. COnor Cox has looked very impressive this year causing both Dublin and Mayo lots of problems in the two group games to this point, scoring 1-4 versus Mayo and 0-4 versus Dublin. He is a handful for defenders and it will be interesting to see which Cavan player will be tasked in trying to do what Mayo and Dublin could not, and that is keep Conor Cox quiet. This will be a difficult one for Cavan who are coming off a heavy 19 point defeat to Dublin and a 9 point defeat to Mayo. They have looked slightly out of their depth, although both those sides are All Ireland contenders, but the manner of the defeats for Cavan will worry them. Both sides have it all to play for but I feel Roscommon have more quality than Cavan who will be very low on confidence. Roscommon to win is priced at 1.33 on BoyleSports.
Tip 2: Roscommon Handicap -4
This match is extremely important to both sides as a place in the preliminary Quarter final is up for grabs for the victors and the losers will see their championship season ended in the middle of June. Roscommon have been competitive in the group stages so far. They gave Dublin trouble for long periods of the game in Croke Park and were only 3 points down with 15 minutes to go before Dublin turned on the afterburners, outsourcing Roscommon 2-3 to 0-0 in the remaining minutes to win by 12. The Roscommon performance was a lot better than the eventual result suggested. They put in a good performance also against Mayo losing a tight game by 2 points. They should take confidence from these defeats unlike Cavan who will struggle to find the positives from their games against Mayo where they lost by 9 and 19 points respectively, conceding 0-20 versus Mayo and 5-17 versus Dublin. Roscommon will look to dent Cavan’s confidence even more and try to kick start their championship with a comfortable win to put them in a strong place for a preliminary quarter final that will come as a result of victory The current handicap market is -4 for Roscommon and you can get odds of 2.00 for this eventuality on BoyleSports.
Tip 3: Over 1.5 goals
As mentioned before, both these sides have struggled to keep the goals out of the net in both the league and championship. Cavan have conceded 14 goals in their last 8 games which is an average of 1.75 goals a game, slightly skewed by conceding 5 versus Dublin. If we take out that game it is 9 goals in 7 games which is still an average of 1.29 goals per game. Roscommon have conceded 9 goals in 10 games in the 2024 league and championship season which is an average of 0.9 goals per game, nearly a goal per game. By the law of averages there should be 2.65 goals in this game or 2.19 goals per game if we do not include the goals conceded by Cavan versus Dublin, so expect goals in this one.
- Tip 1 - Roscommon to Win: Currently, you can find a price of 1.57 at BoyleSports.
- Tip 2 - Roscommon Handicap: -4 price of 2.00 with BoyleSports
- Tip 3 - Over 1.5 goals: price of 1.90 with Leovegas-Sports
1️⃣ Roscommon All Ireland SFC Update
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Roscommon 1-15 Mayo 2-14 | 01.06.24 All Ireland Group 2 Round 2 Senior Football Championship |
Dublin 2-19 Roscommon 0-13 | 25.05.24 All Ireland Group 2 Round 1 Senior Football Championship |
Roscommon 0-13 Mayo 1-15 | 21.04.24 Connacht Football Championship - Semi Final |
Derry 2-19 Roscommon 1-9 | 24.03.24 Allianz Football League Roinn 1 |
Roscommon 1-11 Kerry 1-17 | 17.03.24 Allianz Football League Roinn 1 |
2️⃣ Cavan All Ireland SFC Update
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Cavan 0-13 Dublin 5-17 | 01.06.24 All Ireland Group 1 Round 1 Football Championship |
Mayo 0-20 Cavan 1-8 | 18.05.24 All Ireland Group 1 Round 1 Football Championship |
Cavan 3-16 Tyrone 1-23 | 21.04.24 Ulster Championship - Quarter Final |
Monaghan 1-12 Cavan 3-12 | 07.04.24 Ulster Championship Preliminary Round |
Cavan 1-13 Fermanagh 2-14 | 23.03.24 Allianz Football League Roinn 2 |
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Paddy Lynch | ACL Injury- Out for the season |
👕Roscommon vs Cavan Potential Lineups
Pos. | Roscommon 6-2-6 | Cavan 6-2-6 | Pos. |
---|---|---|---|
Goalkeeper | C. Carroll | L. Brady | Goalkeeper |
Right Corner-Back | D. Murray | P. Meade | Right Corner-Back |
Full-Back | B. Stack | K. Brady | Half-Back |
Left Corner-Back | N. Higgins | L. Fortune | Left Corner-Back |
Right Half-Back | N. Daly | P. Faulkner | Right Half-Back |
Centre Half-Back | R. Dolan | N. Carolan | Centre Half-Back |
Left Half-Back | E. McCormack | O. Kiernan | Left Half-Back |
Midfielder | E. Smith | C. Brady | Midfielder |
Midfielder | T. O’Rourke | B. O'Connell | Midfielder |
Right Half-Forward | D. Ruane | O. Kiernan | Right Half-Forward |
Centre Half-Forward | D. Smith | C. Madden | Centre Half-Forward |
Left Half-Forward | C. Lennon | G. Smith | Left Half-Forward |
Right Corner-Forward | C. Cox | R. O’Neill | Right Corner-Forward |
Full Forward | D. Cregg | J. Smith | Full Forward |
Left Corner-Forward | D. Murtagh | O. Brady | Left Corner Forward |
✒️ Jack Guing – Expert Tipster
I am Jack Guing and I am 23 years old and hail from County Offaly in Ireland. I hold a bachelor’s degree in English and History from Maynooth University and a Master’s degree in Sports Performance from University of Limerick. I am passionate about sport especially performance analysis in sport.
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