Tyrone v Kerry Prediction: Preview, Odds & Betting Tips (2025)

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Timetable 12th July, 17:00 GMT
Prediction Kerry To Win!
Odds
Bookmaker Lunubet Sports
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Tyrone faces Kerry in the first of the 2025 All-Ireland SFC semi-finals, with both sides aiming to secure their place in this year’s final on 27 July. Both counties experienced somewhat surprising wins in their quarter-finals. Tyrone comfortably defeated Dublin, while Kerry decisively overcame defending All-Ireland champions Armagh.

This highly anticipated clash takes place at Croke Park on Saturday, 12 July, and will be broadcast live on RTE and BBC NI. As we look forward to what promises to be a titanic battle between these old rivals, read on for the latest betting odds on the match and our own Tyrone v Kerry prediction.

🏆 Tyrone v Kerry Prediction

This renewal of the Tyrone v Kerry rivalry on July 12th promises to be a classic encounter. Both Tyrone and Kerry will fancy their chances of lifting the Sam Maguire at the end of July in one of the most open and competitive football championships in recent memory. Tyrone secured victory with a 0-23 – 0-16 win over Dublin in their quarter-final match, with Malachy O’Rourke’s substitutes proving decisive in the second half. In a tense and at times scrappy contest, Tyrone’s ability to score 2-pointers greatly contributed to their success as they knocked out Dublin. It is Tyrone’s first semi-final appearance since their All-Ireland win in 2021.

Kerry, for their part, achieved what can only be described as a statement win for Jack O’Connor and his team. Missing the likes of Diarmuid O’Connor, Barry Dan O’Sullivan and Paul Geaney, and with Paudie Clifford only fit for one half of football, Kerry appeared vulnerable to an Armagh side eager to become the first team since Dublin’s six-in-a-row side to defend their All-Ireland crown.

When Tom O’Sullivan became the latest casualty of this current Kerry injury jinx, many had written off Kerry’s chances of dethroning Armagh. Instead, what happened was a display of defiance from the Kingdom, which saw them ease past Armagh 0-32 – 1-21. A third-quarter blitz of 0-14 unanswered points secured Kerry’s passage to the semi-final and no doubt alerted the other semi-finalists.

These two counties have a proud history of Croke Park clashes over the past 25 years or so, and on July 12th, we hope to witness another. Our Tyrone v Kerry prediction? A tight victory for Kerry as Gaelic fans are treated to another blockbuster at the GAA headquarters.

🏆OUR PREDICTION: KERRY TO WIN 🏆

💯 Tyrone v Kerry Betting Odds

After how Kerry dismantled defending champions Armagh in their quarterfinal, it is no surprise to see them as favourites in the latest Tyrone v Kerry betting odds by Irish bookmakers.

Be sure to shop around before placing a bet to make sure you avail yourself of the best prices. To help with this, why not check out our sportsbook reviews. Here, you can learn more about the betting sites listed.

Result
directionbet-sport-logo
lunubet-sport-logo
betovo-sport-logo
Tyrone to Win
TBC
TBC
Kerry to Win
TBC
TBC
Draw
TBC
TBC
Result
directionbet-sport-logo
lunubet-sport-logo
betovo-sport-logo
Tyrone to Win
TBC
TBC
Kerry to Win
TBC
TBC
Draw
TBC
TBC

✔️ Tyrone v Kerry Betting Tips

In our prediction for the Tyrone vs. Kerry semi-final, we will provide a selection of betting tips that may be useful for those with free bet offers or for anyone looking to place a wager on what is expected to be an extremely close match at Croke Park on July 12th.

  • Tip 1: Kerry to Win: Kerry made a significant impact with their dominant 3rd quarter performance against Armagh, scoring 0-14 points without reply and effectively dismantling Ethan Rafferty’s kick-outs. This showcases a Kerry side that is united and hungry for success, which typically causes problems for their rivals.

    Although Tyrone has been known to challenge Kerry teams over the last 25 years, Jack O’Connor appears to have cultivated an "us-against-them" mentality within this Kerry squad. This scenario is very reminiscent of the 2009 season, when pessimism loomed over Kerry before they entered the knockout stages at Croke Park. If you think Kerry will advance from this semi-final against Tyrone, you can get a price of 1.40 with DirectionBet on that outcome.

  • Tip 2: Tyrone Handicap +2.5: While Kerry is favoured to win, the match is expected to be very competitive. Tyrone has demonstrated an ability to secure victories when least expected, as seen in their wins at Ballybofey against Donegal and their quarterfinal triumph over Dublin.

    Given the historical rivalry between the two counties, this Tyrone v Kerry 2025 clash should be another tight and hard-hitting battle. If you believe Tyrone can cover the handicap, you can get a price of 1.75 with DirectionBet on that happening on July 12th.

  • Tip 3: Under 2.5 Goals: Both teams have shown strength in defence during this year’s Championship. Kerry has conceded only 4 goals in 7 matches, while Tyrone has been even more formidable, allowing just 2 goals in 6 games.

    We may witness some of the country’s top forwards in action during this clash. Both management teams have implemented defensive structures that have effectively minimised the number of goals conceded, so it will be intriguing to see if they can maintain this in Croke Park on July 12th.

⚽ Tyrone Squad Form

At times this year, Tyrone have shown glimpses of the undoubted quality within their ranks. Their victory over Donegal in Ballybofey remains the standard they will look to reach once more when they face Kerry at Croke Park. That 2-17 – 0-20 win positioned Malachy O’Rourke’s team as potential All-Ireland contenders.

Although they disappointed against Mayo in their next game, wins over Cavan and that quarterfinal victory over Dublin have put Tyrone into a semi-final and just one game from an All-Ireland final. The performances of Darragh Canavan, Darren McCurry, Con Kilpatrick, Kieran McGeary and Peter Teague have helped the 2021 champions to the last 4.

Allied with that, their options off the bench against Dublin, including the likes of U-20 star Eoin McElholm, Conor Meyler and Ruairi Canavan, suggest a squad coming to the boil when it matters. Their only question mark appears to be over the fitness of Michael McKernan, who missed the Dublin game.

⚽ Kerry Squad Form

It's fair to say that Kerry widened the already competitive championship by dethroning Armagh in their quarterfinal meeting. As always, the forward power of the Kingdom was prominent, with Sean O'Shea and David Clifford scoring 0-19 of their total 0-32 against the Orchard County.

Their determination to fight, press, and create turnovers also contributed significantly to their victory. Jack O'Connor's team proved wrong those who had doubted the title credentials of the Kingdom this season, including sceptics from both within and outside the county. However, led by Clifford and O'Shea, along with strong performances from Joe O'Connor, Jason Foley, and Graham O'Sullivan, Kerry delivered a performance that contradicted the inconsistencies they displayed for much of the 2025 championship.

👕 Tyrone v Kerry Predicted Lineups

Below are our projected line-ups for the 2025 Tyrone v Kerry All-Ireland semi-final.

Pos.
Tyrone
6-2-6
Kerry
6-2-6
Goalkeeper
N. Morgan
S. Ryan
Right Corner-Back
C. Quinn
P. Murphy
Full-Back
P. Hampsey
J. Foley
Left Corner-Back
N. Devlin
D. Casey
Right Half-Back
P. Teague
B. Ó’Beaglaoich
Centre Half-Back
R. Brennan
G. White
Left Half-Back
K. McGeary
T. O’Sullivan
Midfielder
B. Kennedy
J. O’Connor
Midfielder
C. Kilpatrick
S. O’Brien
Right Half-Forward
S. O’Donnell
G. O’Sullivan
Centre Half-Forward
M. Donnelly
P. Clifford
Left Half-Forward
C. Daly
S. O’Shea
Right Corner-Forward
D. McCurry
D. Clifford
Full Forward
P. Harte
M. Burns
Left Corner-Forward
D. Canavan
D. Geaney
Pos.
Goalkeeper
Right Corner-Back
Full-Back
Left Corner-Back
Right Half-Back
Centre Half-Back
Left Half-Back
Midfielder
Midfielder
Right Half-Forward
Centre Half-Forward
Left Half-Forward
Right Corner-Forward
Full Forward
Left Corner-Forward
Tyrone
6-2-6
N. Morgan
C. Quinn
P. Hampsey
N. Devlin
P. Teague
R. Brennan
K. McGeary
B. Kennedy
C. Kilpatrick
S. O’Donnell
M. Donnelly
C. Daly
D. McCurry
P. Harte
D. Canavan
Kerry
6-2-6
S. Ryan
P. Murphy
J. Foley
D. Casey
B. Ó’Beaglaoich
G. White
T. O’Sullivan
J. O’Connor
S. O’Brien
G. O’Sullivan
P. Clifford
S. O’Shea
D. Clifford
M. Burns
D. Geaney

✒️ Tyrone v Kerry - H2H Stats

Tyrone v Kerry is without a doubt one of the most storied rivalries in modern Gaelic Games. There have been 9 Tyrone v Kerry All-Ireland football H2H clashes, with Kerry leading the series 5-4. All but 1 of these nine meetings have happened in Croke Park, with the 2012 All-Ireland qualifier, which took place in Killarney. This was the only game between the sides not to feature at GAA HQ.

They met in two All-Ireland finals and 1 semi-final during the 2000s, with Tyrone winning all three, but since then Kerry has had the upper hand, winning four out of the last five matches between the sides. They last met in the 2023 championship, with Kerry winning the All-Ireland quarterfinal comfortably, 2-18 to 0-12.

Date
Competition
Winner
Score
23.02.2025
National Football League Division 1
Kerry
3-13 – 2-13
03.03.2024
National Football League Division 1
Kerry
0-18 – 1-11
01.07.2023
All Ireland SFC Semi Final
Kerry
2-18 – 0-12
Date
23.02.2025
03.03.2024
01.07.2023
Competition
National Football League Division 1
National Football League Division 1
All Ireland SFC Semi Final
Winner
Kerry
Kerry
Kerry
Score
3-13 – 2-13
0-18 – 1-11
2-18 – 0-12
Gaa betting

Liam is a sportswriter from County Laois in Ireland who specializes in delivering content on GAA and Football matters (though he does see himself as somewhat of a tennis aficionado also!). Liam has written about All Ireland Gaelic Football and Hurling Championships, Premier League, Champions League and International Football offering expert opinion and match previews and predictions. Occasionally even getting some right!