Eurovision Betting Odds, Sites, Guide, Tips & Predictions
Eurovision betting is now well underway, with the 70th iteration of this iconic competition getting underway on Tuesday, 12th May. The final is scheduled for Saturday, 16th May, and will take place at the Wiener Stadthalle in Vienna.
In this detailed betting guide, we’ll analyse the latest Eurovision odds for 2026 and the most likely winners. We’ll also reveal which of the best Irish betting sites are offering extensive coverage of the event.
☘️ Recommended Eurovision Betting Sites
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💯 Eurovision Betting Odds 2026
Finland are the overwhelming favourites according to the latest Eurovision betting odds for 2026. Their average price of 2.25 implies a 44.4% win probability for the Nordic country, who will be represented by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with the song Liekinheitin (or Flamethrower).
Interestingly, Ireland has withdrawn from the competition in 2026, citing geopolitical concerns about Israel’s inclusion. However, the UK will participate, although their entry is currently priced at 250.00 with Lunubet and has just a 0.4% probability of winning.
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⚠️Odds are subject to change. Please check before placing your bets.
🔮 Eurovision Predictions 2026
While we can draw implied probability values from the published Eurovision betting odds for 2026, there are other factors that can impact each country’s chances of winning. We’ve taken these into consideration to help create our own Eurovision 2026 predictions and hopefully inform your selections.
Finland are the Deserved Favourites
The latest Eurovision odds imply a 44.4% win probability for Finland, while analysis has revealed the highest level of fan poll support among all competing countries (20.0%). The Finnish entry also has 71.0% favourable Reddit sentiment, suggesting that it will receive considerable backing via the televote. Depending on how the song is received during the first Eurovision semi-final on May 12th, the betting odds on a Finnish may shorten further. So, we’d recommend that you wager early if you intend to back Finland, while potentially increasing your bet unit in a bid to maximise value.
Pick the UK for a Top 10 Finish
While the UK has only recorded one top 10 finish in the previous 15 Eurovision renewals (courtesy of Sam Ryder in 2022), their 2026 entry has been garnering significant support online. Eins, Zwei, Drei by LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER has earned 97% favourable Reddit sentiment in the build-up to the competition, which is higher than any other listed entry. What’s more, the UK is afforded an automatic Eurovision final berth as one of the contest’s so-called Big Four, alongside France, Germany and Italy. This negates the risk of elimination in either of the semi-finals, so consider backing the UK to achieve a rare top 10 finish at average odds of 9.00.
Avoid Betting on Austria
While Austria will assume hosting duties this year after triumphing by 79 points from Israel in 2025, they’re priced at a distant 250.00 to repeat their success. These odds imply a 0.4% probability of this outcome occurring, despite the nation also being granted an automatic place in the final.
Although the entry Tanzschein by Cosmó has also benefitted from largely positive feedback online, analysis suggests that it lacks any tangible poll support when compared to the most popular songs. Incredibly, no host nation has won Eurovision since Ireland back in 1994. Paul Harrington and Charlie McGettigan’s Rock ‘n’ Roll Kids also secured a third consecutive Eurovision triumph for the Irish, and no nation has won back-to-back renewals since.
Bet on France to Finish in the Top Five
France are second favourites at an average price of 7.50, which implies a 13.3% win probability for the nation. The French have fared well in the early poll voting, claiming 6% of the total share, alongside Sweden and Greece. Only Finland has a higher poll backing. The French entry Regarde! by Monroe has also been well-received online, recording 72% favourable Reddit sentiment. Interestingly, this is higher than the Finnish entry and bettered only by six other songs. Like the UK, France is one of Eurovision’s Big Four and is already guaranteed a place in the final. So, there’s genuine value in backing France to achieve a top five finish at odds of around 1.60.
🏆 Best Betting Sites for Eurovision Song Contest 2026
We’ve identified Lunubet, Directionbet, Royalistplay, Funbet and Legendplay as the best betting sites for wagering on the Eurovision song contest. We’ve provided a brief summary of each operator and their key features below, while you can learn more by reading our detailed online bookmaker reviews.
☘️ Top Eurovision Betting Site: | |
🎁 Best Free Bet Offer for the Song Contest: | |
🎵 Best Competitive Odds: | |
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Lunubet
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The Lunubet sportsbook covers a number of specials, pertaining to music, politics and entertainment. This includes Eurovision, where you’ll find one of the largest ranges of betting markets and lines available.
During our Lunubet review, we found competitive outright winner odds, alongside pricing for each Eurovision semi-final. You can also bet on nations to achieve top three or top five finishes, creating superior value and increasing your chances of placing winning wagers.
At Lunubet, you can also claim a 100% first deposit match up to €200. You can also claim weekly cashback of 10% up to €500, including the amount staked on qualifying Eurovision bets.
Directionbet
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Directionbet also offers excellent Eurovision coverage. This site offers highly competitive winner odds, including 2.50 on favourites Finland. Only RoyalistPlay can match these odds at the time of writing.
When you register for a Directionbet account, you’re eligible to receive a 100% first deposit match up to €100. This bonus has a minimum odds requirement of 1.80 and unlocks the majority of Eurovision betting markets.
During our Directionbet review, we also discovered a 50% reload bonus up to €50. You can even get up to €50 in free bet tokens each month, simply by depositing €50 during the qualifying period.
Royalistplay
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RoyalistPlay matches Directionbet’s average odds margin, and therefore offers highly competitive outright winner pricing. You can certainly access excellent value when backing Finland, or potential outside contenders such as Cyprus.
RoyalistPlay is also offering a 100% first deposit match up to €100. This has wagering requirements of 16x, which are applied to the total bonus value and must be fulfilled within 21 days. The deposit amount is not subject to wagering requirements.
As an existing bettor, you can make three deposits of €50+ each month to unlock €50 in free bet tokens. To learn more about this promo, check out our RoyalistPlay review.
Funbet
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Funbet offers a broad selection of Eurovision betting markets, apart from the outright winner. These enable you to bet on the top country in a particular region, such as the Balkans or Scandinavia. You can also pick the winner of the Jury vote and Televote during the final.
The Funbet welcome bonus unlocks a 100% deposit match up to €200. As an existing bettor, you can claim a weekly 50% reload bonus too, up to the value of €1,200.
You can recoup 10% of your qualifying losses each week at Funbet. This is paid out as cashback up to €500, while it can include losing Eurovision wagers. You can learn more about this via our Funbet review.
LegendPlay
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LegendPlay’s intuitive sports betting site is also home to an incredibly generous welcome offer. This comprises a 100% first deposit match up to €250, which requires a minimum deposit of just €10 and allows you to place qualifying multi-bets at odds of 1.50 or greater.
This operator offers a huge selection of Eurovision markets. You can access Eurovision odds ahead of semi-final one, for example, alongside pricing for the second semi-final. You can pick nations to record finishes and the top three and top five too.
During our LegendPlay review, we also uncovered a weekly 50% reload bonus up to €500. This is an excellent bonus offer for active bettors or the high rollers among you.
📑 Eurovision Betting Guide 2026
Next in our Eurovision betting guide, we’re going to address the event’s most popular lines and markets. This can help you to identify the best value odds for Eurovision, based on your preferred markets and appetite for risk.
Outright Betting on the Winner Betting
The most popular form of outright betting requires you to predict the Eurovision 2026 winner. This is the event’s most straightforward market, and one that unlocks competitive odds when you wager early. This is especially true when backing favourites, whose odds are likely to shorten as the event draws closer and after the completion of the semi-finals.
Top Balkan Country
A total of 35 countries will ultimately compete in Eurovision 2026, from across the entire continent of Europe. A large number of competitors herald from the Balkans in Southeastern Europe, and you can wager on the best-performing nations in this region at Funbet and LegendPlay. Greece and Romania are best-priced Balkan nations at the time of writing. A similar market exists for Scandinavian nations at LegendPlay.
Each-Way Betting
Each-way betting is another popular Eurovision strategy. This sees you distribute your stake across both win and place outcomes, with payouts typically available up to the first four places. Place portions of your wager will usually payout at odds of 1.20, although this increases to 1.25 at Lunubet. Each-way betting often targets short priced favourites, unlocking a higher probability of success overall.
Televote Winner Betting
The best Eurovision bookmakers also enable you to wager on the televote outcome. This is determined by public votes that are shared via SMS, phone or the official Eurovision app. It constitutes 50% of the final score in the Grand Final. You can inform your pick of likely televote winners by appraising public sentiment via sites such as Reddit, with the UK entry particularly well thought of ahead of the 2026 competition.
Jury Vote Winner Betting
Jury voting comprises the other 50% of a nation’s final score, while it canvasses the opinion of experts from the music industry. Jury voting can be more unpredictable, due to factors such as historical geopolitical bias and the technical quality of each entry. However, you can research historical jury voting patterns, while also factoring in any current geopolitical complications. You’ll see that the odds for jury betting vary significantly from televoting lines.
Top 5 and Top 10 Betting
You can also engage in place betting when wagering on the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest. More specifically, you can pick nations to record top five or top 10 finishes, unlocking shorter odds and covering a wider range of potential outcomes. This translates into higher implied probability values overall. At LegendPlay, you can also bet on selected nations to finish in the top three.
🎵 Eurovision Betting Tips
Accessing a broad range of Eurovision betting markets is important, due to the unpredictable nature of the competition. Win market odds can also fluctuate wildly in the buildup to the final, based on semi-final performances, voting patterns and betting trends. So, we’ve created some expert Eurovision betting tips to help you make the most of your bankroll.
Time Your Bets to Beat the Market
Timing is crucial to successful Eurovision betting, regardless of your risk profile or preferred betting markets.
For example, if you’re confident that favourites Finland will win, wagering early and before the semi-finals will lock in optimal value. However, this incurs greater risk and uncertainty, as semi-final performances and voting can offer additional insight.
If you wait until after the semi-finals and Finland performs well, their odds are likely to shorten further prior to the Grand Final. This creates lower value but a higher win probability, potentially suiting the more risk-averse bettors among you.
Odds can also change during rehearsal week and after official song releases, and it’s important to factor this into your strategy.
Don’t Blindly Follow the Favourite
The bookmakers have successfully predicted the winner in five of the previous seven Eurovision Song Contests (71.4%). However, they also overpriced the Cypriot entry Fuego in 2018, which initially became the favourite after its official release and a stellar semi-final performance.
Ukraine’s Shum also failed to deliver in 2021, while eventual victor Måneskin started the contest as an outsider before prevailing at lengthy odds.
So, it’s wise not to blindly follow favourites, and instead evaluate odds alongside public sentiment and historic voting trends. Also, keep your eyes peeled for weak favourites that don’t have a particularly high win probability, or entries that may be overhyped as a result of marketing or a high profile release.
When betting on the semi-finals, just note that the favourites prevail around 80% of the time. This is a slightly higher hit-rate, and one that may influence your picks ahead of the 2026 semi-finals.
Tailor Your Stake to the Risk Level
Not only is it crucial that you shop prices across multiple betting sites to identify the best value lines, but you should also leverage odds to set an optimal bet unit.
Odds can be used to determine the probability of a particular outcome occurring. This also reveals your potential exposure to risk, and you should tailor your stake to each wager’s unique risk level.
For example, backing Finland at odds of 2.50 with Directionbet unlocks a 44.4% win probability and a relatively nominal rate of return. This may encourage you to increase your bet unit to account for the slightly lower level of risk.
However, Greece’s odds of 10.00 imply just a 10.00% win probability but can deliver significantly higher profits. In this case, it may be better to reduce your bet unit and minimise your potential loss, while still banking a healthy return if your wager is successful.
Study Past Form and Geopolitical Influences
Nations that have enjoyed success in Eurovision typically benefit from cultural proximity, while they’re able to leverage geopolitical alliances and large voting blocs.
This is definitely true in regions such as Scandinavia and the Balkans, where countries including Sweden, Norway, Greece and Cyprus have enjoyed tremendous success.
Following the break-up of the Soviet Union, Russia also benefited from significant bloc voting trends, although this is no longer the case due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts in the region. Russia has also been banned from competing in Eurovision since 2022.
It’s crucial that you understand these historical bloc voting patterns, alongside the cultural proximity that’s shared by participating nations. You must also factor in current geopolitical conflicts and sentiment, as this will have a huge bearing on how both juries and the public vote.
Focus on Jury vs Televote Appeal
The split voting system also has a key role in determining Eurovision outcomes. The challenge here is that juries tend to vote differently to the public, making it hard to accurately predict an eventual, overall winner.
Not only are juries more likely to vote with a geopolitical bent, for example, but they also comprise musicians and industry officials. These individuals often focus on vocals and song composition too, whereas public voters consider a song’s popularity and staging.
To negate these differences, you could just focus on the outcome of either the jury or televote. This can help to focus your analysis and pick potential winners based on a smaller number of factors.
Another of our Eurovision Song Contest betting tips is to target alternative lower-risk markets. These include picking nations to finish in the top five or 10, which lets you cover a broader selection of markets with a single stake. You can also engage in each-way betting on your preferred nation.
🎁 Top Free Bets Offers for Eurovision 2024
Before you act on our Eurovision betting odds tips and wager, we’d recommend that you check out the best free bet offers from our recommended bookies. You’ll find a summary of these promotional offer below:
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🏁 Eurovision Past Winners
Across the previous 10 Eurovision renewals since 2015, there have been only two multiple winners: Sweden and the Ukraine. Both of these nations have prevailed twice during this time, while Austria are the defending champions after their 2025 success in Basel. Interestingly, no host nation has triumphed in this time.
📌 Eurovision 2026 Format
A total of 25 nations will compete in the Eurovision 2026 final, including the aforementioned Big Four, host nation Austria and 20 qualifiers.
There are two semi-finals that will determine the 20 qualifiers. The first of these is scheduled for Tuesday, May 12th at 21:00 CEST, with 15 countries competing for 10 final sports. This semi-final will feature Finland (the Eurovision favourites for 2026), Sweden and Israel.
The second semi-final will take place on Thursday, May 14th at 21:00 CEST, in order to determine the remaining 10 Grand Final spots.
Then comes the showpiece final on Saturday, May 16th at the familiar time of 21:00 CEST. Across each of these three live shows, acts will perform in front of a live audience, while the results will be determined by the combined jury and televoting system. Once again, the winning nation will be rewarded with hosting duties for the 2027 contest.
🔍 Eurovision 2026 Voting
We’ve already touched on the impacting of geopolitical voting and potential corruption, which has been criticised heavily over decades. This is why organisers introduced a televote to canvas the opinion of regular viewers, in order to create fairer and more transparent outcomes.
The 2026 contest will see juries increased from five to seven members, with at least two required to be aged between 18 and 25. Voters will also be encouraged to disregard disproportionate marketing campaigns when making their decisions, especially those that have been backed by third parties or governmental agencies.
Voting is permitted throughout each live show, while jury and televote outcomes will each contribute 50% to the final decision. Juries will deliver their verdict live, while viewers can vote directly via telephone, SMS and the official Eurovision app.
Each country’s vote will award points to a total of 10 nations. These points will be broken down as follows:
- Best Song - 12 points
- 2nd - 10 points
- 3rd - 8 points
- 4th - 7 points
- 5th - 6 points
- 6th - 5 points
- 7th - 4 points
- 8th - 3 points
- 9th - 2 points
- 10th - 1 point
🎤 A Brief History of Eurovision
This iconic entertainment event has become a staple of sports betting in Ireland, having first been initiated during the 1950s. The European Broadcasting Union (EBU) was founded at the start of the decade, before the initial contest was held in 1956.
Just seven nations competed in the first ESC: namely Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Switzerland and the Netherlands. The UK made their debut the following year in 1957, while Ireland first appeared in the 1965 iteration.
Ireland and Sweden are also the two most successful Eurovision nations, with both winning the contest on seven occasions. However, the Irish haven’t triumphed since 1996 (which was their fourth win in just five years), while Sweden have prevailed on three occasions since 2012.
While the UK, France, Germany and Italy still comprise Eurovision’s Big Four, these nations have produced just two wins in the 21st century. The last of the UK’s five wins came back in 1997 with Katrina and the Waves’ Love Shine a Light, while this year’s second favourites France haven’t triumphed since 1977.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions About Eurovision Betting
Who is the favourite to win Eurovision 2026?
The current favourite to win Eurovision is Finland, with the entry Liekinheitin (Flamethrower) by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen having achieved the highest level of poll support and generally favourable sentiment on Reddit. The starting favourite has triumphed in five of the previous seven Eurovision renewals. Finland certainly leads the current Eurovision predictions for the 2026 winner.
Where is the 2026 Eurovision Going to Be Held?
The 2026 Eurovision Song Contest will be held at the Wiener Stadthalle in Vienna, Austria. Austria assumed hosting duties after recording their third ever Eurovision win in 2025, with Wasted Love by JJ prevailing by a total of 79 points from the Israeli entry.
Who are the Big 4 in Eurovision?
The so-called Big Four are Germany, Italy, France and the UK. This status is derived from the fact that these countries are the largest financial contributors to the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), which produces the ESC every year. The Big Four typically qualify automatically for the final each year.
Can you bet on Eurovision?
Yes, you can bet on Eurovision! Our recommended bookies are all offering outright winner odds and access to a number of alternative markets, including top five and top 10 finishes. Our 2026 Eurovision betting table reveals the current frontrunners, their odds and implied win probabilities, helping you to make the most informed selection possible.
Which are the best bookies to bet on Eurovision?
Our picks for the best Eurovision betting sites are Lunubet, Directionbet, RoyalistPlay, FunBet and LegendPlay. Lunubet is the best overall site, while FunBet and LegendPlay offer the broadest range of markets. You can access welcome bonuses and free bet offers at each of these bookmakers too!
Where can I find Eurovision betting tips?
Before you engage in Eurovision betting, it’s important to perform analysis of the available betting markets and each competing entry. This page includes actionable betting tips and advice on how to make informed picks that suit your risk profile, while it also lets you shop lines across the best bookmakers.
Lewis Humphries
A business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and remote casino betting. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.