Timetable | 27th July, 15:30 GMT |
Prediction | Donegal To Win! |
Odds | |
Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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The 2025 All-Ireland Senior Football Championship final will pit Kerry against Donegal in a repeat of the 2014 decider, their last Championship encounter. Both have established themselves as the top two teams in the country this season, and this Croke Park showdown is the most eagerly anticipated decider in years just by fans of either county.
Will it be a 39th time for Kerry to raise Sam Maguire, or can Donegal be high kings of Ireland for only the third time? Read on for our Donegal v Kerry betting tips, preview and analysis ahead of this seismic football decider.
🏆 Kerry v Donegal Prediction
The bookmaking fraternity is finding it hard to settle on a favourite, with many going even-money on both teams. It's entirely fair to suggest that the two best teams in the Championship have arrived in the showpiece game, something that doesn't always happen. Given how emphatically they both won their quarter-finals and semi-finals, Donegal and Kerry have certainly earned their place.
Kerry's foundation is David Clifford's sheer brilliance. The Fossa frontman’s recent feats have strengthened his case to be considered the greatest of all time. He has some able deputies in brother Paudie and sharpshooting Sean O'Shea.
Donegal’s strength lies in numbers, with dangers emerging from all over the field at every angle and with breakneck speed. That is the puzzle Kerry must solve, and it won’t be easy. While it's unfair to suggest Kerry are overly reliant on David Clifford, the belief is that Donegal's overall arsenal may tip the balance, as Jim McGuinness' side presents dangers from so many outposts on the field.
OUR PREDICTION: 🏆 Donegal TO WIN 🏆
💯 Kerry v Donegal Betting Odds
Picking apart the hopes of both for this eagerly anticipated Kerry v Donegal Final 2025 is a real challenge for Irish bookmakers, with most unable to split the Ulster and Munster champions. Their last Championship encounter, the 2014 final, was a lukewarm and forgettable affair. In contrast, this latest instalment looks set to be an absolute firecracker, which is why the Kerry v Donegal betting odds are so evenly matched.
As the countdown to the final act of the GAA intercounty season reaches fever pitch, be sure to consider our detailed sportsbook reviews for a comprehensive guide to the best online resources for your punting needs.
✔️ Kerry v Donegal Betting Tips
Donegal's major strength is their running power, with Finbarr Roarty, Peadar Mogan, Ryan McHugh, and Ciaran Moore carrying the fight to the opposition from deep and doing so with blistering pace.
The Ulster champions didn’t score a single two-pointer from play in the semi-final, but they registered an incredible 3-22. Their relentless attacking raids, especially in the second half, could pose real problems for Kerry, and see Donegal pulling clear late in the game.
Ciaran Moore's impact this season has been phenomenal. The St Eunan's ace found the net in the Ulster final against Armagh and again in the All-Ireland semi-final against Meath. He might have doubled up on green flags late on, but chose to tap it over the bar. He's a dynamic runner, and Donegal's style should afford him scoring chances in the final.
The last time these teams played an All-Ireland final, 11 years ago, it was a tepid affair, with 27 points scored between them. Since then, football’s new era under the FRC changes has made this season one of the most exciting in a generation, with scoring at an all-time high. With both teams set up to attack, all signs point to a high-scoring final.
- Tip 1: Donegal -2.5 points: The Donegal game plan is based on frequent, close-range scoring, facilitated by proximity to the target in shooting. Their incredible running may eventually break Kerry's resolve and pave the way for a convincing win. As difficult as this game looks on paper, Donegal’s recent second-half surges suggest they could pull away late. The Ulster side are 2.67 with DirectionBet to win by three or more.
- Tip 2: Ciaran Moore anytime goalscorer: Donegal dynamo Moore is a leading contender for Young Footballer of the Year. His incredible athleticism allows him to cover many yards. He has two Championship goals already this season, and he should get shooting chances to add to the tally.
- Tip 3: Total Points Over 47.5: Four of the last six games involving these teams have gone over 47.5 points, with their attacking instincts to the fore. In those six games, Donegal (6) and Kerry (4) have found the net 10 times. This final could be a blockbuster, and a high-scoring showdown looks very likely. Over 47.5 points at a price of 2.40 at DirectionBet looks a generous bet.
⚽ Kerry Squad Form
Kerry have raised the gears in the knockout stages of the All-Ireland SFC. Jack O'Connor's side laboured to the Munster crown, needing extra-time to fend off Cork, and they were caught cold by Meath in the group stages. This stumble forced them to come into a preliminary quarter-final against Cavan, which they came through with minimal fuss.
From there, Kerry raised their game. Trailing by five against reigning champions Armagh in a tense quarter-final, they responded with a 13-point blitz without reply, turning the tide for the Kingdom.
In the semi-final, old foes Tyrone were held at arms' length in a comfortable six-point Kerry win. In those three wins, star man David Clifford scored an incredible 4-23, the Fossa giant going a long way to illustrating he is not just the greatest player of this generation, but perhaps of any era.
With Clifford in full flight, ably supported by his brother Paudie, along with Sean O'Shea, Joe O'Connor, and Dylan Geaney, Kerry's claims on Sam Maguire are strong.
Diarmuid O'Connor remains an injury worry. However, Mike Breen is back in harness, as should be Tony Brosnan and Paul Geaney after injuries earlier in the All Ireland SFC 2025 knockouts. If Kerry can feed David Clifford, his immense scoring power could be the key to success.
⚽ Donegal Squad Form
Donegal powered past Meath in the last four with a record 20-point margin, the largest in a semi-final in over three decades, equalling Cork's 5-15 to 0-10 win over Mayo in 1993. A trio of second-half goals from Oisín Gallen, Ciaran Moore and Conor O'Donnell quelled Meath's surprise run, as Donegal's raw power and movement proved impossible for the Leinster finalists to handle.
Such was the superiority of the Ulster champions that Jim McGuinness had the luxury of taking talisman Michael Murphy off just 10 minutes in the second half, with his side already eight points ahead and cruising. Donegal were cruising on the scoreboard, but there was no autopilot as they hammered home their superiority with an impressive 12 different scorers on the day.
The intense running game employed by the Tír Chonaill side is personified by Moore, Peadar Mogan, Finbarr Roarty and Ryan McHugh.
Midfield workhorse Hugh McFadden and dynamo Shane O'Donnell conduct plenty of the unseen foraging, while Ciaran Thompson and Michael Langan offer precision on the ball.
When McGuinness exercised his bench, high-quality operators like Paddy McBrearty, Jason McGee and Daire Ó Baoill did nothing to weaken the team. Donegal's squad depth could be a key trait to consider in any Donegal v Kerry prediction, while their impressive work rate and pace is the puzzle Kerry will need to solve in the final.
👕 Donegal vs Kerry Predicted Lineups
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✒️ Kerry v Donegal - H2H Stats
This will be just the third ever Championship meeting between the teams, and the Donegal v Kerry All Ireland Football H2H shows one win apiece.
Donegal won the 2012 quarter-final 1-12 to 1-10 as Jim McGuinness led his county to just their second ever Sam Maguire win. In 2014, the Ulster side were hot favourites to win a second All-Ireland in three years, but they were ambushed by Kerry in Croke Park. Kieran Donaghy famously took advantage of a defensive error to score the crucial second-half goal in a low-scoring and largely forgettable affair for the purists.
Their most recent meeting was in the Allianz League in February when Donegal's impressive running power helped them to a deserved win, their first on Kerry soil since a 1988 league game.
Excitement is at fever pitch for this All-Ireland Final showdown, and there are exciting free bet offers for GAA fans to add some spice to the occasion.
Enda McElhinney
Enda McElhinney is an Irish-based sportswriter, specialising in written content on the GAA, horse racing and football. He has more than a decade of experience across many publications, bringing a wealth of knowledge and betting nous to his craft. You'll find his content featured on many websites, including The Telegraph and Planet Sport. When he isn't at this desk or the racecourse, he loves to unwind on the golf course – though sometimes that can be more stressful than working!