F1 Qatar Grand Prix Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds 2025
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| Timetable | 30th November, 2025 @ 16:00 GMT |
| Prediction | Max Verstappen to Win! |
| Odds | 2.25 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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- 🏎️ Qatar’s Lusail International Circuit – Overview
- 🏁 Race Details
- 🏁 Qatar Grand Prix Betting – Our Conclusion
McLaren’s Lando Norris appeared to take a pivotal step towards the Formula 1 2025 Drivers’ Championship last weekend after securing second place at the Las Vegas Grand Prix. However, Norris and teammate Oscar Piastri were dramatically disqualified after the race when stewards ruled that the skid blocks on both cars were below the minimum legal depth.
This ruling compounded Max Verstappen’s dominant victory, allowing him to draw level with Piastri in second place and close to within 24 points of Norris with only two races remaining. The field now heads to the Middle East for the Qatar Grand Prix on November 30th, an event Verstappen has won in two of his last appearances.
But can Verstappen close the gap even further in Lusail, or will Norris edge closer to sealing his maiden title? Explore our expert Qatar Grand Prix betting tips, full Qatar GP odds, and our data-driven Qatar F1 Grand Prix prediction below.
📋 Qatar Grand Prix – Key Points
- Heralding the Fourth Qatar GP: The Qatar Grand Prix is one of the newest circuits on the F1 calendar. The inaugural event was held on 21 November 2021, won by Lewis Hamilton for Mercedes. Max Verstappen claimed victory in both the 2023 and 2024 editions.
- A Middle-Distance Circuit: Measuring 5.419 km, the Lusail International Circuit is the 10th longest track in F1. It sees an average of 48.5 overtakes per race—lower than many comparable venues—owing largely to its sweeping medium-speed corners.
- Verstappen’s Growing Qatar Dominance: Lando Norris has finished as high as third in Qatar but could only manage P10 in 2024. Verstappen, meanwhile, has won the last two editions by a combined margin of 10.864 seconds and has established himself as the benchmark performer at Lusail.
💨 Qatar Grand Prix Prediction
Norris admitted to adopting a low-risk approach in Las Vegas, settling for a comfortable second place behind Verstappen to protect his championship lead. Yet his disqualification, along with Piastri’s, cost him 18 crucial points, reopening the title fight.
Verstappen’s momentum is now formidable. The Red Bull driver has won four of his last seven Grand Prix and secured eight consecutive podiums. His record in Lusail reinforces his advantage: victory in both 2023 and 2024, and a P2 finish in the inaugural 2021 event.
With a sprint race scheduled in Qatar, Verstappen has an additional opportunity to erode Norris’s lead before Sunday’s main event—making the landscape even more favourable for his title push.
Oscar Piastri, despite remaining mathematically in contention, has seen his form fade. His Las Vegas DQ means he has gone seven races without a podium (last achieving one at Monza on 7 September). Nonetheless, he may play an important tactical role in supporting Norris.
Bookmakers agree, with the latest F1 Qatar Grand Prix betting odds placing Verstappen as the overwhelming favourite. Norris finds himself in the delicate position of balancing risk and reward, two podiums in Qatar and Abu Dhabi would secure his first world title.
Given Verstappen’s form, historical performance, and momentum, our Qatar F1 odds–powered assessment suggests he should once again triumph in Lusail. Because of this, our Qatar F1 Grand Prix prediction is clear: Max Verstappen to win and reduce the title deficit even further.
OUR PREDICTION: 🏆 Max Verstappen TO WIN 🏆
🎲 Qatar Grand Prix Betting Odds
The latest F1 Qatar Grand Prix betting odds show Verstappen as the clear market leader. His average price of 2.25 equates to a 44.4% implied probability. Norris sits at 2.75, equating to a 36.4% chance of victory. Below you’ll find the updated Qatar Grand Prix odds from the top Irish betting sites:
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🏎️ Qatar’s Lusail International Circuit – Overview
The 5.419 km Lusail track features 16 medium-speed corners and is known for placing a strong emphasis on downforce. Its layout produces relatively few overtaking opportunities, with the start–finish straight representing the main passing zone.
Pole position is therefore crucial, and recent Red Bull upgrades—redistributing pressure across the front wing elements to increase downforce, have significantly boosted Verstappen’s advantage. The Qatar GP is a night race, meaning cooler temperatures help ease tyre degradation and enhance consistency.
🏁 Race Details
Drivers arrive in Qatar for the first practice session on Friday, 28 November at 13:30 GMT, followed by Sprint Qualifying at 17:30. The Sprint Race is held on Saturday, 29 November at 14:00, with formal qualifying at 18:00. The 2025 Qatar Grand Prix begins at 16:00 GMT on Sunday, 30 November. Some operators featured in our bookmaker reviews also offer sprint and qualifying markets—ideal for those engaging in F1 Qatar Grand Prix betting.
🏁 Qatar Grand Prix Betting – Our Conclusion
Verstappen’s F1 Qatar odds of 2.25 offer strong value, especially considering his momentum and historic dominance at Lusail. Norris may again adopt a conservative strategy, knowing that two podium finishes would secure him the title. Norris is priced at 1.33 for a podium finish, while rising star Kimi Antonelli—fresh off two podiums—offers strong value at 4.30.
Among the most reliable Qatar Grand Prix betting tips is backing Antonelli for a Top 6 Finish, with Betovo offering 1.36. The last two Qatar GPs were won by margins of under 6 seconds, making a winning margin under 5 seconds at 1.83 an appealing bet.
Lewis Humphries
A business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and remote casino betting. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.