Italian Grand Prix 2025 – Expert Predictions, Odds & Betting Guide
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| Timetable | 07th September, 14:00 GMT |
| Prediction | Oscar Piastri To Win! |
| Odds | 2.00 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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The Formula 1 2025 World Championship took a major turn in the Netherlands, with championship rivals Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris experiencing contrasting fortunes at the Dutch Grand Prix. Piastri, the championship leader, claimed victory to extend his lead at the top to 34 points, while his McLaren teammate and main rival, Lando Norris, crashed out late in Zandvoort, dealing a significant blow to his championship hopes.
What will happen when this thrilling championship run-in moves to the world-famous Monza circuit for the 2025 Italian Grand Prix? Read on for our comprehensive preview of this year’s race weekend, along with our Italian Grand Prix prediction.
Italian Grand Prix - Key Points
- Monza is the Fastest Track in Formula 1: The iconic Monza circuit, first built in 1922, is known as the “Temple of Speed” for good reason. Drivers can reach speeds over 350 km/h, with several of the fastest laps in F1 Italian Grand Prix history set here. This test of speed should suit the McLaren drivers, who have recorded the fastest lap in 10 of the 15 races so far in 2025, with Norris and Piastri registering five each.
- McLaren to Stay Dominant: Of the 15 races so far in the 2025 World Championship, Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris have won 12 between them. Piastri, the championship leader, has 7 wins, while Norris has 5. With the pair dominating the field, the big question ahead of the Italian GP 2025 is whether anyone else can challenge McLaren and claim victory.
- Ferrari Under Pressure in Front of the Italian Crowd: Ferrari have struggled in 2025. Lewis Hamilton has had a difficult first year in a Ferrari, compounded by a five-place grid penalty for his first Italian Grand Prix with the team, limiting him to a start no higher than 6th. Charles Leclerc has fared better with 5 podium finishes, but no wins yet. Can Ferrari make an impact in front of their expectant home fans at F1 Monza?
Italian Grand Prix Prediction
Given their dominance in 2025, the Italian Grand Prix looks set to be another battle between McLaren teammates Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris. It could prove pivotal for the World Championship, with Piastri now 34 points ahead of Norris after his Dutch GP win. A strong performance at Monza could take Piastri closer to clinching his first Drivers' Championship, with 8 races remaining.
The high-speed nature of Monza plays into the strengths of the McLaren duo, who have consistently set the fastest laps this season. However, Monza can produce surprises, and Ferrari, Mercedes, and Red Bull will all aim to challenge McLaren’s supremacy. Max Verstappen has previously won at Monza in 2022 and 2023, while Leclerc took victory in 2024, with Piastri finishing 2.664 seconds behind in 2nd and Norris 6.153 seconds behind in 3rd.
While Verstappen remains a contender, the form and speed of the McLarens in 2025 make another McLaren win likely. After Piastri’s decisive win in the Netherlands, our prediction for the 2025 Italian Grand Prix is another victory for the Australian, moving him closer to his maiden World Championship.
OUR PREDICTION: OSCAR PIASTRI TO WIN
Italian Grand Prix Betting Odds
Here are the latest Italian Grand Prix odds from some of the best Irish bookmakers. As expected, odds suggest another McLaren win, with championship leader Oscar Piastri the favourite, followed by Lando Norris. Bettors can currently get 2.00 on Piastri and 2.85 on Norris via Lunubet.
For the best Italian Grand Prix betting tips, compare prices before placing your bet. Check out our sportsbook reviews for detailed information on Ireland’s top betting sites, including the best free bet offers.
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Monza - Overview
Built in 1922, Monza was the world’s third purpose-built racetrack, following Brooklands (UK) and Indianapolis (US). It has hosted the Italian Grand Prix since 1950, except in 1980, when the race was held at Imola.
Monza is renowned as the fastest track on the F1 calendar, with cars at full throttle for roughly 80% of the lap. The 1.1 km start-finish straight leads into the Variante del Rettifilo chicane, followed by the famous Curva Grande. The grandstand at the Variante del Rettifilo offers spectacular views, showcasing cars braking from over 350 km/h to around 70 km/h.
The track’s combination of long straights and tight chicanes favours cars with strong braking stability and traction.
Race Details
Ready to bet on the Italian Grand Prix? Here is the 2025 Grand Prix weekend schedule:
Betting on the Italian Grand Prix - Our Conclusion
The Italian Grand Prix is one of the most exciting races on the F1 calendar. The 2025 season has become a two-horse race between Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris, both chasing their first World Championship. Piastri’s Dutch GP victory, combined with Norris’ retirement, has extended his lead to 34 points. Another strong performance at Monza could put the 24-year-old closer to the title.
Outside of McLaren, Max Verstappen finished 2nd in the Netherlands and will aim to capitalise on any mistakes. He is currently around 8.00 to win at Monza. Ferrari will hope to impress their home fans, with Charles Leclerc as their most likely contender.
However, it’s difficult to look past McLaren as the Italian Grand Prix winner, and Piastri will be determined to maintain his advantage over Norris heading into the final 8 races. Expect another thrilling weekend at Monza, with major implications for the 2025 World Championship.
Liam Lacey
Liam is a sportswriter from County Laois in Ireland who specializes in delivering content on GAA and Football matters (though he does see himself as somewhat of a tennis aficionado also!). Liam has written about All Ireland Gaelic Football and Hurling Championships, Premier League, Champions League and International Football offering expert opinion and match previews and predictions. Occasionally even getting some right!