Dutch Grand Prix 2025 – Expert Predictions, Odds & Betting Guide

In the wake of Lando Norris' tense but controlled win at the Hungaroring, the Brit has closed the gap on McLaren teammate Oscar Piastri at the top of the Drivers' Championship to just nine points. This crucial victory comes ahead of Formula One's summer break, which ends on Friday, August 29th, when drivers and teams head to the Zandvoort Circuit for the Dutch Grand Prix.

So, what's our Dutch Grand Prix prediction for 2025, and can anyone break McLaren's dominance?

💨 Dutch Grand Prix Prediction

On paper, the 2025 Dutch GP looks straightforward. Norris and Piastri are in peak form, sharing the top two podium spots in the last four races. Zandvoort’s fast, sweeping layout also suits McLaren’s pace and stability.

Of course, Norris also snapped home favourite Max Verstappen’s winning streak at Zandvoort last year, prevailing by +22.896 seconds despite being twice overtaken by the Dutchman. Piastri placed fourth in 2024 and +27.337 seconds off the pace, but he has improved markedly since the beginning of the 2025 campaign.

However, confidently predicting a Dutch Grand Prix winner is much harder than it seems. Firstly, it’s notoriously difficult to overtake at Zandvoort, with four of the previous five winners having initially qualified in pole position on the grid. Tyre management is also key at the circuit, with the steep banks at turns three and 14 both unfamiliar and known to subject tyres to significant force.

This creates a sense of unpredictability while creating a window of opportunity for the master strategists at Ferrari. Red Bull’s Verstappen can also not be discounted, both for his immense driving skill and considerable track record in front of his impassioned home fans.

Overall, however, both the form and track specification point to another McLaren win. As for which of the two in-form drivers will ultimately take the chequered flag, we’re tipping Lando Norris to carry over his momentum from the Hungaroring and record another seismic win in the Netherlands.

🎲 Dutch Grand Prix Betting Odds

Let’s take a closer look at the Dutch Grand Prix odds. Unsurprisingly, Piastri and Norris are clear favourites, with implied win probabilities of 44.64% and 42.37% respectively.

Could anyone else cause an upset at Zandvoort? Here are the latest odds from top Irish bookmakers. Be sure to check which sites provide free bet offers to boost your bankroll.

Driver

Piastri, Oscar

2.24

2.25

2.24

Norris, Lando

2.36

2.38

2.36

Verstappen, Max

9.00

9.00

9.00

Leclerc, Charles

11.00

11.00

11.00

Russell, George

17.00

17.00

17.00

Lewis Hamilton

26.00

26.00

26.00

Antonelli, Andrea Kimi

100.00

101.00

100.00

Fernando Alonso

200.00

201.00

200.00

Driver

Piastri, Oscar

2.24

2.25

2.24

Norris, Lando

2.36

2.38

2.36

Verstappen, Max

9.00

9.00

9.00

Leclerc, Charles

11.00

11.00

11.00

Russell, George

17.00

17.00

17.00

Lewis Hamilton

26.00

26.00

26.00

Antonelli, Andrea Kimi

100.00

101.00

100.00

Fernando Alonso

200.00

201.00

200.00

🏎️ Zandvoort Circuit - Overview

Zandvoort is one of the fastest and most undulating circuits on the Formula 1 2025 calendar. It's quick, sweeping corners wind through the surrounding dunes, with 14 turns in total and significant elevation changes that challenge drivers.

As noted, turns three and 14 feature steep banking, adding to the circuit’s physical demands and putting heavy strain on tyres, especially when accelerating out of turn 14 onto the straight.

The narrow, winding layout makes overtaking difficult, which is why securing the pole and managing tyres effectively are crucial. Drivers must also avoid oversteering through the technical middle section to maintain momentum.

🏁 Race Details – 2025 Dutch Grand Prix

Before you bet on the Dutch Grand Prix, you should take time to consider the full schedule for the race weekend. Teams arrive for the first practice at 11:30 GMT on Friday, August 29th, with a second session later that day.

There’s no sprint race this year. Saturday features a third practice and qualifying at 14:00 GMT. The race takes place on Sunday, August 31st at 14:00 GMT. Irish viewers can watch live on Sky Sports, with highlights on Channel 4.

🏁 Betting on the Dutch Grand Prix - Our Conclusion

The Dutch Grand Prix always delivers excitement. While 2024’s race turned into a procession, the first 16 laps were full of drama. Similar tension could unfold this year, likely in another head-to-head between Piastri and Norris.

Bookmakers covered in our sportsbooks reviews have them closely matched in early betting. Norris looks slightly better value at 2.38 with DirectionBet, especially after his Hungaroring performance.

For podium betting, Verstappen stands out at 1.67 with DirectionBet. He won three consecutive Dutch GPs from 2021–2023 and finished second last year. Although he hasn’t made the podium since Canada on June 15th, he’s secured five podiums in 14 races this season (35.71%) and remains a threat.

Another of our Dutch Grand Prix betting tips is to pick Charles Leclerc. Charles Leclerc is another podium or outside win option. He’s finished in the top three twice in his last four races and took third at Zandvoort last year. Ferrari’s strategic strength could play into his hands, even if their slow-corner pace is slightly off.