Belgian Grand Prix 2025 – Expert Predictions, Odds & Betting Guide
| Timetable | 27th July, 14:00 GMT |
| Prediction | Oscar Piastri (McLaren) To Win! |
| Odds | 2.60 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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The 2025 F1 season returns after a 21-day break on July 25th, when the teams head to Spa Francorchamps for the Belgian Grand Prix. McLaren drivers Oscar Piastri (five) and Lando Norris (four) have triumphed in nine of the 12 races contested so far this season, with the latter winning the previous two consecutively at the Red Bull Ring and Silverstone. The latest Belgian Grand Prix odds can’t split the pair, but who do we think will prevail in Stavelot? Here’s our Belgian Grand Prix prediction and analysis of the best betting markets.
📋 Belgian Grand Prix - Key Points
- Spa Francorchamps is one of the Fastest F1 Tracks: McLaren has a natural advantage at Spa Francorchamps, which is home to one of the highest speed tracks on the circuit. McLaren has recorded the fastest lap in eight of the 12 GPs completed so far in 2025, with Piastri and Norris registering four apiece.
- One of the Longest and Oldest Tracks: Spa Francorchamps has held 57 Grand Prix races since 1950, with only Monza, Monte Carlo and Silverstone hosting more. This track is also the longest circuit on the F1 calendar, measuring 7.004km in length.
- McLaren Haven’t Won in Belgium Since 2012: Although both McLaren drivers are being heavily tipped as likely winners ahead of the 2025 Belgium GP, this constructor hasn’t won at Spa Francorchamps since 2012. Back then, Jenson Button triumphed for McLaren-Mercedes by +13.624 from rival Sebastian Vettel.
💨 Belgian Grand Prix Prediction
Piastri and Norris are strong favourites as we head to Belgium, having won 75% of all races between them during the 2025 season. Norris arrives at Spa Francorchamps with confidence after winning the last two Grand Prix races and performing flawlessly at Silverstone.
However, his record in Belgium has been underwhelming; his best finish was fifth last year, when he crossed the line +9.324 seconds behind Lewis Hamilton, who took first place. In contrast, Piastri excelled during the same race, finishing second and just +0.647 seconds off the lead.
Piastri has secured five Grand Prix wins in 2025 and has achieved 10 podium finishes. He has placed in the top four in 11 consecutive races since the Australian Grand Prix on March 16th. Without a doubt, he has been the most consistent driver of the 2025 season, both in qualifying and during individual races.
Of course, Max Verstappen also enjoys racing at Spa, convincingly winning three successive Grand Prixs here between 2021 and 2023. Lewis Hamilton also prevailed here last season, recording his fifth Belgian GP win in total. However, all signs point to Oscar Piastri as the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix winner, albeit in a tense and keenly contested race.
OUR PREDICTION: 🏆 OSCAR PIASTRI TO WIN🏆
🎲 Belgian Grand Prix Betting Odds
The odds for the Belgian GP 2025 make Piastri and Norris the clear favourites. However, three-time Belgian GP winner Verstappen can also be backed at around 5.00 with the best Irish bookmarkers, while 2024 victor Lewis Hamilton is priced at a competitive 15.00.
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🏎️ Spa Francorchamps - Overview
The longest F1 circuit, Spa Francorchamps, also features expansive straights combined with quick and highly technical corners. It also includes several steep descents and sharp ascents, with a significant 102.2m elevation change, emphasising its rollercoaster character.
The Eau Rouge/Radillon section is particularly challenging, with the rapid change in elevation demanding a huge amount of skill and control from drivers. The subsequent Kemmel straight provides significant overtaking opportunities too, especially as downforce often compels cars to drive faster into the straight.
However, this can also place a strain on tyres during the race, so each team’s strategy will have a huge bearing on Spa Francorchamps betting trends.
🏁 Betting on the Belgian Grand Prix - Our Conclusion
The swift and demanding nature of Spa Francorchamps always results in an exhilarating and unpredictable race. We anticipate a similarly captivating event in 2025, especially as the bookmakers featured in our detailed sportsbooks reviews currently see no clear favourite between Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris.
Piastri is our top choice for the most probable winner of the Belgian Grand Prix. For podium betting, both Piastri and Norris are priced at 1.25 to finish in the top three, indicating an 80.00% chance of success. Another secure option is to back McLaren as the winning team. Odds around 1.40 suggest a 71.42% likelihood of victory, and these odds are likely to shorten as the race approaches.
If you’re after Belgian GP betting tips with slightly higher odds, consider betting on Lewis Hamilton for a podium finish at 2.75. Although he has yet to secure a top-three finish for Ferrari in 2025, he has won five times at Spa and delivered a notable victory in Belgium last year. The odds imply a 36.36% chance of Hamilton achieving this goal.
Lewis Humphries
A business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and remote casino betting. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.