Hungarian Grand Prix 2025 – Expert Predictions, Odds & Betting Guide
| Timetable | 3rd August, 2025, 14:00 GMT |
| Prediction | Oscar Piastri To Win! |
| Odds | |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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After a thrilling, rain-altered Grand Prix at Spa-Francorchamps this past weekend, all F1 constructors and their drivers will head to the Hungaroring for the 14th race of the 2025 Formula 1 season. Oscar Piastri recorded his sixth win of the campaign in Belgium, after a daring move that saw him overtake teammate Lando Norris on the opening lap. The initial Hungarian Grand Prix odds make Piastri and Norris joint favourites to win, but can anyone else compete to take the chequered flag? Below, you'll find our comprehensive preview and Hungarian Grand Prix prediction.
📋 Hungarian Grand Prix - Key Points
- Pole Position Isn't a Guarantee of Success in Hungary: Throughout history, more than 40% of all Grand Prix races have been won by the polesitter. However, none of the last five GPs in Hungary have been won by the driver who claimed pole, with Lewis Hamilton achieving this feat most recently in 2020.
- It Can Be Hard to Overtake at the Hungaroring: Whilst polesitters have performed poorly there of late, the Hungaroring ranks in the bottom third percentile for overtakes over the previous 40 years. So, drivers who can open a lead here may have a greater competitive advantage when compared to other tracks.
- Mercedes Are Historically Quick in Hungary: Whilst McLaren's drivers have recorded the fastest laps in eight of the 13 GPs completed so far in 2025, Mercedes have been historically quick in Hungary. The team has produced the fastest lap in three of the previous five Hungarian Grand Prix races, including George Russell in the 2024 race. Former Mercedes driver Hamilton has recorded two of these laps, whilst he also has the distinction of winning eight times at the Hungaroring.
💨Hungarian Grand Prix Prediction
Between them, Piastri and Norris have won 10 of the 13 races contested so far in 2025 (76.92%). What's more, they've recorded one-two finishes in four of the previous five GPs, and six overall during the campaign. They've benefited from McLaren's increased dominance on the F1 circuit, as the car has continued to showcase improvements throughout the year.
Since Piastri's win in Miami, the constructor has strengthened its grip and addressed a lack of aerodynamic efficiency, thereby improving performance in low-speed corners. The redesign of the front suspension has also aided temperature control of the front tyres, allowing McLaren to maintain a viable tyre strategy with minimal pit stops.
Both factors are key at the Hungaroring, where there are several tight turns and tyres tend to overheat in the final sector. It should also be noted that Piastri and Norris finished first and second, respectively, in the 2024 Hungarian Grand Prix, whilst Mercedes' Lewis Hamilton placed third and +14.880 seconds further back.
Mercedes will be a threat in Hungary, especially given their recent focus on tyre strategy and historic performance at the track. As we've touched on, Hamilton has also won eight times here, whilst George Russell recorded the fastest lap during the 2024 race. Overall, however, the momentum remains with McLaren and Piastri, and we're picking the Australian as this year's Hungarian Grand Prix winner.
OUR PREDICTION: 🏆 Oscar Piastri (McLaren) TO WIN🏆
🎲 Hungarian Grand Prix Betting Odds
Currently, Piastri and Norris are priced at 2.60 by DirectionBet to win at the Hungaroring this year. These odds imply a 38.46% probability of success for both men, which makes sense given that they've won five of the last six Grand Prix races combined. The only other driver to triumph since 18th May is Mercedes' George Russell, and he offers tantalising value among the best Irish bookmakers at odds of 17.00.
Before you bet on the Hungarian Grand Prix, read our sportsbook reviews to find bookmakers providing the best value and free bets offers.
🏎️ Hungaroring - Overview
Based in Mogyoród, Pest County, the Hungaroring is a relatively compact circuit with several tight, low-speed turns. There are 14 turns in total, including eight in the track's winding middle section. This is particularly challenging for drivers, who must focus on positioning and strive to build rhythm as they approach section three.
Although there are just three turns in the final sector, 12 and 13 are relatively high speed and noticeably sharp. They also precede turn 14, which features a 90-degree right turn and leads into the straight. It's here that drivers have the best chance of setting up an overtake, either on the straightforward first turn or the downhill second turn in section one.
Overall, overtaking is challenging in Hungary, with an average of just 22 completed per race. Tyres tend to overheat and lose grip in the third section too, so drivers and constructors must create strategies to deal with this. Drivers are also required to focus on their positioning throughout the race.
🏁 Race Details
There's a two-day race schedule for the Hungarian Grand Prix, with the constructors and their drivers arriving at the Hungaroring on 1st August. This day will host the first and second practice sessions, starting at 12:30 GMT and 16:00 GMT respectively.
At 11:30 GMT on day two, the third practice session is held, before qualifying gets underway at 15:00 GMT. The Grand Prix itself is scheduled for Sunday, 3rd August and will commence at around 14:00 GMT. Here's an overview of the weekend's action:
🏁 Betting on the Hungarian Grand Prix - Our Final Take
The Formula 1 2025 Drivers' Championship is fast becoming a two-horse race, as McLaren duo Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris compete for the title. Bookmakers can't split them ahead of the Hungarian GP in 2025, although Piastri will arrive in Hungary full of confidence after his superb victory ahead of his teammate in Belgium and is our pick to win.
These drivers can also be backed to secure podium finishes, having both finished in the top three 11 times in just 13 attempts during 2025. There may also be value in backing Ferrari's Charles Leclerc or Lewis Hamilton for a podium finish, with the constructor known for its excellent tyre management strategies and Leclerc having finished in the top three on five occasions this season.
Although Hamilton has struggled for consistency and failed to secure a single podium finish in 2025, his record at the Hungaroring is unmatched, and he continues to hold the record for the fastest ever lap at the track.
In terms of Hungarian Grand Prix betting tips with longer odds, George Russell offers value as an outright winner at a price of around 17.00. Not only did he record the fastest lap at the Hungaroring last year, but his victory at the Canadian GP on 15th June was the last to be achieved by a driver other than Piastri or Norris.
Lewis Humphries
A business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and remote casino betting. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.