Wales vs Australia Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series 2022: A Last Chance to Turn Things Around

Wales vs Australia Autumn Nations Series 2022 banner Wales vs Australia Autumn Nations Series 2022 banner
TimetableSaturday 26th of November 2022 at 15.15 GMT
PredictionWales to Win!
OddsWales to Win @ 1.60
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
The best odds
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Tony​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.60
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Odds : 1.55
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Odds : 1.67
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It's the final week of the Autumn Nations Series 2022 and the final chance either for the Welsh or the Wallabies to claim last-minute glory. Who will go away from the Principality on Saturday with the James Bevan trophy and a slightly more polished resumé for this year? Who will have the fans asking questions about if they are up to scratch in the build up to the Rugby World Cup 2023? Let's take a look at whom I think will be better off this weekend. Plus, I'll give my usual rugby betting tips for those considering a bet on this Wales vs Australia test.

💯 Wales vs Australia Betting Odds

Let's take a look at the best betting sites in Ireland for odds for this penultimate game of the competition.

🥇 Wales vs Australia: Match Winner Odds

1.601.551.671.561.651.651.60
Draw20.5819.0023.0017.8021.0021.0021.00
2.402.302.302.372.282.282.38

➕ Wales vs Australia: Handicap Betting Odds

(-6.5)2.352.37TBATBATBATBATBA
(-4.5)2.032.05TBATBATBATBATBA
(-3.5)TBATBATBA1.81TBATBATBA
(-2.5)1.781.80TBATBATBATBA1.83
(-1.5)TBATBATBATBA1.761.74TBA
(-0.5)1.601.60TBATBATBATBATBA
(+0.5)2.162.20TBATBATBATBATBA
(+1.5)TBATBATBATBA1.981.95TBA
(+2.5)1.891.90TBATBATBATBA1.95
(+3.5)TBATBATBA1.81TBATBATBA
(+4.5)1.671.70TBATBATBATBATBA
(+6.5)1.511.50TBATBATBATBATBA

📜 History of Wales vs Australia

Which of these two top-ten sides have what it takes to grab the W in this year's Wales vs Australia test? Let's see what history has to say on the matter.

TeamsTotals
Wales Wins30
Australia Wins13
Draws1

Ouch! The history books aren't giving much of a fighting chance to the Welsh - or are they? What would more recent fixtures tell us about how this match may go?

MatchDateVenueScoreWinner
Wales vs Australia5th November 2016Principality Stadium, Cardiff8–32Australia
Wales vs Australia11th November 2017Principality Stadium, Cardiff21–29Australia
Wales vs Australia10th November 2018Principality Stadium, Cardiff9–6Wales
Australia vs Wales29th September 2019Tokyo Stadium, Chōfu25–29Wales
Wales vs Australia20th November 2021Principality Stadium, Cardiff29–28Wales

There's a bit of a turning point, then. From the form of times long past, Australia would seem to have this in the bag, but you would be forgiven for thinking differently, given more recent Wales vs Australia matches. Personally, I find myself more inclined to believe that more recent times are the telling indicator, so I think three wins to two show that the Welsh may just pull off something for the home fans to celebrate this Saturday.

🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union

New RankShiftCountryPoints
10Ireland90.63
20France90.01
30New Zealand88.98
40South Africa88.01
50England84.62
6+3Scotland81.55
7-1Argentina80.72
80Australia80.64
9-2Wales79.26
100Japan77.39
11+1Samoa76.03
12-1Italy75.95
13+1Georgia75.19
14-1Fiji74.84
150Tonga71.21

With only one place in it, and with how volatile the rankings have been during the 2022 Autumn Nations Series, I would say this is not much of an indicator of a win for either side.

✔️ Wales vs Australia: Recent Form of the Teams

Here's where we get into the nitty gritty. Perhaps looking at how both teams have fared over the last month or so will give the best indicator of who will snatch the rug from under the other team.

🐉 Matches Recap: Wales Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far

In their first outing, nobody gave the Welsh much hope against New Zealand, but a 23-55 thrashing still seemed a turn-up for the books. Wales played Argentina next, and there seemed to be a light at the end of the tunnel after a surprise 20-13 result showed promise from the Men in Red. Sadly, all signs of a resurgence were shattered by Georgia in a fraught 12-13 victory to the visitors. All in all, one win from three is not the shining record sheet that Wales wanted from this competition, and it speaks very little to a team ready for a triumphant last battle at the end of the war.

🦘 Matches Recap: Australia Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far

Australia are also in pathetic shape after four befuddled performances. Having scraped by in an uneasy afternoon at Murrayfield against Scotland, narrowly claiming a 15-16 victory, the Wallabies have suffered three straight defeats to the likes of France, 30-29; Italy, 28-27; and Ireland, 13-10. If Wales looked shabby, going into this game, what does that make Australia? Both nations seem caught in a maelstrom, but one win from four shows that the Wallabies are closer to drowning than their European counterparts.

🌦️ Weather Conditions at the Principality Stadium, Cardiff

Why do it always rain on me? Well, perhaps it won't, given the Principality's roof. With conditions dry undercover, the weather should play no crucial part in this game.

🕵️ My Wales vs Australia Prediction Winner

There have been many exciting games over the course of the Autumn Nations Series 2022, but this Wales vs Australia test does not look like it will display the same level of high-octane action as some of the others. I believe this will be a battle of attrition - one where the first side to blink will suffer the last ignobility of the international year. Forced to pick a winner, I am going to give this one to Wales. I think Wayne Pivac will ensure his boys are fired up to win this one. I can see him potentially being out of a job if he doesn't secure something for the fans to celebrate from this one, and I think he will know that.

My rugby prediction for the Wales vs Australia winner? Wales to win.

💶 Wales vs Australia Betting Tips

For what I am expecting will be a close game, Wales to Win @ 1.60 may not seem too shabby. You could consider going for the handicap bet instead of just the Wales vs Australia match winner, but I think this game is going to be a close crunch match. For me, I would stick just with Wales to win.

You could also consider creating a twofold bet on this and the England vs South Africa game, if you fancy lengthening your odds. Remember, however, that more potential reward means more risk, and there are never any guarantees in sport!

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⚡ Wales vs Australia Overview - Quick Match Prediction

What Will Be the Wales vs Australia Result?

  • I think Wales will take the win at odds of 1.60.

Why Will Wales Win?

  • Wales are playing at home.
  • The Welsh have won three out of five of the last Wales vs Australia tests.
  • With pressure on Welsh Head Coach, Wayne Pivac, he will want his side to perform.

What Are Some Wales vs Australia Betting Tips?

  • Wales to win at 1.60 seem good enough betting odds for this one.
  • Consider a twofold bet of the match winner from this with another selection from the England vs South Africa game.

✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster

This Wales vs Australia prediction was written by Steven Brown.

Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.