Wales vs Argentina Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series 2022: Tango in the Valleys

Wales vs Argentina Prediction and Odds Autumn Nations Series 2022 banner
TournamentAutumn Nations Series 2022
TimetableSaturday 12th of November 2022 at 17.30 GMT
PredictionArgentina to Win!
OddsArgentina to Win @ 2.05
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Wales vs Argentina rugby

Another week, another bout of rugby action for the Principality Stadium as we see Wales vs Argentina. Given how the last few weeks of the Autumn Nations Series 2022 have played out, I think this is going to be a big result for both sets of fans. Who will ultimately claim bragging rights, though? I explain my thoughts and give a little insight into some potential ideas for rugby betting.

💯 Wales vs Argentina Betting Odds

Wales vs Argentina betting odds Tonybet banner

For those interesting in a bit of rugby sports betting, I have included a few odds from the best betting sites in Ireland.

🥇 Wales vs Argentina: Match Winner Odds

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Wales to Win1.801.751.801.771.751.751.80
Draw20.4619.0029.0017.2023.0023.0021.00
Argentina to Win2.052.002.002.022.122.122.05

➕ Wales vs Argentina: Handicap Betting Odds

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Wales (+3.5)1.431.44TBATBATBATBATBA
Wales (+1.5)1.582.20TBATBATBATBATBA
Wales (-0.5)1.791.83TBA1.77TBATBA1.85
Wales (-1.5)TBATBATBATBA1.871.84TBA
Wales (-2.5)2.042.05TBATBATBATBATBA
Argentina (-3.5)2.552.60TBATBATBATBATBA
Argentina (-1.5)2.192.20TBATBATBATBATBA
Argentina (+0.5)1.881.90TBA1.85TBATBA1.95
Argentina (+1.5)TBATBATBATBA1.871.84TBA
Argentina (+2.5)1.671.70TBATBATBATBATBA

📜 History of Wales vs Argentina

There have been a total of 20 Wales vs Argentina tests to date. I have broken down who has claimed the crown the most often below.

TeamsTotals
Wales Wins13
Argentina Wins6
Draws1

With more than two-thirds of the matches going Wales' way, you would think that the Welsh are in a good position to grab another victory. Will we get a different picture if we look at more recent fixtures, though?

MatchDateVenueScoreWinner
Wales vs Argentina12th November 2016Millennium Stadium, Cardiff24–20Wales
Argentina vs Wales9th June 2018Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario, San Juan10–23Wales
Argentina vs Wales16th June 2018Estadio Centenario, Resistencia12–30Wales
Wales vs Argentina10th July 2021Millennium Stadium, Cardiff20–20Draw
Wales vs Argentina17th July 2021Millennium Stadium, Cardiff11-33Argentina

The last five matches may still point to a win for Wales on percentage, given that they still have the lion's shares of victories, but with the last two tests, the tide seems to have shifted. Argentina grabbed the ultimate match in their 2021 series, leaving Welsh fans scratching their heads about whether this may be the case again. Whilst the bigger picture of history may point to a win for Wales, I think the smaller picture hints at disappointed fans in red at the 80-minute whistle.

🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union

Looking at the rugby world rankings are a terrific way to help predict a match, as they help give data-backed insight into how teams may perform on the day. Let's see how the two teams stand compared to global competition.

New RankShiftCountryPoints
10Ireland90.63
20France89.41
3+1New Zealand88.64
4-1South Africa88.41
50England84.45
6+2Argentina83.01
7-1Australia82.08
8+1Scotland80.74
9-2Wales80.28
100Japan77.39
11+1Fiji74.84
12+2Italy74.71
130Georgia74.51
14-3Samoa74.33
15+1Tonga69.96

With Wales in ninth and Argentina in sixth, this is starting more and more to look like Argentina are going to spoil the party at the Principality.

✔️ Wales vs Argentina: Recent Form of the Teams

I believe the current form of both sides, based on the recent weeks of the 2022 Autumn Nations series, will reveal the most telling of clues of who is going to grab glory on the rugby pitch this Saturday.

🐉 Matches Recap: Wales Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far

Wales have so far played only one game in the Autumn Nations - last week's Wales vs New Zealand test. Did the Welsh have something to sing about after full time? Not even close! The All Blacks were able to pick apart the Men in Red like tissue paper, delivering a decisive 23-55 clobbering, including eight tries, seven conversations, and a penalty. To say that Wales look in form after last week's dressing-down would be lunacy. Perhaps it will spark a fire in the belly of the Welsh dragon, but I don't have high hopes for that at this point.

🌞 Matches Recap: Argentina Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far

On the other side, Argentina will be grinning from ear to ear after they despatched England last week. Los Pumas had already proved their underrated strength, having beaten the All Blacks previously in the year, but to beat England at Twickenham 29-30 only furthered their reputation on the world stage - the Argentinians are not to be trifled with. I believe the Welsh ought to learn from England Head Coach, Eddie Jones's mistake and make sure that they give Argentina the respect they deserve, going into this one.

🌦️ Weather Conditions at the Principality Stadium, Cardiff

If there is one thing that could give Wales the big advantage, it's the weather. All Wales rugby fans will be praying for rain, the murky pitch not favouring the travelling side's style of play. I imagine the roof will be left open on the Principality for this very purpose. It's a shame, then, that the forecast looks to be 16 degrees - sunny with light cloud. On that account, the Welsh will be hoping the weatherman is wrong.

🕵️ My Wales vs Argentina Prediction Winner

Wales will be looking for the big W from this match, and the fans will certainly be expecting their side to deliver. The problem for the Men in Red is that they seem to be lacking in squad depth and have a Head Coach that isn't gelling with the team. Wales will throw everything at this game, hoping to see a slither of a performance that may at least show hope for them as they build towards the Rugby World Cup. I think Argentina will have a lot to say on that matter, though. They are a more fluid entity than in the old days, able to play a free-flowing game whilst still battering opponents with their forwards' muscle. I think Los Pumas will grind down the Welsh and just about come away with a win by five points when the game dies a death.

💶 Wales vs Argentina Betting Tips

I believe Argentina to win at odds of 2.05 are pretty decent in themselves, offering just over double your stake in return if they win. You could try for a greater return with the handicap betting, but the odds are not that much longer considering the bigger risk. Another option to lengthen your odds is to consider an accumulator which combines some of the results from the other Autumn Nations Series matches from this Saturday: Ireland vs Fiji, Italy vs Australia, and England vs Japan. Whatever your preference, the key thing to remember is that you shouldn't bet the shirt off your back. Stranger things have happened at sea than Wales winning on home turf, so be responsible if you're betting on rugby this weekend.

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⚡ Wales vs Argentina Overview - Quick Match Prediction

What Will Be the Wales vs Argentina Result?

  • I think Argentina will take the win at odds of 2.05.

Why Will Argentina Win?

  • Argentina have proved their strength in the world rankings - sixth versus Wales's ninth.
  • Los Pumas are on form after a crucial victory last week. Wales, on the other hand, were heavily beaten by the All Blacks.
  • Argentina have started to turn the tide on their test match history with Wales.

What Are Some Wales vs Argentina Betting Tips?

  • Odds of 2.05 for Argentina to win seem pretty good, considering the two sides playing.
  • Handicap betting doesn't seem to offer equal potential reward for the much greater risk involved.

Argentina to Win!

✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster

Steven Brown profile picture

This Wales vs Argentina prediction was written by Steven Brown.

Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.