France vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series 2022: Les Bleus Lock Horns with the Springboks
| Timetable | Saturday 12th of November 2022 at 20.00 GMT |
| Prediction | France to Win! |
| Odds | France to Win @ 1.46 |
| Bookmaker | TonyBet Sports |
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I'm going to say this right from the start: I think this is going to the game of the weekend. The Autumn Nations tend to throw together some interesting pairings, but I think France vs South Africa is going to be a monster of a match, given you will have two out of the top-five teams in the world battling it out for what will feel like more than just bragging rights. Let's delve into who the more likely to come away with the W will be and look at of the options available that fancy sticking a few euros on rugby betting.
💯 France vs South Africa Betting Odds
I always like to include some France vs South Africa odds from the best betting sites in order to give you a clue about how the bookies think things will play out. You can check those out below.
🥇 France vs South Africa: Match Winner Odds
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France to Win | 1.46 | 1.44 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.45 | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20.62 | 19.00 | 23.00 | 18.10 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| South Africa to Win | 2.82 | 2.75 | 1.63 | 2.56 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
➕ France vs South Africa: Handicap Betting Odds
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France (-8.5) | 2.37 | 2.40 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| France (-6.5) | 2.04 | 2.05 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| France (-5.5) | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | 1.88 | 1.84 | TBA |
| France (-4.5) | 1.80 | 1.83 | TBA | 1.80 | TBA | TBA | 1.85 |
| France (-2.5) | 1.60 | 1.60 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| South Africa (+2.5) | 2.15 | 2.20 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| South Africa (+4.5) | 1.87 | 1.90 | TBA | 1.82 | TBA | TBA | 1.91 |
| South Africa (+5.5) | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | 1.88 | 1.84 | TBA |
| South Africa (+6.5) | 1.66 | 1.70 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| South Africa (+8.5) | 1.50 | 1.50 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
📜 History of France vs South Africa
To date, there have currently been 44 France vs South Africa tests, so let's break down the results to see if we can predict a winner based on history.
| Teams | Totals |
|---|---|
| France Wins | 11 |
| South Africa Wins | 27 |
| Draws | 6 |
Claiming over half of the matches, it seems pretty likely that the Springboks would be the favourites, going into this game. What do some of the more recent fixtures tell us, though?
| Match | Date | Venue | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa vs France | 10th June 2027 | Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria | 37–14 | South Africa |
| South Africa vs France | 17th June 2017 | Kings Park, Durban | 37–15 | South Africa |
| South Africa vs France | 24th June 2017 | Ellis Park, Johannesburg | 35–12 | South Africa |
| France vs South Africa | 18th November 2017 | Stade de France, Saint-Denis | 17–18 | South Africa |
| France vs South Africa | 12th November 2022 | Stade de France, Saint-Denis | 26–29 | South Africa |
Losing the last five games on the bounce is a bit of a blemish on France's record sheet. Purely based on history, it looks likely that South Africa will grab the W on Saturday.
🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union
| New Rank | Shift | Country | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | Ireland | 90.63 |
| 2 | 0 | France | 89.41 |
| 3 | +1 | New Zealand | 88.64 |
| 4 | -1 | South Africa | 88.41 |
| 5 | 0 | England | 84.45 |
| 6 | +2 | Argentina | 83.01 |
| 7 | -1 | Australia | 82.08 |
| 8 | +1 | Scotland | 80.74 |
| 9 | -2 | Wales | 80.28 |
| 10 | 0 | Japan | 77.39 |
| 11 | +1 | Fiji | 74.84 |
| 12 | +2 | Italy | 74.71 |
| 13 | 0 | Georgia | 74.51 |
| 14 | -3 | Samoa | 74.33 |
| 15 | +1 | Tonga | 69.96 |
This is why it is interesting to look at the world rankings when making any rugby prediction. History seems to scream for a Springbok win, but Les Bleus have had an incredible season this year, and current standings suggest that they are on top form to pull the rug from under South Africa's feet. From this perspective, it seems like the French may be the ones smiling after 80 minutes.
✔️ France vs South Africa: Recent Form of the Teams
Can either team assert themselves as a clear favourite, going into this year's Autumn Nations Series France vs South Africa match? If anything is going to give us a big clue on a likely outcome, it's going to be looking at the recent form of both sides.
🐓 Matches Recap: France Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far
There were some incredible scenes from the Stade de France for last week's France vs Australia test. There were twists and turns throughout the entire match, but thanks to a stunning 78th-minute try from Damian Penaud, France were able to clinch the final result, 30-29. The game not only showcased the sheer talent that the French have to offer but also warned all future challengers that they are not a team to walk away from a rugby match till the final whistle blows. South Africa will have to work especially hard on pre-game preparation this week if they want to come away with a positive result.
🦌 Matches Recap: South Africa Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far
That being said, South Africa are not out of the running to take this match by storm, even given their defeat against Ireland last week. It was set to be the match of the tournament - the world number one versus the current Rugby World Cup champions - and it certainly didn't disappoint. At half time, the score was 6-6, and the final result showed how nail-biting the action had been. Yes, South Africa will be disappointed that they did not manage to seal the deal, but they proved that they can keep up with the best of them. France may look the better team on last week's form, but South Africa will be doing everything in their power to shut up a roaring French crowd.
🌦️ Weather Conditions at Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
I usually like to look into weather reports at this point in my rugby predictions, but so-so forecasts will not really benefit either team that much. I'm going to say the weather shouldn't factor too heavily in this France vs South Africa test.
🕵️ My France vs South Africa Prediction Winner
Another edge-of-your-seat match hangs in the balance, and it's another difficult rugby prediction to write. If I had to go with my gut, I would be ever-so-slightly tempted to go with world champions, South Africa, given their long history of dominance over the French. I have learned from far too much experience that analysis often trumps the power of instincts, however, and most indicators are pointing towards a happy result for Les Bleus. In which case, I have to give it to France, albeit in a close game of four points.
💶 France vs South Africa Betting Tips
The bookies have France as favourites, but I think odds of 1.46 for them to win offers a decent balance of risk and reward. For this one, I personally wouldn't think to try handicap betting, because I think the final score will rest on a knife edge. If you are in the mood to try longer odds, however, you could consider an accumulator of other results from this weekend. After all, there are four games prior to this one on Saturday: Ireland vs Fiji, Italy vs Australia, England vs Japan, and Wales vs Argentina.
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⚡ France vs South Africa Overview - Quick Match Prediction
What Will Be the France vs South Africa Result?
- I think France will take the win at odds of 1.46.
Why Will France Win?
- France have the better form of the Autumn Nations Series 2022 so far.
- The French are playing at home.
- France are number two in the world compared to South Africa in fourth.
What Are Some France vs South Africa Betting Tips?
- Odds of 1.46 for France to win are decent, given the two sides facing each other.
- If you want longer odds, it may be better to consider an accumulator rather than a handicap bet.
✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster
This France vs South Africa prediction was written by Steven Brown.
Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.
