England vs New Zealand Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series 2022: Over the Hill? The Hillary Shield!
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| Timetable | Saturday 19th of November 2022 at 17.30 GMT |
| Prediction | New Zealand to Win! |
| Odds | New Zealand to Win @ 1.59 |
| Bookmaker | TonyBet Sports |
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As the title suggests, it's going to be a crunch match at Twickenham this weekend, England hosting New Zealand to see if they can reclaim the Hillary Shield from the All Blacks. This is going to be an interesting rugby prediction for me to write, but nevertheless, I will do my best to see if I can't pick an England vs New Zealand match winner. I will also give my usual rugby betting tips for those that fancy gambling a few euros.
💯 England vs New Zealand Betting Odds
Here are some of the best betting sites' England vs New Zealand odds for those looking to have a flutter on this game.
🥇 England vs New Zealand: Match Winner Odds
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2.41 | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.30 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.38 |
| Draw | 21.13 | 21.00 | 23.00 | 17.80 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 21.00 |
 | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.59 | 1.66 | 1.66 | 1.57 |
➕ England vs New Zealand: Handicap Betting Odds
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 1.44 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| 1.59 | 1.60 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| 1.78 | 1.80 | TBA | 1.77 | TBA | TBA | 1.83 |
| TBA | TBA | TBA | 1.77 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| 2.03 | 2.05 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| 1.68 | 1.70 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| TBA | TBA | TBA | 1.85 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.91 |
| 1.89 | 1.90 | TBA | 1.85 | TBA | TBA | 1.95 |
| 2.17 | 2.20 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| 2.53 | 2.50 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
📜 History of England vs New Zealand
With 42 matches having been played since the first England vs New Zealand test back in 1905, I have a lot that I can analyse from a historical perspective. Let me break down the statistics for the results.
| Teams | Totals |
|---|---|
| England Wins | 8 |
| New Zealand | 33 |
| Draws | 1 |
The All Blacks have claimed over 75% of the games over the years, so history may look on the side of the Kiwis. Can recent results tell a different tale?
| Match | Date | Venue | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand vs England | 14th June 2014 | Forsyth Barr Stadium, Dunedin | 28–27 | New Zealand |
| New Zealand vs England | 21st June 2014 | Waikato Stadium, Hamilton | 36–13 | New Zealand |
| England vs New Zealand | 8th November 2014 | Twickenham, London | 21–24 | New Zealand |
| England vs New Zealand | 10th November 2018 | Twickenham, London | 15–16 | New Zealand |
| England vs New Zealand | 26th October 2019 | Nissan Stadium, Yokohama | 19–7 | England |
Well, that seems like a no, then. England arguably played the best game of their lives in the last England vs New Zealand test at the 2019 Rugby World Cup, but when you consider that 80% of recent matches have gone the way of the All Blacks, history seems to suggest that only more of the same is on the cards.
🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union
| New Rank | Shift | Country | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | Ireland | 90.63 |
| 2 | 0 | France | 90.01 |
| 3 | 0 | New Zealand | 89.15 |
| 4 | 0 | South Africa | 87.81 |
| 5 | 0 | England | 84.45 |
| 6 | 0 | Argentina | 82.04 |
| 7 | +2 | Wales | 81.26 |
| 8 | -1 | Australia | 80.64 |
| 9 | -1 | Scotland | 80.28 |
| 10 | 0 | Japan | 77.39 |
| 11 | +1 | Italy | 76.15 |
| 12 | +2 | Samoa | 75.65 |
| 13 | -2 | Fiji | 74.84 |
| 14 | -1 | Georgia | 73.19 |
| 15 | 0 | Tonga | 70.13 |
Those in charge of updating the world rankings must be suffering from repetitive strain injury, given how the results change each week. What seems to be one constant, however, is that New Zealand (third) are above England (fifth) - which should come as no surprise, seeing as it's no longer 2003. It seems that we have one more indicator in favour of the All Blacks, then.
✔️ England vs New Zealand: Recent Form of the Teams
Here's where we separate the men from the boys: recent form can tell you a hell of a lot when looking to make any rugby prediction. Without further ado, let's break down both nations' respective previous games in the Autumn Nations Series 2022.
🌹 Matches Recap: England Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far
Week one, and England looked in a whole world of pain after a shocking 29-30 loss against Argentina. I have to give full credit to Los Pumas for managing something of a historic win, but that's not to say that many rugby fans saw it coming. There was a lot of pressure from the popular press to turn things around in game two against Japan, and a home crowd at Twickenham were happy to see them thump the Brave Blossoms in a decisive 52-13 victory. Would I say the final scoreboard reflected a triumphant return to form demanded of the team? Skirting around such a big question, I would say that England are going to need to go hard on preparation before Saturday to ensure more moments of magic and less of the smatterings of slow play peppered throughout performances so far.
🥝 Matches Recap: New Zealand Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far
Ian Foster has been under the gun this year, having had a tumultuous tenure leading the All Blacks. We seem to be seeing a glimpse of the glory days in his leadership during the course of the Autumn Nations Series 2022, however, because New Zealand are currently three wins from three. The All Blacks managed to push aside Japan in their warm-up, 31-38; annihilate Wales in their official opener, 23-55; and transform a cagey three quarters of their match against Scotland last week into a superb come-back win, 23-31. Nobody can ever doubt the resilience of the Kiwis in turning bad spells into bouts of glory, and I think their recent matches are evidence of an All Black team that have turned up to the Autumn Nations Series with intentions of trampling all opposition. On current form, England beware!
🌦️ Weather Conditions at Twickenham, London
England love to invite teams to play in autumnal English weather, to see how their opposition fare in less than ideal conditions. Will a forecast of 10 degrees with mild cloud cover bother the Kiwis, though? Given that I lived in Auckland for years and saw the sort of driving rain that the Land of the Long White Cloud can offer, I am confident that a light chill will do nothing to deter the All Blacks' fervour. This time, I don't see the weather as much of an indicator either way.
🕵️ My England vs New Zealand Prediction Winner
My heart says England; my head says the All Blacks. I would love to go with the former, but the signs are there that this will be a weekend of heartbreak for me as an England rugby fan. Still, I can console myself as a rugby prediction writer that I can at least see this one coming. I am hoping for a close game, and I do believe there is going to be seven points in it. Nevertheless, I don't think those seven points will go the way I would like, and I am going to say New Zealand will take this one.
My England vs New Zealand rugby prediction: New Zealand to win.
💶 England vs New Zealand Betting Tips
A potentially close match calls for more competitive England vs New Zealand odds. I think that's what is on offer, backing New Zealand to Win @ 1.59, and I would consider taking this option. For those looking for lengthier odds, however, I think the most to which I would stretch is New Zealand to win (-3.5 points) at 1.89, even given that I think New Zealand may take this by seven points. You could also consider sticking an accumulator on this game and others from this weekend: for example, Italy vs Australia, Wales vs Georgia, and Scotland vs Argentina.
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⚡ England vs New Zealand Overview - Quick Match Prediction
What Will Be the England vs New Zealand Result?
- I think New Zealand will take the win at odds of 1.59.
Why Will New Zealand Win?
- New Zealand are better on paper: third in the world rankings versus England in fifth.
- The All Blacks have better form: three wins from three compared to England's one from two.
- The Kiwis have history on their side, having won over 75% of England vs New Zealand tests.
What Are Some England vs New Zealand Betting Tips?
- Odds of 1.59 for New Zealand to win seem competitive. Also consider New Zealand (-3.5 points) at 1.89.
- You could combine all of the matches from this weekend into one rugby accumulator.
✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster
This England vs New Zealand prediction was written by Steven Brown.
Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.
