Ireland vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series: The Battle of the Greens for the Number-One Spot!

Ireland vs South Africa Autumn Nations Series 2022 banner
TournamentAutumn Nations Series 2022
TimetableSaturday 5th of November 2022 at 17.30 GMT
PredictionIreland to Win!
OddsIreland to Win @ 1.57
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
Ireland to Win!
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Odds : 1.57
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Odds : 1.55
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Odds : 1.53
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Ireland Vs South Africa rugby

It's going to be a big weekend for Irish rugby Autumn Internationals fans travelling to the Aviva Stadium (the old Lansdowne Road) as Ireland take on world champions, South Africa in Dublin for the Autumn Nations Series. I predict it's going to be a sold-out crowd of 51,700 to watch the two green nations battle it out to see whether Andy Farrell's men really are worthy of their top spot in the rankings. Let's crack on and see whom I am backing in this Ireland vs South Africa rugby prediction for those interested in Rugby Betting.

💯 Ireland vs South Africa Betting Odds

Ireland vs South Africa betting odds Tonybet banner

For those looking to bet on rugby, I have included some rugby betting odds from the best betting sites in Ireland.

🥇 Ireland vs South Africa: Match Winner Odds

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Ireland to Win1.571.551.531.571.571.571.57
Draw20.7719.0023.0017.8023.0023.0021.00
South Africa to Win2.482.442.502.352.432.432.50

➕ Ireland vs South Africa: Handicap Betting Odds

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Ireland (-7.5)2.462.502.38TBATBATBATBA
Ireland (-5.5)2.112.102.10TBATBATBATBA
Ireland (-3.5)1.851.851.911.821.871.871.90
Ireland (-1.5)1.651.651.70TBATBATBATBA
South Africa (+1.5)2.072.102.10TBATBATBATBA
South Africa (+3.5)1.821.831.911.801.871.871.85
South Africa (+5.5)1.621.651.70TBATBATBATBA
South Africa (+7.5)1.461.501.57TBATBATBATBA

📜 History of Ireland vs South Africa

The two teams have played each other on 26 occasions, with the first Ireland vs South Africa test dating back to 1906 at the Balmoral Showgrounds in Belfast. To date, the history stands as follows:

TeamsTotals
Ireland Wins7
South Africa Wins18
Draws1

History, then, seems strongly in favour of a win for the Springboks, but how might we think if we narrowed the scope to the most recent five games?

MatchDateVenueScoreWinner
Ireland vs South Africa8th November 2014Aviva Stadium, Dublin29-15Ireland
South Africa vs Ireland11th June 2016Newlands, Cape Town20-26Ireland
South Africa vs Ireland18th June 2016Ellis Park, Johannesburg32-26South Africa
South Africa vs Ireland25th June 2016Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium, Port Elizabeth19-13South Africa
Ireland vs South Africa11th November 2017Aviva Stadium, Dublin38-3Ireland

With a comparative three to two wins since 2014, you can start to see why a lot of folks think this is going to be a close game. Yes, history may predict a South African win, but going on recent results, you may be tempted to pick Ireland. Let's look at some other key factors to see if we can break this prediction deadlock.

🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union

RankCountryPoints
1Ireland90.03
2France89.41
3South Africa89.00
4New Zealand87.64
5England86.25
6Australia82.08
7Wales81.28
8Argentina81.21
9Scotland80.51
10Japan77.39
11Samoa75.75
12Fiji75.08
13Georgia74.51
14Italy73.29
15Spain69.27

The oracle of world wisdom for the sport, international rugby fans often keep one eye on the current rankings. Sure, the standings are far from divine knowledge of prowess, but they at least give you an idea as to whom the more in-form teams are. In this case, although South Africa may currently hold the Rugby World Cup title, Ireland are in pole position. I think this is a first indicator that the Irish may grab the win.

✔️ Ireland vs South Africa Team Preview

The greatest clue as to a potential Ireland vs South Africa winner would be to take a look at how both teams have fared lately.

☘️ Ireland Autumn Nations Series Team Preview

Ireland's most recent rugby foray was in the Summer Internationals 2022, wherein they managed to put the All Blacks to the sword in a nail-biting 2-1 series and became one of only five teams in history to manage a series win on New Zealand soil. All of this came off the back of a close second-place to France in the 2022 Six Nations after a hard-fought 30-24 loss to Les Bleus at the Stade de France.

With all of that being said, we can clearly see that Ireland are looking in good form, going into this match. Confidence will be running high from a fantastic year of rugby for the men in green, so I think recent form will make them a real threat for South Africa.

📰 Ireland Autumn Nations Series News

🦌 South Africa Autumn Nations Series Preview

The Springboks aren't having a bad year themselves, however. Having hosted Wales during the Summer Internationals, South Africa were able to come away with a comfortable 2-1 series win on home turf. Like Ireland, they too also managed second place in their more-local competition, the Rugby Championship 2022, losing out to the All Blacks by a single point.

All in all, South Africa look equally ready to dish out the pain in this test, so recent form only really shows that fans are in for 80 minutes of magic rather than highlighting a clear winner.

📰 South Africa Autumn Nations Series News

🏉 Style of Play: How Ireland vs South Africa Rugby Differs

The Irish have a big physical team and love to throw bodies at the opposition. They know what they are doing when it comes to rucks - with an average of over 100 per game and one of the least turn-over rates in international rugby - so they are not afraid to run at the opposition line.

South Africa aren't a team to shy away from getting stuck into opponents, though. Indeed, they too are renowned for what they can do to batter a defensive line before unleashing world-class wingers at the corner flags. In combination with tactical territory- and goal-kickers, the Springboks know how to convert their talent into points.

This is going to be one of the hardest-fought competitions in the 2022 Autumn Nations Series, and as both sides are very physical, we are going to see lots of hits, rucks, and mauls. I think the key here will not just be the raw strength of either team but also the mental toughness. The team that can keep their heads in the game when the fatigue sets in will be the ones smiling at the end of 80 minutes.

🏠 The Irish Home Advantage at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin

There should be a full crowd for Ireland's first game in this year's Autumn Nations Series, and I think that will be one of the deciding factors. There are few things less daunting in life for an international rugby team than having to face a sea of green shirts on the field and around the stadium in Dublin. The atmosphere will be incredible at the Aviva, and I think this alone may be what tips the match in Ireland's favour.

🕵️ Our Ireland vs South Africa Prediction Winner

This will be one of the most exciting contests in the Autumn Nations Series - potentially, it has it all. Both teams are going to have fire in their bellies, going into this one, but I think it will take ice in the heads of the players if they hope to take the W. I can see a few cards being shown in this match, but let's hope that we still get something of a flowing game rather than stop-start action.

This is a close one for me, but I am going to say Ireland to win by five points in what will be a remarkably close encounter.

💶 Ireland vs South Africa Betting Tips

The rugby union betting odds of Ireland to win at 1.57 are not too shabby, given how close I think this game will turn out. If you prefer slightly longer odds, however, you could always have a go on Ireland winning (-3.5 points) for odds of 1.85.

However you may fancy having a punt, though, just remember to keep it sensible. I think this is going to be a knife-edge score, and one kick at the posts could be all it takes to decide a winner in this match.

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⚡ Ireland vs South Africa Overview - Quick Match Prediction:

What Will Be the Ireland vs South Africa Result?

  • I think Ireland will take the win at odds of 1.57.

Why Will Ireland Win?

  • Ireland, on paper, are currently the best team in the world.
  • The Irish have a slight edge when looking at the most recent results between the two sides.
  • Playing in Dublin will give the Irish the crucial home advantage.

What Are Some Ireland vs South Africa Betting Tips?

  • Odds of 1.57 for Ireland to win balance risk and reward fairly nicely.
  • For longer odds, you could try Ireland to win (-3.5) at 1.85.

Ireland to Win!

✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster

Steven Brown profile picture

This Ireland vs South Africa prediction was written by Steven Brown.

Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.