Scotland vs New Zealand Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series 2022: Will the Kiwi Defeat the Grouse?

Scotland vs New Zealand Autumn Nations Series 2022 banner
TournamentAutumn Nations Series 2022
TimetableSunday 13th of November 2022 at 14.15 GMT
PredictionNew Zealand to Win!
OddsNew Zealand to Win @ 1.09
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Odds : 1.09
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The last match to be played this week of the Autumn Nations Series 2022 will be Scotland vs New Zealand. Many rugby fans may not have this pegged as the most exciting game of the weekend, but I hope we are still going to see a lively back-and-forth between two top-10 world teams. Most rugby betting punters, too, will be expecting this to be a gimme for the All Blacks, but let's see if that will be true.

💯 Scotland vs New Zealand Betting Odds

Scotland vs New Zealand betting odds Tonybet banner

Below, I have included some odds from the best betting sites for Ireland.

🥇 Scotland vs New Zealand: Match Winner Odds

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Scotland to Win7.256.507.005.906.256.257.00
Draw32.3428.0034.0023.0036.0036.0031.00
New Zealand to Win1.091.071.101.101.131.141.10

➕ Scotland vs New Zealand: Handicap Betting Odds

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Scotland (+17.5)1.601.60TBATBATBATBATBA
Scotland (+15.5)1.791.80TBATBATBATBA1.83
Scotland (+14.5)TBATBATBA1.811.881.84TBA
Scotland (+13.5)2.032.05TBATBATBATBATBA
Scotland (+11.5)2.332.37TBATBATBATBATBA
New Zealand (-11.5)1.521.50TBATBATBATBATBA
New Zealand (-13.5)1.681.70TBATBATBATBATBA
New Zealand (-14.5)TBATBATBA1.811.881.84TBA
New Zealand (-15.5)1.881.90TBATBATBATBA1.95
New Zealand (-17.5)2.152.10TBATBATBATBATBA

📜 History of Scotland vs New Zealand

The history between the two teams is always a good indicator for a rugby prediction, so let's break down the results.

TeamsTotals
Scotland Wins0
New Zealand Wins29
Draws2

New Zealand seem a force to be reckoned with for the Scots, but maybe the five most recent results can hint at a resurgence for Scottish rugby.

MatchDateVenueScoreWinner
Scotland vs New Zealand8th November 2008Murrayfield, Edinburgh6–32New Zealand
Scotland vs New Zealand13th November 2010Murrayfield, Edinburgh3–49New Zealand
Scotland vs New Zealand11th November 2012Murrayfield, Edinburgh22–51New Zealand
Scotland vs New Zealand14th November 2014Murrayfield, Edinburgh16–24New Zealand
Scotland vs New Zealand18th November 2017Murrayfield, Edinburgh17–22New Zealand

Well, if there were not a lot between Scotland vs New Zealand in the last few matches, we might be tempted to say this is going to be a close game. Given the smallest margin was five points, however, I think history point to an easy All Blacks win.

🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union

New RankShiftCountryPoints
10Ireland90.63
20France89.41
3+1New Zealand88.64
4-1South Africa88.41
50England84.45
6+2Argentina83.01
7-1Australia82.08
8+1Scotland80.74
9-2Wales80.28
100Japan77.39
11+1Fiji74.84
12+2Italy74.71
130Georgia74.51
14-3Samoa74.33
15+1Tonga69.96

The Kiwis have moved back up to third over the course of the Autumn Nations Series 2022, with Scotland finding themselves in eighth. If I had to base my rugby prediction purely on these numbers, I would obviously go for New Zealand, but perhaps there is still more to the tale.

✔️ Scotland vs New Zealand: Recent Form of the Teams

One of the biggest predictors for me is the recent form of the teams - especially analysing the play from previous matches in a tournament. On that thought, I want to look into the last two matches for the two teams.

🦄 Matches Recap: Scotland Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far

To start with, it wasn't good news for the Scots against Australia when they lost at Murrayfield, 15-16. It certainly wasn't the best of outings for the home side, and Australia were able to capitalise on this to rub their opponents' noses in the dirt. Scotland managed to bounce back the following week, despatching Fiji with a moderate final result of 28-12. With one win and one loss, however, there isn't a lot to shout about, and it doesn't set them up for a difficult clash against the All Blacks.

🥝 Matches Recap: New Zealand Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far

The visitors have fared much better in the autumn internationals, starting well in their Japan vs New Zealand first test, 31-38, before getting into their stride against Wales, hammering the Men in Red by 32 points. Comparing the Kiwis to Scotland, two wins from two certainly makes them seem more up for Sunday's match, so on recent form, I would have to give it to New Zealand.

🌦️ Weather Conditions at Murrayfield, Edinburgh

Whilst I think you can take a lot from the weather for a rugby prediction, in this case, I think a forecast of 14 degrees with intermittent sunshine will benefit neither team that much. I think we have to stick with the other predictors for our winner.

🕵️ My Scotland vs New Zealand Prediction Winner

On history, on world rankings, and on recent form, I am struggling to see a Scottish win. I think there could be a chance for them, but it would have to come down to the All Blacks playing in a white strip with a red rose on the shirt. Joking apart, I can't see this being anything but a New Zealand win all day long.

💶 Scotland vs New Zealand Betting Tips

I'm going to say that I think the bookies' odds of New Zealand to win at New Zealand to Win @ 1.09 are pretty fair, but that they don't exactly offer a rugby bettor anything of consideration, given the risk. What piques my interest, however, are the handicap options available. Given that the All Blacks smashed a similar-strength Wales by 32 points last week, and that I think they will storm this game by around 25 points, odds of New Zealand to win (-17.5 points) at 2.15 could be one to think about. If you fancy that this may be a much closer game, though, but that you still want to lengthen your odds, you could also muse over combining a winning result in this match with the games for Saturday: Italy vs Samoa, Ireland vs South Africa, Wales vs New Zealand, and France vs South Africa.

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⚡ Scotland vs New Zealand Overview - Quick Match Prediction

What Will Be the Scotland vs New Zealand Result?

  • I think New Zealand will take the win at odds of 1.09.

Why Will New Zealand Win?

  • New Zealand have history against Scotland on their side.
  • The Kiwis are third in the world versus Scotland in eighth.
  • The All Blacks are in better form in the Autumn Nations Series 2022: two wins from two compared to one from two for Scotland.

What Are Some Scotland vs New Zealand Betting Tips?

  • I believe the All Blacks will win by 25 points. Consider odds of 2.15 for New Zealand to win (-17.5 points).
  • There is a potential to create an accumulator of all of the weekend's matches into a multi-fold bet. Beware the greater risk, however!

New Zealand to Win!

✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster

Steven Brown profile picture

This Scotland vs New Zealand prediction was written by Steven Brown.

Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.