England vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series 2022: The Final Chapter

England vs South Africa Autumn Nations Series 2022 bannerEngland vs South Africa Autumn Nations Series 2022 banner
TimetableSaturday 26th of November 2022 at 17.30 GMT
PredictionSouth Africa to Win!
OddsSouth Africa to Win @ 2.45
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South Africa to Win!
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Odds : 2.45
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Odds : 2.37
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Odds : 2.38
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This is it! - the last 80 minutes of an extraordinary Autumn Nations Series 2022. For our last clash of the competition, rugby fans have the pleasure of seeing England vs South Africa, two ferocious nations looking to gild the lily on their end-of-year campaigns. Will England rouse the home crowd to rapturous applause or will current Rugby World Cup champions, the Springboks run amok at Twickenham on Saturday? Let me break down who I think will be standing tall when the dust settles and give you some rugby betting tips for the most popular markets.

💯 England vs South Africa Betting Odds

England vs South Africa betting odds Tonybet bannerEngland vs South Africa betting odds Tonybet banner

For one final time for the 2022 Autumn Nations Series, I have included odds from the best betting sites in Ireland.

🥇 England vs South Africa: Match Winner Odds

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EnglandEngland
1.581.551.621.581.491.491.57
Draw20.6519.0023.0017.8023.0023.0021.00
South AfricaSouth Africa
2.452.372.382.322.652.652.40

➕ England vs South Africa: Handicap Betting Odds

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EnglandEngland
(-7.5)
2.502.50TBATBATBATBATBA
EnglandEngland
(-5.5)
2.142.10TBATBA1.981.95TBA
EnglandEngland
(-3.5)
1.871.90TBA1.84TBATBA1.91
EnglandEngland
(-1.5)
1.661.70TBATBATBATBATBA
South AfricaSouth Africa
(+1.5)
2.052.05TBATBATBATBATBA
South AfricaSouth Africa
(+3.5)
1.801.83TBA1.78TBATBA1.81
South AfricaSouth Africa
(+5.5)
1.611.60TBATBA1.771.75TBA
South AfricaSouth Africa
(+7.5)
1.451.45TBATBATBATBATBA

📜 History of England vs South Africa

For over 100 years, the England vs South Africa test has been a staple of rugby, with 44 matches having been played in that time. Let's see if history offers us a clear perspective on who may claim victory this time around.

TeamsTotals
England Wins16
South Africa Wins26
Draws2

So far, so good for the Springboks, having made the most of almost 60% of all matches. What can recent history reveal, however, that the longer picture may struggle to exhibit?

MatchDateVenueScoreWinner
South Africa vs England16th June 2018Free State Stadium, Bloemfontein23-12South Africa
South Africa vs England23rd June 2018Newlands, Cape Town10-25England
England vs South Africa3rd November 2018Twickenham, London12-11England
England vs South Africa2nd November 2019International Stadium Yokohama, Yokohama12-32South Africa
England vs South Africa20th November 2021Twickenham, London27-26England

Well, that's a swing in the other direction. England may have failed to clinch the crucial final match of the 2019 Rugby World Cup in Japan, but they have still managed to muster enough fervour to stamp their quality on three out of the last five England vs South Africa tests. I would therefore argue that history only really indicates that this is going to be something of a grudge match rather than highlighting a run-away match winner.

🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union

New RankShiftCountryPoints
10Ireland90.63
20France90.01
30New Zealand88.98
40South Africa88.01
50England84.62
6+3Scotland81.55
7-1Argentina80.72
80Australia80.64
9-2Wales79.26
100Japan77.39
11+1Samoa76.03
12-1Italy75.95
13+1Georgia75.19
14-1Fiji74.84
150Tonga71.21

Fourth versus fifth means there's not a lot in it from a world-rankings point of view, and I would go as far as to say the standings are not an indicator of anything conclusive. If I were forced to pick an England vs South Africa match winner on these statistics alone, though, of course, I would have to give the Springboks the most mild of edges.

✔️ England vs South Africa: Recent Form of the Teams

The final two foes of the Autumn Nations Series 2022 have had their fair share of time on the pitch over the last few weeks, so there is plenty for me to analyse. Let's get stuck into what both nations have produced thus far, to see if there are any clues as to our winner.

🌹 Matches Recap: England Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far

As horrific starts go, losing their first match of the series against Argentina was a real blow to England, and one that had many rugby fans re-evaluating the UK side's credibility. They were expected to deliver in their match against Japan the following week, and England did manage to rally to a 52-13 crescendo. Then there was last week. I had England down to lose against New Zealand, and for the first 70 minutes of the match, that seemed an inevitability. The fact that they showed promise enough to square the match at 25-25 was something, but there are two key things that stood out about the previous match for me that I think will inform this game:

  1. Rather than a gritty, ingenious come-back like the kind we saw in the France vs Australia test, it seemed to me more that England were able to grab the draw based on opposition complacency - the sort that has set in during Ian Foster's tenure as the All Blacks' Head Coach.
  2. The sheer pusillanimity of fly-half Marcus Smith kicking the ball into touch when there was a golden opportunity to transfigure a pitiful draw into a triumphant victory is symbolic of the shambles reign of England's Head Coach, Eddie Jones.

Based on this year's performances, England certainly do not look hot to trot going into this game.

🦌 Matches Recap: South Africa Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far

After the haranguing England just received, I think it's only fair that South Africa are granted the same hairdryer treatment - and they deserve it based on their one-win-from-three record in the Autumn Nations Series so far. For current Rugby World Cup champions, South Africa have looked woeful this autumn, losing to Ireland, 19-16 in their first game and being pushed aside for a second time, 30-26, against France. You could argue that the Springboks seemed revived last week, smashing Italy by a massive 42-point margin, but this is Italy we are talking about, they showed little progression and no originality in their game, and it still leaves South Africa with one win from three. The only upside is that their test against Italy may have at least served as good, low-fatigue practice for this weekend's game, but that's about the bare bones of any positivity from that match.

🌦️ Weather Conditions at Twickenham, London

With it almost being Advent, it is going to be bitterly cold at Twickenham this Saturday, meaning it should spell perfect conditions for the English. A little bit of rain here and there may end up a misery for the fans, but a little grease on the pitch may loosen up the hard-hitting Springboks and allow England to settle into the game. On this indicator, I think the home side should have an advantage.

🕵️ My England vs South Africa Prediction Winner

For all the grief I have given both sides for their erratic performances in this year's Autumn Nations Series, I do think this is going to be a thumper of a game. There are going to be a lot of close contests, especially around set pieces, for all 80 minutes, and I am expecting a winning margin of less than three points. Forced to pick a winner for this rugby prediction, I would say that I am in a similar predicament to last week. My heart would love to give it to England, but I think the Springboks will have something to prove, preparing for next year's Rugby World Cup, so my head says that the visitors are going to grab glory in this England vs South Africa test.

My rugby prediction for the England vs South Africa winner? South Africa to win.

💶 England vs South Africa Betting Tips

The bookies don't agree with my outcome. Good! That means if you do, you have the potential to bet on South Africa to win at 2.45 odds. I think this is worth considering on its own and that handicap betting in my personal opinion, would be too risky - although, of course, gambling in the first place is a risk. If these odds are too short for you, though, you could consider creating a twofold bet of the match winner from this game with the Wales vs Australia match winner.

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⚡ England vs South Africa Overview - Quick Match Prediction

What Will Be the England vs South Africa Result?

  • I think South Africa will take the win at odds of 2.45.

Why Will South Africa Win?

  • South Africa have the long-term historical advantage over England.
  • The Springboks will feel pressure to deliver this week; I think England will be complacent.
  • The South Africans are the on-paper better team in the world.

What Are Some England vs South Africa Betting Tips?

South Africa to Win!

✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster

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This England vs South Africa prediction was written by Steven Brown.

Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.