Meath v Carlow Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds [2025]

🏆 Meath vs Carlow Prediction

Carlow won just two of their last five Division Four matches in the Allianz League, while they ultimately finished seven points behind Wexford at the top of the table. What’s more, they haven’t won in the Leinster Provincial Championship since a quarterfinal victory over Kildare in 2018, while they incurred a 23-point thrashing to Wexford in last season’s preliminary round.

Conversely, Meath operate in the second tier of the Allianz League, finishing third this season and narrowly missing out on promotion. Intriguingly, they haven’t failed to make at least the quarterfinals of the Leinster Championship since 1992, while they were the last team to defeat Dublin in the provincials in the 2010 last eight. In Eoghan Frayne (1-37) and Jordan Morris (2-33), they also boast an incredible attacking threat, with the pair having contributed an impressive 79 points between them for the Royal county in the league. Ultimately, it’s hard to look beyond a comfortable win for Meath here, especially as the team also has home advantage.

💯 Meath vs Carlow Betting Odds

According to the pre-match Carlow v Meath odds, the home side can be backed to win at odds as short as 1.01. These odds imply a 99.0% probability of a victory for the Royal County. Conversely, Carlow are priced at around 13.00 to prevail, suggesting that they have just a 7.69% chance of upsetting their hosts. You can back the draw at 26.00, with this outcome carrying an implied probability of just 3.84%. For additional value, explore free bet offers to enhance your betting experience.

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Result

Meath to Win

TBC

1.02

1.02

Carlow to Win

15.00

19.00

11.00

Draw

19.00

11.00

19.00

Result

Meath to Win

TBC

1.02

1.02

Carlow to Win

15.00

19.00

11.00

Draw

19.00

11.00

19.00

📈 Meath Squad Form

If Carlow are looking for some encouragement ahead of their trip to Meath, they should note that the Royal County lost their final two league matches of the 2025 Division 2 campaign. Forward Shane Walsh missed both defeats and remains a doubt for the Leinster opener, while last-season’s top-scorer Costello only made his return from injury in the five-point defeat to Louth.

Meath’s preparations have also been disturbed by the departures of coaches Joe McMahon and Martin Corey from Robbie Brennan’s backroom team. This has decimated Brennan’s support staff, while causing uncertainty at the worst possible time. Still, Meath had lost just one of their previous five Allianz league matches prior to their recent dip in form, while the return to full fitness of Costello will provide a significant boost. This will supplement the potent attacking pair of Eoghan Frayne and Jordan Morris, who even managed to score a combined total of 12 points in the side’s most recent reversal to Louth.

⚽ Carlow Squad Form

The backroom news from Meath drew attention away from Carlow, whose manager Shane Curran had also stepped down during the previous week. He cited “player issues” as the reason for his departure, igniting a bitter war of words within the county. On the field, however, Carlow ended their mixed Division 4 campaign with two consecutive victories, which in turn snapped a three-match losing streak. However, they only managed to score 129 points in their seven league games (at an average of just 18.42 per game), with midfielder Conor Doyle (2-17) top-scoring with 23 points.

Ross Dunphy (2-13) and Conor Crowley (0-18) also contributed 37 points between them this season, but there was a shortage of points from others over the course of the campaign. Remember, Meath also had the joint-second best defence in Division 2, so Carlow may find it hard to dominate from an attacking perspective at Pair Tailteann.

👕 Meath vs Carlow Predicted Lineups

As we’ve touched on, Mathew Costello is expected to return from the start for Meath this weekend, possibly at the expense of Conor Duke. However, Shane Walsh remains a serious doubt. Aside from their off-field woes, Carlow are expected to name almost an identical squad and starting line up to the one that beat London in the National League last weekend. Here are the predicted lineups in full:

✒️ Meath vs Carlow - H2H Stats

Meath and Carlow have met five times in the provincial SFC since May 2008, with the Royal County winning four of these encounters (the other ended in a tie). Remember, Carlow have never beaten Meath in the Leinster Championship. Here’s a summary of the previous five H2H encounters:

🎯 Updates from GAA Twitter (X)

In the build-up to the match between Meath and Carlow, both teams will publish updates on their social media feed. You can also access regular updates directly from GAA Twitter, potentially revealing important injury news.