France vs Australia Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series: A French Revolution of the Rugby Kind

France vs Australia Autumn Nations Series 2022 banner
TournamentAutumn Nations Series 2022
TimetableSaturday 5th of November 2022 at 20.00 GMT
PredictionFrance to Win!
OddsFrance to Win @ 1.11
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
France to Win!
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Odds : 1.11
Bet €100 and win €111 if France win.
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Odds : 1.10
Bet €100 and win €110 if France win.
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Odds : 1.18
Bet €100 and win €118 if France win.
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Les Bleus will be champing at the bit to kick off their first Autumn Nations Series 2022 test against Australia. The French have had a fantastic year of rugby, but will the Wallabies have a few tricks up their sleeves to ensure a fatal final score for France? Let's take a look at some of the key indicators of how I think this one will play out. I will also have some tips for those looking to have a flutter with some rugby betting this weekend.

💯 France vs Australia Betting Odds

France vs Australia betting odds Tonybet banner

Here are some of the best betting sites' odds, to add a little context to how the bookies overall see France vs Australia ending.

🥇 France vs Australia: Match Winner Odds

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France to Win1.111.101.181.121.141.141.10
Draw30.0926.0034.0022.5034.0034.0029.00
Australia to Win6.475.755.005.555.605.606.25

➕ France vs Australia: Handicap Betting Odds

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France (-17.5)2.362.372.30*TBATBATBATBA
France (-15.5)2.052.052.10*TBATBATBATBA
France (-13.5)1.801.831.91*1.78TBATBA1.85
France (-12.5)TBATBATBATBA1.821.79TBA
France (-11.5)1.611.601.44*TBATBATBATBA
Australia (+11.5)2.132.102.10*TBATBATBATBA
Australia (+12.5)TBATBATBATBA1.921.89TBA
Australia (+13.5)1.871.901.91*1.84TBATBA1.91
Australia (+15.5)1.661.701.73*TBATBATBATBA
Australia (+17.5)1.501.501.57*TBATBATBATBA

*These odds are for the nearest whole-number equivalent (European handicap). That means for these odds that the game can end in a handicapped draw, meaning you could lose if you bet on a team to win. Be aware of this before placing any bet.

📜 History of France vs Australia

The first test between these two titans dates back all the way to 1928. That time around, Australia came away from the Stade Olympique Yves-du-Manoir with the bragging rights, but let's find out if that translated to a historical run of dominance.

TeamsTotals
France Wins19
Australia Wins29
Draws2

So far, it would seem that Australia still have somewhat of an upper hand on France, given the split is roughly 60-40. What of recent times, however? Will that prove the hosts the come-back kings or further stick the dagger in their backs?

MatchDateVenueScoreWinner
France vs Australia15th November 2014Stade de France, Saint-Denis29–26France
France vs Australia19th November 2016Stade de France, Saint-Denis23–25Australia
Australia vs France7th July 2021Lang Park, Brisbane23-21Australia
Australia vs France13th July 2021Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne26-28France
Australia vs France17th July 2021Lang Park, Brisbane33-30Australia

From the last five matches, we can still see the same 60-40 split going Australia's way, so history seems to point to an Australia win. Will any of the other key factors shed light on a different story?

🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union

RankCountryPoints
1Ireland90.03
2France89.41
3South Africa89.00
4New Zealand87.64
5England86.25
6Australia82.08
7Wales81.28
8Argentina81.21
9Scotland80.51
10Japan77.39
11Samoa75.75
12Fiji75.08
13Georgia74.51
14Italy73.29
15Spain69.27

The standings usually give a good idea of the prowess of a team in recent times, and in this scenario, second-place France will be feeling confident against Australia in sixth. On paper, then, it would seem France may have something to say in this match. The world rankings therefore has this down as a win for France.

✔️ France vs Australia Team Previews

Recent form is a big factor to consider when trying your luck betting on rugby. Let's break down how the two sides have performed over the year.

🐓 France Autumn Nations Series Team Preview

One of the highlights of the year for France was their Grand Slam win in the Six Nations 2022. Let's take a look at the table to see why:

StandingNationWinsDrawsLossesBonus PointsPoints DifferenceTotal Points
1France5002+6825
2Ireland4015+10521
3England2032+510
4Scotland2032-2910
5Wales1043-287
6Italy1040-1214

Five wins with two bonus points and 68 points to the good shows Les Bleus really meant business in this year's Six Nations competition. They really showed what it takes to be unstoppable.

The Six Nations is not the only time this year that France showed they aren't a side with which to be trifled: they also notched up two wins against Japan in the Summer Internationals 2022, taking down Japan in a 2-0 series with wins of 23-42 and 15-20. With all of this fantastic form, you might start thinking that France are the easy choice, going into this match.

🦘 Australia Autumn Nations Series Preview

The Wallabies haven't quite had the same sort of year to brag about. Let's take a look at their standing in the Rugby Championship 2022:

StandingNationWinsDrawsLossesBonus PointsPoints DifferenceTotal Points
1New Zealand4023+6719
2South Africa4022+4518
3Australia2042-5210
4Argentina2041-609

As you can see, third seems rather dismal compared to France's first-place glory. Sure, cynical rugby fans in this case - most likely those that have a preference for the Wallabies - may argue that the competition in the Southern Hemisphere is more difficult than playing the likes of Italy, as an example, but then when you consider that the Six Nations has the current top-two teams in the world in Ireland and France, that's a tough argument to back. Furthermore, Australia have done themselves no favours in their fans' eyes with losing 1-2 to England on home soil in the Summer Internationals. The only saving grace for the Aussies in terms of evaluating their form was squeaking a one-point, 15-16 win against Scotland last week, but even that came as somewhat of a shock. On their current form, France vs Australia seems gift-wrapped for France.

🕵️ Our France vs Australia Prediction Winner

Of all of the matches happening in the Autumn Nations Series this weekend, I think France vs Australia is one of the trickiest to predict. History suggests Australia have the edge, but France look in the best shape of their lives. I think this is going to be a close game, but forcing myself to pick a winner, I'm going with France. As long as they can keep up the champions mentality that has seen them glorious in 2022 so far, I think they'll go on to do the business.

💶 France vs Australia Betting Tips

Odds of 1.11 for France to win are not something that would particularly excite me. If I were going to put my money on this match, I would be tempted either to place an accumulator on France winning with my other Saturday rugby predictions for Italy vs Samoa, Ireland vs South Africa, and Wales vs New Zealand or to place a single bet on France to win (-11.5 points handicap) at odds of 1.61.

Whatever you may or may not end up having a flutter on, just remember that rugby betting should just be a bit of fun. Nothing in sport is guaranteed!

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⚡ France vs Australia Overview - Quick Match Prediction:

What Will Be the France vs Australia Result?

  • I think France will take the win at odds of 1.11.

Why Will France Win?

  • France are in arguably their best form in history.
  • France are the on-paper favourites - second in the world compared to sixth.
  • Australia only just managed a one-point win against an easier Scotland last week. They may struggle against a much tougher France.

What Are Some France vs Australia Betting Tips?

  • Odds of France to win at 1.11 are short. It's understandable why, but not greater for punters that like longer odds.
  • I believe France to win (11.5 points) at 1.61 represents good longer odds despite the extra risk.

France to Win!

✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster

Steven Brown profile picture

This France vs Australia prediction was written by Steven Brown.

Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.