England vs Japan Prediction & Betting Odds - Autumn Nations Series 2022: Battle of the White and Reds
| Timetable | Saturday 12th of November 2022 at 15.15 GMT |
| Prediction | England to Win! |
| Odds | England to Win @ 1.04 |
| Bookmaker | TonyBet Sports |
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One of the more interesting games of week three of the Autumn Nation Series sees England take on Japan at Twickenham. The Brave Blossoms will be looking to prove they are a force to be reckoned with, as a rugby nation, but the hosts will want to redeem themselves after last week. Who will grab the all-important W? Let's find out how the scoreboard may look and what rugby betting markets may be worth considering.
💯 England vs Japan Betting Odds
As ever, I have included the best betting sites' odds, to give a little flavour to those looking to have a flutter.
🥇 England vs Japan: Match Winner Odds
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England to Win | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03 |
| Draw | 39.73 | 36.00 | 51.00 | 26.75 | 51.00 | 51.00 | 34.00 |
| Japan to Win | 10.07 | 8.50 | 11.00 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 9.50 |
➕ England vs Japan: Handicap Betting Odds
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England (-21.5) | 2.08 | 2.10 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| England (-20.5) | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | 1.87 | 1.84 | TBA |
| England (-19.5) | 1.83 | 1.85 | TBA | 1.81 | TBA | TBA | 1.91 |
| England (-17.5) | 1.65 | 1.65 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| England (-15.5) | 1.49 | 1.50 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| Japan (+15.5) | 2.38 | 2.40 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| Japan (+17.5) | 2.07 | 2.10 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| Japan (+19.5) | 1.84 | 1.85 | TBA | 1.81 | TBA | TBA | 1.91 |
| Japan (+20.5) | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | 1.87 | 1.84 | TBA |
| Japan (+21.5) | 1.64 | 1.65 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
📜 History of England vs Japan
The two teams have played each other twice in official test matches, in 1987 and 2018. Let's break down their history.
| Teams | Totals |
|---|---|
| England Wins | 2 |
| Japan Wins | 0 |
| Draws | 0 |
| Match | Date | Venue | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs Japan | 30th May 1987 | Concord Oval, Sydney | 60–7 | England |
| England vs Japan | 17th November 2018 | Twickenham, London | 35–15 | England |
The history is not a great indicator for England vs Japan betting, given how few rugby test matches have been played, but it still does point to an England win. Let's take a look at some other factors.
🌏 Comparison of World Rankings Rugby Union
| New Rank | Shift | Country | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | Ireland | 90.63 |
| 2 | 0 | France | 89.41 |
| 3 | +1 | New Zealand | 88.64 |
| 4 | -1 | South Africa | 88.41 |
| 5 | 0 | England | 84.45 |
| 6 | +2 | Argentina | 83.01 |
| 7 | -1 | Australia | 82.08 |
| 8 | +1 | Scotland | 80.74 |
| 9 | -2 | Wales | 80.28 |
| 10 | 0 | Japan | 77.39 |
| 11 | +1 | Fiji | 74.84 |
| 12 | +2 | Italy | 74.71 |
| 13 | 0 | Georgia | 74.51 |
| 14 | -3 | Samoa | 74.33 |
| 15 | +1 | Tonga | 69.96 |
The world rankings can be a good indicator for any rugby prediction. Given that the standings are constantly changing, this gives a fairly accurate picture of the strength of both teams: England are fifth, and Japan are tenth. If we just used this information, England still look the more likely to come away with smiles on their faces.
✔️ England vs Japan: Recent Form of the Teams
Looking at the recent form of the two teams before their England vs Japan fixture is a crucial way to see how they will perform and predict. Let's break down their Autumn Nations Series 2022 campaigns so far.
🌹 Matches Recap: England Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far
England are looking very confused at the moment. In week two, I predicted a close game for England vs Argentina with the Rose coming out on top. Well, with players from the past on the pitch, old game plays and poor decision-making, Argentina took the honours 29-30. Head Coach, Eddie Jones admitted that he had not taken Los Pumas seriously and that he had focused too much on next year's Rugby World Cup. Whatever the reasons for defeat, does this bode well for England in week three? Not very much.
🌸 Matches Recap: Japan Autumn Nations Series 2022 So Far
'I'm giving this as a win for New Zealand. Will it be the huge score of the past? I don't think so.' (Words I wrote in my rugby prediction for the Japan vs New Zealand test.)
With a final score of just 31-38, that proved to be true - and what a fantastic game of rugby it turned out to be! The Brave Blossoms, although probably a touch disappointed that they couldn't quite clinch a true victory, will probably have still seen the result as a win in itself. I think that means Japan will come into this game fired up. I'm still not sure that such a performance means they have the form to pull off an upset in this game, but England beware! Any complacency in this match will be punished.
🌦️ Weather Conditions at Twickenham, London
As we all know, the weather can have a considerable influence on rugby matches. The forecast for the 12th is 14 degrees with some cloud, some sun. If it were to howl down, I would give the advantage to England, but with things looking like they will be mild, Japan should be able to cope with what could be barbecue weather for an English autumn.
🕵️ My England vs Japan Prediction Winner
To predict a winner for England vs Japan has proved to be difficult. This is going to be another close contest. With whatever result Japan come away from Twickenham, I think they are going to be incredibly happy. From an England perspective, however, both Coach and team are going to be under enormous pressure, which will mean they are going to find this one of the hardest matches they face in the Autumn Nations Series 2022. If they lose or win by a small margin, England rugby fans and the popular press will have a lot to say. Given that pressure, however, I am going to go with England to win by a margin of eight points.
💶 England vs Japan Betting Tips
Odds on England to win at 1.04 may be quite short for a lot of punters - especially given that I am predicting this is going to be a relatively close match of eight points. I would say that if you want to lengthen your odds whilst maintaining some small level of safety - remember that there are absolutely no guarantees in sports! - that it may be worth considering Japan (+21.5 points) to win at 1.64. You could also consider creating an accumulator with the two prior matches to this one: Ireland vs Fiji and Italy vs Australia.
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⚡ England vs Japan Overview - Quick Match Prediction
What Will Be the England vs Japan Result?
- I think England will take the win at odds of 1.04.
Why Will England Win?
- England are the better team in terms of world rankings: fifth versus tenth.
- Both England and Japan lost their first Autumn Nations Series 2022 games, but England seem in marginally better form.
- There is not a lot of history between the two sides, but England have won 100% of their tests so far.
What Are Some England vs Japan Betting Tips?
- Odds of England to win at 1.04 may seem too short. This will be a close game. Consider Japan (+21.5 points) to win at odds of 1.64.
- Consider an accumulator with the two matches prior: Ireland vs Fiji and Italy vs Australia
✒️ Steven Brown - International Sports Writer and Tipster
This England vs Japan prediction was written by Steven Brown.
Steven is an internationally revered rugby coach and sports writer. His insight with his predictions comes from his rugby coaching qualifications, successes coaching youth and men's teams in both hemispheres, and from analytical research into world rugby.
