Kilkenny vs Dublin: Prediction & Odds - Leinster Hurling Finals

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TournamentLeinster Senior Hurling Championship Final
TimetableSaturday 8th June at 18:00 GMT
PredictionKilkenny To Win!
OddsKilkenny to Win @ 1.25
Bookmaker1Bet Sports
Kilkenny To Win!
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June 8th will see the final of the 2024 Leinster Hurling Championship, as defending champions Kilkenny take on Dublin at Croke Park. The Cats will go in search of their fifth successive provincial crown in the Irish capital and home of their opponents, while the Dubs are aiming to win just their second Leinster title since 1961. Of course, Kilkenny are the pre-game favourites among Ireland’s best betting sites, especially as they topped the Leinster group stage and defeated Dublin on the road on May 18th. But will they deliver on this status, or will Dublin end their opponents’ recent provincial dominance in the capital?

🏆 Kilkenny vs Dublin Leinster Championship Prediction

The Dubs are now winless in nine matches against Kilkenny since they prevailed in a provincial semi-final way back in 2013. This sequence was extended just two weeks ago, when the Cats defeated Dublin by two points thanks to a last-gasp strike by Eion Cody. However, just a point separated the teams at half-time, while the match was level nine times in total and eight in the second 35 minutes.

This will offer hope to the Dubs, who also avoided defeat in their other four provincial matches. Antrim were thrashed by 20 points at Parnell Park, for example, as the fit again Donal Burke scored 1-11 (including eight frees). Burke has struck an impressive 2-51 in his five Leinster appearances so far in 2024, and he’ll be central to Dublin’s chances of winning at Croke Park next weekend.

However, Kilkenny arguably have a little more depth in attack than their opponents, with 12-time Leinster winner TJ Reid having contributed 2-40 in the 2024 provincial campaign so far. Cody’s timely return from injury saw him deliver the decisive blow against Dublin on Leinster matchday four, while he now has a career record of seven goals and 59 points in just 18 provincial appearances. He hit 3-23 during the Cats National League campaign, too, as Derek Lyng’s men reached the Division One final (where they narrowly lost to Clare).

Kilkenny’s All-Star forward Adrian Mullen is also in line for a return after injury, after making the matchday panel for the final Leinster win over Wexford. So, the Cats will boast significant attacking options both in their starting 15 and from the bench, and this may ultimately make the difference in what’s sure to be a tight and keenly contested match.

My Prediction: 🏆Kilkenny to win!

💯 Kilkenny vs Dublin Leinster Championship Odds

Dublin’s sole provincial defeat in 2024 came at the hands of Kilkenny, while just a point separated the two sides after five rounds of fixtures. So, the Leinster final should be a competitive encounter, with the most popular hurling betting markets including the match winner, handicapping and the over/under on how many points will be scored during normal time. Winning margin betting in favour of Kilkenny is also likely to be popular, especially given the Cats’ head-to-head dominance in this fixture since 2013.

Kilkenny vs Dublin: Match Winner

The pre-game odds ahead of the Leinster final are almost identical to those that preceded the recent provincial clash on May 18th. More specifically, you can back Kilkenny to defeat Dublin at an average price of 1.25, implying an 80% probability of the Cats prevailing at Croke Park. Conversely, the Dubs’ odds of around 4.30 suggest that they have just a 23.25% chance of winning and claiming their first Leinster title since 2013. The draw can be backed at 12.00, implying an 8.33% probability of the match ending tied after 70 minutes.

Team to win
Kilkenny to Win 1.25 1.25 TBC 1.25 TBC
Dublin to Win 4.30 4.30 TBC 4.30 TBC
Draw 12.00 12.00 TBC 12.00 TBC

✔️ Kilkenny vs Dublin - Betting Tips

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Kilkenny’s status as heavy betting favourites can be justified by the Cats’ recent provincial dominance and head-to-head record against the Dubs. However, there has been little to choose between the two sides in this year’s Leinster campaign, with Dublin trailing their rivals by just a point after five rounds of fixtures and scoring more goals (10 as opposed to 8). Kilkenny’s last-gasp, see-saw win at Parnell Park in May also makes a mockery of the -pre-game odds, so there’s arguably little value in backing the Cats to win outright. So, here are some alternative betting tips and lines to keep in mind!

  • : Tip 1: Back Kilkenny to Win with a Handicap of -4.5 Points: Kilkenny’s nine-match winning run against the Dubs has produced a cumulative winning margin of 66 points, at an average of 7.33 points per game. This sequence has also included two finals (in 2014 and 2021), which the Cats won by 12 and nine points respectively. However, Dublin were incredibly competitive at Parnell Park last month and only lost as a result of Eion Cody’s injury time goal, while star forward Donal Burke has been in exceptional form in this season’s Leinster Championship. So, get on Kilkenny to win with a nominal handicap of -4.5 points at the enhanced price of 1.75 with 1Bet Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Kilkenny to Win by Between 4 and 6 Points: If you want to back Kilkenny at even longer odds and have one or more free bets on your account, you could also engage in winning market betting. After all, the Cats’ two-point win in Dublin last month saw match-winner and National League top scorer Cody return from injury, while the Ballyhale star is now fully fit and will start at Croke Park. All-Star Adrian Mullen is also available to Derek Lyng. So, consider backing Kilkenny to win by between four and six points at the highly competitive price of 5.00 with PalmSlots Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Kilkenny in the Draw no Bet Market: While Kilkenny’s nine-match provincial winning run against the Dubs has included some huge victories (including a 17-point group stage thrashing in Dublin in 2022), three have also been won by two points or less. This includes the most recent outing on May 18th, during which the contest was tied nine times before Cody’s superb late winner. Kilkenny were also held to surprise draws by Galway and Carlow during the Leinster group stages, increasing the likelihood of this match being tied after 70 minutes. So, consider placing an insurance wager that backs Kilkenny to win in the ‘Draw no Bet’ market at a price of 1.25 with 1Bet Sports.

1️⃣ Kilkenny Update

When the Cats trailed Dublin by one point entering the stoppage time at Parnell Park last month, their 2024 Leinster campaign hung in the balance. After all, a defeat here would have followed successive draws at Galway and Carlow, leaving the defending provincial champions with just four points from four matches. Cody’s superb angled finish past Dublin stopper Sean Brennan changed everything, however, while Kilkenny subsequently defeated Wexford by a single point in matchday five to reach a seventh consecutive Leinster final. Once again, the Cats were far from convincing at Nowlan Park, but the talismanic TJ Reid (1-13) showcased his unique ability to deliver when it matters the most. This type of big-game pedigree may prove crucial when Kilkenny meet the Dubs at Croke Park.

Last 5 Games
Kilkenny 1-24 Wexford 2-20 26.05.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship
Ireland 2-23 Kilkenny 1-28 18.05.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship
Carlow 1-20 Kilkenny 1-20 11.05.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship
Galway 2-23 Kilkenny 0-29 28.04.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship
Kilkenny 5-30 Antrim 0-13 21.04.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship

The return to full fitness of Cody has provided a huge boost to Kilkenny’s attack, while Mullen’s recovery from a groin injury will afford the Cats an additional competitive edge against the Dubs. Mullen could well replace fellow forward John Donnelly in the Cats’ starting 15 for the Leinster final, after the latter incurred a hand injury during last weekend’s pivotal provincial victory over Wexford.

Player Reason
John Donnelly Hand injury

2️⃣ Dublin Update

Micheál Donoghue’s Dublin side have now lost just one of their previous six matches heading into the Leinster final, since they were defeated by Galway at the Pearse Stadium in a National League clash on March 10th. Interestingly, they avenged their defeat to the ‘The Tribesmen’ in the final round of provincial fixtures, winning by six points in Salthill as the aforementioned Donal Burke struck 1-10 to continue his excellent personal campaign. A total of 14 players contributed to the Dubs’ tally against Galway, while they dominated much of the second half after the dismissal of David Burke. What’s more, Dublin were highly efficient in front of goal against Galway, which will provide reassurance after they hit a surprising number of wides during their previous loss to Kilkenny

Last 5 Games
Dublin 2-27 Galway 1-24 26.05.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship
Dublin 2-23 Kilkenny 1-28 18.05.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship
Dublin 3-32 Antrim -0-18 11.05.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship
Carlow 0-22 Dublin 1-24 27.04.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship
Wexford 1-21 Dublin 2-18 21.04.24 Leinster Senior Hurling Championship

The Dubs reported no new injury or suspension concerns in the wake of their matchday five win against Galway. However, left-corner back Cian O'Callaghan will miss out as he continues his recovery from a hamstring strain, while Fionntan MacGibb is also absent from the Leinster final panel with an ankle injury.

Player Reason
Cian O'Callaghan Hamstring injury
Fionntan MacGibb Ankle injury

👕Kilkenny vs Dublin - Potential Lineups

Pos. Kilkenny6-2-6 Dublin6-2-6 Pos.
Goalkeeper E. Murphy S. Brennan Goalkeeper
Right Corner-Back M. Butler J. Bellew Right Corner-Back
Half-Back H. Lawlor E. O'Donnell Half-Back
Left Corner-Back T. Walsh P. Smyth Left Corner-Back
Right Half-Back D. Blanchfield C. Crummey Right Half-Back
Centre Half-Back P. Deegan C. Donohoe Centre Half-Back
Left Half-Back M. Carey P. Doyle Left Half-Back
Midfielder C. Kenny B. Hayes Midfielder
Midfielder R. Reid C. Burke Midfielder
Right Half-Forward A. Mullen D. Sutcliffle Right Half-Forward
Centre Half-Forward TJ Reid D. Burke Centre Half-Forward
Left Half-Forward T. Phelan S. Currie Left Half-Forward
Right Corner-Forward M. Keoghan F. Whitely Right Corner-Forward
Full Forward B. Ryan C. O'Sullivan Full Forward
Left Corner-Forward E. Cody R. Hayes Full Forward

Kilkenny To Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football and GAA writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and the GAA provincial championships, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.