England vs France Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips – 2022 World Cup: Who Will Win?

England vs France Prediction and Betting Odds England vs France Prediction and Betting Odds
TournamentFIFA World Cup 2022
TimetableSaturday 10th December at 19:00 GMT
PredictionFrance to Win!
OddsFrance to Win @ 2.46
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
France to Win!
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England vs France world cup prediction England vs France world cup prediction

The fourth and final World Cup quarterfinal kicks off on Saturday, December 10th at 19:00 GMT, as 1966 winners and tournament top scorers England take on defending champions France at the Al Bayt Stadium.

This is a truly mouth-watering clash, with England having plundered 12 goals in just four tournament matches to date and France boasting the finals’ top scorer (and arguably best player) in Kylian Mbappe.

France are the narrow favourites here, thanks to their slightly superior pedigree on the international stage and status as defending champions. Remember, they also won the 2021 iteration of the UEFA Nations League, while finishing as runners-up in Euro 2016.

However, England arguably has the deepest and most talented squad of any World Cup nation, and while the latest FIFA World Cup betting odds may be against them, they’ll be optimistic that they can overcome France and reach a second consecutive WC semi-final.

💯 England vs France Betting Odds

We’ve already touched on the initial ante post odds, but we thought we’d explore these in a little more detail below. These have been published across a number of bet types, including match betting, both sides to score (or not) and the over/under market for total goals scored in the game.

🏅 England vs France Odds: Match Winner

Match wagering is the single most popular market among our recommended betting sites, with the initial England vs France odds published immediately after the fixture was confirmed. Here’s an overview of the latest prices:

England to Win3.253.253.153.203.003.203.20
France to Win2.462.382.462.302.302.382.38
Draw3.153.153.133.103.133.103.10

⚽ England vs France Odds: Both Teams to Score

You can also bet on whether you think both sides will score in this encounter, which is a tough market to call in tight knockout matches. Here’s the latest odds for your consideration:

Yes1.971.971.851.831.801.911.91
No1.951.871.801.871.931.801.80

🥅 England vs France Odds: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The last market we’re going to reference here is the over/under market for total goals scored, which is also quite popular (albeit tough to predict) during the World Cup knockout stages. However, the four round of 16 clashes completed so far have yielded 14 goals at more than three per game, so you may also fancy this to be a relatively high scoring encounter.

Over 2.5 Goals2.152.202.152.102.152.152.15
Under 2.5 Goals1.621.711.621.671.651.621.62

🏠 England Preview

England have wowed from an attacking perspective during the World Cup so far, plundering 12 goals in four matches at a rate of three-per-game. This run even included a disappointing 0-0 against the USA, while they’ve thrashed Iran 6-2 and put three past both Wales and Senegal.

These goals have been shared out among the playing squad too, with talisman and skipper Harry Kane actually going goalless until he scored an excellent second in the round of 16 win over Senegal.

England’s attacking prowess shouldn’t come as a huge surprise, of course, especially given the depth of riches that they have throughout the squad. Three-goal Marcus Rashford was dropped to the bench against Senegal, for example, while Jack Grealish, Mason Mount and James Maddison were also in reserve for the round of 16 clash.

France represents a different level of competition, however, and doubts remain over England’s ability to play effectively against compact teams that press well and keep possession. This should make for a fascinating match, and one that will see the Three Lions start as slight underdogs.

📰 Latest England World Cup News

☍ France Preview

Defending champions France have also been in decent goalscoring form so far this campaign, scoring 10 goals in their four matches to date despite also drawing a blank in the 1-0 defeat to Tunisia in their final group stage match.

Much of this down to the impact of the superb Kylian Mbappe, who has scored five times already in Qatar and is odds-on favourite to claim the tournament’s coveted Golden Boot. Incredibly, he has also become the youngest player to score nine WC finals’ goals, breaking a record that was previously held by Pele.

Incredibly, France have achieved success without yet playing at their best, as they laboured at times against Australia and Denmark before Didier Deschamps rested the bulk of his first team against Tunisia with Les Bleus having already qualified for the round of 16.

However, France retains the type of individual quality and big game nous that enables them to win matches without being anywhere near their best form, and England will need to be wary of this in Al Khor.

📰 Latest France World Cup News

🟨 The Latest Injury News and Suspensions

Neither side has reported any new injury concerns following their round of 16 victories, while there are no suspensions to be served during the quarter final between England and France.

This means that Leicester City playmaker James Maddison is fully fit after injury for the Three Lions, and will once again provide a creative outlet from the bench. The big question for manager Gareth Southgate is whether he adjusts his formation and outlook to account for the brilliant Mbappe, with some suggesting that he may adopt a 3-4-3 system with the fit-again Kyle Walker at right centre back.

This would see Kieran Trippier restored to the side at right wingback (perhaps in place of Jordan Henderson), while Bukayo Saka is expected to keep his place ahead of the in-form Marcus Rashford.

If Southgate retains the same 4-3-3 he has deployed throughout the tournament, England are likely to be unchanged from the game against Senegal, with the pacy and positionally astute Walker retaining his place at right back.

Of course, France started the tournament with a number of key players missing through injury, including N’Golo Kante, Paul Pogba, Christopher Nkunku and Balon d’Or winner Karim Benzema. Then, Lucas Hernandez sustained a long-term knee injury knee injury in the opening Group D game against Australia, while brother Theo is also an injury doubt having picked up a knock before the round of 16 clash with Poland.

Otherwise, France are likely to be unchanged against the English, with record goalscorer Olivier Giroud leading the attacking line and Rafael Varane marshalling the central defence.

🏆 Key Matchups

At any level of football, matches are often decided by individual battles, and the WC quarterfinal clash between England and Wales in no exception to this rule.

But what are the key duals that will prove influential in this match? We’ve outlined three of the most crucial below:

Jude Bellingham vs Aurélien Tchouaméni

Despite being aged just 19, Borussia Dortmund midfielder Jude Bellingham has been England’s standout performer during the World Cup, dominating the middle of the park with this powerful running, close control and exceptional leadership.

He also provided an assist and a key pass for England’s second goal just before half time, when he released Phil Foden into space down the left channel and created a 2-vs-1 in attack.

Bellingham will need all of his athleticism and maturity against France, who boast technically excellent players like Adrien Rabiot and Antoine Griezmann in the centre of the pitch. He’ll also have to engage in a physical battle with France’s 22-year-old midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni, who plays a little deeper and will be tasked with tracking Bellingham’s forward runs.

Whoever wins this battle will play a key role for their side, potentially helping to lay a foundation from which they’re able to dominate.

Kyle Walker vs Kylian Mbappe

Regardless of whether England deploy a 4-3-3 or 3-4-3 shape against the French, Manchester City defender Kyle Walker will play an integral role in thwarting the brilliant Kylian Mbappe.

This explosive and clinical goalscorer loves to operate in the left-hand channel, while he’s capable of beating opponents for pace on the outside and driving inside to get shots on goal.

Given his raw pace, experience and positional awareness, Walker will often be the closest player to Mbappe, whether he starts at right back or on the right side of a back three. This is a huge responsibility, as keeping the forward quiet could be key to England’s success.

Walker won’t be too worried about getting forward either, while he may also need support from Bellingham or Jordan Henderson (who can provide additional defensive cover from midfield).

Dayot Upamecano vs Harry Kane

France will want to dominate possession and press quite high against the Three Lions, while they’ll also look to maintain a compact shape against players such as Harry Kane.

Of course, the striker poses a unique challenge to most defences, especially given his penchant for dropping deep into midfield and threading passes through to inverted wingers such as Bukayo Saka and Marcus Rashford.

With the experienced Varane likely to hold the French defensive line and sweep up behind his partner Upamecano, the latter will probably look to get tight to Kane and try to prevent him from turning into space as he drops deep.

The question that remains is how far is he willing to track the roaming Kane, and will Tchouaméni and both full backs be able provide additional coverage across the pitch?

⚡ England vs France – The Head-to-Head Statistics

Interestingly, England and France have met a whopping 31 times since May 1923, with England boasting a winning record over their rivals.

In fact, the Three Lions have won 17 of these clashes, with France victorious on nine occasions and five draws having been played out by both teams.

However, if we drill a little deeper into these figures, we can see that England have won just one of the last eight meetings dating back to June 1997, with this coming in an international friendly match at Wembley in 2015 (2-0).

Conversely, France have won five games during this period, including a 2-1 during the group stages of Euro 2004 (when Zinedine Zidane scored a late brace) and a 3-2 friendly in their last meeting in June 2017.

🥇 England vs France Prediction - Who Will Win?

This is set to be a mighty World Cup battle, and one that arguably pits the tournaments’ most in-form teams against one another in Al-Khor.

It’s also an incredibly difficult match to call, as both teams have potential match-winners and numerous options on the bench if they need to alter the course of the match as it develops.

The bookmakers seem to favour France at present, and it’s hard to dispute this observation given their status as defending champions and the sheer number of big game players they have in their ranks (even in the absence of Benzema, Pogba and Kante).

So, we’re edging towards a France win here and another heart-breaking exit for England, although the good news is that we don’t think it will be on penalties this time!

Our England vs France match prediction: France to win 2-1.

🔍 Our England vs France Betting Tips?

While all of our recommended football betting sites favour France to win, they’re clearly hedging their bets with the odds that they’ve published.

This (and the keenly contested nature of the game) means that there’s little value to be found in match betting here, while it would also be unwise to apply a handicap to either side as a way of enhancing the odds in play.

However, the sheer attacking quality of England and France means that we expect both sides to score, and you can get on this at a price of 1.97 with TonyBet Sports.

Because of this, we also think that there will be over 2.5 goals scored during the game, with this outcome priced at 2.20 with Palm Slots Sports.

"The sheer attacking quality of England and France means that we expect both sides to score, and you can get on this at a price of 1.97 with TonyBet Sports."

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France to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries - Sports Journalist, Tipster and Betting Expert

This England vs France 2022WC Prediction was written by Lewis Humphries. Lewis is a business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and online casino gaming. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands.

His content has also featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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