England vs USA Prediction and Betting Odds – 2022 World Cup: Who Will Win?

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TournamentFIFA World Cup 2022
TimetableFriday 25th of November at 19.00 GMT
PredictionEngland to Win!
OddsEngland to Win @ 1.68
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
England to Win!
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Odds : 1.68
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Odds : 1.60
Bet €100 and win €160 if England win.
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€125
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Odds : 1.70
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The fourth and final game of November 25th in Qatar (and the 20th match of the World Cup overall) sees Gareth Southgate’s England side take on the USA at the Al Bayt Stadium.

This 10pm kick-off will be hotly anticipated too, and while the Three Lions will start as obvious favourites, shaving already stunned a highly thought of Iranian side 6-2 in their opening Group B match.

However, the USA boasts enough quality and experience to make for a highly competitive match and will be hoping to build on the platform provided by their 1-1 draw against Wales last time out.

So, will England deliver on their status as favourites as they look to secure a last 16 place or can the US spring what would be one of the tournament’s biggest surprises and emulate the American national team from 1950? Whether you're a football novice or an experienced bettor, our team analysis will help guide your FIFA World Cup Betting predictions and we will show you the top betting sites to secure big wins in Ireland. Let's get started!

💯 England vs USA Betting Odds

Now, we’re going to assess the core football betting markets for England vs USA, including the match winner, over/under wagering on the total number of goals scored and both sides to score.

We’ve also included the latest England vs USA world cup odds from our listed bookmakers so that you can make informed and hopefully rewarding decisions!

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🏅 England vs USA Odds: Match Winner

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England to Win1.681.601.551.571.701.571.75
USA to Win4.685.256.006.003.555.804.80
Draw5.233.604.103.803.503.903.60

⚽ England vs USA Odds: Both Teams to Score

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Yes2.011.941.871.751.831.851.91
No1.811.701.801.911.911.871.80

🥅 England vs USA Odds: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

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Over 2.5 Goals1.802.001.801.751.831.801.85
Under 2.5 Goals2.001.791.911.951.951.951.85

🏠 England World Cup Preview

After the nadir of losing to Iceland in Euro 2016, it’s fair to say that Gareth Southgate has rebuilt and revitalised England over the course of the last six years.

This has been rewarded with a World Cup semi-final in Russia in 2018, while the Three Lions also came agonisingly close to their first major title in 54 years before losing to Italy on penalties in the showpiece final of Euro 2020.

However, it can be argued that England have hit a slump in form at the worst possible time, going winless in four UEFA Nations League matches between June 4th and June 14th of this year. This run included a 4-0 thrashing by Hungary at Wembley, which heaped pressure on Southgate and raised concerns that he was failing to get the best out of his talented ensemble of players. The good news for Three Lions’ fans is that their thrashing of Iran has put paid to some of these concerns, especially as Southgate adopted a forward-thinking 4-3-3 formation and played a single midfield pivot in the form of Declan Rice.

Still, they’re widely fancied to do well in Qatar, and this will be a fixture that they’ll need to win if they’re to qualify for the knockout stages.

🏆 England World Cup History

England didn’t appear at the World Cup prior to 1950, while their performance in Brazil that year saw them eliminated at the group stage. Interestingly, this tournament saw the Three Lions suffer a notorious defeat to the USA in Belo Horizonte, with a goal from Joe Gaetjens springing one of the biggest upsets in WC history.

The side fared better in 1954 and 1962 by reaching the quarter-finals, while a home tournament in 1966 saw an impassioned crowd cheer England onto their greatest ever triumph. Inspired by talisman Bobby Charlton and the outstanding Bobby Moore in defence, the Three Lions defeated Germany 4-2 at Wembley to lift the Jules Rimet trophy for the first (and only) time.

Since then, it has been a sustained period of frustration and heartbreak for England, who have not reached another major final and have just two fourth-place finishes to their name in 1990 and Russia in 2018.

These achievements have sandwiched several rounds of 16 and quarter-final exits, and England will hope to showcase some consistency having kick-started their latest finals campaign in some style.

✔️ England Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

England have won 76 and lost just 11 of their 112 WC qualifiers to date, so it should come as no surprise that they reached Qatar with a little something to spare.

In fact, they won eight and drew two of their 10 UEFA Group I games, scoring an impressive 39 goals and even recording a whopping 10-0 win against San Marino in Serravalle.

The Three Lions also scored nine goals in two matches against Andorra, and ultimately topped UEFA Group I by six points from Poland.

DateMatchFinal ScoreWinner
25th March 2021England vs San Marino5-0England
28th March 2021Albania vs England0-2England
31st March 2021England vs Poland2-1England
2nd September 2021Hungary vs England0-4England
5th September 2021England vs Andorra4-0England
8th September 2021Poland vs England1-1Draw
9th October 2021Andorra vs England0-5England
12th October 2021England vs Hungary1-1Draw
12th November 2021England vs Albania5-0England
15th November 2021San Marino vs England0-10England

⭐ England Players to Watch

Given the wealth of superstars in England’s squad, it can be incredibly hard to select three players to stand out from the crowd. However, we’ve chosen those that could make the biggest mark in Qatar against the USA:

  • Raheem Sterling: While Raheem Sterling continues to divide opinion among fans nationwide, he’s a seasoned international who has scored some crucial goals for England. In fact, he has 19 in 77 international appearances, while his pace and clever movement saw him strike the opening goal against Hungary in the Three Lions’ 4-0 qualifying win. Not only is Sterling aged 27 and entering his peak, but he also has a point to prove having made the £47.5 million switch to Chelsea from Manchester City in the summer. He also scored impressively against Iran and looked sharp as one of England’s three forwards.
  • Jordan Pickford: Everton keeper Pickford is another who divides opinion among fans of club and country, while he also has the most errors leading to goals in the Premier League since 2016. However, Pickford is a different animal in his England shirt, with his athleticism and excellent distribution having created a sense of defensive assurance for Gareth Southgate’s men during his 45 caps. He’ll be the last line of defence once again in the winter and will play a pivotal role in England’s chance of progressing.
  • Mason Mount: Chelsea's Mason Mount is becoming an increasingly influential creative force for England, with the 23-year-old attacking midfielder known for his vision, awareness and positional flexibility. The roving midfielder also has an outstanding work-ethic and desire to press from the front, while his unerring eye for goal has contributed four goals in his 31 international caps. He’s also scored 55 goals in 250 career appearances to date, equating to roughly a goal every five games, and started in an advanced midfield role against Iran..

📰 Latest England World Cup Views

✈️ USA World Cup Preview

We’re now used to seeing the USA compete at the top table of international football, with the side currently ranked 14th in the world by FIFA and categorised as the second-best CONCACAF side (behind 12th-ranked Mexico).

However, the side has made tremendous strides since hosting the 1994 World Cup, at which point it was on the fringes of the sport and had only participated in one WC iteration since 1950.

Like England, the USA has also endured a mixed run of form since the beginning of March, starting with a 2-0 defeat in Costa Rica in the final CONCACAF qualifying match.

Since then, the US have beaten WC rivals Morocco (3-0) and Grenada (5-0), while being held to disappointing draws by Uruguay (0-0) and El Salvador (1-1). Then came their tournament opener against Wales, where the USA surrendered a goal lead and positive start as the side lost its momentum in the second half.

🏆 USA World Cup History

As we’ve already touched on, the USA enjoyed something of a breakthrough on the international stage when hosting the World Cup in 1994, following on from their group stage exit at Italia ‘90.

Prior to this, the country last appeared at the finals in 1950, and while they also exited the group stage in Brazil, this tournament saw them record an incredible 1-0 win against a much-fancied England side in Belo Horizonte.

The tournament in 1994 was certainly something of a catalyst for the States, as this was the first of six consecutive finals that the USA appeared in until 2014. They subsequently failed to qualify for the finals in 2018, so will be delighted to have made the tournament proper this time around.

Curiously, USA’s best performance at the finals came during the inaugural World Cup in Uruguay in 1930 (they reached the semi-finals), although they only had to play three matches to achieve this objective. They’ll be happy to make the second round in Qatar after an opening draw against Wales, with England posing stern opposition and a significant obstacle to achieving this goal!

✔️ USA Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

As the second-ranked CONCACAF side, the USA received an automatic bye into the third and final round of qualifying for the World Cup.

However, the side struggled to assert their authority in the group, losing three and drawing four of their 14 matches and only qualifying in the third (and final) automatic qualification place ahead of Costa Rica on goal difference.

The USA at least managed to remain unbeaten at home and won six of their seven qualifiers in the states, although their form on the road saw them victorious only once (against Honduras) while they suffered three defeats.

DateMatchFinal ScoreWinner
2nd September 2021El Salvador vs USA0-0Draw
5th September 2021USA v Canada -1-1Draw
8th September 2021Honduras v USA1-4USA
7th October 2021USA v Jamaica2-0USA
10th October 2021Panama vs USA1-0Panama
13th October 2021USA v Costa Rica2-1USA
12th November 2021USA v Mexico2-0USA
16th November 2021Jamaica vs USA1-1Draw
27th January 2022USA v El Salvador1-0USA
30th January 2022Canada vs USA2-0Canada
2nd February 2022USA v Honduras3-0USA
24th March 2022Mexico vs USA0-0Draw
27th March 2022USA vs Panama5-1USA
30th March 2022Costa Rica vs USA2-0Costa Rica

⭐ USA Players to Watch

A number of USA’s players operate in Europe’s top leagues while representing sides like Chelsea, Juventus and Leeds United. But who are the three players to watch in Qatar?

  • Brenden Aaronson: We’ll start with the 21-year-old Brenden Aaronson, who became the second most expensive American footballer of all-time when he moved from Red Bull Salzburg to Leeds United for $30.2 million this summer. An attacking midfielder with a boundless engine and eye for goal, he has struck six goals in 22 international appearances (including two during World Cup qualification), while he has already opened his Leeds account with a goal against Chelsea in the Premier League. He may be in contention to start against England after appearing from the bench last time out.
  • Antonee Robinson: The embodiment of the modern fullback, Fulham’s Antonee Robinson will be one of the first names on the team sheet against England. Blessed with tremendous pace and stamina, he’s an excellent attacking outlet and is also more than capable of defending against speed and trickery. He also has a genuine eye for goal, with his two international goals (in 29 caps to date) including a crucial strike that sealed a 1-0 win against El Salvador during CONCACAF qualifying.
  • Christian Pulisic: While Chelsea’s Christian Pulisic may be a little injury prone, he remains an exceptionally gifted and highly experienced 23-year-old. This tricky winger also has a talismanic presence and genuine goal threat, having scored 21 goals in 51 international appearances to date. This haul includes five crucial goals during CONCACAF qualifying, while Pulisic starred with a hat-trick as the USA thrashed Panama 5-1. If the USA are to ultimately progress from a challenging Group B, a fully fit and firing Pulisic will be key.

📰 Latest USA World Cup News

🥇 England vs USA Prediction - Who Will Win?

Many pundits believe that England and the USA are the two best sides in Group B, and this is borne out by their respective FIFA rankings of fifth and 14th.

What’s more, the sides have played each other twice at the World Cup throughout history, with the USA unbeaten following their stunning win in 1950 and a 1-1 draw in 2010 following a horrendous error by Three Lions’ keeper Rob Green.

However, England have won eight of their 11 meetings with the US in total (including nine friendlies), while there’s no doubt that England boasts the slightly better squad and a greater pedigree. They also looked imperious in their 6-2 win over a decent Iran side in their WC finals opener, while the USA laboured to a 1-1 draw with Wales following an uninspired second half showing.

So, we’re edging towards an England win here and the Three Lions to maintain their 100% record, but Southgate’s men will have to work hard to secure a key victory over their closest Group B rivals.

Our England vs USA match prediction: England to win.

🔍 Our England vs USA Betting Tips?

The bookies seem to agree that England are favourites to win, with the real-time world Cup 2022 football odds perhaps not reflecting the quality possessed by the USA squad (especially with the price of a Three Lions win having shortened after the first round of Group B matches). With this in mind, there may be some value in backing the USA to win, but we should note that there remains an implied probability of 55.6% that England will prevail.

We like the notion of backing both sides to score. Certainly, the USA boast some excellent and pacy forwards, and England’s defence has looked vulnerable in recent outings.

England Vs USA Betting Tip#1: There’s also good value in betting on there to be over 2.5 goals scored in the game, with Betway enabling you to back this at a price of 2.02.

🎁 England vs USA World Cup Free Bets

We’ve finished off our England vs USA prediction by listing three of the best World Cup free bets on offer, including one that offers access to up to €100 in complimentary wagers. Be sure to check them out in more detail before you commit your hard-earned cash!

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England to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries - Sports Journalist, Tipster and Betting Expert

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This England vs USA Prediction was written by Lewis Humphries. Lewis is a business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and online casino gaming. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands.

His content has also featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sports blog.

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