Tunisia vs France Prediction and Betting Odds – 2022 World Cup: Who Will Win?

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TournamentFIFA World Cup 2022
TimetableWednesday 30th of November at 06:00 GMT
PredictionFrance to Win!
OddsFrance to Win @ 1.43
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Odds : 1.43
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Odds : 1.23
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On November 30th, France will play their final Group D match of the Qatar World Cup, with Tunisia their rivals at the Education City Stadium.

This match, along with the other Group D clash between Australia and Denmark, will kick off at 6pm local time, while the contest will be the 38th game of the World Cup as a whole.

Not only is this match rich in geopolitical history (with Tunisia existing under French rule through the formative part of the 20th century and only achieving independence in 1956), but the North African side will have to upset the FIFA World Cup Betting odds and win in Doha to have any chance of reaching the round of 16.

While France have already qualified for the second round after winning both of their first two matches, they still need at least a point to secure the top spot in Group D. So, they should field a strong side and will undoubtedly be a tough nut to crack for a game Tunisia side!

Our team analysis will help guide your FIFA World Cup betting predictions.

💯 Tunisia vs France Betting Odds

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Before we delve into our match preview and you wager your hard-earned cash on Tunisia vs France at the 2022 World Cup, you may want to take a closer look at the core football betting markets.

We’ve detailed these below while incorporating the latest odds from our recommended sportsbooks!

🏅 Tunisia vs France: Match Winner Odds

Straight match wagering is arguably the most popular ante-post betting market, while it’s certainly the easiest to understand. So, here’s the latest, real-time Tunisia vs France odds from our recommended betting sites, so that you can hopefully build informed and successful bet slips!

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Tunisia to Win8.009.008.908.008.008.508.50
France to Win1.401.431.531.361.331.361.36
Draw4.504.504.754.754.504.504.75

⚽ Tunisia vs France: Both Teams to Score

As we can see, Tunisia are clearly the underdogs here, so you may find a little more value when engaging in even money wagers such as backing both sides to score (or not). Here are the latest market prices in play here:

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Yes2.102.112.032.052.002.052.05
No1.671.751.731.671.751.701.70

🥅 Tunisia vs France: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Wagering on their being over or under 2.5 goals is another highly popular betting market and one that also unlocks even money bets. Our sportsbooks are also offering competitive odds on this market, including the following:

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Over 2.5 Goals1.831.801.831.751.801.751.80
Under 2.5 Goals2.001.952.051.952.001.951.91

🏠 Tunisia Preview

North African and CAF side Tunisia is currently ranked 30th in the world by FIFA, with this also affording them the status of being the third-best footballing nation in the region.

Certainly, the North African side excelled in their opening match against Denmark, restricting their more illustrious opponents for much of the game while arguably creating better chances on the break throughout.

However, they’ll be bitterly disappointed that they lost to 38th-ranked Australia, whose superior defensive organisation and intensity earned a deserved (and crucial) win last time out. This left Tunisia bottom of Group D with a single point, two adrift of Australia in second.

So, they’ll have to beat France to have any chance of reaching the round of 16 for the first ever time, while hoping that Australia and Denmark draw. If the Aussies win, they’ll be eliminated regardless, while a victory for the Danes will require Tunisia to beat France by a larger winning margin of at least one goal. One thing’s for sure; things could get incredibly complicated over the course of the 90 minutes in Doha, so it may be time to strap yourself in!

📰 Latest Tunisia World Cup News

☍ France Preview

As of October, France was ranked fourth in the world by FIFA, making them the second-best side in the UEFA qualifying region (behind second-ranked Belgium).

They’re also the defending world champions after a stellar campaign in Russia in 2018, when a Kylian Mbappe-inspired side blazed their way to the final before beating Croatia 4-2 in a gloriously chaotic final in Moscow.

Unsurprisingly, Mbappe has also started this World Cup campaign in sparkling form, scoring three times and laying on an assist (for Oliver Giroud in the 4-1 win over Australia) in just two games. His predatory brace also consigned Denmark to a 2-1 defeat last time out, avenging Les Bleus’ two UEFA Nations League defeats to the Danes in the summer and booking their place in the round of the 16 (France was the first team to achieve this objective).

Ultimately, the French only need a point to secure the top spot and a potentially more favourable draw in the round of 16, and it would be a brave man to bet against this team and its big game players from achieving this goal too!

📰 Latest France World Cup News

🟨 The Latest Injury News and Suspensions

While Tunisia manager Jalel Kadri has no new injury concerns or suspensions to mull over, he could well make some changes ahead of the must-win game with France.

Certainly, Wajdi Kechrida or Ferjani Sassi could start right back in this game, especially with Mohamed Drager having been dragged off by his coach at half-time during the harrowing defeat to Australia.

31-year-old attacking midfielder Wahbi Khazri is also set to start his first game at the World Cup, after a single substitute appearance so far. After all, Montpellier man Khazri has scored 24 goals in 73 international caps so far, and he could provide his nation with a little more cutting edge in the final third.

Lucas Hernandez remains sidelined for France after his devastating cruciate ligament injury, with brother Theo now the only recognised left back in the squad. However, Didier Deschamps is allegedly considering fielding talented young midfielder Eduardo Camavinga as a makeshift left-back or wing-back against Tunisia, in order to rest Theo ahead of the round of 16.

Deschamps could also rest one or two others regardless of whether or not he changes shape, with William Saliba, Matteo Guendouzi, Kingsley Coman and Youssouf Fofana all in contention to start against Tunisia.

However, Hugo Lloris is likely to remain in goal, as second-choice shot-stopper Alphonse Areola remains a slight doubt with a minor back complaint.

🔑 The Key Matchups

This contest will feature a number of key duals and matchups across the length and breadth of the pitch, each of which will be crucial to determining the final result. We’ll explore three of the key duals in a little further detail below while asking how they’re likely to impact the game.

Dylan Bronn vs Kylian Mbappe

Even if France do ring the changes for this game, we’d expect talisman Kylian Mbappe to start in Doha. After all, he has three goals in this tournament already, while his tally of seven World Cup goals at the age of 23 is simply phenomenal.

If Tunisia retain their preferred 3-4-2-1 system against France (which they may well do even though they need to win the game), Mbappe will look to occupy right centre-back Dylan Bronn, either by driving at pace and committing him on the outside or drifting across him as he looks to break in the box.

One thing’s for sure; Bronn will need help from his wingback, who may well be Ferjani Sassi after his substitute appearance against the Aussies last time out.

The issue here is that Mbappe’s mere presence could restrict Tunisia’s attacking output from the right flank, and the North African side will have to find the balance between containing the striker and looking to build attacks at the other end.

Wahbi Khazri vs Raphael Varane

Manchester United defender Raphael Varane returned to fitness in time for France’s game against Denmark, where his presence and composure helped Les Bleus to secure a crucial, 2-1 win.

However, he may face a slightly different challenge if Tunisia look to start their second-highest scorer ever in Doha, with former Sunderland man Wahbi Khazri chomping at the bit to make his first start at the 2022 World Cup.

Certainly, Khazri is a busy and mobile forward with a keen eye for goal, and Varane will need all of his poise and awareness to track the forward and keep him quiet.

Most likely, Varane will look to use his positional awareness to nullify Khazri and intercept the ball before it reaches him while isolating him from his fellow forwards.

Aïssa Laïdouni vs Aurélien Tchouaméni

Aïssa Laïdouni has been a prominent performer for Tunisia so far, looking to set the tone for their campaign with a thunderous early slide tackle on Christian Eriksen against Denmark and a subsequent celebration befitting of the winning goal in a World Cup final.

While his commitment and consistency hasn’t quite rubbed off on all his teammates, he’ll play a key role in the midfield against France, where he’s likely to come face-to-face with the highly promising, 22-year-old Real Madrid star Aurélien Tchouaméni.

Sure, Tchouaméni could be rested by Deschamps, but if he starts in Doha, he’ll need all of his dynamism, energy and mobility to keep pace with the relentless Laïdouni.

Of course, Tchouaméni has a little more quality and will presumably have to do much less running off the ball, and this could prove crucial in the heat and humidity of the Middle East.

⚡Tunisia vs France – The Head-to-Head Statistics

Interestingly, Tunisia were unable to compete in the World Cup until 1956, as prior to this date they were considered a French-owned territory. This has underpinned some geopolitical tension through the years, although it’s interesting to note that these sides have never met in a World Cup.

In fact, they’ve only met five times through history, with the Tunisians winning the first encounter 2-1 in October 1971 in the Mediterranean Games. This remains the side's only ever win over France, however, with the subsequent four matches resulting in two defeats and two draws.

France’s biggest win came in an international friendly in October 2008, when Les Bleus prevailed 3-1 at home. The most recent game followed shortly after in May 2010, with this ending in a 1-1 draw at the Stade on 7 Novembre in Rades.

Issam Jamaa gave Tunisia the lead inside the first five minutes here, before former Arsenal and Chelsea defender William Gallas equalised just past the hour.

🥇 Tunisia vs France Prediction - Who Will Win?

The odds suggest that this game will be a walk in the park for France, while the maths confirm that Les Bleus have an implied probability of 80% that they’ll prevail in Qatar.

Certainly, they boast superior individual quality and firepower to their opponents, while Tunisia have been largely disappointing and frustrating so far despite their promising performance for parts of their game against Denmark.

However, France have qualified for the round of 16 and could make some changes in Doha, while Tunisia are clear in the knowledge that nothing less than a win will enable them to potentially keep their World Cup dreams alive.

This could make the match a little closer than it may have been, but we’re backing France’s strength in depth to prove telling in an ultimately comfortable win.

Our Tunisia vs France match prediction: France to win 3-1.

🔍 Our Tunisia vs France Betting Tips?

Handicap betting may be an option here, with France heavily favoured by our leading sportsbooks. So, you could apply a -1.5-goal handicap to France in this match, with a view to lengthening the odds in your favour without overly compromising your chances of winning.

We wouldn’t go any higher than this, however, particularly given that Les Bleus have already qualified and may not be at their best.

Another appealing option may be the over/under betting market for goals scored in the game. We feel as though there will be over 2.5 goals in the match, especially as Tunisia start to chase the game and become ragged in their defensive shape. You can get on this market at a price of 1.83 with TonyBet Sports.

If you’re a real fan of football betting, you may also want to place a small bet on both sides to score, especially given Tunisia’s need to win. This is priced at 2.11 with Palm Slots and offers good value in the circumstances.

Tunisia vs France Betting Tip #1: We’d also recommend avoiding the ‘both sides to score’ market where possible, as Tunisia will have limited possession and may struggle to fashion chances against their more illustrious rivals.

🎁 Tunisia vs France World Cup Free Bets

So, there you have it; our guide and prediction to Tunisia vs France in the World Cup and associated betting tips for you to consider! To close, we’ve listed some of the most generous free bets below, some of which can unlock up to €100 in free wagers to use at the Qatar finals!

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✒️ Lewis Humphries - Sports Journalist, Tipster and Betting Expert

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This Tunisia vs France 2022WC Prediction was written by Lewis Humphries. Lewis is a business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and online casino gaming. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands.

His content has also featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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