Australia vs Wales Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - Rugby Union 2024

australia-vs-wales-summer-internationals-2024 australia-vs-wales-summer-internationals-2024
TournamentSummer Internationals
Timetable10:45 GMT - 13th JULY 24
PredictionAustralia to win
Odds@1.25
BookmakerDirectionBet Sport
The best odds
1.
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2.
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Golden​bet Sports
Odds : 1.21
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australia-vs-wales-prediction-2024 australia-vs-wales-prediction-2024

Another highly interesting match in week three of the 2024 Summer Internationals that catches my eye is Australia vs Wales on the 13th of July. This game will be taking place at AAMI Park in Melbourne with a kick-off time of 10:45 GMT, so you can give this match a watch after you have watched New Zealand vs England.

The man in charge of this game is Nika Amashukeli from Georgia, who is one of the best refs around in my opinion, while he will be assisted on the touchlines by Matthew Carley from Australia and Paul Williams from New Zealand. The man on the TMO is Glenn Newman, who is also from New Zealand.

The first Test between these two nations was closer than many expected, with Australia coming out on top 25-16. Will Wales manage to draw the series or will the Aussies pick up a 2-0 win? This is the question that this prediction will aim to answer.

💯 Australia v Wales Betting Odds

Are you looking for some quality rugby bookmakers so that you can put down some bets on this Australia vs Wales match? If yes, then below you can find the latest top odds that my five favourite bookies are offering at the moment.

🥇 Australia v Wales Match Winner Odds

Given Wales’s poor record Down Under, it is no surprise that the bookmakers have Australia as the favourites to win this match. The last time the Welsh won in Australia was before Neil Armstrong made it to the moon and Harold Wilson was the Prime Minister of the UK. They have tried to be victorious 12 times since and have failed badly. You can find the latest Australia vs Wales match winner odds in the table below:

Team
Australia1.251.201.201.211.25
Draw22.0021.0021.0012.0022.00
Wales4.504.754.754.734.50

🏮 Australia v Wales Asian Handicap Odds

The match winner odds for Australia to win are very short, so you will probably not be thinking about placing a bet on the winner of the game. Thankfully, you can increase the odds on offer via Asian handicap betting. With such a market, you can give one of the teams a points advantage or disadvantage while taking away the draw option. Below you can find the Asian handicap odds for Australia vs Wales:

Asian Handicap
Australia (-10.5)1.921.851.85-1.92
Wales (+10.5)1.851.801.80-1.85

➕ Australia v Wales Highest Scoring Half

Rugby is a great sport to bet on as there are so many interesting markets that punters can try their luck with, but one that I enjoy betting on every so often is the half which will see the most points scored. You might think that such a market is 100% luck, but this is not true. Some teams tend to play better in a particular half, while substitutes play a huge part in the outcome of a game. You can find the highest-scoring half odds below:

Highest Scoring Half
First2.10--1.952.10
Second1.88--1.911.88
Tie20.00--12.0020.00

Odds are accurate at the time of writing. Odds are subject to change.

🔍 Australia v Wales Prediction

Wales had a number of years as one of the best rugby nations in the world, but they have dropped off in recent years and are now mediocre at best. The same can be said for Australia, who are not quite the team that they used to be. It should still be an entertaining match those and here are some important factors that could decide it.

  1. History: Australia and Wales have met 47 times with the Aussies having won 32 times to Wales' 14. There has only ever been one draw between these two countries, so I think we can rule out a stalemate. The head-to-head stats all point towards a win for Australia.
  2. World Rankings: The Australians are sitting in 8th place in the World Rankings with 78.15 points, while Wales currently sit in 11th place with 76.58 points. What these rankings tell us is that the Aussies have been playing slightly better over the last 12 months or so, indicating a win for the home team.
  3. Home Advantage: As mentioned above, Wales have a poor record Down Under, having failed to win a single match there in their previous 12 attempts. History can weigh heavily on teams, so the home advantage has got to be worth a couple of extra points to the Aussies.
  4. Weather: A lot of rain is due in Melbourne in the coming days, but the weather gods have thankfully decided to spare Saturday. It will not be warm when this match kicks off, but at least it will not be wet. The conditions should be good for some running rugby, which will favour the Aussies as they have a bit more panache and flair.
  5. Game Play: The Aussies are currently being coached by Joe Schmidt, so he will want them to play on the front foot and be ferocious at the breakdown, something his previous Ireland team was really good at - they got into the habit of turning the ball over in fewer than three seconds. Warren Gatland is back in charge of Wales, so there will be more plodding and kicking, which is not that entertaining to watch, to be honest. I do not see brute force being enough to overcome this Australia team.

While I do not think that the Australians will run away with this match in Melbourne, I would still be surprised if Wales managed to break their hoodoo Down Under. As for the score, I reckon Australia can win this game by 12 points.

My Australia v Wales match winner prediction: Australia to win!

✔️ Australia v Wales Betting Tips

In this part of my Australia vs Wales prediction, I am going to give you some of my top betting tips for this clash. The first and most important tip that I can give is to always make sure that you gamble responsibly. Set up a budget and stick to it, no matter what happens.

1️⃣ Match Winner: Australia to Win

Australia are the huge favourites to come out on top in this match, and it is hard to look beyond this outcome because Wales rarely ever win in Australia. They gave it a good go last week, trailing by just three points at half-time, but the Aussies powered to the win in the second half, restricting Wales to just two penalties. They will have gotten rid of some rust, so will probably be even better this weekend.

The odds for an Australia win will be too short for plenty of rugby bettors, but if you still want to bet on them to win you can find odds of 1.25 at DirectionBet Sport.

2️⃣ Asian Handicap Winner: Australia (-10.5)

Since I believe that Australia will win this game by 12 points, it is worth thinking about giving Australia a -10.5 points disadvantage for this game. Wales will give it their all and will cause some hairy moments for Australia, but the Aussies should have too much in the end. If you give Australia a 10.5-point disadvantage, then they will need to win by 11 points for you to win your bet.

If you want to put down such a bet, then you can find odds of 1.92 at Royalistplay.

3️⃣ Highest Scoring Half - Second Half

The second half will be the highest-scoring half in this game. I can see the first 40 minutes being a pretty tight and tense affair with both teams trying to work each other out. In the second half, like in the previous match, the points should flow as the home team ramp up the pressure. Furthermore, I think Australia's bench will have a big impact when they come on around the hour mark.

If you want to put your money on the second half having the most points, then GoldenBet Sports currently have odds of 1.91.

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📰 Summer Internationals News for Australia v Wales on X

Before you bet on this game, take a bit of time to find out about the latest team news via each team's X feed below:

🐉 Wales Updates

🌞 Australia News

📺 2024 Australia v Wales Highlights

If you want to relive the best parts of the first Test between these two nations, then have a look at the highlights video below:

⚡ Australia v Wales Prediction Overview

1️⃣ When Will Australia vs Wales Kick Off?

Australia vs Wales has a kick-off time of 10:45 GMT on the 13th of July.


2️⃣Where Will Australia vs Wales be Played?

This Australia vs Wales match will take place at AAMI Park in Melbourne.


3️⃣Who is My Australia vs Wales Winner?

I do believe that Wales will make a good fist of things in the first half of this match, but then Australia's quality will come to fore in the second half and they will go on to pick up a comfortable win. I can see Australia winning this by 12 points.


4️⃣What Are Some of Australia vs Wales Betting Tips?

  1. Asian Handicap Betting Tip: Australia to win (-10.5) at odds of 1.92
  2. Highest Scoring Half: Second Half at odds of 1.91

5️⃣Can I Use Free Bets for Australia vs Wales?

Yes, there will be plenty of free bets floating around for this Australia vs Wales match, and you can see some of the best ones by revisiting our "Rugby Betting Promotions" section. Please, though, always make sure that you gamble responsibly.


✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

This Australia vs Wales prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a sports tipster and online casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.