Iran vs USA Prediction and Betting Odds – 2022 World Cup: Who Will Win?

Iran vs USA Prediction and Betting Odds banner
TournamentFIFA World Cup 2022
TimetableTuesday 29th of November at 19:00 GMT
PredictionIran to Win!
OddsIran to Win @ 3.90
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
The best odds
Odds : 3.36
Bet €100 and win €336 if Iran win.
Odds : 3.90
Bet €100 and win €390 if Iran win.
Odds : 2.08
Bet €100 and win TBA if Iran win.

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Group B of the 2022 World Cup draws to its conclusion on November 29th, as Iran take on the USA and England play Wales.

These matches will commence at 10pm local time, with Iran’s clash against the USA scheduled to take place at the Al Thumama Stadium.

Both sides are in contention to qualify for the round of 16, with a win for either team guaranteeing them one of the two qualification spots available in Group B. A draw may also be enough for Iran so long as Wales don’t beat England in the other fixture, while the bitter geographical rivalry that underpins this fixture will add a fascinating dimension to an already fraught affair. So, let’s find out which team will prevail here!

Our team analysis will help guide your FIFA World Cup betting predictions. Let's get started!

💯 Iran vs USA Betting Odds

Now, we’re going to take a closer look at the key football betting markets for Iran vs USA, including the match winner, over / under wagering on the total number of goals scored during the game and both sides to score.

We’ve also included the latest odds for this match from our listed bookmakers, so you can compare these markets and find the best possible value in real-time!


🏅 Iran vs USA: Match Winner Odds

The table below shows Iran Vs USA World Cup betting Odds from the best Irish betting sites


⚽ Iran vs USA: Both Teams to Score Odds


🥅 Iran vs USA : Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals2.074.124.404.204.504.203.75
Under 3.5 Goals1.741.

🏠 Iran World Cup Preview

Iran is currently ranked as the 20th best side in the World by FIFA, which is only five places shy of its previous peak of 15th in August 2005.

Unsurprisingly, Iran is also the top-ranked AFC nation, ahead of arguably more historically prestigious footballing countries including Japan, the Korea Republic and Australia.

However, Iran looked far less capable than their ranking suggests in the opening Group B game against England, where they were run ragged by the Three Lions’ pace and precision in a heavy, 6-2 defeat.

Their response against Wales was truly superb, however, as Iran played with incredible desire and intensity before ultimately securing an immense 2-0 win with two outstanding goals in stoppage time. Make no mistake; even a point here is likely to be enough for Iran to reach the round of 16 for the first time in their history, while a win could potentially see them win the group!

📰 Iran World Cup News

✈️ USA World Cup Preview

Prior to the World Cup in 1994, American remained on the fringes of international football, making just three WC finals appearances between 1930 and 1990. However, hosting the tournament in 1994 helped to propel the nation towards the upper echelons of the sport, while the establishment of the MLS has also played a key role in this evolution.

Nowadays, the USA is a regular at the top table of world football (or soccer if you’re from the other side of the Atlantic); currently ranked 14th in the world by FIFA and considered to be the second-best CONCACAF nation behind 12th-ranked Mexico.

They’re also the second highest ranked side in Group B, with this largely evident as they outplayed a turgid England side in their most recent WC match. However, they failed to convert their superior organisation and enterprising attacking play into goals in a 0-0 draw, while a similar failure to finish off Wales in their opening game when they were dominant also saw them drop points.

This wastefulness has left them needing to win to qualify for the round of 16 for the first time since Brazil 2014, as anything less will see their World Cup end early.

📰 Latest USA World Cup News

🟨 Iran vs USA: Latest Injury News and Suspensions

Iran will be without the creative winger Alireza Jahanbakhsh against the USA, after the Feyenoord wideman collected a booking in each of his side’s opening two matches.

This is a huge blow for Iran, with the tricky winger one of the few Iranian players to ply his trade in Europe, while he has struck 13 goals in 66 international caps and 81 in 356 club appearances for Feyenoord, Brighton & Hove Albion and AZ (among other teams).

Number one goalkeeper Alireza Beiranvand is also likely to remain sidelined after eventually being taken off with a concussion against England, with stand-in Hossein Hosseini expected to continue between the sticks.

The USA have reported no injury concerns after the clash with England, but coach Gregg Berhalter may look to reshuffle his pack slightly for final match in Group B. After all, USA were profligate in the 1-1 draw with Wales, and while they were the better team in their game against England, they still only managed two shots on target in total.

So, Berhalter may consider starting with the talented Giovanni Reyna in place of Haji Wright in attack, while Norwich City’s Josh Sargent is another option at centre forward.

Leeds United’s bustling midfielder Brenden Aaronson may also come into the starting 11 against Iran, especially given the workload of the USA midfield in their first two matches and the potential need to freshen things up ahead of this winner-takes-all contest!

🔑 Key Matchups

The third round of group stage matches at the World Cup usually throw up some classic encounters, as sides look to pursue the results that they need to qualify for the tournament’s knockout phase.

This match should be no exception to this rule, particularly when you consider its wider geopolitical importance and the strained history between these two nations (we’ll touch more on this below). But what are the key individual battles that could decide the game?

Mehdi Taremi vs Sergino Dest

Mehdi Taremi has starred during Iran’s mixed campaign so far, scoring twice in the 6-2 defeat to England before laying on his team’s counterattacking second in the 2-0 win over Wales.

His overall international record of 30 goals in 62 caps is also noteworthy, while the player has starred for FC Porto while scoring 62 times in just 115 matches across all competitions.

The forward started slightly from the left-hand side against Wales in a 4-3-3 shape, and he’s expected to retain this role against the USA. As a result, he’ll come up against AC Milan’s marauding right back Sergino Dest, who’s better known for his attacking intent rather than his defensive prowess.

However, Taremi is unlikely to track Dest defensively either, so there should be space for both players to operate in during the game. Ultimately, whichever player wins this duel will be a key weapon for their side, and a particularly effective attacking outlet.

Ahmad Nourollahi vs Weston McKennie

The midfield will be a key battleground in this match, with Ahmad Nourollahi and Weston McKennie two of the most combative players in the middle of the park.

McKennie obviously has pedigree having starred for Serie A side Juventus and played with distinction in the Champions League, while his superb pressing and off-the-ball running really stood out against England. Sure, he missed a presentable chance when he fired over in the first half, but England struggled to keep pace with his energy and tireless movement throughout.

However, the 29-year-old Ahmad Nourollahi is a slightly more seasoned operator in midfield, while he’s also no stranger to operating in a box-to-box role. He even has three goals in his 28 international caps, all of which came during World Cup qualifying.

Both players will be looking to dominate midfield and drag their opponent back towards their own goal, and whoever wins this battle of wills could help their team to secure a critical result.

Ramin Rezaeian vs Christian Pulisic

Christian Pulisic remains the USA’s talisman and star player, while his tally of 21 international goals in 54 matches scored at a significantly better rate than his club career tally (45 in 260 games). He also missed the USA’s best chance against England, firing a 15-yard shot against the crossbar with Jordan Pickford beaten.

He’ll definitely be the side’s main creative outlet against Iran, although he’ll face difficult opposition in the form of winger-cum-right fullback Ramin Rezaeian. The 32-year-old veteran has 47 caps and three international goals to his name, while he’s a versatile player who has excelled both in attack and defence.

Pulisic will look to engage Rezaeian early on, while driving inside as often as he can. He won’t be too concerned about tracking back, either, with the USA’s tireless three-man midfielder providing constant cover for their fullbacks.

This could prove key during the course of the game, and Rezaeian will have to defend stoutly throughout if Iran are to secure the result that they need at the Al Thumama Stadium.

⚡ Iran vs USA – The Head-to-Head Statistics

While there have only been two clashes between Iran and USA through history, the first of which was a monumental and historic World Cup encounter at France ’98.

This match took place in June 1998, when geopolitical tensions between the two sides had peaked after the American government’s continued interference in the Middle East, their support for Saddam Hussein’s Iraq during their own, eight-year war with Iran and a myriad of other factors.

Playing with incredible passion and desire, Iran won this taut encounter 2-1 in Lyon, with goals from Hamid Estili and Mehdi Mahdavikia helping the side to prevail despite a late consolation by the towering American forward Brian McBride. Of course, geopolitical issues will also overshadow this World Cup rematch, while Iran will be hoping to secure a second victory against their bitter rivals.

Incidentally, the two sides also played out a 1-1 draw in an international friendly in 2000, so the US will also kick off in search of their first ever victory against Iran.

🥇 Iran vs USA Prediction - Who Will Win?

On paper, there’s little to choose between these two sides, while both have showcased real organisation and tenacity at times during their respective World Cup campaigns to date.

If anything, Iran have showcased a superior goal threat, scoring four times in two matches and managing 21 attempts at goal (10 of which were on target) against Wales. Conversely, the USA have managed just one goal by Timothy Weah against the Welsh, while for all their superiority against the Three Lions, they could only muster two shots on target.

However, Iran may start a little cautiously, safe in the knowledge that a draw would see them qualify (unless Wales are able to beat England in the other Group B match). This may hand the USA the initiative, and an early goal for them could change the course of the match considerably.

However, we think that their lack of a proven goalscorer will ultimately cost them, and are backing Iran to edge this and claim a place in the last 16!

Our Iran vs USA match prediction: Iran to win 2-1.

🔍 Our Iran vs USA Betting Tips?

The good news here is that Iran are considered to be an outside bet for the win here, so backing them at a price of 4.00 with LeoVegas Sports can deliver a decent payout even on a nominal stake.

The draw may also be an attraction proposition at 3.40 with William Hill and a couple of other sportsbooks, but we still think there’s more likely to be a decisive result given what’s riding on the game.

We’d also wager on there being over 2.5 goals scored in the game, especially if one team strikes early and forces a response from their opponents. This outcome is priced at 2.40 with BetVictor.

On a final note, consider backing both sides to score at 2.15 with LeoVegas Sports. This bookie has some competitive odds in relation to this match, so be sure to check these out before wagering your bankroll!

Iran Vs USA Betting Tip #1: After all, neither side is particularly prolific and the match could be settled by the odd goal, with this outcome backable at 1.80 with William Hill and several of our recommended casinos!

🎁 Iran vs USA World Cup Free Bets

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✒️ Lewis Humphries - Sports Journalist, Tipster and Betting Expert


This Iran vs USA 2022WC Prediction was written by Lewis Humphries. Lewis is a business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and online casino gaming. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands.

His content has also featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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