Manchester Utd vs Sheffield United Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

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Timetable 20:00 GMT, 24th April 24
Prediction Man United to Win!
Odds 1.30
Bookmaker Royalistplay Sports
Man United to Win!
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man-utd-vs-sheffield

While Manchester United may have reached the FA Cup final after defeating Coventry at Wembley over the weekend, they still managed to let a three-goal lead slip and once again struggled to perform consistently for the entirety of a game. This is typical of the Red Devil’s Premier League form too, with United having won just one of their previous seven top-flight matches. The good news for manager Erik ten Hag is that Sheffield United are in even worse form, having lost 4-1 to relegation rivals Burnley at the weekend and fallen 10 points off EPL safety. But will Man United make their superiority count here or can the Blades spring a surprise at Old Trafford?

🏆 Manchester Utd vs Sheffield United EPL Prediction

Although Man United dominated possession in the reverse fixture at Bramall Lane on October 21st, they remained typically open in defensive transition and only prevailed thanks to a late screamer from Diogo Dalot. United’s 62.5% share of the ball only yielded an xG of 1.46 too, while Sheffield almost matched this during the 90 minutes (1.41).

This encounter highlighted the Red Devils’ issues both in and out of transition. They’ve only won 47.6% of their tackles this season, so although they’ve attempted 89 in the final third, they’re struggling to recover the ball high and often leave themselves open to the counterattack. The team has only created 65 big chances in the 2023/24 EPL too, with Bruno Fernandes contributing 14 of these.

However, the Blades are also struggling in all areas of the pitch and have conceded a staggering 88 goals in just 33 games so far this season. They also average just 35.5% possession per 90 minutes (the lowest such percentage in the league), with this yielding 495 shot-creating actions and a paltry xG of 34.62.

Of course, the Blades will retain a heightened goal threat given Man United’s defensive injury crisis, and I expect them to score at Old Trafford. Still, ten Hag’s men should dominate large periods of the match in front of their own fans and will have a little too much individual quality for their beleaguered opponents.

My Prediction: 🏆 Man United 3 – 1 Sheffield United ⚽

💯 Manchester Utd vs Sheffield United EPL Match Odds

When you wager with one of Ireland’s best betting sites, you’ll be able to access a huge selection of markets. These include popular staples like the match winner, BTTS and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the game. So, let’s take a closer look at these markets and how they’re being priced.

🏅 Manchester Utd vs Sheffield United: Match Winner

Despite their own failings and defensive absentees, Man United are the overwhelming favourites to defeat the Blades at Old Trafford. You can back ten Hag’s men to win at around 1.29, implying a 77.51% probability of a home win. As for Sheffield United, you can bet on them to triumph at odds of 8.00, so they have just a 12.5% chance of recording their second away win of the EPL campaign.

Team
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Man United to Win1.291.301.301.251.30
Sheffield United to Win8.008.008.059.007.50
Draw5.506.005.906.005.80

⚽ Manchester Utd vs Sheffield United: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in eight of Man United’s 15 home matches in this season’s Premier League (53%). The Red Devils have kept four clean sheets at Old Trafford and failed to score on three separate occasions. The Blades have drawn seven blanks on the road and failed to keep a single clean sheet so far, with both teams finding the net in nine of their 16 top-flight away matches (56%).

Yes/No
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Yes1.621.651.601.601.62
No2.102.202.242.202.20

🥅 Manchester Utd vs Sheffield United: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Man United’s 15 home matches have also yielded a total of 45 goals, at a rate of exactly 3.00 per game. However, they’ve only scored 23 of these and have positive goal difference of just +1. However, the 16 away matches contested by Sheffield United have produced 50 goals at a rate of 3.12 per 90 minutes. Chris Wilder’s side have conceded 37 of these goals at a rate of 2.31 per 90.

Under/Over
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Over 2.5 Goals1.331.381.331.361.36
Under 2.5 Goals3.003.003.073.103.00

✔️ Manchester Utd vs Sheffield United - Betting Tips

Given Man United’s status as overwhelming favourites, there’s little value in backing them to win outright at Old Trafford. However, there are plenty of other football betting markets to explore, while combination wagering may also help you to create additional value here. Here are some tips to keep in mind.

  • Tip 1: Man United to Win with Over 3.5 Goals: Sheffield United are on course to become just the second team in EPL history to concede 100 goals or more during a single season, having shipped three or more goals in 13 matches so far. As for United, they’ve scored two or more goals in five of their previous six games in all competitions, with skipper Bruno Fernandes finding the next six times (and contributing one assist) during this period. The odds also imply a 50.50% probability of over 3.5 goals being scored during the 90 minutes. So, consider backing Man United to win with more than 3.5 goals scored in the game at the enhanced price of 2.50 with Royalist Play.
  • Tip 2: Back Bruno Fernandes as an Anytime Goalscorer: Fernandes’ recent return to goalscoring form has proved timely, with the Portuguese playmaker having scored in five of his last six games (including the FA Cup semi-final against Coventry). Overall, Fernandes has contributed eight Premier League goals this season, from a total of 30 shots on target and an individual xG of 8.9. Fernandes also remains the Red Devils’ dedicated penalty and free-kick taker, while he should see plenty of the ball against the Blades. You can back the talismanic Fernandes as an anytime scorer at the competitive price of 2.63 with LegendPlay.
  • Tip 3: Back Man United to Win with a Handicap of -1.75 Goals: If you want to leverage one of your available free bets and create further value in match betting, we’d recommend backing United to win with a small handicap. United’s previous two home wins have been by two clear goals or more, while eight of the Blades’ 12 defeats on the road this season have been by the same margin. You can get on ten Hag’s men to win with a handicap of -1.75 goals at a price of price of 1.95 with 1BetSports.

1️⃣ Man United Update

In the Premier League, Man United have now won just one of their previous seven matches, conceding an incredible 174 attempts on goal during this sequence (at a rate of 24.8 per 90 minutes). This tally is even higher than Sheffield United’s, with the Red Devils’ defensive absentees and lack of midfield structure making them incredibly vulnerable both home and away. Over the course of the last 10 EPL game weeks, however, Man United have still taken 15 points from the 30 available to them, seven of which have been picked up in four Old Trafford outings.

Last 5 Games
Coventry 3
Man United 3
21.04.24
FA Cup
Bournemouth 2
Man United 2
13.04.24
Premier League
Man United 2
Liverpool 2
07.04.24
Premier League
Chelsea 4
Man United 3
04.04.24
Premier League
Brentford 1
Man United 1
30.03.24
Premier League

Marcus Rashford (fitness) and Scott McTominay (knee) picked up knocks against Coventry and will face late fitness tests this week. Mason Mount has picked up a muscle injury and faces another spell on the sidelines at Old Trafford too, with the former Chelsea man currently being assessed. The match against the Blades will also come too soon for Jonny Evans and Raphael Varane (both muscle injuries), while Willy Kambwala (knock) and Sofyan Amrabat are doubts too. Centre-backs Lisandro Martinez (calf) and Victor Lindelof (thigh) have been ruled out until May, leaving Harry Maguire as United’s only fit senior pro in this position. Luke Shaw (thigh) and Anthony Martial (groin) are weeks away from a return too, and Tyrell Malacia probably won’t play again this season.

PlayerReason
Marcus Rashford Fitness
Scott McTominay Knee Injury
Luke Shaw Thigh Injury
Lisandro Martinez Calf Injury
Jonny Evans Muscle Injury
Mason Mount Muscle Injury
Willie Kambwala Knock
Tyrell Malacia Ineligible
Raphael Varane Muscle Injury
Anthony Martial Groin Injury
Sofyan Amrabat Unknown Injury
Victor Lindelof Hamstring Injury

2️⃣ Sheffield United Update

Sheffield United are now 10 points from Premier League safety after a demoralising 4-1 home defeat to relegation rivals Burnley, with just five matches to play too. The Blades’ are also winless in nine EPL matches and have taken just six points from the previous 30 available to them, while conceding 29 goals during this sequence alone at a rate of 2.90 per game. Only Swindon Town (100), Ipswich Town (93) and Derby County (89) have conceded more goals in a single Premier League campaign than the Blades have this term, so an unwanted piece of history could well await Chris Wilder’s men at the end of the season.

Last 5 Games
Sheffield United 1
Burnley 4
20.04.24
Premier League
Brentford 2
Sheffield United 0
13.04.24
Premier League
Sheffield United 2
Chelsea 2
07.04.24
Premier League
Liverpool 3
Sheffield United 1
04.04.24
Premier League
Sheffield United 3
Fulham 3
30.03.24
Premier League

Rhian Brewster has returned to training after recovering from a thigh injury and could be available for the trip to Old Trafford. However, the match may come too soon for Jack Robinson (ankle injury), while Tom Davies (thigh), George Baldock (calf), Daniel Jebbison (illness) and John Egan (foot) will definitely miss out. Three Blades’ players have also been ruled out for the season, namely Chris Basham (ankle), Rhys Norrington-Davies (thigh) and Max Lowe (foot).

PlayerReason
Jack Robinson Ankle Injury
Tom Davies Thigh Injury
George Baldock Calf Injury
Daniel Jebbison Illness
John Egan Foot Injury
Chris Basham Ankle Injury
Rhys Norrington-Davies Ankle Injury
Max Lowe Foot Injury

👕 Man United vs Sheffield United - Potential Lineups

Pos. Man United
4-2-3-1
Sheffield United
3-5-2
Pos.
Goalkeeper A. Onana I. Grbić Goalkeeper
Right Back D. Dalot M. Holgate Right Centre Back
Centre Back Casemiro A. Ahmedhodžić Centre Back
Centre Back H. Maguire A. Trusty Left Centre Back
Left Back A. Wan-Bissaka J. Bogle Right Wing Back
Midfielder K. Mainoo G. Hamer Central Midfielder
Midfielder C. Eriksen O.L. Arblaster Central Midfielder
Midfielder B. Fernandes Vinícius Souza Central Midfielder
Wide Forward Anthony B. Osborn Left Wing Back
Striker R. Højlund B. Brereton Striker
Wide Forward A. Garnacho O. McBurnie Striker
Man United to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis-humphries-author-picture

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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