Manchester City vs Wolves Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 17:30 GMT, 4th May 24 |
| Prediction | Man City to Win! |
| Odds | 1.10 |
| Bookmaker | Palmslots Sport |
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Although Man City lacked fluency for much of their 2-0 win at Nottingham Forest last weekend, they ultimately secured a comfortable victory on the road. This means that the Citizens retain 67.4% of winning the Premier League titles according to Opta analysis, while they remain just a point behind Arsenal with a game in hand. Their gameweek 36 opponents Wolves aren’t expected to offer particularly stern opposition at the Etihad, as they’ve won just one of their previous seven league matches and scored a paltry six goals during this run. But can they spring a surprise in Manchester, and what have Ireland’s best betting sites had to say?
🏆 Manchester City vs Wolves EPL Prediction
Wolves stunned City in the reverse fixture at Molineux on September 30th, securing a deserved 2-1 win while restricting Pep Guardiola’s team to an xG of just 0.98. The Citizens really missed John Stones and Rodri in the Midlands, and although Wolves only accumulated an xG of 0.67, they were disciplined in their defensive shape and highly efficient in attack.
Of course, Wolves’ poor run of recent form has coincided with injuries to their entire front line, with Matheus Cunha, Hwang Hee-chan and Pedro Neto having missed a significant number of matches. These three players have contributed exactly half of Wolves’ 48 Premier League goals in 2023/24, and Gary O’Neil’s men have looked largely toothless in their absence.
The good news is that both Cunha and Hwang Hee-chan are fit again, while the latter even scored as Wolves defeated Luton 2-1 last time out and recorded their first top flight victory since March 9th. As for City, they’re now unbeaten in 19 Premier League matches since December 6th, while they average an impressive 4.18 goal-creating actions per game and have scored 19 times in their previous five encounters alone.
City are also unbeaten in 31 matches overall, while they haven’t lost an EPL game at the Etihad Stadium since Brentford defeated them 2-1 there on November 12th, 2022. They also have the title in their sights and rarely slip up under the most intense pressure, so I’m tipping them to record a relatively comfortable win this weekend.
My Prediction: 🏆 Manchester City 3 – 0 Wolves ⚽
💯 Manchester City vs Wolves EPL Match Odds
City’s impressive run of form and the continued absence of Wolves’ forward Neto have had a direct impact on the odds published ahead of this match. The good news is that there are plenty of betting markets that you can access here, with BTTS and the over/under on how many goals will be scored in the match almost as popular as picking a match winner. Let’s take a look at the latest odds.
🏅 Manchester City vs Wolves: Match Winner
Picking the match winner remains the single most popular football betting market. This makes City the huge betting favourites to defeat Wolves at the Etihad, with their average price of 1.08 implying a 92.59% probability of a home win. You can back Wolves to triumph at the distant price of 22.00, suggesting that they have just a 4.54% chance of prevailing in Manchester.
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City to Win | 1.10 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.10 | 1.08 |
| Wolves to Win | 21.00 | 23.00 | 22.50 | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| Draw | 7.50 | 10.00 | 10.20 | 9.00 | 12.00 |
⚽ Manchester City vs Wolves: Both Teams To Score
Man City have contested 17 home league matches this season, with both teams scoring in 11 of these encounters (65%). City have kept six clean sheets at home and failed to score just once (during the 0-0 draw with Arsenal on March 31st). Both sides have also found the net in 11 of Wolves’ 17 away matches (also 65%), although Gary O’Neil’s team have only kept two clean sheets on the road. They’ve also failed to score on five occasions.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.10 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| No | 1.67 | 1.55 | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.57 |
🥅 Manchester City vs Wolves: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
The 17 home matches contested by defending champions Manchester City have yielded 57 goals in total, at a rate of 3.35 per game. The Citizens have contributed 43 of these goals, at the impressive rate of 2.52 per 90 minutes. Wolves’ 17 away matches have produced 51 goals in total at the lower rate of exactly 3.00 per 90, although they’ve conceded 28 of these at an average of 1.64 per game.
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.29 | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.29 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
✔️ Manchester City vs Wolves - Betting Tips
Clearly, there’s little value in backing City to win outright here, unless you’re able to commit a huge stake. However, there are plenty of other markets that you can explore, while combination betting may also enable you to pursue higher returns here. So, here are some tips to help you realise the full value of your starting bankroll or any available free bets that you have access to.
- Tip 1: Back Man City to Win with a Handicap of -2.75 Goals: Handicap betting may prove effective here, especially given the teams’ respective form and the fact that City haven’t lost a Premier League game at the Etihad since November 2022. Wolves also have nothing tangible to play for this season, as they’re clear of the relegation zone and unlikely to compete for the European places. Three of City’s previous five victories have seen Guardiola’s side prevail by three goals or more too, so consider backing the home team to win with a generous handicap of -2.75 goals at the significantly enhanced price of 2.00 with LegendPlay Sports.
- Tip 2: Back City to Win and Both Teams Not to Score: Combination betting also offers enhanced value when backing City to win, especially when you combine outcomes that have a high probability of occurring. For example, the pre-game odds imply a 63.69% probability of both teams not scoring at the Etihad, primarily because Wolves have struggled for goals of late and Matheus Cunha has continued to struggle with his fitness. So, get on City to win and both teams not to score at the highly competitive price of 1.70 with Royalist Play.
- Tip 3: Back Kevin De Bruyne as an Anytime Scorer: Man City creator in chief Kevin De Bruyne has won each of his 11 Premier League matches against Bournemouth, while these games have seen him contribute three goals and four assists. He’s also back to full fitness and in a relatively rich vein of goalscoring form, scoring three times in his last four outings and even notching a brace at Crystal Palace on April 6th. De Bruyne is unlikely to be rested with City out of the Champions League too, so back him as an anytime goalscorer at a price 3.00 with PalmSlots Sports.
1️⃣ Manchester City Update
Man City are now unbeaten in 19 Premier League matches, since Aston Villa defeated them 1-0 in the Midlands on December 6th. This is part of a wider unbeaten run that has seen Guardiola’s team avoid defeat in a staggering 31 matches in all competitions, with even their exit to Real Madrid in the last eight of the Champions League the result of two score draws. Over the course of the previous 10 matches, City have also taken an impressive 26 points from the 30 available to them, with draws against Arsenal and Liverpool the only slight blemishes during this run of form.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Nottm Forest 0 Man City 2 | 28.04.24 Premier League |
| Brighton 0 Man City 4 | 25.04.24 Premier League |
| Man City 1 Chelsea 0 | 20.04.24 FA Cup |
| Man City 1 Real Madrid 1 | 17.04.24 UEFA Champions League |
| Man City 5 Luton Town 1 | 13.04.24 Premier League |
Ruben Dias (illness) is being assessed ahead of a potential return this weekend, after he missed the 2-0 win at Forest last time out. The same is true for Phil Foden, who is believed to have the same virus and also missed the match in the West Midlands. Ederson injured his shoulder last weekend too, and is unlikely to start against Wolves having being withdrawn at half-time.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Ruben Dias | Illness |
| Phil Foden | Illness |
| Ederson | Shoulder Injury |
2️⃣ Wolves Update
Wolves 2-1 win over relegation threatened Luton ended a six-game winless run for the Black and Gold, although it should be noted that Gary O’Neil has done a sterling job at Molineux. After all, Wolves were tipped for relegation at the start of the campaign, but they’ve exceeded all expectations and only really began to struggle when their entire forward line was ruled out through injury. Pedro Neto (who has contributed nine EPL assists and 0.84 goal-creating actions per 90 in just 19 appearances this season) remains unavailable, of course, while Wolves have only won twice on the road in seven attempts in 2024.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Wolves 2 Luton 1 | 27.04.24 Premier League |
| Wolves 0 Bournemouth 1 | 24.04.24 Premier League |
| Wolves 0 Arsenal 2 | 20.04.24 Premier League |
| Nottm Forest 2 Wolves 2 | 13.04.24 Premier League |
| Wolves 1 West Ham 2 | 06.04.24 Premier League |
Wolves have several doubts ahead of the visit to Manchester, including Jean-Ricner Bellegarde and Rayan Ait-Nouri (both knee injuries) and Santiago Bueno (thigh). Noah Lemina (hamstring) is also being assessed ahead of a potential return this weekend. The aforementioned Pedro Neto (hamstring) is still a week or so away from making his return, while young forward Leon Chiwone (ankle) and veteran defender Craig Dawson (groin) won’t feature again this season.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | Knee Injury |
| Rayan Ait-Nouri | Knee Injury |
| Santiago Bueno | Thigh Injury |
| Noah Lemina | Hamstring Injury |
| Pedro Neto | Hamstring Injury |
| Leon Chiwone | Ankle Injury |
| Craig Dawson | Groin Injury |
👕 Man City vs Wolves - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Man City 3-2-4-1 | Wolves 3-5-2 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | S. Ortega | J. Sa | Goalkeeper |
| Right Centre Back | K. Walker | N. Semedo | Right Centre Back |
| Centre Back | R. Dias | M. Kilman | Centre Back |
| Left Centre Back | J. Gvardiol | T. Gomes | Left Centre Back |
| Defensive Midfielder | J. Stones | M. Doherty | Right Wing Back |
| Defensive Midfielder | Rodri | J. Gomes | Central Midfielder |
| Right Midfielder | P. Foden | M. Lemina | Central Midfielder |
| Attacking Midfielder | K. De Bruyne | T. Doyle | Central Midfielder |
| Attacking Midfielder | B. Silva | H. Bueno | Left Wing Back |
| Left Midfielder | J. Doku | Matheus Cunha | Striker |
| Striker | E. Haaland | Hwang Hee-chan | Striker |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
