Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Aston Villa vs Wolves EPL Prediction

Wolves recent record against Villa is certainly impressive, as they haven’t lost in six head-to-head clashes since December 2020. This sequence included a hard-fought 1-1 draw at Molineux on October 8th, where high-quality chances were at a premium, and the two sides produced respective xG values of 1.76 and 1.82.

This match perfectly highlighted how Wolves have become more tenacious and better organised under the stewardship of O’Neil while the team retains a high level of technical proficiency. Collectively, they’ve completed a league-high 322 dribbles and 50.4% of their take-ons in 2023/24, ensuring that they always remain a direct threat in transition.

Although Wolves are perfectly set up to counter Unai Emery’s typically high defensive line, they’ll be without their three first-choice forwards at Villa Park. Their list of attacking absentees includes the influential Matheus Cunha, who has completed 52 dribbles by himself and is Wolves’ second-top EPL scorer with nine goals. Pedro Neto will also miss out, with the diminutive Portuguese winger averaging 4.43 shot-creating actions per 90 this season and contributing an impressive nine assists.

These absences could prove crucial to the final result despite Villa’s recent run of three EPL defeats in their last four home matches. In fact, I expect Emery’s men to run out comfortable winners against a depleted Wolves team, who may well be compact and combative but toothless in the final third.

💯 Aston Villa vs Wolves EPL Match Odds

Some football betting markets may be more popular than others when wagering on the match between Villa and Wolves. However, there remain a handful of universally popular markets, including the match winner, BTTS and the over/under and how many goals are likely to be scored during the 90 minutes. But how are these markets currently being priced?

🏅 Aston Villa vs Wolves: Match Winner

Villa are the clear and deserved favourites to win this Premier League clash, with their average price of 1.60 implying a 62.50% probability of a home victory. Conversely, Wolves can be backed at around 4.65 to prevail at Villa Park, suggesting that there’s only a 21.50% chance of an away win. Interestingly, the draw is the second most likely outcome from a statistical perspective, with odds of 4.20 implying a 23.08% of the match ending in a tie.

Team
Aston Villa to Win	1.60	1.65	1.59	1.60	1.62
Wolves to Win	4.75	4.50	4.65	4.80	4.75
Draw	4.20	4.20	4.33	4.20	3.60

⚽ Aston Villa vs Wolves: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 69% of Aston Villa’s Premier League games this season, while this has been the case in 71% of their home matches. Emery’s side have kept three clean sheets at Villa Park (including two against Man City and Arsenal) and drawn a blank only once (during their 4-0 loss against Spurs last time out). Both sides have found the net in 64% of Wolves away matches so far this season, with O’Neil’s men keeping just two clean sheets on the road and failing to score on four occasions.

Yes/No
Yes	1.55	1.60	1.52	1.57	1.57
No	2.30	2.30	2.36	2.30	2.25

🥅 Aston Villa vs Wolves: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Villa have played a total of 14 EPL matches at home this season, with these yielding a whopping 54 goals at a rate of 3.85 per game. The Villains have contributed 35 of these goals at the impressive rate of 2.50 per 90 minutes. Wolves’ 14 away encounters have seen a little less action in the final third, yielding 43 goals at a rate of 3.07 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.50	1.55	1.49	1.50	1.53
Under 2.5 Goals	2.40	2.40	2.41	2.38	2.38

1️⃣ Aston Villa Update

Villa’s run of three defeats in four home league games in 2023/24 will be a huge concern for Unai Emery, especially with the Midlands team having built their push for a top-four finish on the back of their form at Villa Park. Remember, their 1-0 win over Arsenal on December 19th saw them win a 15th consecutive home game and climb to third in the EPL table, but they’ve since won just two of six top-flight matches in front of their home fans. So, they’ll ideally need a win here, especially with Spurs breathing down their necks in the race for fourth!

Villa continues to deal with some long-term injury absentees, with Tyrone Mings and Emiliano Buendia (both ACL injuries) and Boubacar Kamara (knee) all ruled out for the remainder of the 2023/24 campaign. John McGinn will also serve the second of his three-match ban following his dismissal against Spurs. However, full-back Matty Cash (hamstring) and Jacob Ramsey (ankle) are being assessed ahead of a potential return this weekend, although whether either player is fit enough to start has yet to be seen.

2️⃣ Wolves Update

Wolves and head coach Gary O’Neil have exceeded all expectations this season, with the team now comfortably in mid-table after starting the season as the favourites for relegation. Their recent form has been particularly impressive, with Wolves having won six of their previous 10 matches and taken 19 points from the 30 available to them during this period. However, they were dumped out of the FA Cup quarterfinals by Championship side Coventry during their previous outing, where they really toiled in the absence of their aforementioned front three. They’ll need to fill this attacking void if they’re to have a chance of getting anything at Villa Park.

As we’ve touched on, Wolves will be without Pedro Neto and Hee-Chan Hwang (both thigh injuries) for the trip to Villa. Although Matheus Cunha (hamstring) is currently being assessed and has an outside chance of making the matchday squad at Villa Park, it’s highly unlikely that he’ll start in the Midlands. Wolves may also welcome back veteran centre-back Craig Dawson (groin) and Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (knee) this weekend, although both players will undergo late fitness tests.

👕 Aston Villa vs Wolves - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.