Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Arsenal vs Bournemouth EPL Prediction

Arsenal won last season’s corresponding fixture 3-2, recovering a two-goal deficit and prevailing thanks to Reiss Nelson’s stunning 97th-minute strike. They also triumphed in the reverse fixture during this campaign, thrashing the Cherries 4-0 at the Vitality Stadium and accumulating an impressive xG of 4.07.

This contributed to Arsenal’s total xG of 75.54, which has only been bettered by Liverpool and Manchester City this season. However, no team has been as efficient in front of goal as the Gunners, who have outperformed their xG by +9.46 goals. They also average 0.37 goals per shot on target, with only Newcastle performing betting according to this metric.

Head coach Andoni Iraola has certainly made Bournemouth more proactive this season, both in and out of possession. In fact, the Cherries have executed 25.17 shot-creating actions per 90 this season, ranking eighth in the Premier League by this metric. They’ve also recovered an impressive 1,868 loose balls, highlighting their greater desire to press the opposition all over the park.

So, Bournemouth should be competitive and boast a significant attacking threat at the Emirates, especially with star striker Dominic Solanke having scored 18 Premier League goals from an xG of 18.6. However, Arsenal remain focused, well-balanced and ruthless in the attacking third, so I’m backing them to secure another crucial three points in front of their own fans.

💯 Arsenal vs Bournemouth EPL Match Odds

Ireland’s best betting sites have published odds across a broad range of Arsenal vs Bournemouth markets, including the match winner. You can also wager on both teams to score (or not) and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the 90 minutes. But how are each of these betting markets currently being priced?

🏅 Arsenal vs Bournemouth: Match Winner

As I’ve already touched on, Arsenal are the heavy betting favourites to defeat Bournemouth at the Emirates and is priced at around 1.17 to prevail. These odds imply an 85.47% probability of a home win. Conversely, Bournemouth can be backed to claim their seventh away win of the season at around 12.30, suggesting that they have just an 8.13% chance of achieving this objective.

Team
Arsenal to Win	1.17	1.18	1.16	1.17	1.18
Bournemouth to Win	13.00	12.00	12.30	13.00	12.00
Draw	7.00	7.50	7.40	7.00	7.50

⚽ Arsenal vs Bournemouth: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in just nine of Arsenal’s 17 home matches in this season’s EPL (53%), with the Gunners keeping six clean sheets and failing to score twice. Conversely, 12 of the 17 away games contested by Bournemouth have seen both sides find the net (71%). The Cherries have kept four clean sheets and drawn just a single blank on the road.

Yes/No
Yes	1.83	1.85	1.90	1.80	1.80
No	1.87	1.91	1.80	2.00	1.91

🥅 Arsenal vs Bournemouth: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Arsenal’s 17 home matches have also yielded 58 goals in total, at a rate of 3.41 per game. The Gunners have conceded just 15 times at home and scored 43 goals at a rate of 2.52 per 90 minutes. Bournemouth’s 17 away games have produced 60 goals at the slightly higher rate of 3.52 per 90. However, the Cherries have conceded 34 of these goals at a rate of exactly 2.00 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.30	1.35	1.31	1.33	1.33
Under 2.5 Goals	3.10	3.10	3.11	3.25	3.20

1️⃣ Arsenal Update

Arsenal showcased both composure and resilience during the North London derby last weekend, moving seamlessly into a 3-0 lead before surviving a late Spurs revival. They’ve now won 13 of their 15 league matches in 2024 and taken 25 points from the previous 30 available to them in the EPL, with only title rivals Manchester City (26) earning more during the same period. However, Bournemouth will draw solace from the fact that the Gunners have conceded more goals at home (15) than they have on the road (13) this season, while they’ve also kept just six of their 16 clean sheets at the Emirates Stadium.

Once again, Arsenal are virtually at full strength ahead of the visit of Bournemouth. In fact, Dutch defender Jurrien Timber remains the Gunners’ sole absentee at the time of writing, as he continues his recovery from an ACL injury and aims for a return towards the very end of the 2023/24 campaign.

2️⃣ Bournemouth Update

Bournemouth have endured a stellar 2023/24 campaign, amassing their highest ever Premier League points tally (48) with three matches still to play. This is despite the Cherries enduring a torrid start under Iraola, which saw the team go winless in their first nine EPL matches and pick up just three points during this period. Currently, Bournemouth sit third in the Premier League form table, having won six of their previous 10 matches and taken 20 points from the 30 available to them since the beginning of March. They’ve also win an impressive 21 points on the road so far this season and failed to score only once away from home.

Both Antoine Semenyo (knee injury) and Chris Mepham (illness) remain sidelined for the trip to North London, while Illia Zabarnyi (also illness) and Tyler Adams (lower back) will continue to be assessed this week. Left back Milos Kerkez will miss out as he commences a three-game ban. Longer-term absentees include Romain Faivre (thigh), Luis Sinisterra (thigh) and Marcus Tavernier (hamstring), with all three players likely to miss much of the remainder of the season. Ryan Fredericks (calf) definitely wont play again in 2023/24.

👕 Arsenal vs Bournemouth - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.