Union Berlin vs Napoli Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

berlin-vs-napoli-prediction-logo berlin-vs-napoli-prediction-logo
TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT 24 Oct 23
PredictionNapoli To Win!
OddsNapoli to Win @2.05
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
Napoli To Win!
The best odds
1.
Tony​Bet Sports
Odds : 2.05
Bet €100 and win €205 if Napoli win.
Bonus:
2.
Dach​bet Sports
Odds : 2.00
Bet €100 and win €200 if Napoli win.
Bonus:
3.
Betiton
Odds : 2.00
Bet €100 and win €200 if Napoli win.
Bonus:
€10
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Union Berlin’s rapid ascent to the top table of European football has hit something of a reality check so far this season, with defeats against Real Madrid and Braga leaving them bottom of UCL Group C after two matches. As for Napoli, last season’s beaten Champions League quarterfinalists were defeated 3-2 at home by Los Blancos in gameweek two, but a win over Berlin at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei will help them to take a tighter grip of the second qualifying spot in the group. In this comprehensive football betting guide, I’ll compare the latest ante post odds for this encounter while also predicting a match winner!

🏆 Union Berlin vs Napoli UCL Prediction

It should come as no surprise that these two sides have never met in UEFA competition before, with this season seeing Union Berlin compete in the UCL for the first time ever. In fact, it’s only the team’s fourth ever European campaign in any competition, while they’ve never progressed beyond the second round in any iteration.

Berlin are also embarked on a poor run of form, having lost seven consecutive matches in all competitions since a 4-1 win at Darmstadt 98 in the Bundesliga on August 26th. This has left them 13th in the German top-flight and bottom of Champions League Group C, as they continue to struggle in both the attacking and defensive thirds and become increasingly vulnerable home and away. To provide some perspective, the team went unbeaten domestically at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei throughout the whole of last season, but they’ve already lost twice here in 2023/24.

Of course, Napoli have also faltered slightly after their historic Scudetto triumph last season, with successive defeats against Madrid and Fiorentina at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium snapping a five-game unbeaten run. However, I think they’ll have too much firepower for a confidence shorn Union Berlin side, so I’m tipping the Neapolitans to win comfortably in Germany.

My Prediction: 🏆 Union Berlin 0 – 2 Napoli ⚽

💯 Union Berlin vs Napoli UCL Match Odds

There are plenty of ways in which you can bet on the UCL clash between Union Berlin and Napoli, outside of backing the final result or match winner. These include wagering on both sides to score (or not) and how many goals will be scored in the game, which is an over/under market with many potential betting lines. Let’s take a look at the latest odds!

🏅 Union Berlin vs Napoli: Match Winner

Of course, wagering on the winner of the match between Union Berlin and Napoli is likely to be the most popular betting market among punters. It should also come as no surprise that the bookies have made Napoli the ante post favourites, with some even pricing them at odds-on to win in Germany.

Team
Union Berlin to Win3.503.503.453.303.60
Napoli to Win2.002.002.002.052.00
Draw3.503.403.453.603.40

⚽ Union Berlin vs Napoli: Both Teams To Score

Betting on both sides to score (BTTS) or not is another popular UCL wagering market, although it’s a difficult one to navigate ahead of the match between Union Berlin and Napoli. After all, the hosts have failed to score in four of their last seven games, although Napoli have found the back of their net in nine of their 10 competitive matches so far in 2023/24.

Yes/No
Yes1.651.701.601.621.67
No2.152.102.192.202.15

🥅 Union Berlin vs Napoli: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The very best Champions League betting sites also enable you to place over/under bets on the total number of goals scored in this game. The most popular betting line in this respect is 2.5 goals, which is interesting given that the 20 matches featuring Berlin and Napoli this season have yielded an impressive 69 goals at 3.45 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.801.801.731.751.73
Under 2.5 Goals1.951.911.981.801.95

✔️ Union Berlin vs Napoli - Betting Tips

Napoli’s match in the 2022/23 Champions League quarterfinals Napoli vs Ac Milan should stand them in good stead during this campaign, but is there value to be found when backing them to beat Union Berlin? Here are some expert betting tips to help you create value within your chosen markets.

  • Tip 1: Back Napoli to Win: Given their superior pedigree and form, you can actually back Napoli to beat Union Berlin at surprisingly competitive odds. For example, you get on the Serie A side to win the game at the generous price of 2.05 with TonyBet, while the average odds across the entire market are around 2.00. However, we’d recommend betting on this outcome as soon as possible, with such prices liable to drift and shorten as kick off approaches.
  • Tip 2: Back There to be Under 2.5 Goals Scored: The odds for this betting market imply a higher probability of there being over 2.5 goals scored in the game, which makes logical sense given the goals-per-game rate of 3.45 for matches involving Union Berlin and Napoli this season. However, Union Berlin have only scored in three of their previous seven matches and registered just five goals in total during this time, while Napoli hitman Victor Osimhen also remains a significant injury doubt. So, I’m backing there to be under 2.5 goals scored in the game at a price of 1.98 with Betiton.
  • Tip 3: Back Both Sides Not to Score: On a similar note, Union Berlin’s misfiring attack may also draw a total blank against a high-quality Napoli outfit. After all, Rudi Garcia’s Napoli side have averaged 59.3% possession of the ball during their eight Serie A games so far in 2023/24, whereas the corresponding value for Union Berlin (43.9%) is the third lowest in the Bundesliga. So, they’re likely to be starved of the ball and opportunities at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei, and I’m backing both sides not to score at a price of 2.20 with TonyBet.

1️⃣ Union Berlin Update

It’s hard to imagine even risking a free bet on Union Berlin to beat Napoli at the moment, with the side’s seven-match losing run seeing them score just five goals and concede 16. Their previously imposing home form has also deserted them in recent times, while the side’s relatively low number of attempted take-ons (88) and ball recoveries (388) this season arguably highlight a lack of physicality and purposeful running all over the pitch. Both of these stats compare negatively to Napoli, so the home side will have their work cut out to get anything from this crucial UCL encounter.

Last 5 Games
Borussia Dortmund 4
Union Berlin 2
07.10.23
Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2
Braga 3
03.10.23
Champions League
Heidenheim 1
Union Berlin 0
30.09.23
Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0
Hoffenheim 2
23.09.23
Bundesliga
Real Madrid 1
Union Berlin 0
20.09.23
Champions League

Union Berlin have a couple of injury doubts ahead of Napoli’s visit, with midfielder András Schäfer expected to miss out after foot surgery. 21-year-old wide player Laurenz Dehl has also been absent since August with an unknown injury and will not be available for selection.

Player Reason
András Schäfer Foot Injury
Laurenz Dehl Unknown Injury

2️⃣ Napoli Update

Napoli have struggled for consistency this season, with the defending Serie A champions suffering something of a hangover following an historic Scudetto win last season. They’ve also lost their last two matches (both in front of their home fans), while conceding three goals to Real Madrid and Fiorentina respectively. Still, they’ve managed to take 18 from points from the last 30 available to them in the league, while this season has seen them complete the most passes (4092), touches in the attacking third (1451) and carries (3547) in the whole of Serie A. So, they’re well placed to take the game to Union Berlin from the off in Germany and set their stall out early in the attacking third.

Last 5 Games
Napoli 1
Fiorentina 3
08.10.23
Serie A
Napoli 2
Real Madrid 3
03.10.23
Champions League
Lecce 0
Napoli 4
30.09.23
Serie A
Napoli 4
Udinese 1
27.09.23
Serie A
Bologna 0
Napoli 0
24.09.23
Serie A

Energetic midfielder Frank Anguissa is likely to return to the Napoli fold ahead of the trip to Berlin, after incurring a muscle injury in the 3-1 defeat to Fiorentina. However, talismanic striker Victor Osimhen is expected to miss out after picking up a hamstring strain on international duty for Nigeria, with experts suggesting that he may be unavailable for between four and six weeks.

Player Reason
Frank Anguissa Muscle Injury
Victor Osimhen Hamstring Injury

👕 Union Berlin vs Napoli - Potential Lineups

Pos. Union Berlin
5-3-2
Napoli
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper F. Rønnow A. Meret Goalkeeper
Right Wing Back C. Trimmel G. Di Lorenzo Right Back
Centre Back D. Doekhi L. Østigård Centre Back
Centre Back L. Bonucci Natan Centre Back
Centre Back D. Leite M. Olivera Left Back
Left Wing Back R. Gosens S. Lobotka Midfielder
Midfielder A. Laïdouni P. Zieliński Midfielder
Midfielder A. Král J. Lindstrøm Midfielder
Midfielder J. Haberer M. Politano Wide Forward
Striker S. Becker G. Simeone Striker
Striker K. Behrens K. Kvaratskhelia Wide Forward

Napoli To Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of betting sites, Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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