Real Sociedad v Red Bull Salzburg Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

real-sociedad-v-rb-salzburg-logo real-sociedad-v-rb-salzburg-logo
TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT, 29th Nov 23
PredictionReal Sociedad to Win!
Real Sociedad to Win!
The best odds
Odds : 1.50
Bet €100 and win €150 if Real Sociedad win.
€50+ 50 Free Spins
Tony​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.50
Bet €100 and win €150 if Real Sociedad win.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.47
Bet €100 and win €147 if Real Sociedad win.
real-sociedad-v-rb-salzburg-logo real-sociedad-v-rb-salzburg-logo

Champions League Group C is now settled in terms of which sides will compete in the round of 16, with Real Sociedad and Inter Milan having already qualified. However, there’s still the matter of which side will top the group and potentially earn a more favourable draw, while Red Bull Salzburg remain in contention for a Europa League spot. So, there’s all to play for at the Reale Arena, where Sociedad have only been beaten once all season. But which team do I think will win, and how are the best betting sites pricing all potential match outcomes?

🏆 Real Sociedad v Red Bull Salzburg UCL Prediction

In recent times, these two sides have played each other on three occasions, including the clinical 2-0 win for Sociedad at the Red Bull Arena on October 3rd. Otherwise, Sociedad and Salzburg did battle in the 2017/18 UEFA Europa League, with the latter winning 4-3 on aggregate in a round off 16 tie that saw a 2-2 draw in Spain and a 2-1 victory for the Austrians in front of their home fans.

Interestingly, Sociedad and Salzburg are among the most proactive UCL sides in defensive phases, having completed 233 and 234 ball recoveries respectively in the competition. These are the third and second highest such tallies in the 2023/24 iteration, while Sociedad have also won an impressive 11 tackles in the attacking third.

Sociedad have also shaded the ball retention stats, having averaged 52.5% possession across their four games so far. They’ve made decent use of this too, producing 24.75 shot-creating actions per 90 (compared to 21.50 for Salzburg) and an xG value of 6.8 (which they’ve actually outperformed by +0.2).

‘La Real’ are also tough to beat at home, with Barcelona the only side to defeat them in nine outings at the Reale Arena this season. The form of RB Salzburg has also been patchy of late amid a mounting injury crisis, so I’m tipping Sociedad to win a relatively tight and entertaining contest.

My Prediction: 🏆 Real Sociedad 2 – 0 RB Salzburg ⚽

💯 Real Sociedad v Red Bull Salzburg UCL Match Odds

If you check out the sportsbooks featured in Betinireland’s detailed bookmaker reviews, you’ll see that they’re all offering a broad selection of Real Sociedad vs RB Salzburg betting markets. The three most popular are the match winner, BTTS and the over/under for the total number of goals scored, but how are these currently being priced?

🏅 Real Sociedad v Red Bull Salzburg: Match Winner

Real Sociedad’s home form makes them the favourites to win this Champions League game, with their average price of 1.50 implying a 66.66% probability of a home victory. You can back RB Salzburg to prevail at odds of 6.00, suggesting that they have a 16.66% chance of claiming three crucial points in Spain.

Real Sociedad to Win1.441.501.471.501.47
RB Salzburg to Win6.506.

⚽ Real Sociedad v Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams To Score

Both sides have scored in 10 of Sociedad’s 17 games in 2023/24, with the Spanish outfit keeping seven clean sheets and failing to find the net on two occasions. As for Salzburg, they started their domestic campaign with three clean sheets, while both teams have scored in just six of their 18 matches in all competitions. Overall, they’ve stopped their opponents from scoring on eight occasions, while failing to find the net in four matches themselves.


🥅 Real Sociedad v Red Bull Salzburg: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Across all competitions, both teams have contested a total of 35 matches in 2023/24, with these encounters witnessing 99 goals at an impressive rate of 2.82 per game. So, it’s no surprise that the odds imply a higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in this game, so you may be able to identify value by wagering under this betting line.

Over 2.5 Goals1.701.751.701.801.73
Under 2.5 Goals2.

✔️ Real Sociedad v Red Bull Salzburg - Betting Tips

If you have one or more free bets on your account, you could consider engaging in matched betting on the clash between Real Sociedad and RB Salzburg. This is ideal in matches where there are two evenly matched sides, but I’ve also prepared some other betting tips to help you get the most from your bankroll.

  • Tip 1: Back Both Teams Not to Score: While the over/under odds imply a slightly higher probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match, I think that Salzburg may struggle to break down an energetic and well-drilled Sociedad team. They certainly drew a blank in the reverse fixture at the Red Bull Arena in gameweek two, while their squad has been stretched further by injuries incurred during the international break. So, get on both teams not to score at a price of 1.91 with Dachbet Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Real Sociedad to Win and Both Teams Not to Score: Similarly, you can create further value when betting on this match by backing Real Sociedad to win and both teams not to score at an enhanced price of 3.20 with Betway. This type of combination bet can often deliver potentially higher returns, while in this case, it features two outcomes with relatively high levels of implied probability.
  • Tip 3: Back Brais Mendez as an Anytime Goalscorer: While Sociedad midfielder Brais Mendez may have missed a penalty in his side’s 3-1 win over Benfica in gameweek four, he has scored three UCL goals this season from 11 attempts at goal and an xG of just 1.9. He also struck in the 2-0 win at Salzburg in gameweek two, and he can be backed as an anytime scorer at a price of 3.50 with LegendPlay.

1️⃣ Real Sociedad Update

Overall, Sociedad’s form has been solid of late, with their nine matches in all competitions since September 30th producing six wins, one draw and two defeats. Overall, they’ve won nine of their 17 matches in 2023/24 and only been beaten on three occasions, by La Liga’s ‘big three’ of Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Barcelona too. The Catalan giants are also the only team to beat Sociedad in front of their own fans, while it’s interesting to note that they’re actually undefeated in the Champions League both home and away this season.

Last 5 Games
Almeira 1
Real Sociedad 3
La Liga
Real Sociedad 3
Benfica 1
Champions League
Real Sociedad 0
Barcelona 1
La Liga
Bunol 0
Real Sociedad 1
Copa del Rey
Rayo Vallecano 2
Real Sociedad 2
La Liga

The big news for the Sociedad is the absence of top scorer Mikel Oyarzabal, who has nine goals in 17 games this season but has been ruled out until December with a torn muscle fibre. Otherwise, winger Martín Merquelanz remains the only other absentee as he continues his recovery from a knee injury.

Mikel Oyarzabal Torn Muscle Fibre
Martín Merquelanz Knee Injury

2️⃣ RB Salzburg Update

Unlike Sociedad, RB Salzburg remain mired in a poor run of form, having won just two of their previous eight matches in normal time since October 12th. This sequence has also included three defeats, while the side has also lost three successive UEFA Champions League games since an impressive 2-0 win at Benfica in gameweek one. However, Israeli midfielder Oscar Gloukh has been a particularly bright light for the Austrian side in this season’s Champions League, having struck two goals from just six attempts and an xG value of 1.2. He’ll be key to the team’s chances of getting a result in Spain.

Last 5 Games
Austria Wien 0
RB Salzburg 0
Austrian Bundesliga
RB Salzburg 0
Inter 1
Champions League
WSG Tirol 0
RB Salzburg 2
Austrian Bundesliga
Hartberg 1
RB Salzburg 1
Austrian Cup
RB Salzburg 3
Altach 0
Austrian Bundesliga

The really bad news for Salzburg is that they’ve been besieged by a huge injury list, with potentially 12 players remaining doubts for the visit to Sociedad. Midfielder Justin Omoregie is sidelined with back problems, for example, while Bryan Okoh (hamstring), Lukas Wallner (torn ankle ligaments), Sekou Koita and Aleksa Terzic (both adductor) will also miss out. Midfielder Dijon Kameri is also struggling with a thigh strain, while Kamil Piatkowski (calf) and Oumar Solet (hamstring) are significant doubts. Fernando (adductor), Andreas Ulmer (ankle) and Samson Baidoo (knock) all picked up injuries during the recent international break too.

Justin Omoregie Back Problems
Bryan Okoh Hamstring Injury
Lukas Wallner Torn Ankle Ligaments
Sekou Koita Adductor Injury
Aleksa Terzic Adductor Injury
Dijon Kameri Thigh Strain
Kamil Piatkowski Calf Injury
Oumar Solet Hamstring Injury
Fernando Adductor Injury
Andreas Ulmer Ankle Injury
Samson Baidoo Knock

👕 Real Sociedad vs RB Salzburg - Potential Lineups

Pos. Real Sociedad
RB Salzburg
Goalkeeper A. Remiro A. Schlager Goalkeeper
Right Back A. Elustondo A. Dedic Right Back
Centre Back I. Zubeldia L. Morgalla Centre Back
Centre Back R. Le Normand S. Pavlović Centre Back
Left Back A. Munoz D. Guindo Left Back
Midfielder B. Mendez M. Bidstrup Defensive Midfielder
Midfielder M. Zubimendi N. Capaldo Midfielder
Midfielder M. Merino A. Forson Midfielder
Wide Forward T. Kubo O. Glouck Attacking Midfielder
Striker C. Fernández R. Simic Striker
Wide Forward A. Barrenetxea K. Konaté Striker

Real Sociedad to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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