RB Leipzig v BSC Young Boys Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

rb-leipzig-v-youg-boys-logo rb-leipzig-v-youg-boys-logo
TournamentChampions League
Timetable17:45 GMT, 13th Dec 23
PredictionRB Leipzig to Win!
Odds1.35
Bookmakerbetway
RB Leipzig to Win!
The best odds
1.
betway
Odds : 1.35
Bet €100 and win €135 if RB Leipzig win.
Bonus:
€50+ 50 Free Spins
2.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.33
Bet €100 and win €133 if RB Leipzig win.
Bonus:
3.
Dach​bet Sports
Odds : 1.33
Bet €100 and win €133 if RB Leipzig win.
Bonus:
rb-leipzig-v-youg-boys-logo rb-leipzig-v-youg-boys-logo

This is another example of a Champions League dead rubber, with RB Leipzig have already qualified for the round of 16 but stranded six points adrift of Manchester City. As for Young Boys, they’re five points further back an unable to reach the next round, but have qualified for the Europa League by way of their superior head-to-head record with Red Star. Ultimately, it’s hard to predict how both sides will approach this match and how the game will unfold, but there’s no doubt that the Bundesliga outfit boast superior individual quality to their opponents. But will Leipzig win here and what odds are the best betting sites offering on a home victory?

🏆 RB Leipzig v BSC Young Boys UCL Prediction

Leipzig ultimately won convincingly at the Wankdorf Stadium on September 19th, scoring twice in the last 20 minutes to record a 3-1 victory. They’ve since continued to perform well and came close to upsetting Manchester City at the Etihad in gameweek five, when they romped into a two-goal lead before the citizens flexed their muscles in the second half and came back to win 3-2.

Interestingly, Leipzig and Young Boys have only averaged 44.6% and 41.4% possession respectively in this season’s UCL, although these stats will have been influenced by the side’s matches against Manchester City. Young Boys actually had slightly more of their ball in the teams’ gameweek one clash, but I expect this trend to be reversed in January.

Leipzig will also look to apply pressure and counter press high up the pitch, with the side having completed more ball recoveries (244 vs 219) than Young Boys in the 2023/24 Champions League. Leipzig have won 47.9% of their tackles too, with Young Boys tally of 33.7% (which is the lowest in the competition) suggesting that the Bundesliga outfit may win the physical battle here.

In-form striker Lois Openda will also be keen to add to this four UCL goals this season, which have come from 23 shots and an xG value of 3.2. Overall, I expect RB Leipzig to be too strong for their Swiss opponents, so they should win and complete their Group G campaign on a high.

My Prediction: 🏆 RB Leipzig 2 – 1 BSC Young Boys ⚽

💯 RB Leipzig v BSC Young Boys UCL Match Odds

Whether you want to back Leipzig to win the game or bet on how many goals will be scored in the game, you’ll first need to select a reputable sportsbook from Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews. Then you can check out my analysis of the most popular betting markets and their latest odds!

🏅 RB Leipzig v BSC Young Boys: Match Winner

RB Leipzig are priced as low as 1.33 to beat Young Boys, which implies a 75.18% probability of them achieving this objective. The Swiss side have an average price of 7.50, which means that they have just a 13.33% chance of recording an unlikely away win. However, it can be argued that Leipzig are arguably priced a little too short overall.

Team
RB Leipzig to Win1.331.351.311.331.33
Young Boys to Win8.007.007.358.007.50
Draw5.505.005.505.505.60

⚽ RB Leipzig v BSC Young Boys: Both Teams To Score

Young Boys have contested 26 games this season, 14 of which have seen both competing teams score. They’ve also kept an impressive 11 clean sheets and failed to score in just three of their fixtures. As for Leipzig, both sides have found the net in 13 of their 21 matches in 2023/24, while they’ve scored in all five of their UCL Group G games and failed to keep a single clean sheet.

Yes/No
Yes1.621.651.641.701.67
No2.102.202.122.102.20

🥅 RB Leipzig v BSC Young Boys: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

There have been plenty of goals in the 47 matches played by both Leipzig and Young Boys this season. In fact, these encounters have yielded an impressive 151 goals at a rate of 3.21 per game, so it should come as no surprise that that over/under odds imply a much higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored during the 90 minutes.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.361.381.381.361.40
Under 2.5 Goals2.802.802.792.882.75

✔️ RB Leipzig v BSC Young Boys - Betting Tips

While you may be tempted to leverage any free bets on your account to engage in matched betting ahead of this game, this may not offer huge value given the current odds and Leipzig’s status as short price favourites. So, here are some alternative tips for wagering on the clash between Leipzig and Young Boys.

  • Tip 1: Back RB Leipzig to Win and Both Teams to Score: Both teams have scored in every single RB Leipzig game in the 2023/24 Champions League, while their five Group G fixtures have produced 20 goals at a rate of 4.00 per game. Both sides also got on the scoresheet in Switzerland in gameweek one, while Leipzig and Young Boys can be incredibly dangerous in transition. So, there’s value in backing the home side to win and both teams to score at a price of 2.50 with Betway.
  • Tip 2: Back Xavi Simons as an Anytime Goalscorer: While Lois Openda is Leipzig’s top UCL goalscorer and primary goal threat, I expect Young Boys to defend him aggressively and minimise the space left in behind. However, young Dutch talent Xavi Simons has also bagged twice in this season’s Champions League from 14 shots and an xG value of 1.0. He also scored at home against Red Star in gameweek three, so consider backing him as an anytime scorer at a price of 3.05 with LegendPlay.
  • Tip 3: Back RB Leipzig to Score First: If you’re looking for a relatively low risk wager, you could consider backing RB Leipzig to score first at the Red Bull Arena. After all, Marco Rose’s team are renowned as fast starters, while they’ve scored five goals in the first half of Champions League games this season and four times without reply in the opening 15 minutes. So, get on Leipzig to score first in the match at a price of 1.33 with TonyBet.

1️⃣ RB Leipzig Update

Leipzig have been relatively consistent this season, winning 13 and drawing just two of their 21 matches in all competitions in 2023/24. Overall, they’ve won 61.90% of their matches, while their 3-0 win over Bayern Munich back in August saw them claim the maiden trophy of the season in the form of the DFL-Supercup. I’ve already touched on attacking midfielder Xavi Simmons too, who’s key to Leipzig’s attacking output and contributed two assists and 6.32 shot-creating actions per 90 in the competition so far (in addition to his two goals).

Last 5 Games
RB Leipzig 2
Heidenheim 1
02.12.23
German Bundesliga
Man City 3
RB Leipzig 2
28.11.23
Champions League
Wolfsburg 2
RB Leipzig 1
25.11.23
German Bundesliga
RB Leipzig3
SC Freiburg 1
12.11.23
German Bundesliga
Red Star Belgrade 1
RB Leipzig 2
07.11.23
Champions League

Leipzig remain without centre back Willi Orban, who continues his recovery from a torn lateral knee ligament. Forward Dani Olmo will also miss out with aromioclavicular joint dislocation, while he’s not expected to return until December 21st. Timo Werner is also suffering from adductor pain and will face a late fitness test.

PlayerReason
Willi Orban Torn Lateral Knee Ligament
Dani Olmo Aromioclavicular Joint Dislocation
Timo Werner Adductor Pain

2️⃣ Young Boys Update

Young Boys currently sit top of the Swiss Super League, having won nine of their 16 league matches so far and recently moved two points clear of FC Zürich. However, they’ve only won one of their previous three league games, while their overall record in 2023/24 has yielded 14 wins in 26 matches (at a win rate of 53.85%), seven draws and five defeats. Interestingly, Raphaël Wicky’s men are much stronger at home than they are on the road, with their record of six wins in 13 away matches including three victories against lower league domestic opposition in the Swiss Cup.

Last 5 Games
Young Boys 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0
06.12.23
Swiss Super League
Young Boys 1
Servette 1
03.12.23
Swiss Super League
Young Boys 2
Red Star Belgrade 0
28.11.23
Champions League
FC Zurich 3
Young Boys 1
25.11.23
Swiss Super League
Young Boys 6
Luzern 1
11.11.23
Swiss Super League

The potential loss of Cedric Itten to injury could be a huge blow for Young Boys, with no date yet given for the striker’s return. 18-year-old right winger Malik Deme is also a huge doubt with an unknown injury, while left-sided midfielder Kastriot Imeri remains out with a torn lateral knee ligament.

PlayerReason
Cedric Itten Knock
Malik Deme Unknown Injury
Kastriot Imeri Torn Lateral Knee Ligament

👕 RB Leipzig v Young Boys Potential Lineups

Pos. RB Leipzig
4-2-2-2
Young Boys
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper J. Blaswich A. Racioppi Goalkeeper
Right Back B. Henrichs L. Blum Right Back
Centre Back L. Klostermann M.A. Camara Centre Back
Centre Back M. Simakan L. Benito Centre Back
Left Back D. Raum U. Garcia Left Back
Defensive Midfielder A. Haidara F. Ugrinic Midfielder
Defensive Midfielder X. Schlager C. Niasse Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder C. Baumgartner E. Colley Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder X. Simons D. Males Wide Forward
Striker Y. Poulsen M. Elia Striker
Striker L. Openda J. Nsame Wide Forward

RB Leipzig to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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