Manchester City v RB Leipzig Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

man-city-rb-leipzig-logo man-city-rb-leipzig-logo
TournamentUEFA Champions League
Timetable20:00 GMT, 28th Nov 2023
PredictionMan City to Win!
Odds1.33
BookmakerTonyBet Sports
Man City to Win!
The best odds
1.
Tony​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.33
Bet €100 and win €133 if Man City win.
Bonus:
2.
betway
Odds : 1.35
Bet €100 and win €135 if Man City win.
Bonus:
€50+ 50 Free Spins
3.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.30
Bet €100 and win €130 if Man City win.
Bonus:
man-city-rb-leipzig-logo man-city-rb-leipzig-logo

Manchester City’s comfortable home win against Young Boys in gameweek four of the 2023/24 Champions League saw them qualify for the round of 16, while another victory at the Etihad against RB Leipzig could also see them confirm top spot in Group G. However, the Bundesliga side also remain in contention to top the group, and they’ll draw level on points with City if they win in Manchester. But who do I think will prevail, and what odds are being offered by the best betting sites?

🏆 Manchester City v RB Leipzig UCL Prediction

Both City and Leipzig are latecomers to the top table of European football, but these sides have still met five times in UEFA competition. Interestingly, the first of these was played a little over two years ago in September 2021, with City winning on three occasions and losing just once (a 2-1 group stage defeat in Germany on December 7th, 2021).

Two of City’s three wins in this fixture have come at home, while the team has scored a staggering 13 goals in these encounters alone. They won the first ever match between the two sides 6-3, before recording a 7-0 thrashing in the second leg of last season’s round of 16 clash (Erling Haaland scored five times in this game).

The Citizens also rank among the most impressive teams in the 2023/24 competition so far, averaging 71.3% possession across their four group games (more than any other side) and producing an exceptional 50.25 shot-creating actions per 90. Their xG value of 13.9 is also 4.6 higher than any other team, while their quality and goal threat was evident when defeating Leipzig 3-1 at the Red Bull Arena last month.

So, while Leipzig themselves have produced 33.75 shot-creating actions per 90 this season and will provide a huge threat on the break at the Etihad, I’m tipping City to record another dominant win in the Champions League.

My Prediction: 🏆 Man City 3 – 1 RB Leipzig ⚽

💯 Manchester City v RB Leipzig UCL Match Odds

When you compare Betinireland’s comprehensive bookmaker reviews, you may look for the sportsbook that offers the biggest selection of football betting markets. The most popular wager types include match winner, BTTS and the over/under on total goals scored, but how are these markets being priced ahead of the Man City vs RB Leipzig game?

🏅 Manchester City v RB Leipzig: Match Winner

It should come as no surprise that City are odds-on favourites to beat Leipzig, while their average price of 1.30 implies a 76.92% probability of them winning at the Etihad. Conversely, the Bundesliga outfit can be backed at around 8.50, so they only have an 11.76% chance of winning from a statistical perspective.

Team
Man City to Win1.281.351.301.331.35
RB Leipzig to Win8.257.507.707.667.50
Draw5.255.005.505.315.33

⚽ Manchester City v RB Leipzig: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 12 of City’s 19 matches across all competitions this season, while the Citizens have kept five clean sheets and failed to score on just two occasions. As for Leipzig, both sides have scored in 10 of their 18 matches in 2023/24, while the German team has kept six clean sheets. They’ve also scored in all but three of their matchups this season.

Yes/No
Yes1.711.781.761.791.70
No1.952.001.962.032.00

Manchester City v RB Leipzig: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

These two teams have contested 37 matches between them so far this season, which have in turn produced an impressive 126 goals at a rate of 3.40 per game. City and Leipzig also shared four goals in their previous Group G game at the Red Bull Arena, so the odds imply a much higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the return match.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.441.481.451.481.50
Under 2.5 Goals2.502.502.542.612.63

✔️ Manchester City v RB Leipzig - Betting Tips

While these are the most popular Man City vs RB Leipzig betting markets, you can also explore alternative wagers, matched betting and combination bets in a bid to create value. Here are some expert betting tips to help you make the most of your starting bankroll!

  • Tip 1: Back Man City to Win and Both Sides to Score: While I expect City to beat Leipzig at the Etihad, Pep Guardiola’s side have only kept clean sheets in 26% of their games this season. Leipzig have also scored in 15 of their 18 matches in all competitions, while both sides have found the back of the net in four of the previous five head-to-head clashes. So, consider backing City to win and both sides to score at a price of 2.40 with Dachbet Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Man City to Win With a Handicap of -1.75 Goals: All City’s three previous victories over RB Leipzig have been by at least two clear goals, as have 10 of their 13 wins in all competitions in 2023/24. They also dominated in their 3-1 win at Leipzig last month, boasting 68% possession and attempting 18 shots to just three. So, I think there’s value in backing City to win with a handicap of -1.75 goals at a price of 2.05 with LegendPlay Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Man City to Win Both Halves: If you have one or more free bets on your account that you’d like to make use of, you could also seek out some higher priced win markets. For example, you can back a dominant City side to win both halves against Leipzig, just as they did in their gameweek two encounter with the Germans at the Red Bull Arena. You can get on this at a price of 2.80 with TonyBet Sports.

1️⃣ Man City Update

City’s chaotic 4-4 draw at Chelsea prior to the international break snapped a five-game winning streak for the Citizens, which had seen them score 17 goals and concede just three. They definitely missed the influential John Stones against the Blues, with the former Everton man having become key to City’s tactical setup and innovative 3-2-4-1 formation. The good news for the Citizens is that Stones could return in time for the clash with Leipzig, as they look to extend their unbeaten run in the Champions League to 18 games (they haven’t lost at home in the UCL since a 2-1 reversal to Liverpool in April 2018).

Last 5 Games
Chelsea 4
Man City 4
12.11.23
Premier League
Man City 3
Young Boys 0
07.11.23
Champions League
Man City 6
Bournemouth 1
04.11.23
Premier League
Man United 0
Man City 3
29.10.23
Premier League
Young Boys 1
Man City 3
25.10.23
Champions League

The return of John Stones from a thigh injury could be significant for City, but Pep Guardiola remains without the services of Kevin De Bruyne as he continues his recovery from a partial muscle tear. Left back Sergio Gomez is also a doubt with a knock, while reserve keeper Zack Steffen is continuing his rehabilitation after knee surgery. While Erling Haaland limped off with an ankle knock in Norway’s recent friendly against the Faroe Islands, this injury isn’t serious and he’s expected to be fit by the end of the international break.

PlayerReason
Kevin De Bruyne Partial Muscle Tear
Sergio Gomez Knock
Zack Steffen Knee Surgery

2️⃣ RB Leipzig Update

Leipzig have also qualified for the Champions League round of 16, with the side having won three of their four UCL matches and 12 of their 18 games across all competitions in 2023/24. They’ve only lost three of their last 17 games too (including the 3-1 defeat to City in gameweek two), although a shock 2-0 reversal at Mainz on November 4th provided a stark reminder of their occasional defensive vulnerability. Regardless, the team has averaged 2.38 goals per game through 2023/24 so far, while their xG value of 8.5 remains the fifth highest in the UCL.

Last 5 Games
RB Leipzig 3
SC Freiburg 1
12.11.23
German Bundesliga
Red Star Belgrade 1
RB Leipzig 2
07.11.23
Champions League
Mainz 2
RB Leipzig 0
04.11.23
German Bundesliga
Wolfsburg 1
RB Leipzig 0
31.10.23
DFB-Pokal
RB Leipzig 6
Cologne 0
28.10.23
German Bundesliga

RB Leipzig should be able to choose from a fully fit squad when they visit Man City, with young goalkeeper Timo Schlieck now back in training. Influential centre back Willi Orban may also be fit to return after recovering from a knee injury. However, forward Dani Olmo is likely to remain absent following surgery to repair an acromioclavicular joint separation.

PlayerReason
Dani Olmo Acromioclavicular Joint Separation
Willi Orban Knee Injury

👕 Man City v RB Leipzig- Potential Lineups

Pos. Man City
3-2-4-1
RB Leipzig
4-2-2-2
Pos.
Goalkeeper Ederson J. Blaswich Goalkeeper
Right Centre Back K. Walker B. Heinrichs Right Back
Centre Back R. Dias M. Simakan Centre Back
Left Centre Back J. Gvardiol W. Orban Centre Back
Central Midfielder J. Stones D. Raum Left Back
Central Midfielder Rodri K. Kampl Midfielder
Right Midfielder P. Foden X. Schlager Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder J. Alvarez E. Forsberg Attacking Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder B. Silva X. Simons Attacking Midfielder
Left Midfielder J. Doku Y. Poulsen Striker
Striker E. Haaland L. Openda Striker

Man City to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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