Manchester City v Young Boys Bern Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 20:00 GMT 7th Nov 2023 |
| Prediction | Manchester City To Win! |
| Odds | 1.08 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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When Manchester City host BSC Young Boys at the Etihad Stadium on Tuesday, November 7th, they’ll know that a win will be enough to secure their smooth passage to the round of 16. They’ll also go in search of a sixth consecutive Champions League win, while Pep Guardiola’s side are now unbeaten in 16 matches in Europe’s premier continental competition. They also beat Young Boys 3-1 in Switzerland less than two weeks ago, boasting 69% possession and attempting 26 shots on goal in the process. But will City be similarly dominant in Manchester, or can the defending Swiss champions upset the ante post football betting odds? Here’s my take on how the game will go!
🏆 Manchester City v BSC Young Boys Bern UCL Prediction
The Group G game on October 25th was the first ever clash between Manchester City and Young Boys, which should come as no surprise given the Citizens relatively recent ascent as UEFA Champions League contenders and the fact that the Swiss side have only ever contested 58 UCL or European Cup matches.
The encounter at the Wankdorf Stadium undoubtedly showcased City’s dominance, with the side’s 69% share of possession yielding 26 attempts on goal and an impressive 14 on target. The also completed 723 passes (more than double their rival’s tally of 323), while their passing accuracy of 93% was even higher than their tournament average of 91.4%. The only good news for Young Boys is that they attempted 10 shots on goal and were dangerous in transition against the Citizens, with Guardiola’s men having only faced 16 attempts in total across their three UCL games so far.
However, Young Boys have only won 33.9% of their tackles in this season’s Champions League, while they’ve completed the same amount of ball recoveries as City (138) despite averaging 26% less possession during the 2023/24 campaign. So, I expect City to dominate in and out of possession, and while Young Boys will adopt a direct playing style and provide a threat on the counterattack, it’s hard to predict anything other than a comfortable win for the home side!
My Prediction: 🏆 Man City 4 – 0 Young Boys ⚽
💯 Manchester City v BSC Young Boys UCL Match Odds
As you can imagine, you can access a huge range of ante post betting markets and odds ahead of the Manchester City vs Young Boys game. These enable you to wager on outcomes such as the match winner, both teams to score (BTTS) or not and the over/under on the total number of goals scored in the game. I’ll explore these markets in a little more detail below!
🏅 Manchester City v BSC Young Boys: Match Winner
All of the betting sites have published their ante post-match winner odds for this Group G Champions League match. Of course, City are the overwhelming favourites to win in Manchester, but how is a potential Young Boys victory being priced? Check out the selection of best betting sites where you can find in-depth infomation.
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City to Win | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| BSC Young Boys to Win | 29.00 | 26.00 | 28.00 | 27.00 | 36.00 |
| Draw | 11.00 | 10.00 | 10.60 | 12.00 | 10.00 |
⚽ Manchester City v BSC Young Boys: Both Teams To Score
Interestingly, both of these teams have scored in all but two of their games in all competitions this season, while Manchester City and Young Boys have also scored at respective rates of 2.29 and 2.70 goals per game. However, the ante post BTTS odds imply a strong probability that both sides won’t score at the Etihad Stadium, thanks largely to City’s penchant for dominating games and restricting their opponents offensively.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.85 | 2.80 | 2.85 |
| No | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.48 |
🥅 Manchester City v BSC Young Boys Odds: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
You can access an average price of 1.36 when backing over 2.5 goals scored being scored in this game, revealing an implied probability of 73.52% that this outcome will occur. There’s good reason for this too, as the 37 matches contested by these two sides in 2023/24 have yielded a whopping 112 goals at a rate of 3.02 per game!
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.87 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
✔️ Manchester City v BSC Young Boys - Betting Tips
It can be hard to bank viable returns when betting on this type of match, as City are overwhelming favourites to win and have a 93.45% chance of winning according to the ante post odds. So, how can you identify or create value in the available betting markets and make the most of your bankroll? We recommend you check out our bookmaker reviews, as well as the betting tips below! When it comes to making informed bets, consider exploring various matched betting strategies to maximize your chances of success.
- Tip 1: Back Man City to Win With Over 3.5 Goals Scored: While there’s little value to be found in backing City to win outright at a price of around 1.08, you could look to access enhanced odds through combination betting. For example, betting on City to win and there being more than 3.5 goals scored in the game unlocks an extended price of 2.05 with Betiton, while it reflects City’s immense attacking quality and doesn’t overly compromise your chances of winning!
- Tip 2: Back Julian Alvarez to Score First: City’s talisman Erling Haaland limped off at half-time during the 6-1 win over Bournemouth at the weekend, and he may not be risked against an over-matched Young Boys side. This means that Argentine striker Julian Alvarez will lead the line at the Etihad, while the 2023 World Cup winner is already the joint-top scorer in the UCL group stage with three goals from seven shots on target. He has also proved an effective set piece taker this season (he scored a superb free kick in the 2-1 defeat at Wolves), while you can get on him to score first here at a price of 3.10 with Betway.
- Tip 3: Back Man City to win with a Handicap of -3.5 Goals: If you have a free bet that you’d like to deploy, you may also want to consider handicapping as a way of unlocking potentially higher returns. For example, you can bet on City to win with a hefty handicap of -3.5 goals at the competitive price of 2.80 with LegendPlay, with the team required to prevail by four clear goals for the wager to be successful. Of course, the absence of Haaland may deter you from placing this wager, but City retain an incredible goal threat and produced an xG of 3.38 in the reverse fixture without really getting out of third gear.
1️⃣ Manchester City Update
Manchester City appear to have recovered from a run of three defeats in five games prior to the last international break, as they’ve since won four consecutive matches in all competitions while scoring 14 goals and conceding just three. This sequence included a supremely dominant 3-0 win at Old Trafford over their bitter city rivals on October 29th, while the blue side of Manchester have also welcomed back Rodri and John Stones from injury and suspension in recent weeks. Belgian winger Jeremy Doku has also hit peak form ahead of the visit of Young Boys, becoming just the eighth player to register four assists in a single EPL game during the 6-1 hammering of the Cherries.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Man City 6 Bournemouth 1 | 04.11.23 Premier League |
| Man United 0 Man City 3 | 29.10.23 Premier League |
| Young Boys 1 Man City 3 | 25.10.23 Champions League |
| Man City 2 Brighton 1 | 21.10.23 Premier League |
| Arsenal 1 Man City 0 | 08.10.23 Premier League |
City remain close to full strength ahead of the visit of Young Boys, although as I’ve already touched on, Erling Haaland could miss out with a twisted ankle. Otherwise, attacking midfielder Kevin De Bruyne remains a long-term absentee with a partial muscle tear, while reserve goalkeeper Zach Steffen is still unavailable for selection as he continues his rehabilitation after a knee injury.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | Ankle Strain |
| Kevin De Bruyne | Partial Muscle Tear |
| Zach Steffen | Knee Injury |
1️⃣ Young Boys Update
Defending domestic champions Young Boys recently moved to the top of the Swiss Super League, achieving a narrow, one-point advantage over FC Zurich in the process. They’ve now also lost just one of their last eight games in all competitions, although this defeat was administered by City at the Wankdorf Stadium on October 25th. They’ve also drawn three of these matches and haven’t strung together more than two successive wins since September 15th, while they’ve taken just one point from nine in Champions League Group G and could well be eliminated from the competition if they lose in Manchester and Leipzig beat Red Star Belgrade.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Winterthur 1 Young Boys 4 | 04.11.23 Swiss Super League |
| Rapperswill 0 Young Boys 2 | 01.11.23 Swiss Cup |
| Lugano 1 Young Boys 1 | 29.10.23 Swiss Super League |
| Young Boys 1 Man City 3 | 25.10.23 Champions League |
| Young Boys 0 FC Zurich 0 | 21.10.23 Swiss Super League |
BSC Young Boys are also close full strength ahead of their trip to take on Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium, although left-sided midfielder Kastriot Imeri remains unavailable with a torn lateral knee ligament injury. Interestingly, centre back Aurele Amenda will also miss out as he has been called up to undertake military service.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Kastriot Imeri | Torn Lateral Knee Ligament |
| Aurèle Amenda | Military Service |
👕 Man City vs BSC Young Boys - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Man City 3-2-4-1 | BSC Young Boys 4-3-3 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Ederson | A. Racioppi | Goalkeeper |
| Right Centre Back | K. Walker | L. Blum | Right Back |
| Centre Back | R. Dias | M.A. Camara | Centre Back |
| Left Centre Back | J. Gvardiol | L. Benito | Centre Back |
| Midfielder | J. Stones | U. Garcia | Left Back |
| Midfielder | Rodri | F. Ugrinic | Midfielder |
| Right Midfielder | P. Foden | S. Lauper | Midfielder |
| Attacking Midfielder | B. Silva | C. Niasse | Midfielder |
| Attacking Forward | M. Kovacic | J. Monteiro | Wide Forward |
| Left Midfielder | J. Grealish | C. Itten | Striker |
| Striker | J. Alvarez | M. Elia | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.
