Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby 2023 | Tips, Odds & Predictions

The Irish Derby is one of five Irish classic races, which this year will take place on Sunday, 2nd July at the Curragh Racecourse in County Kildare. The runners will arrive under starters’ orders at 15:40, but who are the key contenders according to the ante post odds and latest Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby sports betting trends?

🏆 Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby Prediction

The 2023 Irish Derby may well be defined by the burgeoning rivalry between ante post favourite Auguste Rodin and Roger Varian’s three-year-old colt King Of Steel. After all, the O’Brien-trained runner edged the recent Epsom classic by just half a length, after the two horses were neck and neck entering the final 110 yards.

However, this also represented the King Of Steel’s second career loss to Auguste Rodin, as O’Brien’s three-year-old colt powered home in the Group 1 Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes at Doncaster in October 2022. He finished an impressive 9¾ lengths ahead of his rival here, and despite the gap between the two having narrowed, my Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby winner prediction is that Auguste Rodin will prevail once again.

🏇 Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby Betting Preview

To provide greater context, here’s a closer look at the three Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby 2023 runners that are most likely to contend according to the best sportsbooks featured in Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews.

1️⃣ Auguste Rodin

It’s easy to see why Auguste Rodin is the odds-on favourite in the latest Dubai Duty free Irish Derby 2023 betting, with the colt boasting four career wins (and five top-two finishes) in just six outings. He also comes from the talented stable of Aidan O’Brien, which has fielded a staggering 14 Irish Derby winners since 1997.

He also recovered from a disastrous showing at the Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes at Newmarket in May by winning the Epsom Derby less than four weeks later. Finishing 12th in the Group 1 2000 Guineas Stakes may also have provided a steep learning curve, with the colt having never previously travelled.

• 1.50 at BoyleSports
• 1.53 at Betway
• 1.57at Palm Slots Sports

2️⃣ King Of Steel

While King Of Steel won on his debut at Nottingham last October, a weak finish at the subsequent Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes saw him enter the Epsom Derby as a 67.00 outsider. However, he defied these odds on the Epsom Downs, leading just two furlongs from home before drifting left and eventually trailing a close second.

This marked improvement makes him a viable each-way bet for this year’s Irish Derby, even if the challenge of defeating Auguste Rodin over one mile and four furlongs may prove too daunting. After all, King Of Steel has never won over this distance, so his price may be a little short for outright Irish Derby betting.

• 5.50 at BoyleSports
• 5.50 at Betway
• 5.50 at Palm Slots Sports

3️⃣ White Birch

Next up is another three-year-old colt in the form of John Joseph Murphy’s White Birch, who will arrive at the Curragh in good form having already achieved a hattrick of top-three finishes this season and won the Group 3 P.W. McGrath Memorial Ballysax Stakes at Leopardstown on April 2nd.

This sequence included a third-place finish in the Epsom Derby, in which White Birch ran well and finished just 5¼ lengths behind Auguste Rodin despite dwelling at the start. If this runner can start strongly in the Irish Derby, he may contend for a third career win in six outings and offer value as an each-way or free moneyline bet.

• 8.00 at BoyleSports
• 8.00 at Betway
• 8.00 at Palm Slots Sports

⭐ Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby Betting Tips

While the Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby betting odds are liable to change ahead of the race, there are some insightful trends that enable you to identify value in the marketplace. So, here are some Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby betting tips to help you on your way in 2023!

✅ Give Weight to Aidan O’Brien Runners

One of the best Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby betting tips I can offer is to give serious consideration to Aidan O’Brien’s runners. After all, the trainer has recorded 14 Irish Derby wins in total since 1997 and 11 in the last 20 renewals, while a staggering 33 of his 81 runners (40.74%) have also placed since 2003. In addition to the fancied Auguste Rodin, this year’s contenders from the O’Brien stable include Paddington and Cairo, and it’s worth analysing the form of these runners in detail before placing outright or each-way wagers with the best betting sites.

✅ Review the Recent and Historic Form of Jockeys

Of all current jockeys, Seamie Heffernan is the most successful in the Irish Derby, having ridden four winners and placed nine times in just 19 outings. William Buick also has a track record of success here, winning twice and placing on two further occasions in just five starts. Interestingly, the prolific Ryan Moore has yet to win in 10 outings in the Irish Derby, but he did ride Auguste Rodin to success at Epsom last month. Overall, I’d recommend checking these jockey’s confirmed rides ahead of the race, as this could afford one runner a competitive advantage in the field.

✅ Analyse Career Starts and Outings

It’s crucial to analyse the form before making your Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby predictions (or engaging in any form of horse racing betting), with this involving multiple datasets including each runner’s number of starts. During the last 20 renewals, 75% of winning runners had made between four and eight career starts prior to the Irish Derby, while 81% had contested between one and three races during the relevant season. Both of these observations seem to favour Auguste Rodin and White Birch, but second favourite King Of Steel is a little experienced with just three career starts to date.

📊 Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby Winners

❓ Frequently Asked Questions About the Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby 2023

✒️ Lewis Humphries iGaming and Sports Betting Expert

Lewis Humphries is an experienced sportswriter and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the horse racing and key events from across the UK and Ireland, including the Irish Grand National, the Cheltenham Gold Cup and the Aintree Grand National. He’s also providing extensive coverage and predictions for the 2023 Easter Festival at Fairyhouse.