Scotland vs Switzerland Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds - UEFA Euro 2024

🏆 Scotland vs Switzerland Prediction

Although Scotland have only ever won once in the finals of the European Championships, this victory came against Switzerland at Villa Park during Euro 1996 (1-0). In total, the Scots have won an impressive eight of their 16 historical matches against the Swiss, losing on five occasions and drawing the other three.

However, Scotland have only won one of their previous five matches with Switzerland since October 1990. They’ll also face an uphill struggle this time around, having just suffered the heaviest defeat in the opening match of any European Championship since the tournament was inaugurated. They also mounted just eight attacks against the Germans during their 5-1 loss, while averaging 34% possession and completing a paltry 182 passes.

As for the Swiss, they produced a balanced display during their 3-1 over Hungary. In fact, they mounted a total of 46 attacks and accumulated an xG of 2.33, while restricting the Magyars to just six attempts on goal and an xG of 1.25. Murat Yakin’s side also completed 38 ball recoveries in total, with Manuel Akanji recovering 11 balls by himself and completing five clearances.

I certainly expect Switzerland to dominate possession and territory against the Scots, who will have to be considerably more compact and aggressive if they’re to be competitive in Cologne. Even if they improve on their performance in Munich, however, Scotland still lack a cutting edge in attack and will struggle to keep a superior Swiss team at bay.

💯 Scotland vs Switzerland Betting Odds

There are numerous ways in which you can wager on this Group A encounter between Scotland and Switzerland. In addition to predicting the match result or winner, you can bet on both teams to score (or not) and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the 90 minutes. Here’s my analysis of these betting markets and how they’re currently being priced.

🏅 Scotland vs Switzerland: Match Winner

It should come as no surprise that the Swiss are the heavy betting favourites to defeat Scotland at the RheinEnergieStadion. In fact, you can back Switzerland to win at around 1.83, with these odds implying a 54.64% probability of the ‘A-Team’ prevailing in Cologne. You can bet on Scotland to win at an average price of 4.33, so the Tartan Army have just a 23.09% chance of triumphing. The draw is the second most likely outcome at 3.60, implying a 27.77% probability of the game ending tied.

Team to Win
Scotland to Win	4.50	4.33	4.50	4.33	4.33
Switzerland to Win	1.83	1.84	1.82	1.84	1.84
Draw to Win	3.50	3.60	3.50	3.60	3.50

⚽ Scotland vs Switzerland: Both Teams To Score Odds

Both teams have scored in six of Scotland’s previous 10 matches overall, although Steve Clarke’s charges have kept just a single clean sheet during this sequence (during a 2-0 friendly win over Gibraltar on June 3rd). Both sides have found the net in five of Switzerland’s last 10 games, with the Swiss keeping four clean sheets in total and failing to score on two separate occasions.

Yes/No
Yes	2.00	2.00	1.97	2.20	2.00
No	1.80	1.76	1.71	1.64	1.76

🥅 Scotland vs Switzerland: Over/Under Goals Odds

Scotland’s previous 10 matches have yielded a whopping 38 goals in total, at a rate of 3.80 per game. However, the Scots have conceded 26 of these goals at a rate of 2.60 per 90 minutes, while they’ve won just a single encounter during this sequence. The last 10 games featuring Switzerland have produced a total of 25 goals at a rate of 2.50 per 90. The Swiss have scored 17 of these goals at an average of 1.70 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	2.00	2.14	2.07	2.14	2.14
Under 2.5 Goals	1.73	1.71	1.71	1.71	1.71

1️⃣ Scotland Euro Update

Although Scotland were mightily impressive when qualifying for the Euros (they even managed to defeat Spain 2-0 on a thrilling night at Hampden Park last March), their form has nose-dived during preparation for the finals in Germany. As I’ve already touched on, Steve Clarke’s team has now won just once during their previous 10 matches, and even this was a turgid 2-0 victory over Gibraltar on June 3rd. The 5-1 thrashing at the hands of Germany represented a nadir for the side, with Scotland seemingly devoid of confidence, organisation and aggression even before Ryan Porteous’s red card on the stroke of half-time. This will have to change if they’re to get anything against the Swiss.

Porteous will serve a two-game ban after his red card against the Germans, so he could miss the remainder of the Scots’ campaign. Either Grant Hanley or Scott McKenna will come in to replace the Watford centre back against Switzerland. He’s the only confirmed absentee in Clarke’s 26-man squad, but it’s widely expected that Brighton midfielder Billy Gilmour will come into the side to help Scotland become more efficient in possession. The prolific Lawrence Shankland may also replace Che Adams in attack.

2️⃣ Switzerland Euro Update

After their largely impressive 3-1 win over Hungary in their Group A opener, the Swiss have now lost just one of their previous 15 matches (since a 6-1 thrashing by Portugal in the last 16 of the FIFA World Cup in 2022). However, the team has only won seven of these matches and recorded seven draws, some of which have been against relatively lowly opponents such as Kosovo, Belarus and Israel. The good news is that Switzerland remain well organised and enduringly tough to beat, while they demonstrated plenty of attacking threat and depth during their victory over the Magyars. This was aided by the emotional return of forward Breel Embolo, who scored once, completed two dribbles and covered 2.4km despite only playing for 16 minutes in the second half.

Embolo probably won’t start at the RheinEnergieStadion, as he continues his journey towards full fitness. He may be joined on the bench by midfielder Denis Zakaria, who now completed his recovery from a hamstring injury and trained with the squad on Sunday. However, Steven Zuber (fitness) continues to train individually and may be unavailable. Both Silvan Widmer and Remo Freuler will be banned for the third group game if they pick up a yellow card against the Scots.

👕 Scotland vs Switzerland Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.