Timetable | 15:00 GMT 15th June 2024 |
Prediction | Switzerland to win! |
Odds | @2.20 |
Bookmaker | DirectionBet Sport |
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The UEFA European Championship Group A clash between Hungary and Switzerland will be the second match of the 2024 tournament, while it’s scheduled to take place at the Cologne Stadium on June 15th. The Hungarian national side went unbeaten during qualification and finished first in Group G, whereas Switzerland edged out Israel by two points to claim the runners-up spot in Group I. However, the Swiss are seven places higher than their opponents in the FIFA rankings and reached their last eight at Euro 2020, and will be confident of starting their campaign with a win here. But which team do I think will prevail in Cologne?
🏆 Hungary vs Switzerland Prediction
Despite drawing five of their 10 UEFA qualification matches and dropping points against Belarus and Kosovo at home, Switzerland were excellent offensively throughout the campaign. They averaged 66.4% possession per 90 minutes and attempted 6709 passes in total, completing 6005 of these for an impressive pass completion rate of 89.4%.
The Swiss also initiated 495 attacks, with only Denmark (542) and Portugal (529) recording more. However, their 22 goals in Group I came from a whopping 163 attempts (just 59 of which were on target), with their tally of 73 off-target shots the highest across all qualification groups. This hints at a lack of ruthlessness in front of the goal, and this may cause Switzerland issues as the tournament progresses.
Hungary are a little more defensively oriented than their Group A opponents, while Marco Rossi’s flexible 3-4-2-1 formation enables his charges to be particularly compact centrally when they’re in and out of possession. Because of this, they conceded just seven goals during their eight qualification matches, keeping three clean sheets against Lithuania, Bulgaria and Montenegro.
I expect the Swiss to dominate the ball at the Cologne Stadium while Hungary remain compact in their defensive shape and look to play on the counterattack. However, this will suit Switzerland’s key creative talents, with Xherdan Shaqiri, Remo Freuler and Ruben Vargas having contributed eight assists between them during qualifying. Hungary won just one of their four qualification matches on the road too, so I’m backing the Swiss to edge an entertaining game here.
My Prediction: 🏆Hungary 1 – 2 Switzerland⚽
💯 Hungary vs Switzerland Odds
When you wager at one of Ireland’s best betting sites, you’ll be able to access a diverse selection of markets, including the match winner, BTTS and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the 90 minutes. This affords you plenty of choice ahead of the clash between Hungary and Switzerland, but how are these markets currently being priced?
🏅 Hungary vs Switzerland: Match Winner
Hungary are certainly the betting underdogs to defeat Switzerland in Cologne, with their average odds of 3.30 implying just a 30.30% probability of a win for the Magyars. Conversely, you can back Switzerland to prevail at around 2.15, suggesting that Murat Yakin’s team have a 46.51% chance of starting their Euro 2024 campaign with a victory. The draw is priced at around 3.50, implying a 28.57% probability of the match ending tied after 90 minutes.
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hungary to Win | 3.30 | 3.25 | 3.35 | 3.25 | TBA |
Switzerland to Win | 2.20 | 2.14 | 2.15 | 2.14 | TBA |
Draw to Win | 3.20 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 3.50 | TBA |
⚽ Hungary vs Switzerland: Both Teams To Score
Both teams scored in five of Hungary’s eight qualification matches (62.5%), with the Magyars keeping three clean sheets and failing to score just once (during a 0-0 draw in Montenegro). As for Switzerland, both competing sides found the net in six of their 10 qualification games (60%). The Swiss also kept three clean sheets and drew only a single blank during a 1-0 defeat against group winners Romania.
Yes/No | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1.73 | 1.78 | 1.77 | 1.78 | TBA |
No | 2.00 | 1.96 | 1.88 | 1.96 | TBA |
🥅 Hungary vs Switzerland: Over/Under Goals
Hungary’s eight qualification matches also produced 23 goals in total, at a rate of 2.87 per game. The Magyars scored 16 of these goals and conceded just seven at a rate of 0.87 per 90 minutes. The 10 matches contested by Switzerland in qualification Group I yielded 33 goals at the much higher rate of 3.30 per 90. The Swiss struck 22 times at an average of 2.20 per game.
Under/Over | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 Goals | 2.00 | 1.96 | 1.96 | 1.96 | TBA |
Under 2.5 Goals | 1.73 | 1.78 | 1.79 | 1.78 | TBA |
✔️ Hungary vs Switzerland Betting Tips
Neither team is the overwhelming or odds-on favourite to prevail here, so there’s at least nominal value to be found in the win market. You can also build combination wagers and explore alternative betting lines in a bid to create superior value, so here are some expert betting tips to help you get started!
- Tip 1: Back Switzerland to Win: Although the Swiss are narrow favourites to defeat Hungary, the pre-game odds only imply a 46.51% probability of a win for Murat Yakin’s side. However, Switzerland boast far superior pedigree at major tournaments, while they have genuine star quality in the form of Xherdan Shaqiri, Ruben Vargas and Granit Xhaka. Hungary have only beaten their Group A opponents once in nine attempts since April 1989, too, so get on the Swiss to win outright at a price of 2.20 with DirectionBet Sports.
- Tip 2: Back Over 2.5 Goals Being Scored: Interestingly, the current odds also imply just a 50% probability of both teams scoring in Cologne. However, these teams contested 18 matches between them during qualifying, with these encounters yielding a total of 56 goals at a rate of 3.11 per 90 minutes. Both competing teams scored in 11 of these 18 games too (61.11%), so get on over 2.5 goals being scored during the 90 minutes at the competitive price of 2.00 with DirectionBet Sports.
- Tip 3: Back Switzerland in the Half-Time/Full-Time Market: When deploying one of your available free bets, you may want to explore half-time, full-time wagering. Switzerland scored 11 goals without reply during the first half of their qualification matches, while Hungary struck nine times and conceded on six occasions during the same period. I also expect the Swiss to secure a crucial win in Cologne, so get on them to lead at half and full-time at the enhanced price of 3.40 with Sportaza Sports.
1️⃣ Hungary Euro Update
Incredibly, Hungary are now unbeaten in 14 international matches, since a 2-0 defeat to reigning European champions Italy in a Nations League clash on September 26th, 2022. This sequence includes all eight Euro qualification matches, while the Magyars have kept six clean sheets and conceded a paltry 13 goals since they were last defeated. While defensive players and RB Leipzig stars Peter Gulacsi and Willi Orban will subsequently be central to Hungary’s chances of success at Euro 24, Liverpool midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai also remains the side’s primary attacking outlet. He scored four goals and laid on five assists in just eight qualification matches.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Hungary 2 Kosovo 0 | 26.03.24 International Friendly |
Hungary 1 Turkey 0 | 22.03.24 International Friendly |
Hungary 3 Montenegro 1 | 19.11.23 UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group G |
Bulgaria 2 Hungary 2 | 16.11.23 UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group G |
Lithuania 2 Hungary 2 | 17.10.23 UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group G |
At the time of writing, Hungary have no major injuries to report from within their squad. No players are suspended for their Group A opener against Switzerland either, so they should be at full strength in Cologne.
Player | Reason |
---|
2️⃣ Switzerland Euro Update
Although Switzerland have only been defeated once in 12 outings since their harrowing 6-1 thrashing at the hands of Portugal in the last 16 of the FIFA 2022 World Cup, they’ve also won just five of these matches. So, the Swiss are clearly difficult to beat, but they often struggle to convert their dominance of the ball and territory into goals and victories. However, 24-year-old Burnley forward Zeki Amdouni struck six goals in 10 Euro qualifiers at a rate of 0.6 per 90, emerging as a potentially prolific leader of the Swiss line in Germany. I certainly expect him to play from the start against Hungary.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Ireland 0 Switzerland 1 | 26.03.24 International Friendly |
Denmark 0 Switzerland 0 | 23.03.24 International Friendly |
Romania 1 Switzerland 0 | 21.11.23 UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group I |
Switzerland 1 Kosovo 1 | 18.11.23 UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group I |
Israel 1 Switzerland 1 | 15.11.23 UEFA Euro Qualifiers – Group I |
Newcastle centre back Fabian Schär made his return from a hamstring injury on the final day of the EPL season, and should be fit to start against Hungary. Keeper Yann Sommer has also recovered from the ankle knock he picked up in the 0-0 draw with Denmark. Rubén Vargas has reported muscular problems ahead of the tournament opener, so he’ll continue to be assessed in the next two weeks. Denis Zakaria is a serious doubt with a hamstring injury, and although Breel Embolo recently made his return from a serious ACL injury, he’s not expected to feature in Germany.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Fabian Schär | Hamstring Injury |
Rubén Vargas | Muscle Injury |
Denis Zakaria | Hamstring Surgery |
Breel Embolo | ACL Injury |
👕 Hungary vs Switzerland Potential Lineups
Pos. | Hungary 3-4-2-1 | Switzerland 3-4-2-1 | Pos. |
---|---|---|---|
Goalkeeper | D. Dibusz | Y. Sommer | Goalkeeper |
Right Centre Back | B. Balogh | M. Akanji | Right Centre Back |
Centre Back | A. Lang | N. Elvedi | Centre Back |
Left Centre Back | A. Szalai | R. Rodriguez | Left Centre Back |
Right Wing Back | B. Bolla | D. Ndoye | Right Wing Back |
Central Midfielder | A. Nagy | R. Freuler | Central Midfielder |
Central Midfielder | K. Horváth | G. Xhaka | Central Midfielder |
Left Wing Back | Z. Nagy | U. Garcia | Left Wing Back |
Attacking Midfielder | D. Gazdag | X. Shaqiri | Attacking Midfielder |
Attacking Midfielder | D. Szoboszlai | R. Vargas | Attacking Midfielder |
Striker | M. Ádám | Z. Amdouni | Striker |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.