West Ham vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 West Ham vs Liverpool EPL Prediction

Liverpool dominated the Hammers in the reverse fixture at Anfield back on September 24th, winning 3-1 and accumulating an impressive xG of 4.14. Although Jarrod Bowen scored an equalizing goal on the counterattack, West Ham barely threatened overall and produced a collective xG of just 1.54 during the 90 minutes.

Despite West Ham being at home this weekend, the match at the London Stadium will follow a similar pattern. More specifically, West Ham will defend in a low and compact block, while looking to recover the ball deep and launch counterattacks. This is borne out by the fact that they’ve attempted 310 tackles in the defensive third season and executed 22 defensive actions that have led to an attempt on goal (only Everton have produced more).

West Ham also boast one of the deepest defensive lines in the division, whereas Liverpool complete their defensive actions an average of 48.55 metres from their own goal. This high line has enabled them to complete 35.47 shot-creating actions per 90 in the 2023/24 Premier League and accumulate the highest xG of any team (81.67).

The issue for Liverpool is wastefulness, as they’ve underperformed their xG by -6.67 goals and missed a whopping 70 big chances in the EPL. However, the Hammers have won just one of their previous eight home games in the Premier League, while Liverpool’s likely dominance of the ball and territory should set them up for a narrow win.

💯 West Ham vs Liverpool EPL Match Odds

Across all of Ireland’s best betting sites, you can access a huge range of markets and odds. The most popular markets include the match winner, both teams to score or not and the over/under on the total number of how many goals will be scored at the London Stadium. Let’s take a closer look at these markets and their current pricing!

🏅 West Ham vs Liverpool: Match Winner

West Ham are the betting underdogs to defeat Liverpool in East London, with their average price of 5.50 implying just an 18.18% probability of a home win. As for the Reds, they can be backed to record their 10th away league win of the season at around 1.52 at the weekend. This suggests that Jurgen Klopp’s men have a 65.78% chance of beating the Hammers.

Team
West Ham to Win	5.00	5.00	5.10	5.50	5.80
Liverpool to Win	1.50	1.53	1.52	1.50	1.53
Draw	4.75	4.75	4.75	4.50	4.75

⚽ West Ham vs Liverpool: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 10 of the Hammers’ 17 home matches in the 2023/24 Premier League (59%). David Moyes’ men have kept four clean sheets and failed to score on four occasions. 12 of the 17 away matches contested by Liverpool have seen both sides find the net (71%), with the Reds keeping four clean sheets. They failed to score for the first time on the road in their 2-0 defeat to Everton last time out.

BTTS
Yes	1.44	1.50	1.45	1.47	1.50
No	2.50	2.50	2.62	2.45	2.50

🥅 West Ham vs Liverpool: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The 17 matches contested by West Ham have produced a total of 51 goals, at a rate of exactly 3.00 per game. They’ve conceded 25 times at the London Stadium at a rate of 1.47 per 90 minutes. Liverpool’s 17 league matches on the road have also yielded 51 goals at the exact same rate (3.00), although the Reds have scored 32 of these at an average of 1.88 per 90.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.36	1.40	1.37	1.44	1.40
Under 2.5 Goals	2.80	2.88	2.85	2.75	2.75

1️⃣ West Ham Update

West Ham are on a run of just one win in seven matches in the Premier League, with the Hammers conceding 16 goals during this sequence. Their home form is even worse at the time of writing, as they’ve won just one of their previous eight games at the London Stadium since defeating Manchester United here on December 23rd. Worryingly for David Moyes, the Hammers have slumped to 13th in the EPL form table over the course of the last 10 matches, taking just 12 points from the 30 available during this period. This has left them 8th in the EPL table with just four games to play.

West Ham’s top scorer Jarrod Bowen is a major doubt ahead of the weekend, as he continues to struggle with a lower back injury. Central defensive pair Nayef Aguerd (ankle injury) and Konstantinos Mavropanos (knock) will also be assessed ahead of kick-off. Youngster George Earthy has definitely been ruled out, however, as he continues his recovery from a concussion.

2️⃣ Liverpool Update

Liverpool’s downturn in form has come at the worst possible time, with a run of just one win in four Premier League matches culminating in a devastating 2-0 defeat at Goodison Park in midweek. The Reds have now taken 20 points from the previous 30 available to them in the EPL, which is significantly less than title rivals Arsenal (25) and Manchester City (24) during the same period. Klopp’s men have also dropped five points on the road in their last three away fixtures, including the reversal at Everton and a chaotic 2-2 draw against Man United at Old Trafford.

Cody Gakpo (knock) is a doubt ahead of the trip to London, although he’s expected to be passed fit in time to feature in the matchday squad. However, Portuguese striker Diogo Jota has been ruled out once again with a groin injury, as he joins Conor Bradley (ankle) and Thiago (thigh) on the sidelines. Centre-back Joel Matip remains unavailable and is out for the season, as he continues his recovery from a serious knee injury.

👕 West Ham vs Liverpool - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.