West Ham vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

west-ham-vs-liverpool-logo west-ham-vs-liverpool-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable12:30 GMT, 27th April 24
PredictionLiverpool to win!
Odds1.53
BookmakerRoyalistplay Sports
The best odds
1.
Bet €100 and win €153 if Liverpool win.
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Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.53
Bet €100 and win €153 if Liverpool win.
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3.
Betiton
Odds : 1.52
Bet €100 and win €152 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:
€10
west-ham-vs-liverpool-logo west-ham-vs-liverpool-logo

Liverpool’s Premier League charge came to a shuddering halt in midweek, after bitter rivals Everton beat them 2-0 in the Merseyside derby at a thunderous Goodison Park. According to Opta, they now have just a 2.5% chance of winning the EPL this season, with Arsenal and Manchester City holding a significant advantage over Jurgen Klopp’s men. Still, they’ll be determined to keep their faint title hopes alive with a win at the London Stadium, while West Ham will look to end a dire run of form that has seen them win just one of their last seven league matches. But which side do I think will prevail in East London?

🏆 West Ham vs Liverpool EPL Prediction

Liverpool dominated the Hammers in the reverse fixture at Anfield back on September 24th, winning 3-1 and accumulating an impressive xG of 4.14. Although Jarrod Bowen scored an equalizing goal on the counterattack, West Ham barely threatened overall and produced a collective xG of just 1.54 during the 90 minutes.

Despite West Ham being at home this weekend, the match at the London Stadium will follow a similar pattern. More specifically, West Ham will defend in a low and compact block, while looking to recover the ball deep and launch counterattacks. This is borne out by the fact that they’ve attempted 310 tackles in the defensive third season and executed 22 defensive actions that have led to an attempt on goal (only Everton have produced more).

West Ham also boast one of the deepest defensive lines in the division, whereas Liverpool complete their defensive actions an average of 48.55 metres from their own goal. This high line has enabled them to complete 35.47 shot-creating actions per 90 in the 2023/24 Premier League and accumulate the highest xG of any team (81.67).

The issue for Liverpool is wastefulness, as they’ve underperformed their xG by -6.67 goals and missed a whopping 70 big chances in the EPL. However, the Hammers have won just one of their previous eight home games in the Premier League, while Liverpool’s likely dominance of the ball and territory should set them up for a narrow win.

My Prediction: 🏆 West Ham 1 – 2 Liverpool ⚽

💯 West Ham vs Liverpool EPL Match Odds

Across all of Ireland’s best betting sites, you can access a huge range of markets and odds. The most popular markets include the match winner, both teams to score or not and the over/under on the total number of how many goals will be scored at the London Stadium. Let’s take a closer look at these markets and their current pricing!

🏅 West Ham vs Liverpool: Match Winner

West Ham are the betting underdogs to defeat Liverpool in East London, with their average price of 5.50 implying just an 18.18% probability of a home win. As for the Reds, they can be backed to record their 10th away league win of the season at around 1.52 at the weekend. This suggests that Jurgen Klopp’s men have a 65.78% chance of beating the Hammers.

Team
West Ham to Win5.005.005.105.505.80
Liverpool to Win1.501.531.521.501.53
Draw4.754.754.754.504.75

⚽ West Ham vs Liverpool: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 10 of the Hammers’ 17 home matches in the 2023/24 Premier League (59%). David Moyes’ men have kept four clean sheets and failed to score on four occasions. 12 of the 17 away matches contested by Liverpool have seen both sides find the net (71%), with the Reds keeping four clean sheets. They failed to score for the first time on the road in their 2-0 defeat to Everton last time out.

BTTS
Yes1.441.501.451.471.50
No2.502.502.622.452.50

🥅 West Ham vs Liverpool: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The 17 matches contested by West Ham have produced a total of 51 goals, at a rate of exactly 3.00 per game. They’ve conceded 25 times at the London Stadium at a rate of 1.47 per 90 minutes. Liverpool’s 17 league matches on the road have also yielded 51 goals at the exact same rate (3.00), although the Reds have scored 32 of these at an average of 1.88 per 90.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.361.401.371.441.40
Under 2.5 Goals2.802.882.852.752.75

✔️ West Ham vs Liverpool - Betting Tips

Regardless of your choice of football betting markets, it can often be difficult to identify or create value in published odds. So, here are some expert tips and insights to help you execute the best picks ahead of the clash between West Ham and Liverpool.

  • Tip 1: Back Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score: Liverpool are the heavy betting favourites to defeat West Ham at the London Stadium. The pre-game odds also imply a 68.02% probability of both teams scoring in East London, with Liverpool having failed to score on the road for the first time this season at Everton last time out. West Ham have scored in 13 of their 17 home games in 2023/24 (76.47%) too, including four of their previous five since February 11th. So, why not back Liverpool to win and both teams to score at the enhanced price of 2.60 with PalmSlots Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Mohamed Salah as an Anytime Goalscorer: Mo Salah is embarked on a torrid run in front of goal, having scored just once in his previous five EPL appearances. However, he has still scored 17 goals this season so far, from a total of just 39 shots on target and an individual xG of 18.9. He also remains the Reds’ designated penalty taker and is likely to see plenty of the ball as the away side dominates possession, so there’s value in backing Salah as an anytime scorer at the competitive price of 2.00 with LegendPlay Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Liverpool to Attempt Over 20.5 Shots: If you have one or more free bets on your account, you may want to engage in stats betting. More specifically, I expect Liverpool to dominate the ball in East London, while the Reds average 19.94 shots per 90 in this season’s Premier League (a competition high). West Ham may also be without a couple of key defenders this weekend, so there’s value in backing Liverpool to have over 20.5 attempts on goal at a price of 2.25 with 1Bet Sports.

1️⃣ West Ham Update

West Ham are on a run of just one win in seven matches in the Premier League, with the Hammers conceding 16 goals during this sequence. Their home form is even worse at the time of writing, as they’ve won just one of their previous eight games at the London Stadium since defeating Manchester United here on December 23rd. Worryingly for David Moyes, the Hammers have slumped to 13th in the EPL form table over the course of the last 10 matches, taking just 12 points from the 30 available during this period. This has left them 8th in the EPL table with just four games to play.

Last 5 Games
Crystal Palace 5
West Ham 2
21.04.24
Premier League
West Ham 1
Bayer Leverkusen 1
18.04.24
UEFA Europa League
West Ham 0
Fulham 2
14.04.24
Premier League
Bayer Leverkusen 2
West Ham 0
11.04.24
UEFA Europa League
Wolves 1
West Ham 2
06.04.24
Premier League

West Ham’s top scorer Jarrod Bowen is a major doubt ahead of the weekend, as he continues to struggle with a lower back injury. Central defensive pair Nayef Aguerd (ankle injury) and Konstantinos Mavropanos (knock) will also be assessed ahead of kick-off. Youngster George Earthy has definitely been ruled out, however, as he continues his recovery from a concussion.

PlayerReason
Jarrod Bowen Lower Back Injury
Nayef Aguerd Ankle Injury
Konstantinos Mavropanos Knock
George Earthy Concussion

2️⃣ Liverpool Update

Liverpool’s downturn in form has come at the worst possible time, with a run of just one win in four Premier League matches culminating in a devastating 2-0 defeat at Goodison Park in midweek. The Reds have now taken 20 points from the previous 30 available to them in the EPL, which is significantly less than title rivals Arsenal (25) and Manchester City (24) during the same period. Klopp’s men have also dropped five points on the road in their last three away fixtures, including the reversal at Everton and a chaotic 2-2 draw against Man United at Old Trafford.

Last 5 Games
Everton 2
Liverpool 0
24.04.24
Premier League
Fulham 1
Liverpool 3
21.04.24
Premier League
Atalanta 0
Liverpool 1
18.04.24
UEFA Europa League
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 1
14.04.24
Premier League
Liverpool 0
Atalanta 3
11.04.24
UEFA Europa League

Cody Gakpo (knock) is a doubt ahead of the trip to London, although he’s expected to be passed fit in time to feature in the matchday squad. However, Portuguese striker Diogo Jota has been ruled out once again with a groin injury, as he joins Conor Bradley (ankle) and Thiago (thigh) on the sidelines. Centre-back Joel Matip remains unavailable and is out for the season, as he continues his recovery from a serious knee injury.

PlayerReason
Cody Gakpo Knock
Diogo Jota Groin Injury
Conor Bradley Ankle Injury
Thiago Thigh Injury
Joel Matip Ruptured ACL

👕 West Ham vs Liverpool - Potential Lineups

Pos. West Ham
4-2-3-1
Liverpool
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper L. Fabianski Alisson Goalkeeper
Right Back V. Coufal T. Alexander-Arnold Right Back
Centre Back K. Zouma I. Konate Centre Back
Centre Back A. Ogbonna V. van Dijk Centre Back
Left Back Emerson J. Gomez Left Back
Midfielder E. Alvarez D. Szoboszlai Midfielder
Midfielder T. Soucek W. Endo Midfielder
Midfielder J. Ward-Prowse A. Mac Allister Midfielder
Wide Forward M. Kudus M. Salah Wide Forward
Striker M. Antonio D. Nunez Striker
Wide Forward L. Paqueta L. Diaz Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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