Nottm Forest vs Man City Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

nottm-v-man-city-logo nottm-v-man-city-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable16:30 GMT, 28th April 24
PredictionMan City to Win!
Odds1.33
BookmakerRoyalistplay Sports
The best odds
1.
Bet €100 and win €133 if Man City win.
Bonus:
2.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.33
Bet €100 and win €133 if Man City win.
Bonus:
3.
Betiton
Odds : 1.32
Bet €100 and win €132 if Man City win.
Bonus:
€10
nottm-v-man-city-logo nottm-v-man-city-logo

Manchester City were imperious during their 4-0 win at Brighton in midweek, which saw Pep Guardiola’s team move second in the Premier League table and just a point behind leaders Arsenal with a game in hand. What’s more, they prevailed without John Stones, Ruben Dias and Erling Haaland, while the Citizens are now unbeaten in 18 EPL matches and haven’t lost on the road in the league since December 6th. However, Nottingham Forest are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the table and five of their seven victories this season have come at the City Ground. But can they shock Man City here, and what do Ireland’s best betting sites say?

🏆 Nottm Forest vs Man City EPL Prediction

City produced a controlled display when defeating Nottingham Forest 2-0 at the Etihad Stadium in September, despite the dismissal of Rodri towards the end of the first half. Of course, they already had a two-goal advantage by this stage, although they only accumulated an xG of 1.34 during the 90 minutes (compared to just 0.73 for Forest).

Despite this, these two teams are worlds apart when it comes to individual and collective quality. This is especially true in attack, where City have produced an average of 4.18 goal-creating actions per 90 and completed 101 live passes leading to an attempt on goal (both are league highs). Forest average just 2.26 goal-creating actions per game and have taken a paltry 4213 touches in the attacking third (only Sheffield United have had less).

City also average 65.8% possession per 90 minutes this season, compared to just 41.2% for Forest. So, although Forest have home advantage, they’ll most likely concede huge swathes of territory and the ball at the City Ground, while looking to use the pace of Anthony Elanga and Morgan Gibbs-White in transition.

They may have some success with this tactic, especially with City boasting the second-highest average defensive line in the league and leaving ample space to exploit in the final third. However, City are in exceptional form and remain laser-focused on the EPL after their Champions League exit, so I expect them to win comfortably at the City Ground.

My Prediction: 🏆 Nottingham Forest 1 – 3 Manchester City ⚽

💯 Nottm Forest vs Man City EPL Match Odds

You can access a diverse range of football betting markets ahead of the clash between Nottingham Forest and Man City, including the match winner or result. Popular markets also include both teams to score (BTTS) and the over/under on the total number of goals scored during the 90 minutes, but what odds are currently available?

🏅 Nottm Forest vs Man City: Match Winner

Unsurprisingly, Nottingham Forest are the huge betting underdogs to defeat Man City at the City Ground. In fact, they can be backed as high as 10.00 to prevail, implying just a 10% probability of a home win. Conversely, a City victory is priced at around 1.32, suggesting that they have a 75.75% of extending their EPL winning run to five matches.

Team
Nottm Forest to Win9.009.008.1010.001.33
Man City to Win1.271.331.321.321.33
Draw5.505.505.506.005.60

⚽ Nottm Forest vs Man City: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 12 of Nottingham Forest’s 17 EPL home matches this season (71%), with the East Midlands team keeping two clean sheets and failing to score on three occasions. 10 of the 16 away matches contested by Man City have seen both sides find the net (62.5%). Guardiola’s team have kept four clean sheets and drawn two blanks on the road, although they’ve scored in eight successive away games since December 6th.

Yes/No
Yes1.831.911.821.831.91
No1.871.851.921.851.83

🥅 Nottm Forest vs Man City: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The 17 home matches contested by Forest have also yielded 50 goals in total, at a rate of 2.94 per game. They’ve scored and conceded 25 goals at the City Ground. City’s 16 away matches have produced 55 goals at the much higher rate of 3.43 per 90 minutes. They’ve also scored 37 goals at a rate of 2.31 per 90.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.441.551.501.481.50
Under 2.5 Goals2.402.402.432.402.50

✔️ Nottm Forest vs Man City - Betting Tips

Clearly, there are several intriguingly priced betting markets that you can target ahead of this Premier League game, whether you want to wager using your real money bankroll or one or more available free bets. But how can you choose the best priced markets and create value where necessary?

  • Tip 1: Back Both Teams to Score: The odds imply just a 54.64% probability of both teams scoring at the City Ground, but Forest have found the net in 14 of their 17 home matches in 2023/24 (82.35%). As for Man City, they’ve scored in eight consecutive away matches since a 1-0 defeat to Villa on December 6th, while they’ve kept just two clean sheets in their previous 10 outings on the road. So, there’s definitely value in backing both teams to score here, especially at the competitive price of 1.91 with LegendPlay Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back City to Win With Over 3.5 Goals: Given City’s form and status as overwhelming favourites, we’d also recommend building combination bets to help create additional value. For example, although most over/under betting is focused around the 2.5 goals line, the pre-game odds imply a 42.01% probability of over 3.5 goals being scored during the 90 minutes. Remember, City’s away matches have produced an average of 3.43 goals per game this season, while the Citizens have also scored four at Brighton and Palace in their previous two outings. So, get on City to win with over 3.5 goals scored at the enhanced price of 2.80 with Betiton.
  • Tip 3: Back Phil Foden as an Anytime Scorer: Phil Foden has enjoyed an incredible season so far, scoring 16 Premier League goals from 40 shots on target and an xG of just 9.3. He has also struck two hattricks and contributed seven EPL assists in 2023/24, while his tally of 24 goals in all competitions is his highest yet. He even scored in the opener in the 2-0 win over Forest at the Etihad in September, so get on Foden as an anytime goalscorer at a price 2.75 with PalmSlots Sports.

1️⃣ Nottingham Forest Update

Like Everton, Forest have suffered from points deductions this season, so despite accumulating 30 over the course of the season, they have just 26 points on the board and sit just a single place above the relegation zone. They’re also 17th in the EPL form table, having won just two of their previous 10 matches and taken a paltry nine points from the 30 available to them during this sequence. They’ve won just one of their previous four home matches since February 17th too, although striker Chris Wood has at least hit a good run of form and scored four goals in his last six appearances.

Last 5 Games
Everton 2
Nottm Forest 0
21.04.24
Premier League
Nottm Forest 2
Wolves 2
13.04.24
Premier League
Tottenham 3
Nottm Forest 1
07.04.24
Premier League
Nottm Forest 3
Fulham 1
02.04.24
Premier League
Nottm Forest 1
Crystal Palace 1
30.03.24
Premier League

Forest could welcome back powerful striker Taiwo Awoniyi after a muscle injury, although he’ll continue to be assessed ahead of kick off. Otherwise, Forest’s only confirmed absentee is defender Willy Boly, who is sidelined indefinitely with a muscle complaint and won’t feature at the weekend.

PlayerReason
Taiwo Awoniyi Muscle Injury
Willy Boly Muscle Injury

2️⃣ Man City Update

The Citizens extended their unbeaten in 18 EPL matches home and away since a 1-0 reversal at Villa Park on December 6th. They’ve also avoided defeat in their previous 30 matches in all competitions, having won the FIFA Club World Cup, reached a second successive FA Cup final and taken control of the Premier League title race during this run. In the EPL alone, they’ve taken 24 points from the previous 30 available to them since February 10th, with only title rivals Arsenal (25) picking up more during this period. They should welcome back top scorer Erling Haaland at the weekend, boosting an attack that has plundered 17 goals in the last four matches.

Last 5 Games
Brighton 0
Man City 4
25.04.24
Premier League
Man City 1
Chelsea 0
20.04.24
FA Cup
Man City 1
Real Madrid 1
17.04.24
UEFA Champions League
Man City 5
Luton Town 1
13.04.24
Premier League
Real Madrid 3
Man City 3
09.04.24
UEFA Champions League

If Haaland (muscle injury) is passed fit to feature in the matchday squad for the trip to Nottingham, City will be at full strength for this Premier League clash. Both John Stones and Ruben Dias may also start at the City Ground, after being rested during the victory over Brighton on the south coast.

PlayerReason
Erling Haaland Muscle Injury

👕 Nottingham Forest vs Man City - Potential Lineups

Pos. Nottingham Forest
4-2-3-1
Man City
3-2-4-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper M. Sels Ederson Goalkeeper
Right Back N. Williams K. Walker Right Centre Back
Centre Back M. Niakhate R. Dias Centre Back
Centre Back Murillo J. Gvardiol Left Centre Back
Left Back O. Aina J. Stones Defensive Midfielder
Midfielder N. Dominguez Rodri Defensive Midfielder
Midfielder Danilo B. Silva Right Midfielder
Midfielder M. Gibbs-White K. De Bruyne Attacking Midfielder
Wide Forward A. Elanga P. Foden Attacking Midfielder
Striker C. Wood J. Doku Left Midfielder
Wide Forward C. Hudson-Odoi J. Alvarez Striker

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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