Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

nottingham-forest-v-liverpool-logo nottingham-forest-v-liverpool-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable15:00 GMT, 2nd Mar 24
PredictionLiverpool to Win!
Odds1.53
Liverpool to Win!
The best odds
1.
betway
Odds : 1.53
Bet €100 and win €153 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:
€50+ 50 Free Spins
2.
1​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.50
Bet €100 and win €150 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:

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3.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.50
Bet €100 and win €150 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:
nottingham-forest-v-liverpool-logo nottingham-forest-v-liverpool-logo

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool will always be remembered as the first ever televised Premier League fixture, which was broadcast by Sky Sports on August 16th 1992. Back then, this contest was a little more evenly matched, with Forest perennial cup finalists and the Reds on a downward trajectory after their dominance in the 1970s and 1980s. Of course, Liverpool are now back on their perch and will be on the crest of a wave after their Carabao Cup win at the weekend, while Forest remain just four points off the relegation zone. But which team will win here, and how are all potential outcomes being priced by the best betting sites?

🏆 Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool EPL Prediction

Liverpool have won two of their three EPL encounters with Forest since the latter’s return to the top flight in the summer of 2022, while they’ve lost just one of the previous eight meetings since March 1996. Overall, they’ve won 59 of the 119 fixtures contested since January 1895, while Forest have been victorious on 31 occasions.

This season, Liverpool have been a relentless force in the Premier League, especially in the attacking third. To this end, their xG value of 57.8 is considerably higher than fellow title challengers Arsenal (52.6) and Man City (51.7), while they’ve also produced the most shot-creating actions per 90 (33.65).

Their counter pressing has also impressed, with the Reds having completed a league-high 1414 ball recoveries and 79 tackles in the attacking third (only Spurs have completed more). This is bad news for a Forest side that has completed just 75.40% of their 10,666 attempted passes this season, as it means that they may struggle to get out of their defensive third.

In fact, they’ll have to rely on the pace and dribbling ability of Anthony Elanga and Callum Hudson-Odoi to penetrate the space in behind Liverpool’s defensive of line. They may subsequently have some limited success in transition, and while I expect Forest to score at the City Ground, the Reds should have too much quality and momentum despite their sizeable injury list.

My Prediction: 🏆 Nottingham Forest 1 – 2 Liverpool ⚽

💯 Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool EPL Match Odds

There’s a huge range of pre-game football betting markets when wagering on the clash between Nottingham Forest and Liverpool. Below, you’ll find analysis of the most popular match betting markets and their very latest odds!

🏅 Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool: Match Winner

Forest are the deserved underdogs to win here, with their average price of 5.25 implying just a 19.04% probability of a home victory. Conversely, the Reds can be backed at around 1.50, suggesting that they have a 66.66% chance of prevailing and taking another tentative step towards the Premier League title.

Team
betway-logo betway-logo
Nottingham Forest to Win5.505.255.205.505.50
Liverpool to Win1.501.531.481.501.50
Draw4.334.504.554.334.60

⚽ Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in nine of Forest’s 13 league games at the City ground this season (69%), with Forest keeping two clean sheets and drawing two blanks. As for Liverpool, both sides have found the net in 10 of their 13 away games (77%), with the Reds scoring every time they’ve hit the road and keeping three clean sheets against Sheffield United, Burnley and Bournemouth.

Yes/No
betway-logo betway-logo
Yes1.531.601.521.571.60
No2.382.302.322.382.30

🥅 Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Forest’s 13 home matches this season have so far produced 39 goals (19 for and 20 against) at a rate of exactly 3.00 per game. Liverpool have also played 13 matches on the road during 2023/24, with these encounters yielding 40 goals at a rate of 3.07 per 90. So, the odds imply a far higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored at the City Ground.

Under/Over
betway-logo betway-logo
Over 2.5 Goals1.401.451.441.401.50
Under 2.5 Goals2.602.602.532.502.63

✔️ Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool - Betting Tips

There’s minimal value to be found in backing Liverpool to beat Forest outright at the City Ground, so you may need to identify alternative markets ahead of this game. You may also look to create value through combination wagering, so here are some expert tips to keep in mind!

  • Tip 1: Back Liverpool to Win With Over 2.5 Goals: Despite their injury crisis, Liverpool remain in a rich vein of form and are justifiable favourites to defeat Forest at the weekend. Talisman Mohamed Salah could also return at the City Ground, while Forest have won just one of their last six EPL matches. Incredibly, Liverpool’s last seven games have produced a total of 33 goals at a rate of 4.74 per 90, while the Reds have also won six of these. So, get on Liverpool to win with over 2.5 goals scored at a price of 2.05 with 1Bet Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Virgil van Dijk as an Anytime Scorer: This is undoubtedly an outside wager, but one that’s highly recommended if you have one or more free bets on your account. After all, Virgil van Dyke has now scored in successive games in all competitions (both from corners), including the winner in the Carabao Cup final victory last weekend. Forest have also conceded a worrying 16 goals from set-pieces in the EPL this season, accounting for 33% of their total goals against tally. You can back van Dijk as an anytime scorer at the competitive price of 9.50 with LegendPlay Sports.
  • Tip 3: Bet on the Highest Scoring Half: You can also bet on the highest scoring half in the match between Forest and Liverpool, and it should be noted that the Reds have scored 41 of their 63 league goals this season (65%) in the second 45 minutes of matches. Forest have also scored 20 of their 34 EPL goals in the second half (59%), with their pacy forwards capable of punishing tired legs as the game progresses. You can back the second 45 to be the highest scoring half at a price of 2.05 with Betway.

1️⃣ Nottingham Forest Update

Forest have won three out of nine Premier League matches since the appointment of Nuno Espírito Santo on December 20th, while they’ve taken 10 points from the last 30 available to them in the top flight. This patchy run of form has seen them drop to 17th place in the EPL table, just a single place and four points clear of the relegation zone. Most worryingly, the team has only won one of their last six league matches, although this did come at the City Ground courtesy of a 2-0 victory over West Ham. They’re also without Premier League top scorer Chris Wood, with the powerful striker ruled out until the end of March at least.

Last 5 Games
Aston Villa 4
Nottm Forest 2
24.02.24
Premier League
Nottm Forest 2
West Ham 0
17.02.24
Premier League
Nottm Forest 2
Newcastle 3
10.02.24
Premier League
Nottm Forest (5) 1
Bristol City (3) 1
07.02.24
FA Cup
Bournemouth 1
Newcastle 1
04.02.24
Premier League

Wood has been sidelined with a thigh injury, while he joins Nuno Tavares (muscle injury) in the treatment room. Willy Boly and Ibrahim Sangare have both returned from the African Cup of Nations with knocks, and they continue to be assessed ahead of the visit of Liverpool. Olaoluwa Aina (unknown) is also receiving treatment, although he may be passed fit in time for the weekend.

PlayerReason
Chris Wood Thigh Injury
Nuno Tavares Muscle Injury
Willy Boly Knock
Ibrahim Sangare Knock
Olaoluwa Aina Unknown Injury

2️⃣ Liverpool Update

Despite their occasional defensive vulnerability, Liverpool have been enduringly consistent through 2023/24 and taken an impressive 23 points from the previous 30 available to them. Remember, they’ve also lost just two of their previous 37 Premier League matches since April 1st, 2023, and maintain a slender one-point lead over Manchester City at the top of the Premier League table. They’re also in rich goal scoring form have struck 24 times in their previous seven league matches, with Arsenal the only team to prevent the Reds from scoring at least twice in a game since December 17th.

Last 5 Games
Chelsea 0
Liverpool 1
25.02.24
Carabao Cup
Liverpool 4
Luton Town 1
21.02.24
Premier League
Brentford 1
Liverpool 4
17.02.24
Premier League
Liverpool 3
Burnley 1
10.02.24
Premier League
Arsenal 3
Liverpool 1
04.02.24
Premier League

Liverpool’s recent form and Carabao Cup win have defied a mounting injury list, although both Mo Salah and Dominik Szoboszlai (thigh injuries) could be fit for the trip to the East Midlands. The same is true for Darwin Nunez (muscle), although the match may come a little too soon for Curtis Jones (ankle). Trent Alexander-Arnold (knee), Alisson (hamstring) and Diogo Jota (knee) will remain unavailable for a few more weeks at least, while Ryan Gravenberch (foot) and Wembley hero Wataru Endo (ankle) will face late fitness tests prior to the weekend. Thiago (thigh) and Stefan Bajcetic (fitness) are also notable absentees, while Joel Matip is out for the season following an ACL rupture.

PlayerReason
Mohamed Salah Thigh Injury
Dominik Szoboszlai Thigh Injury
Darwin Nunez Muscle Injury
Curtis Jones Ankle Injury
Trent Alexander-Arnold Knee Injury
Alisson Hamstring Injury
Diogo Jota Knee Injury
Ryan Gravenberch Foot Injury
Wataru Endo Ankle Injury
Thiago Thigh Injury
Stefan Bajcetic Fitness
Joel Matip ACL Rupture

👕 Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool - Potential Lineups

Pos. Nottm Forest
4-2-3-1
Liverpool
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper M. Sels C. Kelleher Goalkeeper
Right Back N. Williams C. Bradley Right Back
Centre Back Felipe I. Konaté Centre Back
Centre Back Murillo V. van Dijk Centre Back
Left Back M. Niakhaté A. Robertson Left Back
Midfielder Danilo A. Mac Allister Midfielder
Midfielder N. Domínguez W. Endo Midfielder
Midfielder M. Gibbs-White D. Szoboszlai Midfielder
Wide Forward A. Elanga M. Salah Wide Forward
Striker T. Awoniyi D. Nunez Striker
Wide Forward C. Hudson-Odoi L. Diaz Wide Forward

Liverpool to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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