Newcastle vs Wolves Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

newcastle-v-wolves-logo newcastle-v-wolves-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable15:00 GMT, 2nd Mar 24
PredictionWolves to Win!
Odds4.00
Bookmaker1Bet Sports
Wolves to Win!
The best odds
1.
1​Bet Sports
Odds : 4.00
Bet €100 and win €400 if Wolves win.
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2.
Palm Slots Sports
Odds : 4.00
Bet €100 and win €400 if Wolves win.
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€200
3.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 3.90
Bet €100 and win €390 if Wolves win.
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newcastle-v-wolves-logo newcastle-v-wolves-logo

Since the beginning of December, only Sheffield United have conceded more Premier League league goals than Newcastle, while the Magpies have won just two of their previous eight top-flight matches. Next, they’ll face a Wolves side that has taken 17 points from the last 30 available to them and already won five matches on the road this season, while they defeated Spurs impressively in their previous away game. But can they continue this form, or will Newcastle claim their first home win since December 16th and keep their slender top-four hopes alive? I’ll predict the outcome below while analysing the latest odds from the best betting sites.

🏆 Newcastle vs Wolves EPL Prediction

Newcastle and Wolves have played each other 106 times since September 1898, with the Magpies claiming 34 wins and the Wanderers victorious on 42 occasions. However, Wolves have just a single win in the previous nine head-to-head fixtures, while their last league victory at St James Park came in December 2018.

Still, seven of the last 11 matches have ended in score draws, while no team has won by more than a single goal in this fixture since Newcastle’s 2-0 League Cup triumph in September 2016. This current Wolves team is also incredibly well-organised and outstanding in offensive transition, completing an impressive 1327 ball recoveries and a league-high 290 take-ons during the 2023/24 campaign.

The latter stat will be alarming for Newcastle, who have won just 42.7% of their tackles this season and were run ragged by Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli during their 4-1 defeat at the Emirates last time out. Pedro Neto will certainly look to take advantage of Newcastle’s defensive vulnerabilities out wide, with the in-demand Portuguese winger having attempted 73 take-ons by himself and contributed 0.88 goal-creating actions per 90 this season.

Of course, Newcastle are always aggressive and competitive at home and now have Joe Willock back to full fitness after his goalscoring cameo against the Gunners. However, Wolves’ current tally of 17 points on the road is already higher than the 11 they won in the whole of the 2022/23 campaign, and I’m tipping them to claim another tight and hard-earned victory in the North East.

My Prediction: 🏆 Newcastle 1 – 2 Wolves ⚽

💯 Newcastle vs Wolves EPL Match Odds

This is a fascinating Premier League encounter, and one’s that incredibly difficult to call. However, the good news is that you can access a number of Newcastle vs Wolves betting markets, from the match winner and BTTS to the over/under on how many goals will be scored. Let’s take a closer look at these markets and their latest odds.

🏅 Newcastle vs Wolves: Match Winner

The most popular football betting market requires you to back the winner of the match between Newcastle and Wolves. The Magpies can be backed at around 1.81 to beat Gary O'Neil’s men, implying a 55.2% probability of a home win. The average price for a Wolves victory is 3.60, so they have just a 27.8% chance of winning (statistically speaking, at least).

Team
betway-logo betway-logo
Newcastle to Win1.801.831.811.751.75
Wolves to Win4.003.753.604.003.90
Draw3.753.803.803.903.80

⚽ Newcastle vs Wolves: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in seven of Newcastle’s 13 home matches this season (54%), including each of their previous four. In total, they’ve kept six clean sheets and have yet to draw a blank at St. James Park. Both sides have found the net in nine of Wolves’ 13 away games (69%), with O’Neil’s men keeping two clean sheets and failing to score on three occasions.

Yes/No
betway-logo betway-logo
Yes1.551.601.491.571.53
No2.302.302.382.302.38

🥅 Newcastle vs Wolves: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Newcastle’s 13 home matches have yielded 47 goals at a rate of 3.61 per game, with the last four producing 21 alone. As for Wolves, their 13 away contests have seen a total of 40 goals scored, at a rate of 3.1%. So, it’s not surprising that the odds imply a much higher probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in this encounter.

Under/Over
betway-logo betway-logo
Over 2.5 Goals1.601.571.561.571.57
Under 2.5 Goals2.252.302.262.302.25

✔️ Newcastle vs Wolves - Betting Tips

While Wolves are the betting underdogs here, the odds don’t quite reflect the respective form of both teams and Newcastle’s ongoing defensive woes. But what other betting markets offer value, and how can you create value with specific wager types?

  • Tip 1: Back Wolves to Win: While the odds imply a higher probability of a Newcastle win, Wolves are unbeaten in four on the road and have defeated both Chelsea and Spurs during this run. Only four teams have accumulated more points than Wolves during the last 10 EPL Gameweeks too, while Newcastle have won just 11 points within this timeframe. The Magpies were also fortunate to escape with a point from Molineux in the reverse fixture back on October 28th, so I think there’s value in backing Wolves to win outright at the price of 4.00 with PalmSlots Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Hwang Hee-chan as an Anytime Goalscorer: The return of Hwang Hee-chan from the Asia Cup has really boosted Wolves, especially given the enforced absence of Matheus Cunha. Not only has the South Korean forward scored 10 Premier League goals this season from just 12 shots on target and an xG of 6.3, but his five career appearances against Newcastle have also yielded four goals in total. He also scored in the reverse fixture earlier this season, so get on Hwang Hee-chan as an anytime scorer at a price of 3.50 with LegendPlay Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Wolves to Win With Over 2.5 Goals: If you’d like to use one of the free bets that you may have on your account, you could also consider combination wagering. For example, backing Wolves to win with over 2.5 goals scored unlocks the enhanced price of 5.50 with 1Bet Sports, despite Newcastle’s inconsistent form and increasingly porous defence. This bet also reflects Wolves’ excellent away form since the festive period, when the team has been deadly on the counterattack.

1️⃣ Newcastle Update

Newcastle had the joint-best defensive record in the top-flight last season, conceding just 33 goals in 38 matches. While they continued in this miserly vein by conceding 14 in their first 14 matches of the 2023/24 campaign, they’ve shipped 27 in their last 11 games and kept just a single clean sheet during this sequence. They haven’t stopped the opposition from scoring at home since a 1-0 win over Fulham on December 16th, while Eddie Howe’s side has been particularly vulnerable down the left side of their defence. The good news is that they’ve also scored in 12 of their last 13 league games, and remain the EPL’s fourth-highest scorers with 53 goals.

Last 5 Games
Arsenal 4
Newcastle 1
24.02.24
Premier League
Newcastle 2
Bournemouth 2
17.02.24
Premier League
Nottingham Forest 2
Newcastle 3
10.02.24
Premier League
Newcastle 4
Luton Town 4
03.02.24
Premier League
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle 3
30.01.24
Premier League

Newcastle remain without striker Callum Wilson, who won’t return to the fold until May following a chest injury. Powerful midfielder Joelinton has also been ruled out with a thigh injury, while first choice keeper Nick Pope (shoulder injury) won’t be available for selection until early April. The visit of Wolves will also come a little too soon for Elliot Anderson (back) and Matt Targett (hamstring), while Sandro Tonali continues to serve his 10-month ban for betting rule breaches. However, Martin Dubravka should return from illness having missed the Arsenal defeat.

PlayerReason
Callum Wilson Chest Injury
Joelinton Thigh Injury
Nick Pope Shoulder Injury
Elliot Anderson Back Injury
Matt Targett Hamstring Injury
Sandro Tonali Suspended

2️⃣ Wolves Update

While Wolves endured a run of four successive defeats on the road between November 4th and December 17th, they’ve since embarked on a four-match unbeaten run away from home. This impressive sequence has seen them thump Chelsea 4-2 at Stamford Bridge, while they edged Spurs last time out and earned a respectable draw at Brighton on January 22nd. Remember, they’ve also taken 17 points from the 39 available to them on the road in 2023/24, while they currently sit eighth in the EPL table and one place above their hosts. The aforementioned Pedro Neto remains key to their success, having produced nine assists this season and created 1.71 chances per 90 in the top flight.

Last 5 Games
Wolves 1
Sheffield United 0
25.02.24
Premier League
Tottenham 1
Wolves 2
17.02.24
Premier League
Wolves 0
Brentford 2
10.02.24
Premier League
Chelsea 2
Wolves 4
04.02.24
Premier League
Wolves 3
Man United 4
01.02.24
Premier League

Wolves are virtually at full strength ahead of their trip to the North East. In fact, powerful forward Matheus Cunha is their only confirmed absentee at the time of writing, as he’s unlikely to return until the end of March as he recovers from a hamstring injury. However, he remains a significant loss, having contributed nine goals and six assists in 24 league appearances so far this season.

PlayerReason
Matheus Cunha Hamstring Injury

👕 Newcastle vs Wolves - Potential Lineups

Pos. Newcastle
4-3-3
Wolves
3-4-2-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper M. Dubravka J. Sa Goalkeeper
Right Back K. Trippier M. Kilman Right Centre Back
Centre Back F. Schar C. Dawson Centre Back
Centre Back S. Botman T. Gomes Left Centre Back
Left Back T. Livramento N. Semedo Right Wing Back
Midfielder S. Longstaff M. Lemina Midfielder
Midfielder B. Guimarães J. Gomes Midfielder
Midfielder J. Willock R. Aït-Nouri Left Wing Back
Wide Forward M. Almirón P. Sarabia Attacking Midfielder
Striker A. Isak P. Neto Attacking Midfielder
Wide Forward A. Gordon H. Hwang Striker

Wolves to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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