Newcastle vs Tottenham Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Newcastle vs Tottenham EPL Prediction

The reverse fixture took place on December 10th at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with Spurs thrashing an injury-ravaged Newcastle side 4-1. Ange Postecoglou’s side dominated from the outset and accumulated an impressive xG of 4.40 during the 90 minutes, whereas Newcastle struggled at both ends of the pitch and shipped 23 shots on goal.

Interestingly, Newcastle are among the most effective attacking forces in the 2023/24 EPL, with the Magpies producing a collective xG of 58.5 (the fourth highest value in the league) and outperforming this by +6.5 goals. Eddie Howe’s side have also scored 0.13 goals-per-shot this season, with no other team bettering this throughout the whole of the competition.

However, it’s defensively where Newcastle have struggled, having won just 42% of their tackles in the campaign so far (no other team has fared worse by this metric). Although Spurs have also been porous at times this season, they’re the only team to attempt more than 100 tackles (102) in the attacking third, and will look to win the ball back high and keep Newcastle away from their goal.

Ultimately, this should be an open and high-scoring encounter and one that could be settled by a mistake or moment of brilliance. However, it should be noted that Spurs have created 18 errors leading to an opponent’s shot on goal this season, while Anthony Gordon and the in-form Harvey Barnes will relish the space behind Tottenham’s defensive line.

💯 Newcastle vs Tottenham EPL Match Odds

This is a fascinating match to wager on, with goals almost guaranteed and neither team boasting a reliable or solid defence. You can also wager on a huge range of football betting markets ahead of this game, including the match winner, both teams to score (or not) and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the 90 minutes.

🏅 Newcastle vs Tottenham: Match Winner

The best betting sites are relatively split on which team will prevail at St James Park. For example, you can back the hosts to triumph at an average price of 2.70, which implies a 37.03% probability of a home win. As for Spurs, you can bet on them to win at around 2.29, suggesting that they have a 43.66% chance of leaving the North East with three points.

Team
Newcastle to Win	2.75	2.70	2.64	2.70	2.75
Tottenham to Win	2.25	2.38	2.39	2.25	2.30
Draw	4.00	3.80	4.00	4.00	3.90

⚽ Newcastle vs Tottenham: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 56% of Newcastle’s home Premier League games this season, with the Magpies keeping an impressive seven clean sheets (but just one in their last seven matches) and yet to draw a single blank at St James Park. Both sides have found the net in 67% of Spurs’ away contests in 2023/24, with the North London team keeping four clean sheets and failing to score only once on the road (against Fulham on March 16th).

Yes/No
Yes	1.29	1.35	1.31	1.33	1.30
No	3.30	3.10	3.25	3.00	3.10

🥅 Newcastle vs Tottenham: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Newcastle have contested 16 EPL home matches in 2023/24 so far, with these encounters yielding 59 goals at a rate of 3.68 per game. In the case of Spurs, the Lilywhites have only played 15 away matches in the league this season. These games have produced 55 goals at a slightly lower rate of 3.66 per 90.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.30	1.38	1.32	1.33	1.33
Under 2.5 Goals	3.20	3.00	3.11	3.00	3.20

1️⃣ Newcastle Update

Newcastle are now placed 8th in the EPL table and just two points behind Man United in sixth, as Eddie Howe’s men continue their assault on the European places. Remember, they’ve lost just one of their last five games despite a mounting injury crisis and some inconsistent performances (especially in the defensive third). Overall, Newcastle have won five and lost just two of their last 10 Premier League games, with the Magpies taking 18 points from the 30 available to them during this period. However, they’ve also conceded 20 goals during these matches and continue to struggle in the absence of several key defenders.

Lewis Hall may be passed fit for the match against Spurs, as he finalises his recovery from a thigh injury. However, the Magpies remain without Matt Targett (heel injury), Kieran Trippier (calf), Valentino Livramento (ankle) and Joe Willock (calf). Miguel Almiron (knee), Nick Pope (shoulder), Joelinton (hamstring) and Callum Wilson (chest) have been ruled out until May at least, as has Lewis Miley (lower back). Jamaal Lascelles and Sven Botman (both knee) are out for the season, while Sandro Tonali continues to serve his suspension for breaching betting breaches and won’t play until the 2024/25 campaign.

2️⃣ Tottenham Update

Tottenham are one of the few teams in better form than Newcastle in the Premier League, having won six of their previous 10 games and taken 20 points from the 30 available to them during this time. Although only Arsenal, Man City and Liverpool have earned more in this period, Ange Postecoglou’s men continue to struggle on the road and in the defensive third. In fact, they have only won one of their last six league away matches since a 2-0 victory at Nottingham Forest on December 15th, while conceding 12 goals during this sequence. They’ve only kept two clean sheets in 10 games on their travels, too.

Unlike Newcastle, Spurs’ injury crisis has started to ease in recent weeks as several players have returned to fitness. However, Brazilian striker Richarlison (who scored a brace in the reverse fixture in December) remains out with a knee injury, while Manor Solomon (knee) won’t play again this season. The same can be said for both Ryan Sessegnon (thigh) and Fraser Forster (ankle), who won’t return to training until June.

👕 Newcastle vs Tottenham - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.