Manchester Utd vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

man-utd-v-liverpool-logo man-utd-v-liverpool-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable15:30 GMT 7th April 24
PredictionLiverpool to win!
Odds1.62
BookmakerRoyalistplay Sports
The best odds
1.
Bet €100 and win €162 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:
2.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.60
Bet €100 and win €160 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:
3.
Betiton
Odds : 1.60
Bet €100 and win €160 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:
€10
man-utd-v-liverpool-logo man-utd-v-liverpool-logo

Manchester United’s enduring vulnerability was laid bare at Stamford Bridge in midweek when Cole Palmer scored two stoppage-time goals to condemn them to a chaotic 4-3 defeat. As for Liverpool, they were made to toil by relegation candidates Sheffield United last time out before their sheer relentlessness and force of will secured a crucial 3-1 win. Regardless, this remains a truly iconic {Premier League] clash, and there’s no doubt that the Red Devils would love to derail their rivals’ title challenge at Old Trafford. But can they repeat their FA Cup heroics here, or will Liverpool make their superiority count when it matters?

🏆 Manchester Utd vs Liverpool EPL Prediction

The reverse fixture on December 17th saw United mount a dogged rearguard, which helped them to scrape a 0-0 draw in front of a frustrated and quietened Anfield crowd. Liverpool dominated the ball and carved out an xG of 1.97, and while United’s own xG was as low as 0.63, they arguably created the best chance in the game for Rasmus Højlund.

Of course, the recent FA Cup game was far more chaotic and typical of United’s season, with this producing seven goals and a total of 53 attempts on goal. Jurgen Klopp’s Reds were the better side for much of the 90 minutes, however, but their wastefulness and complacency in the second half cost them.

Liverpool are unlikely to make the same mistake this time around, especially with the Merseyside outfit in contention for the EPL title. It’s also hard to see how United can cope with Liverpool’s famed intensity, with Liverpool completing an impressive 1,620 ball recoveries (a league-high) in 2023/24 so far and attempting 94 tackles in the final third.

United certainly aren’t very press-resistant and has only completed 88.6% of their short passes so far this season. They also continue to lack structure in their midfield and have shipped an incredible 126 attempts on goal in their previous five EPL matches, and I expect Liverpool to exploit this and record a crucial win at Old Trafford.

My Prediction: 🏆 Man United 1 – 3 Liverpool ⚽

💯 Manchester Utd vs Liverpool EPL Match Odds

Ireland’s best betting sites are offering a huge selection of betting markets ahead of the clash between Man United and Liverpool. These include the match winner or result, both teams to score (or not) and the over/under on how many goals are likely to be scored during the 90 minutes. Here’s my analysis of these markets and their latest prices.

🏅 Manchester Utd vs Liverpool: Match Winner

I’ll start with the most popular football betting market, with Liverpool priced at around 1.60 to prevail at Old Trafford. These odds imply a 62.5% probability of an away win. United can be backed at an average price of 4.50, suggesting that they have just a 22.22% chance of winning in front of their own fans.

Team
Man United to Win4.504.504.504.504.55
Liverpool to Win1.571.601.601.621.60
Draw4.504.504.604.504.55

⚽ Manchester Utd vs Liverpool: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in exactly 50% of Man United’s 14 home matches this season, with Erik ten Hag’s team keeping a total of four clean sheets and drawing three blanks. Liverpool have also played 14 matches on the road, with both sides scoring in 71% of these games. The Reds have kept four clean sheets away from home too, while they’ve yet to draw a single blank on their travels.

Yes/No
Yes1.331.331.361.401.36
No2.903.003.002.883.01

🥅 Manchester Utd vs Liverpool: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

United’s 14 Premier League home matches have produced a total of 41 goals at a rate of 2.92 per game. However, they’ve conceded 20 of these goals at a rate of 1.42 per 90 minutes. As for Liverpool, they’ve won more points away than United have at home, while their 14 matches on the road have also yielded 41 goals at a rate of 2.92 per 90.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.291.321.331.331.31
Under 2.5 Goals3.303.203.403.203.17

✔️ Manchester Utd vs Liverpool - Betting Tips

Liverpool are the overwhelming favourites to defeat Man United at Old Trafford, and the form statistics definitely highlight why this might be the case. But how can you create or identify value in the available betting markets? Here are some expert betting tips to keep in mind!

  • Tip 1: Back Liverpool to Win with Over 3.5 Goals: While most over/under betting takes place around the 2.5 goals line, this match has the potential to be particularly high scoring. These two also shared seven goals and 53 shots in a thrilling FA Cup tie last month, while United were on the wrong end of another seven-goal thriller at Chelsea in midweek. The last eight head-to-head clashes between Man United and Liverpool have produced a staggering 37 goals at a rate of 4.62 per game, so get on the Reds to win with over 3.5 goals scored at a price of 2.88 with PalmSlots Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Mohamed Salah as an Anytime Goalscorer: Mo Salah struck the winner against Brighton last weekend, while the Egyptian has struck 16 EPL goals from 79 shots and an xG of 16.6 despite enduring a disrupted 2023/24 campaign. He has also plundered 10 goals in just 12 Premier League appearances against Man United (and 13 in 14 matches in all competitions). What’s more, you can back Salah as an anytime goalscorer at the competitive price of 2.00 with 1Bet Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Marcus Rashford as an Anytime Goalscorer: Despite his inconsistent form and performances this season, striker Marcus Rashford also offers value as an anytime goalscorer (especially if you have one or more free bets on your account). Rashford was rested against Chelsea last time out, while he has struck seven career goals in 17 appearances against Liverpool in all competitions since his debut in 2016. You can get on Rashford as an anytime scorer at Old Trafford at the enhanced price of 3.60 with LegendPlay Sport.

1️⃣ Man United Update

United’s uptick in the Premier League has come to a shuddering halt of late, with the club having dropped five points in their previous two away games at Brentford and Chelsea. Their defeat at Stamford Bridge in midweek summed up much of their season, as they rallied from 2-0 down to lead 3-2 before two defensive lapses cost them all three points in stoppage time. United have now lost 12 Premier League matches in 2023/24, equalling their worst-ever performance in the competition with eight matches to play. The Red Devils have also faced 526 shots on goal this season so far, which is already more than in any other completed campaign since Opta started gathering data in 2003.

Last 5 Games
Chelsea 4
Man United 3
04.04.24
Premier League
Brentford 1
Man United 1
30.03.24
Premier League
Man United 4
Liverpool 3
17.03.24
FA Cup
Man United 2
Everton 0
09.03.24
Premier League
Man City 3
Man United 1
03.03.24
Premier League

United had to make two enforced defensive changes against Chelsea, with Raphael Varane (ankle) and his replacement Jonny Evans (knock) now doubts for the visit of Liverpool. United already remain without Victor Lindelof (hamstring), Lisandro Martinez (calf) and Luke Shaw (thigh), although reserve keeper Altay Bayindir (muscle strain) and Casemiro (muscle) will be assessed ahead of kick-off at Old Trafford. Tyrell Malacia (knee) and Anthony Martial (groin) both remain sidelined for the next couple of weeks at least.

PlayerReason
Luke Shaw Thigh Injury
Lisandro Martinez Calf Injury
Jonny Evans Knock
Raphael Varane Ankle Injury
Altay Bayindir Muscle Strain
Tyrell Malacia Ineligible
Casemiro Muscle Injury
Anthony Martial Groin Injury
Victor Lindelof Hamstring Injury

2️⃣ Liverpool Update

Liverpool have still only been beaten twice all season in the Premier League, while they’ve lost just one of their previous 23 matches since a 2-1 reversal at Spurs on September 30th. They certainly drew on all their tenacity and relentlessness against Sheffield United at Anfield in midweek, scoring two late goals to secure a crucial 3-1 win and maintain their place at the top of the Premier League. Overall, the Reds have now taken 25 points from the previous 30 available to them in the English top flight, with only Arsenal accumulating more points (28) during this period in the race for the EPL title.

Last 5 Games
Liverpool 3
Sheffield United 1
04.04.24
Premier League
Liverpool 2
Brighton 1
31.03.24
Premier League
Man United 4
Liverpool 3
17.03.24
FA Cup
Liverpool 6
Sparta Prague 1
14.03.24
UEFA Europa League
Liverpool 1
Man City 1
10.03.24
Premier League

Andy Robertson (ankle injury) returned against Sheffield United, while Curtis Jones (foot) and Wataru Endo (knock) are expected to be passed fit in time for the trip to Old Trafford. However, both Trent Alexander-Arnold (knee) and Alisson (hamstring) are still a week away from making their respective returns, while the match against United will also come too soon for Portuguese forward Diogo Jota (knee). Thiago (thigh) is still unavailable for selection. Stefan Bajcetic will miss out as he continues to build his fitness, while seasoned defender Joel Matip has been ruled out for the remainder of the 2023/24 campaign with a serious ACL injury.

PlayerReason
Wataru Endo Knock
Curtis Jones Foot Injury
Alisson Hamstring Injury
Trent Alexander-Arnold Knee Injury
Stefan Bajcetic Fitness
Diogo Jota Knee Injury
Thiago Thigh Injury
Joel Matip Ruptured ACL

👕 Man United vs Liverpool - Potential Lineups

Pos. Man United
4-2-3-1
Liverpool
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper A. Onana C. Kelleher Goalkeeper
Right Back D. Dalot C. Bradley Right Back
Centre Back W. Kambwala I. Konate Centre Back
Centre Back H. Maguire V. van Dijk Centre Back
Left Back A. Wan-Bissaka J. Gomez Left Back
Midfielder K. Mainoo D. Szoboszlai Midfielder
Midfielder S. McTominay W. Endo Midfielder
Midfielder B. Fernandes A. Mac Allister Midfielder
Wide Forward A. Garnacho M. Salah Wide Forward
Striker R. Højlund D. Nunez Striker
Wide Forward M. Rashford L. Diaz Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Find more guides below: