Liverpool vs Tottenham Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

liverpool-v-tottenham-logo liverpool-v-tottenham-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable16:30 GMT, 5th May 24
PredictionLiverpool to win!
Odds1.48
BookmakerRoyalistplay Sports
The best odds
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Betiton
Odds : 1.45
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Odds : 1.44
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liverpool-v-tottenham-logo liverpool-v-tottenham-logo

Liverpool’s Premier League title challenge is now virtually at an end, with their 2-2 draw at West Ham last weekend leaving the Reds with just a 0.1% chance of winning their second EPL crown according to Opta. However, they’ll still want to finish Jurgen Klopp’s final season on a high, while their gameweek 36 opponents Spurs are also entrenched in a poor run of form having won just two of their previous seven league games. Liverpool still need at least one more point to guarantee a top-three finish in 2023/24 too, but will they be able to secure this and more at Anfield?

🏆 Liverpool vs Tottenham EPL Prediction

The reverse fixture in September was one of the most dramatic of the Premier League season, with Spurs defeating nine-man Liverpool 2-1 courtesy of Joel Matip’s 96th-minute own goal. Reds’ winger Luis Diaz also had a perfectly good goal wrongly disallowed by VAR, but Spurs ultimately made the most of their numerical advantage and a superior xG of 2.19.

However, this was Spurs’ first EPL win over Liverpool in 12 matches, since Mauricio Pochettino’s side triumphed 4-1 at Wembley Stadium in October 2017. This season, Tottenham have also been porous defensively, keeping just a single clean sheet in their previous 17 Premier League matches and conceding 15 goals in their last seven games alone.

Spurs have also adopted a high-risk approach under Ange Postecoglou, with the team making 20 mistakes that have led to an opponent’s shot on goal this season. At the same time, Liverpool have completed an impressive 1882 ball recoveries in 2023/24 (a league high), so this match could well be decided by the Red’s ability to win possession all over the field and Spurs’ propensity for losing the ball in their defensive third.

Liverpool also remain the most creative team in the league, generating the highest xG of 83.96 and averaging 35.91 shot-creating actions per 90 minutes. So, although Liverpool and Spurs boast the third and fourth highest average defensive lines in this season’s Premier League, I expect the Reds to be more productive in the attacking third and ultimately put the North London club to the sword.

My Prediction: 🏆 Liverpool 3 – 1 Tottenham ⚽

💯 Liverpool vs Tottenham EPL Match Odds

There are plenty of football betting markets available when you wager on the EPL clash between Liverpool and Spurs. These include the match winner, both teams to score and the over/under on the total number of goals that will be scored in the game. Let’s examine these markets more closely and appraise the very latest odds.

🏅 Liverpool vs Tottenham: Match Winner

Unsurprisingly, Ireland’s best betting sites have made Liverpool the pre-game favourites to defeat Spurs. You can back the Reds to defeat Tottenham at around 1.45, implying a 68.96% probability of a home win. Spurs are priced as high as 5.50 to prevail at Anfield for the first time since May 2011, suggesting that they have just an 18.18% chance of emerging victorious.

Team
Liverpool to Win1.441.481.451.441.40
Tottenham to Win5.505.505.005.505.25
Draw5.005.005.255.005.00

⚽ Liverpool vs Tottenham: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 11 of Liverpool’s 17 home matches in this season’s Premier League (64.70%), with Jurgen Klopp’s men keeping five clean sheets and failing to score just twice. However, they haven’t stopped the opposition from scoring at Anfield since a 0-0 draw with Man United on December 17th. Both sides have found the net in 10 of Spurs’ 17 away games (58.82%). The North London club have kept four clean sheets and failed to score three times on the road.

Yes/No
Yes1.331.381.331.381.38
No3.003.003.073.003.20

🥅 Liverpool vs Tottenham: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

The 17 home matches contested by Liverpool have produced a total of 58 goals, at the impressive rate of 3.41. The Reds have contributed 43 of these goals at a rate of 2.52 per 90 minutes. Spurs’ 17 away matches have seen 61 goals scored at the higher rate of 3.58 per 90. However, they’ve now conceded 30 times on the road at a rate of 1.76 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.221.251.231.331.22
Under 2.5 Goals3.753.803.714.003.75

✔️ Liverpool vs Tottenham - Betting Tips

This is a fascinating Premier League game to bet on, despite the win market being prohibitively priced in Liverpool’s favour. But which markets offer the most value, and is it possible to create more generative wagers through combination betting? Here are some tips to keep in mind!

  • Tip 1: Back Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score: Liverpool are clear odds on favourites to defeat Spurs, but the pre-game odds also imply a 72.46% probability of both teams scoring at Anfield. After all, this outcome has occurred in Liverpool’s previous nine home matches since December 17th, while Spurs have found the net in 14 of their 17 games on the road (82.35%). So, although they’ve drawn blanks in three of their last four away matches in the Premier League, Spurs remain an obvious attacking threat, and there’s value in backing Liverpool to win and both teams to score at a price of 2.25 with PalmSlots Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Virgil van Dijk as an Anytime Goalscorer: If you want to deploy one of several free bets on your sportsbook account, you could consider backing Virgil van Dijk as an anytime goalscorer at the highly competitive price of 8.00 with LegendPlay Sports. Although the Dutch defender has only scored two EPL goals this season, he has 18 in his Liverpool career and is a significant threat in the air. Spurs have also shipped 15 goals from set pieces this term, including five in their previous four EPL matches. Only five teams have conceded more set-piece goals in 2023/24.
  • Tip 3: Back Over 3.5 Goals Being Scored: Spurs have now shipped 30 goals in 17 away matches this season, at an average of 1.76 per 90 minutes. Liverpool’s home games in the top flight have also witnessed 58 goals at 3.41 per 90, while their failure to keep a clean sheet at Anfield throughout the whole of 2024 so far is notable. The odds, therefore, imply a 59.88% probability of over 3.5 goals being scored during the 90 minutes, and you can get on this at the enhanced price of 1.67 with 1Bet Sports.

1️⃣ Liverpool Update

The Reds’ season has hit a significant roadblock, with the club’s quest to land an unprecedented quadruple likely to result in just a Carabao Cup win in 2023/24. In the EPL, they’ve now won just one of their previous five matches, scoring seven goals during this sequence and conceding eight. This also included a 1-0 reversal at home to Crystal Palace, which snapped a 29-match unbeaten run at Anfield in the Premier League. The Reds have now taken 18 points from the previous 30 available to them and eight from their last six matches, and they’ll be keen to return to form on Merseyside this weekend.

Last 5 Games
West Ham 2
Liverpool 2
27.04.24
Premier League
Everton 2
Liverpool 0
24.04.24
Premier League
Fulham 1
Liverpool 3
21.04.24
Premier League
Atalanta 0
Liverpool 1
18.04.24
UEFA Europa League
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 1
14.04.24
Premier League

Portuguese striker Diogo Jota will miss the match against Spurs with a groin injury, as he continues to endure a frustrating campaign on a personal level. He joins Thiago (thigh) and Joel Matip (knee) on the sidelines, with neither of these players expected to feature again during the 2023/24 campaign. However, young fullback Conor Bradley (ankle) will be assessed this week and could make a return to the matchday squad on Sunday.

PlayerReason
Diogo Jota Groin Injury
Conor Bradley Ankle Injury
Thiago Thigh Injury
Joel Matip Ruptured ACL

2️⃣ Tottenham Update

Spurs’ season is also petering out after an immensely promising start under Ange Postecoglou, with back-to-back defeats at Arsenal and Chelsea leaving them in fifth place in the Premier League and seven points behind Aston Villa in the race for Champions League football next season. Tottenham have now lost three consecutive top-flight matches for only the second time in 2023/24, while they’ve won just two of their previous seven games. They sit 13th in the EPL form table over the course of the last 10 matches too, losing five times during this period and taking just 13 points from the 30 available to them.

Last 5 Games
Chelsea 2
Tottenham 0
02.05.24
Premier League
Tottenham 2
Arsenal 3
28.04.24
Premier League
Newcastle 4
Tottenham 0
13.04.24
Premier League
Tottenham 3
Nottingham Forest 1
07.04.24
Premier League
West Ham 1
Tottenham 1
02.04.24
Premier League

Ben Davies (calf injury) and Timo Werner (thigh) will miss the remainder of the 2023/24 season, joining Manor Solomon (knee) and Ryan Sessegnon (thigh) as long-term absentees. Reserve keeper Fraser Forster has also been ruled out until June with an ankle injury, while powerful left-back Destiny Udogie will make his return from a thigh injury during the summer too.

PlayerReason
Destiny Udogie Thigh Injury
Ben Davies Calf Injury
Manor Solomon Knee Injury
Fraser Forster Ankle Injury
Ryan Sessegnon Thigh Injury
Timo Werner Thigh Injury

👕 Liverpool vs Tottenham - Potential Lineups

Pos. Liverpool
4-3-3
Tottenham
4-2-3-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper Alisson G. Vicario Goalkeeper
Right Back T. Alexander-Arnold P. Porro Right Back
Centre Back I. Konate C. Romero Centre Back
Centre Back V. van Dijk M. van de Ven Centre Back
Left Back J. Gomez Emerson Royal Left Back
Midfielder D. Szoboszlai Y. Bissouma Midfielder
Midfielder A. Mac Allister R. Bentancur Midfielder
Midfielder C. Jones J. Maddison Midfielder
Wide Forward M. Salah D. Kulusevski Wide Forward
Striker D. Nunez Richarlison Striker
Wide Forward L. Diaz Son Heung-min Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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