Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd EPL Prediction

Liverpool won the reverse fixture comfortably back on December 6th, prevailing by two goals to nil at Bramall Lane. While the Blades were combative and competitive throughout, they still conceded an xG of 1.80 goals, with the Reds never really coming close to hitting top gear. United themselves accumulated an xG of just 0.83 and only managed a single shot on target during the 90 minutes.

The Blades' biggest challenge at Anfield will be containing Liverpool’s attack, which averages 34.45 shot-creating actions per 90 and has struck 572 attempts on goal in 2023/24 (both Premier League highs). Despite missing 56 big chances in front of goal (only Brentford have been more wasteful), they’re also the EPL’s second top scorers with 67 goals in just 29 matches.

At the other end of the spectrum, the Blades have shipped 77 goals in their 29 league matches so far. They’ve also made 16 errors leading to an opponent’s shot on goal in 2023/24, and have lost by a margin of five or more goals on six separate occasions. Chris Wilder’s team averages just 35.40% possession per 90 minutes too (the lowest such metric in the league), so it’s hard to imagine them sustaining any kind of attacking threat at Anfield.

Ultimately, I expect a comfortable win for the Reds on Merseyside, with the only viable question being the margin of victory. Much will depend on the attitude of Klopp’s men and whether or not the German rotates his players, especially with an important trip to Old Trafford scheduled for the weekend.

💯 Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd EPL Match Odds

Most fans will be expecting a heavy Liverpool win here, with score betting likely to be as popular as the win market. You can also wager on both teams to score (or not) at Anfield and the over/under on the total number of goals to be scored in the game, while combination betting may enable you to create value here too. Here’s my analysis of the most popular markets and how they’re being priced.

🏅 Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd: Match Winner

You can bet on Liverpool to defeat the Blades at an average price of 1.06, which implies a 94.33% probability of a home win. Conversely, Sheffield United can be backed at around 25.00 to prevail, suggesting that they have just a 4% chance of winning at Anfield. Such odds undoubtedly make match betting prohibitive and make it hard to identify value in backing any potential outcome.

Team
Liverpool to Win	1.06	1.09	1.06	1.06	1.07
Sheffield United to Win	29.00	21.00	23.25	25.00	23.00
Draw	13.00	13.50	12.60	12.00	11.00

⚽ Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 69% of Liverpool’s EPL matches in 2023/24 and 67% of their games at Anfield. Klopp’s side have kept five clean sheets at home and drawn just a single blank (against Man United on December 17th). Both sides have found the net in 57% of Sheffield United’s away games, with the Blades failing to score six times on the road and yet to keep a single clean sheet.

Yes/No
Yes	2.05	1.91	1.90	2.00	2.00
No	1.67	1.81	1.68	1.73	1.73

🥅 Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Liverpool have contested 15 matches at Anfield in this season’s Premier League, with these games yielding 53 goals at a rate of 3.53 per game. The Reds have scored 40 of these goals at a rate of 2.66 per 90 minutes. The 14 away matches played by the Blades have produced a total of 44 goals at a rate of 3.14 per 90. While Sheffield United have shipped 32 of these goals, this is 13 fewer than they’ve conceded at home in 2023/24.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.17	1.20	1.17	1.17	1.17
Under 2.5 Goals	4.50	4.51	4.50	4.25	4.50

1️⃣ Liverpool Update

When Liverpool lost 1-0 at home to Fulham on March 7th, 2021, this was their sixth consecutive defeat at Anfield. However, they’ve since lost just one of their subsequent 56 Premier League games in front of their own fans, with Leeds the only side to claim three points at Anfield in the last three years. Overall, the team is unbeaten in 27 home games in the EPL, while they’ve only lost one of their previous 22 league matches overall since September 30th. The Reds have also taken 25 points from the previous 30 available to them, with no Premier League team earning more during this timeframe.

Liverpool could welcome back full-back Andy Robertson (ankle injury) to face Sheffield United, while Curtis Jones (foot) and Wataru Endo (knock) will also be assessed ahead of kick-off. However, the match will come too soon for Trent Alexander-Arnold (knee), Diogo Jota (also knee) and Alisson (hamstring). Thiago (thigh) also remains absent, as does Stefan Bajcetic as he continues to build fitness after an extended absence from the first team. Defender Joel Matip has been ruled out for the season with an ACL injury.

2️⃣ Sheffield United Update

Despite being rooted to the bottom of the Premier League, Sheffield United are actually 18th in the EPL form table over the course of the previous 10 matches. The Blades have taken six points from the 30 available to them during this period, earning a single win and three draws (including two in their previous two EPL outings). Both Brentford and Everton have accumulated fewer points during the last 10 game weeks. Although Sheffield United have found their shooting boots in recent weeks, they remain incredibly porous at the back, shipping an incredible 29 goals in their last eight matches alone.

United’s struggles aren’t being helped by a mounting injury list, although Oliver Arblaster (knock), Vinicius de Souza (thigh injury) and Cameron Archer (calf) will all be assessed ahead of kick-off at Anfield. Otherwise, Tom Davies has been ruled out with a muscle complaint, while the defensive duo of George Baldock (calf) and John Egan (ankle) won’t return until May. Chris Basham (ankle) and Rhys Norrington-Davies (hamstring) have been ruled out for the season, alongside Max Lowe (who continues his recovery after damaging his ankle ligaments).

👕 Liverpool vs Sheffield United - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.