Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

liverpool-v-sheffield-united-logo liverpool-v-sheffield-united-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable19:30 GMT, 4th April 24
PredictionLiverpool to win!
Odds1.13
BookmakerRoyalistplay Sports
The best odds
1.
Bet €100 and win €113 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:
2.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.07
Bet €100 and win €107 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:
3.
1​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.06
Bet €100 and win €106 if Liverpool win.
Bonus:

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liverpool-v-sheffield-united-logo liverpool-v-sheffield-united-logo

Although Arsenal have now moved back to the top of the Premier League table after their 2-0 home win over Luton, Liverpool can reclaim first place by defeating Sheffield United at Anfield. It seems almost inevitable that the Reds will achieve this objective, with Jurgen Klopp’s team having only lost once in 56 EPL matches at Anfield since March 2021. The Blades have only won once on the road all season too, while they remain 10 points from safety with nine matches to play. But will Liverpool deliver on their status as favourites here, and how are Ireland’s best betting sites pricing a Sheffield United win?

🏆 Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd EPL Prediction

Liverpool won the reverse fixture comfortably back on December 6th, prevailing by two goals to nil at Bramall Lane. While the Blades were combative and competitive throughout, they still conceded an xG of 1.80 goals, with the Reds never really coming close to hitting top gear. United themselves accumulated an xG of just 0.83 and only managed a single shot on target during the 90 minutes.

The Blades' biggest challenge at Anfield will be containing Liverpool’s attack, which averages 34.45 shot-creating actions per 90 and has struck 572 attempts on goal in 2023/24 (both Premier League highs). Despite missing 56 big chances in front of goal (only Brentford have been more wasteful), they’re also the EPL’s second top scorers with 67 goals in just 29 matches.

At the other end of the spectrum, the Blades have shipped 77 goals in their 29 league matches so far. They’ve also made 16 errors leading to an opponent’s shot on goal in 2023/24, and have lost by a margin of five or more goals on six separate occasions. Chris Wilder’s team averages just 35.40% possession per 90 minutes too (the lowest such metric in the league), so it’s hard to imagine them sustaining any kind of attacking threat at Anfield.

Ultimately, I expect a comfortable win for the Reds on Merseyside, with the only viable question being the margin of victory. Much will depend on the attitude of Klopp’s men and whether or not the German rotates his players, especially with an important trip to Old Trafford scheduled for the weekend.

My Prediction: 🏆 Liverpool 3 - 0 Sheffield United ⚽

💯 Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd EPL Match Odds

Most fans will be expecting a heavy Liverpool win here, with score betting likely to be as popular as the win market. You can also wager on both teams to score (or not) at Anfield and the over/under on the total number of goals to be scored in the game, while combination betting may enable you to create value here too. Here’s my analysis of the most popular markets and how they’re being priced.

🏅 Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd: Match Winner

You can bet on Liverpool to defeat the Blades at an average price of 1.06, which implies a 94.33% probability of a home win. Conversely, Sheffield United can be backed at around 25.00 to prevail, suggesting that they have just a 4% chance of winning at Anfield. Such odds undoubtedly make match betting prohibitive and make it hard to identify value in backing any potential outcome.

Team
Liverpool to Win1.061.091.061.061.07
Sheffield United to Win29.0021.0023.2525.0023.00
Draw13.0013.5012.6012.0011.00

⚽ Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 69% of Liverpool’s EPL matches in 2023/24 and 67% of their games at Anfield. Klopp’s side have kept five clean sheets at home and drawn just a single blank (against Man United on December 17th). Both sides have found the net in 57% of Sheffield United’s away games, with the Blades failing to score six times on the road and yet to keep a single clean sheet.

Yes/No
Yes2.051.911.902.002.00
No1.671.811.681.731.73

🥅 Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Liverpool have contested 15 matches at Anfield in this season’s Premier League, with these games yielding 53 goals at a rate of 3.53 per game. The Reds have scored 40 of these goals at a rate of 2.66 per 90 minutes. The 14 away matches played by the Blades have produced a total of 44 goals at a rate of 3.14 per 90. While Sheffield United have shipped 32 of these goals, this is 13 fewer than they’ve conceded at home in 2023/24.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.171.201.171.171.17
Under 2.5 Goals4.504.514.504.254.50

✔️ Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd - Betting Tips

There are plenty of enticing football betting markets that you can target ahead of the clash between Liverpool and Sheffield United, even if backing the outright match winner isn’t particularly rewarding. So, here are some betting tips to help you successfully navigate these markets and make the most of your bankroll!

  • Tip 1: Back Liverpool to Win With a Handicap of -2.5 Goals: Handicap betting is one of the best ways to create value in this type of match, especially given Liverpool’s individual and collective superiority. The key is to set the right handicap, which reflects both the Reds’ likely dominance and the potential impact of squad rotation and a busy Premier League schedule. Backing Liverpool to win with a handicap of -2.5 goals is recommended here, with 10 of the Reds’ 12 EPL wins at Anfield this season having been by a margin of two goals or more. You can get on this at the enhanced price of 1.57 with PalmSlots Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Luis Diaz as an Anytime Goalscorer: While Luis Diaz often divides opinion in terms of his end product, the tireless Colombian winger has scored three goals in his last six EPL matches. He has also scored seven goals and contributed four assists in 28 Premier League appearances so far in 2023/24, while he’s likely to see plenty of the ball against the Blades. You can also back Diaz as an anytime scorer at the competitive price of 2.38 with 1Bet Sports. This is a potentially good use of any free bets that you may have on your account.
  • Tip 3: Back Liverpool to Win to Nil: As I’ve touched on, Sheffield United have failed to score in six of their 14 away games so far this season. This is largely due to their lack of possession and the absence of a proven top flight goalscorer, although bustling on-loan forward Ben Brereton Díaz has made a difference in the final third recently (he scored twice in the 3-3 draw with Fulham last time out). Still, the Blades are likely to be starved of the ball and chances at Anfield, while backing Liverpool to win to nil can help to create value in match betting. You can get on this at a price of 1.91 with LegendPlay.

1️⃣ Liverpool Update

When Liverpool lost 1-0 at home to Fulham on March 7th, 2021, this was their sixth consecutive defeat at Anfield. However, they’ve since lost just one of their subsequent 56 Premier League games in front of their own fans, with Leeds the only side to claim three points at Anfield in the last three years. Overall, the team is unbeaten in 27 home games in the EPL, while they’ve only lost one of their previous 22 league matches overall since September 30th. The Reds have also taken 25 points from the previous 30 available to them, with no Premier League team earning more during this timeframe.

Last 5 Games
Liverpool 2
Brighton 1
31.03.24
Premier League
Man United 4
Liverpool 3
17.03.24
FA Cup
Liverpool 6
Sparta Prague 1
14.03.24
UEFA Europa League
Liverpool 1
Man City 1
10.03.24
Premier League
Sparta Praha 1
Liverpool 5
07.03.24
UEFA Europa League

Liverpool could welcome back full-back Andy Robertson (ankle injury) to face Sheffield United, while Curtis Jones (foot) and Wataru Endo (knock) will also be assessed ahead of kick-off. However, the match will come too soon for Trent Alexander-Arnold (knee), Diogo Jota (also knee) and Alisson (hamstring). Thiago (thigh) also remains absent, as does Stefan Bajcetic as he continues to build fitness after an extended absence from the first team. Defender Joel Matip has been ruled out for the season with an ACL injury.

PlayerReason
Andy Robertson Ankle Injury
Wataru Endo Knock
Curtis Jones Foot Injury
Alisson Hamstring Injury
Trent Alexander-Arnold Knee Injury
Stefan Bajcetic Fitness
Diogo Jota Knee Injury
Thiago Thigh Injury
Joel Matip Ruptured ACL

2️⃣ Sheffield United Update

Despite being rooted to the bottom of the Premier League, Sheffield United are actually 18th in the EPL form table over the course of the previous 10 matches. The Blades have taken six points from the 30 available to them during this period, earning a single win and three draws (including two in their previous two EPL outings). Both Brentford and Everton have accumulated fewer points during the last 10 game weeks. Although Sheffield United have found their shooting boots in recent weeks, they remain incredibly porous at the back, shipping an incredible 29 goals in their last eight matches alone.

Last 5 Games
Sheffield United 3
Fulham 3
30.03.24
Premier League
Bournemouth 2
Sheffield United 2
09.03.24
Premier League
Sheffield United 0
Arsenal 6
04.03.24
Premier League
Wolves 1
Sheffield United 0
25.02.24
Premier League
Sheffield United 0
Brighton 5
18.02.24
Premier League

United’s struggles aren’t being helped by a mounting injury list, although Oliver Arblaster (knock), Vinicius de Souza (thigh injury) and Cameron Archer (calf) will all be assessed ahead of kick-off at Anfield. Otherwise, Tom Davies has been ruled out with a muscle complaint, while the defensive duo of George Baldock (calf) and John Egan (ankle) won’t return until May. Chris Basham (ankle) and Rhys Norrington-Davies (hamstring) have been ruled out for the season, alongside Max Lowe (who continues his recovery after damaging his ankle ligaments).

PlayerReason
Oliver Arblaster Knock
Vinicius de Souza Thigh Injury
Cameron Archer Calf Injury
Tom Davies Muscle Injury
George Baldock Calf Injury
John Egan Ankle Injury
Chris Basham Ankle Injury
Rhys Norrington-Davies Hamstring Injury
Max Lowe Ankle Injury

👕 Liverpool vs Sheffield United - Potential Lineups

Pos. Liverpool
4-3-3
Sheffield United
3-5-2
Pos.
Goalkeeper C. Kelleher I. Grbić Goalkeeper
Right Back C. Bradley M. Holgate Right Centre Back
Centre Back I. Konate A. Ahmedhodžić Centre Back
Centre Back V. van Dijk J. Robinson Left Centre Back
Left Back J. Gomez J. Bogle Right Wing Back
Midfielder D. Szoboszlai V. de Souza Central Midfielder
Midfielder W. Endo O. Norwood Central Midfielder
Midfielder A. Mac Allister G. Hamer Central Midfielder
Wide Forward M. Salah B. Osborn Left Wing Back
Striker D. Nunez B. Brereton Striker
Wide Forward L. Diaz O. McBurnie Striker

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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