Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Liverpool vs Crystal Palace EPL Prediction

Palace were unlucky to taste defeat in the reverse fixture on December 9th, with a late double from Mohamed Salah and Harvey Elliott securing a come-from-behind win for the Reds. The Eagles were incredibly dangerous in transition and accumulated an impressive xG of 1.79 during the 90 minutes, compared to just 1.37 for an under-par Liverpool team.

However, no EPL side has attempted more shots on goal than Liverpool this season (629), while the Reds have also accumulated a league-high xG of 70.8. Liverpool also led the way in terms of shot-creating actions per 90 (35.61) and completed ball recoveries (1669) in 2023/24, further highlighting their all-action style of play and ability to sustain attacks in the final third.

The good news for Palace is that Liverpool’s intense and occasionally chaotic style can lead to vulnerabilities at both ends of the pitch. Certainly, no team has missed more big chances in the 2023/24 EPL (62), while the Reds’ goals-per-shot ratio of 0.10 is among the lowest in the league. The Eagles also showcase more attacking intent under new coach Oliver Glasner, producing an xG of 1.49 in their recent 4-2 defeat against Manchester City.

Of course, Liverpool’s vulnerabilities are far less noticeable at Anfield, where the Reds haven’t been defeated in the league since Leeds triumphed 2-1 on October 29th, 2022. Jurgen Klopp’s team also has a more pressing need to win as they go in pursuit of a second Premier League title, and I expect them to prevail in another entertaining match.

💯 Liverpool vs Crystal Palace EPL Match Odds

Unsurprisingly, Liverpool are the heavy betting favourites to defeat Palace at Anfield, creating a winning market that’s lacking in inherent value. However, you can also wager on both teams' top score (BTTS) and the over/under on the total number of goals that will be scored in the game. Here’s my analysis of these markets and how they’re currently being priced.

🏅 Liverpool vs Crystal Palace: Match Winner

Liverpool can be backed to beat the Eagles at an average price of 1.18, which implies an 84.74% probability of a home win. If you want to bet on Palace to spring a surprise at Anfield, you can do so at odds of around 12.00, suggesting that the away team has just an 8.33% chance of achieving this objective.

Team
Liverpool to Win	1.18	1.20	1.17	1.17	1.20
Crystal Palace to Win	12.00	12.00	11.20	11.20	12.00
Draw	6.50	6.50	6.75	6.75	7.00

⚽ Liverpool vs Crystal Palace: Both Teams To Score

Wagering on both teams to score (or not) remains one of the most popular Premier League football betting markets, especially in matches that have the potential to be open and expansive. For example, both teams have scored in 11 of Liverpool’s 16 home EPL matches this season (69%), including the last seven since December 17th. Both sides have found the net in 10 of Palace’s 16 away games in 2023/24, (62.5%), with the Eagles drawing three blanks on the road and keeping three clean sheets (although none since November 4th).

Yes/No
Yes	1.87	1.91	1.91	1.91	2.00
No	1.83	1.85	1.77	1.77	1.87

🥅 Liverpool vs Crystal Palace: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Liverpool’s 16 home matches this season have produced a total of 57 goals, at the impressive rate of 3.56 per game. Klopp’s side have scored 43 of these goals at a rate of 2.68 per 90 minutes, and no team has scored more in front of their home fans in 2023/24. As for Palace, their 16 away contests have yielded 49 goals at a rate of 3.06 per 90, although they’ve conceded 31 times on the road at a rate of 1.93 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.36	1.40	1.36	1.36	1.40
Under 2.5 Goals	2.88	2.80	2.82	2.82	2.90

1️⃣ Liverpool Update

Liverpool have now won 13 of their 16 home matches in the 2023/24 Premier League, although their recent victories over Brighton (2-1) and Sheffield United (3-1) were both highly competitive and tense affairs. However, they’re now unbeaten in 28 league matches at Anfield since Leeds’ shock victory some 18 months ago, while the Yorkshire club remain the only club to defeat Liverpool at home since Fulham triumphed 1-0 way back on March 7th, 2021. Despite dropping points at Old Trafford last weekend, Liverpool remain in excellent overall form too, having taken 23 points from the last 30 available to them and only lost once in their previous 24 EPL games.

Liverpool are starting to get their players back ahead of the business end of the season, with Diogo Jota and Trent Alexander-Arnold (both knee injuries) expected to be passed fit in time for the visit of Crystal Palace. However, the match may come a little too soon for first-choice goalkeeper Alisson (thigh), while Stefan Bajcetic (fitness) and fellow midfielder Thiago (thigh) remain longer-term absentees. They join Joel Matip on the sidelines, as he continues his recovery from an ACL injury incurred earlier in the season.

2️⃣ Crystal Palace Update

Austrian coach Oliver Glasner has endured a mixed start since being appointed as Palace boss, winning just one of his six matches so far and losing on three occasions. Of course, the Eagles’ poor run of form extends much further back to Roy Hodgson’s troubled reign, with Palace only taking nine points from the previous 30 available to them and winning just two of their last 10 league matches. Their form on the road is even worse, with the London club winless in 10 games away from home since a 2-0 victory over Burnley on November 4th. This was also the last time that Palace kept a clean sheet on their travels.

Palace’s defender Christopher Richards will miss the trip to Anfield with an ankle injury, joining fellow centre-back Rob Holding (foot) on the sidelines. Marc Guehi (knee) has also been ruled out until May, while neither Cheick Doucoure (calf) nor keeper Sam Johnstone (elbow) are expected to play again this season. Young Brazilian forward Matheus França is also a doubt with a groin injury, although Jesurun Rak-Sakyi (thigh) will be assessed this week ahead of a potential comeback at Anfield.

👕 Liverpool vs Crystal Palace - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.