Liverpool vs Manchester United Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

liverpool-man-united-logo liverpool-man-united-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable16:30 GMT, 17th Dec 23
PredictionLiverpool to Win!
Liverpool to Win!
The best odds
Odds : 1.40
Bet €100 and win €140 if Liverpool win.
€50+ 50 Free Spins
Tony​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.40
Bet €100 and win €140 if Liverpool win.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.40
Bet €100 and win €140 if Liverpool win.
liverpool-man-united-logo liverpool-man-united-logo

Few Premier League matches generate as many column inches as the clash between Liverpool and Manchester United, which sees English football’s two most successful sides go head-to-head. This game will see Liverpool kick off as the EPL leaders, while they’re now 10 points ahead of an incredibly inconsistent Man United side that lost 3-0 at home to Bournemouth last time out. Of course, Jurgen Klopp’s men famously won the same fixture 7-0 last season, which remains the biggest every margin of victory in the history of the contest. But can United gain a modicum of revenge here, and how the match markets being priced by the best betting sites?

🏆 Liverpool vs Manchester United EPL Prediction

These two are the most successful clubs in the history of English football, having won 68 and 67 major honours respectively. However, it’s United who hold a slight edge in the head-to-head record, having beaten Liverpool 90 times (the Reds have won on 81 occasions) since their first meeting in April 1984. 68 matches between Liverpool and Man United have ended in draws.

Despite not playing at their best this season, Liverpool have ascended to the top of the table, with this having much to do with the potency and efficiency of their offensive play. More specifically, Liverpool have scored 33 goals from an xG value of 32.9 so far in 2023/24, whereas United have score just 18 times and underperformed their own xG value by -7.5.

While United have managed more touches in the attacking third of the pitch than Liverpool (2997 vs 2973), they’ve produced just 26.62 shot-creating actions per 90 (compared to 30.56 for the Reds). Klopp’s men have also averaged 59.7% possession so far in 2023/24, so I expect them to control the tempo of the game and make life uncomfortable for an inconsistent and often wasteful United side.

It should also be noted that Liverpool have been imperious at home this season and won all seven of their EPL matches at Anfield. They’ve kept all but one of their five clean sheets in front of their home fans too, so I expect Klopp’s men to continue their good run of recent form against their fierce rivals.

My Prediction: 🏆 Liverpool 3 – 1 Man United ⚽

💯 Liverpool vs Manchester United EPL Match Odds

If you do want to bet on the match between Liverpool and Man United, there are plenty of markets that you can explore. The most popular include the match winner, BTTS (or not) and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the 90 minutes. Here’s some analysis of these markets and their latest prices.

🏅 Liverpool vs Manchester United: Match Winner

The current match winner odds make Liverpool clear favourites to beat their old rivals, with a price of 1.40 implying a 71.42% probability of a win for Jurgen Klopp’s side. Conversely, United can be backed at around 6.00, which suggests that Erik ten Hag’s charges have just a 16.66% chance of prevailing.

Liverpool to Win1.361.401.351.401.40
Man United to Win6.506.006.256.506.00

⚽ Liverpool vs Manchester United: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 16 of Liverpool’s 23 matches in all competitions this season, with the Reds keeping seven clean sheets (including five in the EPL). Klopp’s men have also scored in every single game that they’ve contested. As for United, both sides have found the net in just 10 of their 23 matches, with ten Hag’s men keeping seven clean sheets and drawing six blanks.


🥅 Liverpool vs Manchester United: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Between them, Liverpool and Manchester United have contested 46 matches this season, with these contests yielding an impressive 151 goals at a rate of 3.28 per game. However, Liverpool have scored 57 of these goals at a rate of 2.47 per 90, whereas United are only averaging 1.43 goals per game across all competitions.

Over 2.5 Goals1.331.331.301.361.33
Under 2.5 Goals3.

✔️ Liverpool vs Manchester United - Betting Tips

If you have one or more free bets on your chosen sportsbook account, you may choose you to engage in matched betting here. In this case, you could lay a back bet on Liverpool to win and cover all potential match outcomes. Otherwise, here are some alternative betting tips to keep in mind:

  • Tip 1: Liverpool to Win With a Handicap of -1.75 Goals: Liverpool have won four of their last five EPL matches against Manchester United since May 2021, scoring a staggering 21 goals and conceding just three. The Reds have also won six of their seven home EPL games by two goals or more, while the other them strike four times in a see-saw clash against Fulham. Given this and United’s defensive woes, there’s value in backing Liverpool to win with a handicap of -1.75 goals at a price of 2.20 with LegendPlay.
  • Tip 2: Back Liverpool to Win With Over 2.5 Goals Scored: Liverpool have played 11 home games in all competitions this season, winning every single one. These games have also produced 42 goals in total at a rate of 3.81 per 90, while the Reds have scored 35 of these. Despite their struggles, Man United are capable of moments of quality in transition, so there’s value in backing Liverpool to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the game at a price of 1.75 with TonyBet.
  • Tip 3: Back the First Goal to be Scored Between Minutes 21 and 30: If you wager with one of the sportsbooks featured in Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews and have a spare free bet on your account, you could also wager on the time of the first goal. The games featuring Liverpool and Man United this season have produced 18 goals between minutes 16 and 30, with the Reds scoring five times during this period. The game may also be a little tentative for the first quarter, so get on the first goal to be scored between minutes 21 and 30 at a price of 5.60 with LegendPlay.

1️⃣ Liverpool Update

Liverpool sit third in the EPL form table over the course of the previous 10 matches, having taken 21 points from the 30 available during this period. Only Aston Villa and Arsenal have earned more points during the same timeframe, while the Reds have lost just one of their last 27 Premier League games since a 4-1 thrashing at Manchester City on April 1st. Incredibly, Klopp’s men are unbeaten at Anfield in 19 matches since a 2-1 defeat to Leeds in October 2022, so the side is once against turning this famous ground into a fortress. Currently, this is the longest unbeaten home run in the English top flight.

Last 5 Games
Crystal Palace 1
Liverpool 2
Premier League
Sheffield United 0
Liverpool 2
Premier League
Liverpool 4
Fulham 3
Premier League
Liverpool 4
Europa League
Man City 1
Liverpool 1
Premier League

Centre back Joel Matip has now been ruled out for the season with a cruciate ligament tear, while Argentine midfielder Alexis Mac Allister is also sidelined with the knee injury he incurred against Sheffield United. Left back Andy Robertson remains absent with a shoulder injury (he’s due to return in the New Year), while Diogo Jota continues to nurse a muscle injury. Young midfield star Stefan Bajcetic continues his recovery from a calf injury, while Thiago is suffering from a hip complaint that may rule him out until January.

Joel Matip Cruciate Ligament Tear
Alexis Mac Allister Knee Injury
Andy Robertson Shoulder Injury
Diogo Jota Muscle Injury
Stefan Bajcetic Calf Injury
Thiago Hip Injury

2️⃣ Manchester United Update

Interestingly, Man United sit fourth in the EPL form table, winning six of their last 10 matches and taking 18 points from 30 available. This is only three points less than table-topping Liverpool during the same period, although this sequence did include 3-0 home defeats against Manchester City and Bournemouth respectively. United fans may also seek solace from the fact that their side has only lost one of their previous five Premier League away matches, recording wins at Burnley, Sheffield United, Fulham and Everton during this run and only experiencing defeat at Newcastle. Still, United’s inconsistency this season has been troubling, while they remain defensively vulnerable and relatively open in the middle of the park.

Last 5 Games
Man United 0
Bournemouth 3
Premier League
Man United 2
Chelsea 1
Premier League
Newcastle 1
Man United 0
Premier League
Galatasaray 3
Man United 3
Champions League
Everton 0
Man United 3
Premier League

Mason Mount could be fit for the trip to Liverpool, while he may come straight into the starting 11 to replace the suspended Bruno Fernandes (who collected his fifth yellow card of the season against Bournemouth at the weekend). The Portuguese skipper will join fellow first choice midfielders Casemiro (knee injury) and Cristian Eriksen (knock) on the sidelines, while defenders Lisandro Martinez (foot) and Tyrell Malacia (knee) are out until the New Year too. The match will come too soon for young winger Amad Diallo as he continues his recovery from a knee injury, while Jadon Sancho remains out of contention after a falling out with ten Hag.

Lisandro Martinez Foot Injury
Bruno Fernandes Suspended
Tyrell Malacia Knee Injury
Casemiro Knock
Cristian Eriksen Knee Injury
Amad Diallo Knee Injury

👕 Liverpool v Manchester United - Potential Lineups

Pos. Liverpool
Man United
Goalkeeper Alisson A. Onana Goalkeeper
Right Back T. Alexander-Arnold A. Wan-Bissaka Right Back
Centre Back J. Gomez H. Maguire Centre Back
Centre Back V. van Dijk L. Shaw Centre Back
Left Back K. Tsimikas D. Dalot Left Back
Midfielder D. Szoboszlai S. Amrabat Midfielder
Midfielder W. Endo K. Mainoo Midfielder
Midfielder R. Gravenberch S. McTominay Midfielder
Wide Forward M. Salah Anthony Wide Forward
Striker C. Gakpo R. Hojlund Striker
Wide Forward L. Diaz M. Rashford Wide Forward

Liverpool to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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