Liverpool vs Manchester United Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Liverpool vs Manchester United EPL Prediction

These two are the most successful clubs in the history of English football, having won 68 and 67 major honours respectively. However, it’s United who hold a slight edge in the head-to-head record, having beaten Liverpool 90 times (the Reds have won on 81 occasions) since their first meeting in April 1984. 68 matches between Liverpool and Man United have ended in draws.

Despite not playing at their best this season, Liverpool have ascended to the top of the table, with this having much to do with the potency and efficiency of their offensive play. More specifically, Liverpool have scored 33 goals from an xG value of 32.9 so far in 2023/24, whereas United have score just 18 times and underperformed their own xG value by -7.5.

While United have managed more touches in the attacking third of the pitch than Liverpool (2997 vs 2973), they’ve produced just 26.62 shot-creating actions per 90 (compared to 30.56 for the Reds). Klopp’s men have also averaged 59.7% possession so far in 2023/24, so I expect them to control the tempo of the game and make life uncomfortable for an inconsistent and often wasteful United side.

It should also be noted that Liverpool have been imperious at home this season and won all seven of their EPL matches at Anfield. They’ve kept all but one of their five clean sheets in front of their home fans too, so I expect Klopp’s men to continue their good run of recent form against their fierce rivals.

💯 Liverpool vs Manchester United EPL Match Odds

If you do want to bet on the match between Liverpool and Man United, there are plenty of markets that you can explore. The most popular include the match winner, BTTS (or not) and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the 90 minutes. Here’s some analysis of these markets and their latest prices.

🏅 Liverpool vs Manchester United: Match Winner

The current match winner odds make Liverpool clear favourites to beat their old rivals, with a price of 1.40 implying a 71.42% probability of a win for Jurgen Klopp’s side. Conversely, United can be backed at around 6.00, which suggests that Erik ten Hag’s charges have just a 16.66% chance of prevailing.

Team
Liverpool to Win	1.36	1.40	1.35	1.40	1.40
Man United to Win	6.50	6.00	6.25	6.50	6.00
Draw	5.00	5.00	5.25	5.00	5.00

⚽ Liverpool vs Manchester United: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in 16 of Liverpool’s 23 matches in all competitions this season, with the Reds keeping seven clean sheets (including five in the EPL). Klopp’s men have also scored in every single game that they’ve contested. As for United, both sides have found the net in just 10 of their 23 matches, with ten Hag’s men keeping seven clean sheets and drawing six blanks.

Yes/No
Yes	1.44	1.45	1.47	1.44	1.50
No	2.50	2.40	2.44	2.63	2.50

🥅 Liverpool vs Manchester United: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Between them, Liverpool and Manchester United have contested 46 matches this season, with these contests yielding an impressive 151 goals at a rate of 3.28 per game. However, Liverpool have scored 57 of these goals at a rate of 2.47 per 90, whereas United are only averaging 1.43 goals per game across all competitions.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.33	1.33	1.30	1.36	1.33
Under 2.5 Goals	3.10	3.00	3.10	3.00	3.20

1️⃣ Liverpool Update

Liverpool sit third in the EPL form table over the course of the previous 10 matches, having taken 21 points from the 30 available during this period. Only Aston Villa and Arsenal have earned more points during the same timeframe, while the Reds have lost just one of their last 27 Premier League games since a 4-1 thrashing at Manchester City on April 1st. Incredibly, Klopp’s men are unbeaten at Anfield in 19 matches since a 2-1 defeat to Leeds in October 2022, so the side is once against turning this famous ground into a fortress. Currently, this is the longest unbeaten home run in the English top flight.

Centre back Joel Matip has now been ruled out for the season with a cruciate ligament tear, while Argentine midfielder Alexis Mac Allister is also sidelined with the knee injury he incurred against Sheffield United. Left back Andy Robertson remains absent with a shoulder injury (he’s due to return in the New Year), while Diogo Jota continues to nurse a muscle injury. Young midfield star Stefan Bajcetic continues his recovery from a calf injury, while Thiago is suffering from a hip complaint that may rule him out until January.

2️⃣ Manchester United Update

Interestingly, Man United sit fourth in the EPL form table, winning six of their last 10 matches and taking 18 points from 30 available. This is only three points less than table-topping Liverpool during the same period, although this sequence did include 3-0 home defeats against Manchester City and Bournemouth respectively. United fans may also seek solace from the fact that their side has only lost one of their previous five Premier League away matches, recording wins at Burnley, Sheffield United, Fulham and Everton during this run and only experiencing defeat at Newcastle. Still, United’s inconsistency this season has been troubling, while they remain defensively vulnerable and relatively open in the middle of the park.

Mason Mount could be fit for the trip to Liverpool, while he may come straight into the starting 11 to replace the suspended Bruno Fernandes (who collected his fifth yellow card of the season against Bournemouth at the weekend). The Portuguese skipper will join fellow first choice midfielders Casemiro (knee injury) and Cristian Eriksen (knock) on the sidelines, while defenders Lisandro Martinez (foot) and Tyrell Malacia (knee) are out until the New Year too. The match will come too soon for young winger Amad Diallo as he continues his recovery from a knee injury, while Jadon Sancho remains out of contention after a falling out with ten Hag.

👕 Liverpool v Manchester United - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.