Fulham vs Tottenham Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Fulham vs Tottenham EPL Prediction

Spurs comfortably won the reverse fixture 2-0 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on October 23rd, thanks to goals from the talismanic Son Heung-min and playmaker James Maddison. The Cottagers were competitive but limited and deserved losers in North London, with the two teams recording respective xG values of 1.64 and 0.75.

A key principle of Spurs’ play this season has been their use of two inverted full-backs, which creates central overloads for Postecoglou’s men and has enabled them to average 60.7% possession per 90 minutes in the 2023/24 Premier League. So, while Fulham are also technically proficient and comfortable in possession (they average 50.0% possession per 90 this season), Spurs will look to dominate the ball from the outset at the Cottage.

When Spurs are dispossessed, they’ll deploy an aggressive high press that has seen them attempt 94 tackles in the attacking third this season (no side has executed more). They’ve also completed 1,401 ball recoveries so far in 2023/24, including 39 in the final third vs Aston Villa last time out. So, Fulham will have to be sharp and precise with their passing if they’re to beat the press and get at Spurs’ high and vulnerable defensive line.

They may also want to be slightly more direct than usual and attack the space in behind Tottenham, especially having successfully completed 47.7% of their take-ons in the Premier League. Players like Willian and Adama Traoré could prove key in this respect, even if they start from the bench, and I expect Fulham to maintain a strong goal threat throughout. However, Spurs are relentless in their approach and have only lost twice on the road all season, and I think they’ll win again here.

💯 Fulham vs Tottenham EPL Match Odds

The clash between Fulham and Spurs unlocks a significant number of football betting markets, including the match winner or final result, BTTS (or not) and the over/under on how many goals will be scored during the 90 minutes. Here’s my analysis of these markets and their latest odds.

🏅 Fulham vs Tottenham: Match Winner

Fulham are priced at around 3.10 to record just their second win in 12 head-to-head clashes against Spurs, with these odds implying a 32.25% probability of a home victory. As for Tottenham, they’re favourites and can be backed at an average price of 2.05, suggesting they have a 48.78% chance of winning at Craven Cottage.

Team
Fulham to Win	3.10	3.10	3.15	3.10	3.00
Tottenham to Win	2.05	2.10	2.02	2.00	2.05
Draw	3.75	3.75	3.70	3.80	3.90

⚽ Fulham vs Tottenham: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in just five of Fulham’s 14 home matches in the 2023/24 EPL (27%), with the Cottagers keeping five clean sheets but also failing to score on five occasions. Spurs have only contested 13 matches on the road, with both sides finding the net in nine of these encounters (70%). Spurs have scored in every game and kept four clean sheets, although only one of these has been achieved in their previous four away matches.

Team
Yes	1.40	1.45	1.42	1.50	1.44
No	2.63	2.70	2.67	2.63	2.63

🥅 Fulham vs Tottenham: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Fulham’s 14 home matches this season have produced a total of 41 goals, at a rate of 2.92 per game. Of course, Spurs’ 13 encounters on the road have seen even more action in the final third, yielding a whopping 50 goals at a rate of 3.84 per 90 minutes. This includes Tottenham’s tally of 20 goals conceded, at a rate of 1.53 per game.

Team
Over 2.5 Goals	1.44	1.50	1.47	1.50	1.50
Under 2.5 Goals	2.50	2.50	2.47	2.50	2.40

1️⃣ Fulham Update

Fulham remain the embodiment of midtable comfort this season, as they currently sit 12th and 14 points clear of the relegation zone. The Cottagers have also taken 14 points from the previous 30 available to them in the Premier League, while they’ve only lost two of their last seven matches since January 13th. Currently, they have the eighth-best home record in the EPL, having won eight times already at Craven Cottage and lost just twice in their last nine fixtures in front of their own fans. This sequence followed an initial run of three defeats in their first five home matches this season.

Fulham may be at full strength for the visit of Spurs, with striker Raul Jimenez the only significant doubt as he continues his recovery from a thigh injury. He’s back in training and will be assessed ahead of kick-off, and retains an excellent chance of being involved in the matchday squad.

2️⃣ Tottenham Update

Spurs remain in consistently good form, having taken 20 points from the last 30 available to them home and away. Only three sides (Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal) have taken more during this period, while Ange Postecoglou’s side have tasted defeat in just one of their previous eight Premier League games since December 28th. Tottenham have only lost twice on the road this season too, with no team proving as difficult to beat away from home. This is indicative of a team that’s becoming increasingly durable and resilient, with the Lilywhites having recovered a total of 19 points from losing positions so far this season.

While full-back Pedro Porro made his long-awaited return against Villa, influential centre-back Micky van de Ven has incurred a knee injury and faces a spell on the sidelines. Winger Manor Solomon has also undergone further surgery on a troublesome knee injury, while Fraser Forster (ankle) and Ryan Sessegnon (thigh) have been ruled out until April and June respectively. However, Brazilian striker Richarlison will be assessed and is expected to be passed fit in time for the trip to Fulham.

👕 Fulham vs Tottenham - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.