Fulham vs Liverpool: Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

fulham-vs-liverpool-prediction-logo fulham-vs-liverpool-prediction-logo
TournamentPremier League
Timetable16:30 GMT, 21st Apr 24
PredictionFulham to win!
Odds6.00
BookmakerPalmslots Sport
The best odds
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Palm​slots Sport
Odds : 6.00
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Legend Play Sports
Odds : 5.50
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1​Bet Sports
Odds : 5.50
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fulham-vs-liverpool-logo fulham-vs-liverpool-logo

Liverpool’s 1-0 home defeat to Crystal Palace last weekend capped a torrid seven days for the Reds, as they dropped five points from six in the Premier League title chase and lost the first leg of their Europa League quarterfinal to Atalanta. However, they remain just two points behind Manchester City at the top of the table, while they’ve lost just one of their previous 11 league games on the road. The bad news is that Fulham will prove to be a difficult opponent, as the Cottagers have the seventh-best home record in the league and have taken 28 points from 16 matches at Craven Cottage. But which team do I think will prevail in West London?

🏆 Fulham vs Liverpool EPL Prediction

These two teams contested a seven-goal thriller at Anfield on December 3rd, with Liverpool emerging as 4-3 winners thanks to a late Trent Alexander-Arnold winner. Incredibly, these goals came from a combined xG of just 4.24, with Alexis Mac Allister, Wataru Endo and Alexander-Arnold all scoring superbly from range.

Liverpool were typically chaotic that day, missing a number of easier chances throughout the 90 minutes. This has been a key and potentially decisive trend for the Reds all season, as although they’ve accumulated the highest xG in the 2023/24 campaign (78.77), they’ve underperformed this by -6.77 goals.

The Reds’ wastefulness in front of goal has also seen them miss a league-high 66 big chances this season, while the squad has looked jaded in recent weeks after a hectic schedule. So, although no side has completed more than Liverpool’s 1726 ball recoveries, they may find it hard to successfully press a Fulham side that’s always comfortable in possession.

In fact, the Cottagers average 51.20% possession per 90 minutes in the EPL and have already beaten Arsenal, Spurs and Brighton at home in 2023/24. They’ll also be fresh and have a fully-fit squad at the time of writing, so I’m tipping them to edge a competitive game and strike another blow to Liverpool’s title challenge.

My Prediction: 🏆 Fulham 2 – 1 Liverpool ⚽

💯 Fulham vs Liverpool EPL Match Odds

Matches usually get harder to call towards the end of the Premier League season, especially as the pressure mounts and teams find themselves fighting on multiple fronts. The good news is that there are plenty of football betting markets that enable you to achieve optimal value, including BTTS and the over/under on the total number of goals scored.

🏅 Fulham vs Liverpool: Match Winner

Despite the circumstances surrounding this match, Fulham are the heavy betting underdogs to defeat Liverpool. In fact, they can be backed at around 5.50 to win at Craven Cottage, with the odds implying just an 18.18% probability of this happening. You can wager on the Reds to prevail at an average price of 1.50, so they have a 66.66% chance of triumphing on the road.

Team
Fulham to Win5.505.255.256.005.50
Liverpool to Win1.441.531.461.441.50
Draw4.504.504.654.504.60

⚽ Fulham vs Liverpool: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in just five of Fulham’s 16 EPL home matches this season (31%), with the Cottagers keeping an impressive six clean sheets but failing to score on five separate occasions. Liverpool’s 15 away matches have seen both sides find the net on 11 occasions (73%). The Reds have also kept four clean sheets and scored in every single game they’ve contested on the road.

Yes/No
Yes1.441.501.471.501.50
No2.502.502.452.302.50

🥅 Fulham vs Liverpool: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Fulham’s 16 Premier League home matches have produced a total of 45 goals this season, at a rate of 2.81 per game. The Cottagers have scored 29 times in front of their home fans, at a rate of 1.81 per 90 minutes. Interestingly, Liverpool’s 15 away encounters have also yielded 45 goals, albeit at the slightly higher rate of exactly 3.00 per 90.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.361.401.381.401.36
Under 2.5 Goals2.802.882.752.822.75

✔️ Fulham vs Liverpool - Betting Tips

Of course, Ireland’s best betting sites are offering a much broader range of markets ahead of the clash between Fulham and Liverpool. You can also build combination bets to help create further value, but what are the key insights that should inform your selections?

  • Tip 1: Back Fulham to Win Outright: Although the pre-game odds imply just an 18.18% probability of Fulham defeating Liverpool in West London, the Cottagers have already won nine matches at Craven Cottage this season and boast the seventh best home record in the league. Arsenal and Spurs have already lost at Fulham in 2023/24, while the Reds struggle to keep clean sheets on the road and have a midweek trip to Atalanta to contend with too. Given these factors and the Reds’ recent performances, there’s value in backing Fulham to win outright at a price of 6.00 with PalmSlots Sports.
  • Tip 2: Back Rodrigo Muniz as an Anytime Goalscorer: Muniz has starred as Fulham’s top scorer this season, scoring eight Premier League goals from just 21 attempts on target and an xG of 7.3. He has been particularly prolific at home since the turn of the year, scoring six EPL goals in his previous five appearances at Craven Cottage since January 30th. This haul included a superb brace against Spurs, and he’ll be the focal point for Fulham’s attack once again this weekend. You can back Muniz as an anytime goalscorer against Liverpool at a price of 3.75 with 1Bet Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back Fulham to Score First: While Liverpool have recovered a league-high 27 points from losing positions this season, this also means that they’ve conceded first in 13 EPL matches. They’ve fallen behind in eight games on the road and conceded seven times in the first 15 minutes of all Premier League encounters in 2023/24. Fulham are also likely to start fast at Craven Cottage this weekend, so there’s value in backing the home to score first at the competitive price of 3.00 with Royalistplay-sports. This is an excellent use of any free bets that you have on your account.

1️⃣ Fulham Update

Not only do Fulham have the seventh-best home record in the 2023/24 Premier League, but they also sit seventh in the EPL form table over the course of the previous 10 Gameweeks. Marco Silva’s men have taken 16 points from the 30 available to them during this period, despite losing three of their last six games overall. Fulham have also successfully completed 49.30% of their total take-ons this season (they rank third according to this metric), with players like Alex Iwobi and William as particularly effective dribblers. Both players will look to commit Liverpool defenders in transition and could directly threaten the Reds’ high defensive line.

Last 5 Games
West Ham 0
Fulham 2
14.04.24
Premier League
Fulham 0
Newcastle 1
06.04.24
Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3
Fulham 1
02.04.24
Premier League
Sheffield United 3
Fulham 3
30.03.24
Premier League
Fulham 3
Tottenham 0
16.03.24
Premier League

At the time of writing, Fulham have no injury concerns or suspensions ahead of the visit of Liverpool. This will afford them the best possible chance of beating the Reds and earning a 10th home victory of the campaign.

2️⃣ Liverpool Update

Liverpool’s EPL form has stuttered at the worst possible time, against the backdrop of a packed fixture schedule and the emotion surrounding Jurgen Klopp’s impending departure. Most recently, they’ve dropped seven points from the previous 15 available to them in the league, with draws against both Manchester clubs and the shock home defeat to Palace leaving them third in the table. The Reds have now dropped to third in the form table too, having taken 20 points from the previous 30 available to them and lost twice in 10 games. Title rivals Arsenal (25) and Manchester City (24) have both earned more points during this period.

Last 5 Games
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 1
14.04.24
Premier League
Liverpool 0
Atalanta 3
11.04.24
UEFA Europa League
Man United 2
Liverpool 2
07.04.24
Premier League
Liverpool 3
Sheffield United 1
04.04.24
Premier League
Liverpool 2
Brighton 1
31.03.24
Premier League

The good news for Liverpool is that their previous injury crisis has eased, with Trent Alexander-Arnold, Diogo Jota and Alisson have all returned to first-team action. However, young full back Conor Bradley has sustained and ankle injury that will keep him sidelined until May. Both Thiago (thigh injury) and Joel Matip (knee) have already been ruled out for the season, with the latter not expected to return to training until September.

PlayerReason
Conor Bradley Ankle Injury
Thiago Thigh Injury
Joel Matip Ruptured ACL

👕 Fulham vs Liverpool - Potential Lineups

Pos. Fulham
4-2-3-1
Liverpool
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper B. Leno Alisson Goalkeeper
Right Back T. Castagne T. Alexander-Arnold Right Back
Centre Back T. Adarabioyo I. Konate Centre Back
Centre Back C. Bassey V. van Dijk Centre Back
Left Back A. Robinson A. Robertson Left Back
Midfielder João Palhinha D. Szoboszlai Midfielder
Midfielder S. Lukic W. Endo Midfielder
Midfielder A. Pereira A. Mac Allister Midfielder
Wide Forward A. Iwobi M. Salah Wide Forward
Striker R. Muniz D. Jota Striker
Wide Forward Willian L. Diaz Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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