Fulham vs Man United Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

fulham-vs-man-united fulham-vs-man-united
TournamentPremier League
Timetable12:30 GMT 4th Nov 23
PredictionMan United To Win!
OddsMan United to Win @2.00
BookmakerLegend Play Sports
Man United To Win!
The best odds
1.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 2.00
Bet €100 and win €200 if Man United win.
Bonus:
2.
Dach​bet Sports
Odds : 1.95
Bet €100 and win €195 if Man United win.
Bonus:
fulham-vs-man-united fulham-vs-man-united

A quick glance at the Premier League form table shows that both Fulham and Manchester United are struggling for consistency in 2023/24, with the Cottagers taking 12 points from the previous 30 available to them and Erik ten Hag’s having won five and lost five of their last 10 matches. Both teams have also won just one and two of their last five league games respectively, so I’m expecting a tight and tense match in West London this weekend. But who are the football betting favourites to prevail here, and which side do I think will leave with the three points?

🏆 Fulham vs Man United

Fulham and Manchester United have contested 89 competitive matches since January 1905, with the Red Devils having won 55 of these encounters. Conversely, the Cottagers have won a meagre 14, while they haven’t prevailed in 17 head-to-head matches since a superb 3-0 home win on December 19th, 2009.

Not only is the weight of history against Fulham, but they’ve also struggled manfully in front of goal since the summer departure of talismanic striker Aleksandar Mitrović. To this end, they rank third lowest in the EPL for expected goals this season (10.4), while they’ve only mustered 35 shots on target in 10 games and completed 17.90 shot-creating actions per 90. The corresponding figure for United is 27.00, and while the Red Devils continue to struggle with injuries and the balance of their starting 11, they remain far more creative and dangerous in the final third.

the Red Devils also average 53.3% possession (compared to 49.0% for Fulham), while their tally of 556 ball recoveries hints at improved pressing in the final third in 2023/24. So, although I don’t expect either side to truly dominate here, I think United will have enough of the ball and territory to edge a tight, nervy and keenly contested game.

My Prediction: 🏆 Fulham 1-2 Man United ⚽

💯 Fulham vs Man United Match Odds

Our leading Premier League betting sites have already published a huge range of markets and odds pertaining to the clash between Man United and Fulham. Below, I’ve taken a closer look at the match winner, BTTS and over/under for total goals scored markets, while asking how specific outcomes are being priced.

🏅 Fulham vs Man United: Match Winner

United are the ante post favourites to beat Fulham, despite only winning five of their last 15 EPL away games and enduring seven league defeats on the road through 2023 so far. This is largely due to Fulham’s patchy form at home, but what price can you get on a win for the Cottagers?

Team
Fulham to Win3.603.603.553.703.60
Man United to Win1.951.951.922.002.00
Draw3.403.603.503.503.75

⚽ Fulham vs Man United: Both Teams To Score

Fulham have failed to score in four of their 10 EPL matches so far this season, while they’ve only hit the back of the net five times in the previous six. As for United, they’ve drawn blanks in three top-flight games through 2023/24, while they’ve only kept two clean sheets (against Wolves and Burnley) since the beginning of the season.

Yes/No
Yes1.621.701.611.671.67
No2.102.102.142.152.15

🥅 Fulham vs Man United: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

When wagering on the over/under for total goals scored in the game, you should note that the 26 matches contested by these sides have produced 73 goals at a rate of 2.80 per game. When it comes to goals for, however, Fulham are averaging just 1.00 per game across all competitions, whereas United have scored at a rate of just 1.42 per game in the EPL, UCL and EFL Cup. This makes it difficult to bet assuredly around the 2.5 goals line.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.751.801.741.801.80
Under 2.5 Goals1.951.951.941.952.00

✔️ Fulham vs Man United - Betting Tips

Despite United’s poor and inconsistent run of away form, the stats show that they’ve outperformed Fulham across a number of key attacking and defensive metrics, but is there value in backing them to win at Craven Cottage? Here are some expert betting tips and insights to help you navigate this and similar match wagering markets!

  • Tip 1: Back Man United to Win: While the Red Devils are the ante post favourites to beat the Cottagers, they’re still priced as high as as 2.00 with LegendPlay to achieve this objective. This offers relative value when you consider Fulham’s own run of form and their struggles in the attacking third, and the simple fact that they haven’t beaten the Red Devils since December 2009. Marco Silva’s team only boasted the 12th best home record in the EPL last season too, winning just eight times in front of their own fans in total.
  • Tip 2: Back Man United to Win With Over 2.5 Goals Scored: This is a slightly riskier wager, and one that may be ideal when looking to qualify for or utilise a free bet promotion. However, there’s no doubt that despite both sides’ lack of potency in front of goal, they remain vulnerable defensively, with Fulham in particular having conceded in all but two of their EPL games so far this season. What’s more, you can get on this market at the competitive price of 3.00 with LegendPlay.
  • Tip 3: Back Both Sides to Score in the Second Half: Both Fulham and United are slow starters in the Premier League, having only scored four goals between them in the opening 30 minutes of matches in 2023/24. Overall, the Cottagers have scored seven of their nine EPL goals (77.7%) in the second half, whereas more than 63% of United’s 11 league goals have also come between minutes 45 and 90. So, consider backing both teams to score in the second half at the relatively competitive price of 3.10 with LegendPlay.

1️⃣ Fulham Update

Fulham’s last five Premier League matches have yielded just one win and five points, and a paltry total of four goals. This run of form will be a concern for manager Marco Silva, whose team continues to rank among the worst EPL outfits when it comes to expected goals, shot-creating actions and shots per 90 minutes. They’ve only had 183 touches in the attacking penalty area too so far this season, with only Burnley (178) and Sheffield United (165) ranking worse according to this metric. However, they did at least perform respectably when drawing at Brighton last time out, while coveted midfielder João Palhinha remains in excellent individual form.

Last 5 Games
Brighton 1
Fulham 1
29.10.23
Premier League
Tottenham 2
Fulham 0
23.10.23
Premier League
Fulham 3
Sheffield United 1
07.10.23
Premier League
Fulham 0
Chelsea 2
02.10.23
Premier League
Fulham 2
Norwich City 1
27.09.23
EFL Cup

Fulham have several injury concerns ahead of their game with Manchester United, with centre back pairing Tosin Adarabioyo (groin surgery) and Issa Diop (foot) both expected to miss out. Striker Carlos Vinícius may also be absent with a knock, although Adama Traoré (hamstring) and Kenny Tete (groin) could be fit enough to start at Craven Cottage.

PlayerReason
Tosin Adarabioyo Groin Surgery
Issa Diop Foot Injury
Carlos Vinícius Knock
Adama Traoré Hamstring Injury
Kenny Tete Groin Injury

2️⃣ Man United Update

A record of seven wins and seven defeats in 14 matches in all competitions highlights Manchester United’s incredible inconsistency this season, but while their collective performances also leave a great deal to be desired, it should be noted that their derby defeat to City actually snapped a three-match winning run. However, the nature of their performance in the derby was incredibly concerning, with the respective expected goals value for each side (0.9 vs 4.0) indicative of the chasm between the two sides and United’s numerous on-field issues. Still, the Red Devils average the fifth-highest tally of shot-creating actions per 90 in the EPL, while their ball recovery statistics are much improved when compared to last season.

Last 5 Games
Man United 0
Man City 3
29.10.23
Premier League
Man United 1
FC Copenhagen 0
24.10.23
Champions League
Sheffield United 1
Man United 2
21.10.23
Premier League
Man United 2
Brentford 1
07.10.23
Premier League
Man United 2
Galatasaray 3
03.10.23
Champions League

Precocious young midfielder Kobbie Mainoo was back on the bench against City after recovering from an ankle injury, and he could be in contention to start here given United’s lack of balance in the centre of the park. Raphael Varane and Sergio Reguilón will also be fit to play at the Cottage, but United remain without several long-term defensive absentees including Luke Shaw (muscle injury), Lisandro Martinez (foot), Aaron Wan-Bissaka (hamstring) and Tyrell Malacia (unknown). Young winger Amad Diallo will also continue his recovery from a knee injury.

PlayerReason
Lisandro Martinez Foot Injury
Luke Shaw Muscle Injury
Aaron Wan-Bissaka Hamstring Injury
Tyrell Malacia Unknown Injury
Amad Diallo Knee Injury

👕 Fulham vs Man United - Potential Lineups

Pos. Fulham
4-3-3
Man United
4-2-3-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper B. Leno A. Onana Goalkeeper
Right Back T. Castagne D. Dalot Right Back
Centre Back C. Bassey R. Varane Centre Back
Centre Back T. Ream H. Maguire Centre Back
Left Back A. Robinson S. Reguilón Left Back
Midfielder H. Reed Casemiro Midfielder
Midfielder J. Palhinha C. Eriksen Midfielder
Midfielder A. Pereira B. Fernandes Midfielder
Wide Forward B. De Cordova-Reid Anthony Wide Forward
Striker R. Jiménez R. Højlund Striker
Wide Forward Willian M. Rashford Wide Forward

Man United To Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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